AgDay Daily Recap- September 19, 2018

September 19, 2018 02:57 AM
 
AgDay

TODAY ON AGDAY
SEPTEMBER 19, 2018

HEADLINES

PILING ON THE TARIFFS - AND CHINA RESPONDS. HOW LONG WILL FARMERS SUPPOR THE PRESIDENT? COMBINES ROLL ON WHAT LOOKS LIKE A RECORD CROP. THE BIG QUESTION NOW  - DO WE HAVE ENOUGH ROOM? "I'M MICHELLE ROOK. STORAGE IS AT A PREMIUM HERE IN THE WESTERN CORN BELT WITH LOW GRAIN  PRICES AND POOR BASIS DUE TO THE TRADE WAR. I'LL HAVE DETAILS COMING UP."IN AGRIBUSINESS......GAUGING THE 2018 COTTON CROP.... "WHAT ARE YOU THINKING WITH QUALITY THIS YEAR?"> TEXAS FARM BUREAU IN THE MIDDLE OF A POLITICAL AND SOCIAL DEBATE."THIS IS NOT A JUDGEMENT. THIS IS NOT A SOCIAL STATEMENT"AGDAY - BROUGHT TO YOU BY THE CHEVY SILVERADO, THE MOST DEPENDABLE, LONGEST-LASTING FULL  SIZE PICKUPS ON THE ROAD.

MORE TARIFFS
GOOD MORNING I'M BETSY JIBBEN. HOW HIGH COULD U-S TARIFFS HELD AGAINST  CHINESE GOODS GO IN THIS TRADE FEUD? IT SEEMS TO BE HEADED TOWARD A  HALF TRILLION DOLLARS. THAT AFTER CHINA RESPONDED TO THE LATEST TARIFF ASSESSMENT. CHINA ANNOUNCED TUESDAY IT WOULD IMPOSE ANOTHER 60-BILLION DOLLARS  WORTH OF TARIFFS ON U-S PRODUCTS SHIPPED INTO THAT COUNTRY.  THEIR RETALIATION FOLLOWED MONDAY'S ANNOUNCEMENT THAT THE U-S WAS  ESCALATING THE TRADE SPAT BY ANOTHER 200-BILLION DOLLARS. ON TOP OF THAT, THE PRESIDENT HINTED LAST WEEK THAT HE MAY HIT CHINA  WITH AN ADDITIONAL 267-BILLION DOLLAS IN TARIFFS. WHEN YOU ADD-UP THE PREVOUS TARIFFS ALREADY IN PLACE, PLUS THESE NEW  THREATENED TARIFFS, THE U-S WILL HAVE IMPOSED 517-BILLION DOLLARS IN TARIFFS AGAINST THE ASIAN TRADING PARTNER. THAT AMOUNT SURPASSES THE 500-AND-FIVE BILLION DOLLARS WORTH OF U-S GOODS THAT CHINA IMPORTED IN 2017. THE PRESIDENT THREATENING TO HIT BACK IF CHINA TARGETS POLITICALLY  POTENT U-S. AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTS FOR COUNTER-TARIFFS. IN A TWEET TUESDAY THE PRESIDENT SAYING "THERE WILL BE GREAT AND FAST ECONOMIC RETALIATION AGAINST CHINA IF OUR FARMERS, RANCHERS AND/OR  INDUSTRIAL WORKERS ARE TARGETED!" IN A SECOND TWEET, THE PRESIDENT SAID "CHINA HAS OPENLY STATED THAT  THEY ARE ACTIVELY TRYING TO IMPACT AND CHANGE OUR ELECTION BY  ATTACKING OUR FARMERS, RANCHERS AND INDUSTRIAL WORKERS BECAUSE OF THEIR LOYALTY TO ME." FARMERS ARE REPONDING TO THE NEWS.   "I DO SUPPORT THE PRESIDENT WITH WHAT HE'S TRYING TO ACCOMPLISH. I LOOK BACK A LITTLE FARTHER PAST THE LAST COUPLE OF YEARS WITH WHAT CHINA HAS DONE. THEY'VE EMBARGOED ETHANOL, DISTILLER GRAIN, MANUPULATED THE MARKET IN MY MIND WITH THE SYNGENTA CORN SITUATION TO BENEFIT  THEM AND DRIVE PRICES DOWN. I DO LOOK AND I SEE THOSE THINGS AND THEY'VE ALWAYS BOTHERED  ME.""AS LONG AS THE END GAME IS TO HAVE FREE MARKETS, FREE TRADE, NO TARIFFS FROM  ANYBODY, I LIKE IT. I DON'T SEE ANY OTHER WAY TO GET RID OF THE TARIFFS CHINA HAS ON OUR GOODS  EXCEPT FOR PUTTING TARIFFS ON THEIR GOODS. 33 I'M STILL HOPEFUL IN THE END IT WILL TURN OUT GREAT,  STILL SUPPORTIVE OF WHAT'S GOING ON AS LONG AS IN THE END, THERE ARE NO TARIFFS ANYWHERE."THE PORK INDUSTRY ALSO RESPONDING TO THE NEWS.  "WE SUPPORT ADMINISTRATIVE EFFORTS TO MAKE ALL TRADE FAIR, WE ALSO WANT TO MAKE THEM  AWARE THAT AS PORK PRODUCERS, WE ARE THE TIP OF THE SPEAR, WE DEPEND AND RELY ON EXTERNAL EXPORTS. NEARLY A THIRD OF PRODUCTION LEAVES OUR BORDERS. 39 WE RELY ON THAT FOR OUR SUCCESS. WE URGE THE ADMINISTRATION TO GET IT DONE AND TURN TO ECONOMIC PROFITABILITY IN RURAL AMERICA."

STORAGE WARS
THE ONGOING TRADE WAR HAS HAD A DEVASTATING IMPACT ON THE GRAIN  MARKETS. HOWEVER, FOR SOYBEAN FARMERS IN THE WESTERN CORN BELT  THEY'RE HIT ESPECIALLY HARD DUE TO THEIR DEPENDENCE ON THE CHINESE MARKET. THIS - COMBINED WITH A PROJECTED RECORD CROP IN STATES LIKE NEBRASKA - MEANS FARMERS WILL BE STORING MORE GRAIN THAN EVER, HOPING AND  WAITING FOR BETTER PRICES. MICHELLE ROOK TALKED TO FARMERS AT HUSKER  HARVEST DAYS ABOUT THE STORAGE CRUNCH.  FARMERS HERE IN THE WESTERN CORN BELT ARE FEELING A STORAGE CRUNCH  FROM BIG YIELDS, LOWER PRICES AND THE HISTORICALLY WIDE BASIS DUE TO THE ON-GOING TRADE WAR. IN FACT, BASIS NORMALLY RUNS 70-CENTS TO A DOLLAR FOR SOYBEANS IN NEBRASKA, BUT IS NOW  HISTORICALLY WIDE AND WILL GET WORSE AT HARVEST.    MIKE KORTH, RANDOLPH, NE FARMER, "BAD, BAD AS IT'S EVER BEEN. $1.40 FOR ME ON NEW  CROP WHICH I THINK MY WORST BEFORE THAT WAS $1.20." BART RUTH, RISING CITY, NE FARMER, "I THINK MY LOCAL MARKET BASIS IS $1.22, SO SEVEN  DOLLAR BEANS ARE NOT GOING TO PAY TOO MANY BILLS."   SINCE MOST OF THE BEANS IN NEBRASKA GO TO CHINA, SOME ELEVATORS AREN'T EVEN BIDDING  BECAUSE OF THE UNCERTAINTY OF THE TRADE WAR.   DOUG SAATHOFF, TRUMBULL, NE, "THEY CAN BID BUT I DON'T THINK ANYBODY'S SELLING SO.  YOU KNOW I'VE HEARD OF A FEW TAKING BIDS AWAY I DON'T KNOW WHERE THAT'S AT FOR SURE."  AND OTHER ELEVATORS HAVE ALSO STOPPED WRITING DP OR DEFERRED PRICING CONTACTS.   KORTH, "I GUESS I UNDERSTAND WHY.  THEY TIE UP A LOT OF STORAGE AND THEY'RE GOING TO MAKE AS  MUCH AS THEY CAN ON THIS BASIS TOO YOU KNOW."   SO FARMERS LIKE DOUG SAATHOFF HAVE NO CHOICE BUT TO STORE AND THE MARKET IS SIGNALING  STORAGE AS WELL.   DOUG SAATHOFF, "WE'RE JUST GOING TO TUCK IT AWAY IN OUR BINS AS BEST AS WE CAN. YOU KNOW  EVEN THE BEANS WE CAN'T STORE WE'LL STORE IN TOWN YOU'LL EVEN PAY IN EVEN A NICKEL A MONTH."   STEVE WELLMAN, NE AG COMMISSIONER, "IT LOOKS LIKE SOYBEANS ARE THE CROP TO STORE THIS YEAR AND HOPE FOR A, SOME TYPE OF TRADE AGREEMENT THAT'LL HELP BRING SOME MORE  CERTAINTY BACK TO THE MARKETPLACE AND NARROW THAT BASIS UP AND CREATE SOME DEMAND FOR  US."  BART RUTH, RISING CITY, NE FARMER, YOU KEEP READING ABOUT MORE INTEREST IN MARKETING LOANS  THIS YEAR THAN YOU'VE SEEN IN DECADES AND UNFORTUNATELY THOSE PRICES THE LOANS ARE BASED  ON WERE ESTABLISHED BACK IN THE ALMOST 20 YEARS AGO."   12 SEC   AS A RESULT, FARMERS HAVE PUT UP MORE LONG-TERM STORAGE AND ARE EVEN TRYING TO GET BINS PUT  UP YET THIS FALL.   BART RUTH, RISING CITY, NE FARMER, "THERE'S BEEN A FEW GO UP.  WE'VE PUT UP 100,000  BUSHELS STORAGE HERE THIS FALL, LATE SUMMER SO.  NOT ENOUGH OBVIOUSLY."  7 SEC  AL ARNDT, BROCK GRAIN, "I WOULD SAY THE DEMAND IS UP PROBABLY 50-PERCENT OF WHERE IT WAS LAST YEAR AT THIS TIME BECAUSE OF THERE IS SO MUCH CORN BEING STORED ALREADY."    OTHERS WILL PILE CORN ON THE GROUND OR USE TEMPORARY STORAGE AND THAT'S WHY THESE BAGGING  UNITS HAVE BEEN SO HOT AT SHOWS.  NICK PLATT, SIOUX STEEL/KOYKER MANF., "VERY POPULAR.  IT DOESN'T SEEM LIKE WE CAN KEEP  THEM ENOUGH AROUND.  A LOT OF INTEREST IN HERE TODAY AT HUSKER HARVEST AND ALL THE OTHER SHOWS.  PEOPLE ARE LOOKING FOR ALTERNATIVE STORAGE."  SO, STORAGE WILL BE AT A PREMIUM UNTIL SOMETHING CHANGES TO IMPROVE GRAIN PRICES.   TERRY HORKY, SARGENT, NE, "EVERY YEAR HAS IT'S CHALLENGES, THIS IS ANOTHER CHALLENGE  WE'RE NOT NECESSARILY USED TO BUT WE'RE GOING TO HAVE TO FIND A WAY TO WORK AROUND IT." DOUG, "SO HOPEFULLY WE GET THROUGH HARVEST MAYBE A TRADE DEAL WILL GET WORKED OUT AND THEN  WE CAN THINGS WILL START TO IMPROVE."     IN GRAND ISLAND, NE I'M MICHELLE ROOK REPORTING FOR AGDAY . 

CROP COMMENTS
MIKE HOFFMAN JOINING US NOW WITH A LOOK AT CROP COMMENTS. GOOD MORNING, MIKE.  GOOD MORNING, BETSY.  WE ARE STARTING OFF IN SOUTH BEND, INDIANA.  JEFF PETERSON STILL HAS A SOLID 10 DAYS OR MORE BEFORE HARVEST BEGINS  IN HIS AREA. FARMERS HERE PLANTED AS LATE AS JUNE. HE SAYS THERE WAS  NOT A SHORTAGE OF GROWING DEGREE DAYS, WHICH HAS BEEN A BIG HELP TO  MATURE A LATE CROP.  USDA SAYS 7 PERCENT OF THE STATE'S CORN CROP HAS BEEN HARVESTED,  ABOVE THE 5 YEAR AVERAGE.  AND DARA ENTWISTLE IN NEW HOLLAND, ILLINOIS SAYS REECE AND QUOTE - THE  KIDS QUOTE ARE GETTING READY TO DO EVENING CATTLE CHORES. CAN'T BEAT A  NIGHT DOING CHORES WITH MAN'S BEST FRIEND.  THE U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR SHOWS PASTURES AREN'T TOO DRY IN THE STATE. 3  PERCENT OF ILLINOIS IS CONCERNED ABNORMALLY DRY.  AND TAKING A LOOK AT THE WINDSPEED FORECAST GOING TO BE WINDY IN THE PLAINS TODAY. NOT THAT  THAT'S UNUSUAL OR ANYTHING BUT BY LATER IN THE DAY FROM TEXAS ACROSS KANSAS AND PARTS OF THE  WEST SEEING SOME PRETTY GOOD WINDS WILL SLACK AND THINGS OFF A LITTLE BIT AS WE HEAD TOWARD MORNING TO STILL KIND OF BREEZY UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY INTO KANSAS. AND IT JUST TURNS WINDY OR  ACROSS THE PLAINS EVEN INTO PARTS OF WYOMING AND MONTANA AS WE HEAD THROUGH THE  AFTERNOON. WE'LL HAVE YOUR FORECAST COMING UP IN A FEW MINUTES. BUT FIRST HERE ARE SOME HOMETOWN TIPS.  

TEXAS FARM BUREAU AND NIKE APPAREL
THE TEXAS FARM BUREAU FINDING ITSELF IN THE MIDDLE OF A MEDIA MALE- STRUM STEMMING FROM A CONTROVERSIAL AD CAMPAIGN BY SPORTSWEAR MAKER NIKE. AS YOU PROBABLY KNOW NIKE HIRED EX-NFL QUARTERBACK COLIN KAEPERNICK  TO BE THE FACE OF A NEW CAMPAIGN. IT SHOWCASES HIM KNEELING ON THE SIDELINES DURING THE NATIONAL  ANTHEM. ACCORDING TO THE TEXAS FARM BUREAU, SOME OF THEIR EMPLOYEES TOOK  HEAT FROM FARMER MEMBERS FOR WEARING NIKE APPAREL WHICH ALSO  INCLUDED THE FARM BUREAU LOGO. IN ORDER TO TAKE THE POLITICS OUT OF THE WARDROBE "MALFUNCTION",  TEXAS FARM BUREAU HAS DECIDED TO PHASE-OUT THAT GEAR. "OUR EMPLOYEES ARE FREE TO WEAR NIKE APPAREL WITHOUT TEXAS FARM BUREAU LOGOS OF ANY  KIND. IF IT IS WITHIN OUR DRESS CODE THIS IS NOT A POLITICAL STATEMENT ON OUR BEHALF. THIS IS NOT A  JUDGMENT. THIS IS NOT A SOCIAL STATEMENT. WE HAVE MEMBERS ON BOTH SIDES OF THIS ISSUE. SO  WE HAVE SIMPLY MADE THE BUSINESS DECISION TO TAKE OUR COMPANIES OUT OF THE CONTROVERSY. COOK SAYS TEXAS FARM BUREAU HAS BEEN PHASING OUT SHIRTS THAT ARE CO- BRANDED WITH OTHER COMPANIES, LIKE NIKE, AND ARE MOVING TO APPAREL  THAT ONLY SHOWS THE TEXAS FARM BUREAU LOGO. 

TEASE
WHEN WE COME BACK WE'RE TALKING COTTON IN TEXAS. HOW'S THE CROP SHAPING-UP AND WHAT CAN WE EXPECT THIS HARVEST  SEASON? TYNE MORGAN HAS ANALYSIS FROM LUBBOCK. PLUS WHAT MAKES YOU DEATHLY AFRAID ?   SPIDERS? SNAKES? FIND OUT WHAT TECHNOLOGY MIGHT HELP YOU CONQUER THOSE FEARS. ADVICE, INFORMATION, IDEAS AND MORE. IF IT'S AG TECH, IT'S IN THE TECH TOOLSHED, YOUR UNBIASED, ONE-STOP SOURCE FOR EVERYTHING AG TECH. 

AGRIBUSINESS
THE TEXAS COTTON HARVEST IS NOW UNDERWAY WITH 22-PERCENT IN BALES OR  AT THE GIN SO FAR. THAT'S AHEAD OF THE FIVE YEAR AVERAGE.  37-PERCENT OF BOLLS HAVE OPENED, SLIGHTLY AHEAD OF THE AVERAGE PACE. AS TYNE MORGAN DISCOVERED IN THIS MORNING'S ANALYSIS, TEXAS COTTON  HARVEST COULD RUN UNTIL CHRISTMAS. HERE NOW GLENN RICHY HE'S WITH THE PLANT AND SOIL SCIENCES AT TEXAS TECH UNIVERSITY IN GLEN I KNOW YOU STUDY COTTON A LOT. LAST YEAR WE REALLY HAD SOME QUALITY ISSUES WHEN IT  CAME TO THE MIKE SIDE OF THE COTTON EQUATION. WHAT ARE YOU THINKING WITH QUALITY THIS YEAR. I  THINK COTTON COTTON QUALITY IS GOING TO BE A LOT BETTER THIS YEAR. LAST YEAR WE HAD A LOT OF COOL  WET WEATHER AND THE CROP JUST NEVER REALLY DECIDED IT WANTED TO SHUT DOWN A LOT OF THE COTTON  DIDN'T REALLY TERMINATE UNTIL WE FROZE. AND AS A RESULT THE FIBER QUALITY WAS JUST TERRIBLE. WE  HAD POOR MATURITY AND THAT REALLY TURNED INTO POOR QUALITY COTTON WHEN WE SEND IT TO SPIN. THIS YEAR WE'VE HAD A LOT HOTTER DRIER WEATHER AND THE RATE THINGS ARE GOING. I ANTICIPATE THAT  WE'RE GOING TO HAVE VERY GOOD COTTON QUALITY AND A LOT MORE MATURE COTTON FIBERS THIS YEAR.  SO WE KNOW THAT THIS CROP WAS STRESSED FROM THE BEGINNING WITH THE LACK OF MOISTURE. DID  THAT HELP THAT CROP STRESS IN IT. DID IT GET STRESSED AT THE RIGHT TIME OR DID HE GET STRESSED AT  THE WRONG TIMES THIS YEAR. BOY STRESS IS ALWAYS A CHALLENGING THING TO DEAL WITH. CERTAINLY IF  YOU GET STRESSED AT THE WRONG TIME YOU CAN PAY FOR IT IN TERMS OF COST AND QUALITY. THE BIG  THING THIS YEAR WAS WE HAD HOT DRY WEATHER FROM THE BEGINNING AND WHAT WE FOUND IS PRIOR TO FLOWERING THAT'S NOT GOING TO HURT OUR QUALITY AT ALL. NOW AS WE ROLLED INTO JULY AND AUGUST WE  STILL HAVE THESE HIGH TEMPERATURES THAT IS POTENTIALLY GOING TO HAVE SOME EFFECT. BUT THE  COTTON ACCLIMATED ITSELF PRETTY WELL AND AT LEAST WHAT WE'RE SEEING SO FAR LOOKS LIKE WE'RE IN  REASONABLY GOOD SHAPE WITH THE FIBER QUALITY IN REASONABLY GOOD SHAPE WITH HIGHER QUALITY BUT THIS CROP AROUND HERE LOOKS REALLY IMMATURE. DO YOU THINK HARVEST WILL BE LATE FOR COTTON. I  THINK FOR THE MOST PART HARVEST IS GOING TO BE A LITTLE BITTER. HEADLEE OK. WE'VE PLANTED A LOT  OF LATE COTTON WHICH IS GOING TO THROW A LITTLE BIT OF A WRENCH IN THAT. BUT ALL OF THE COTTON THAT  WAS PLANTED IN MAY IS ABOUT READY TO BE DEFOLIATED. I WOULD ANTICIPATE YOU'RE GOING TO START TO  SEE COTTON STRIPPER START RUNNING WITHIN POTENTIALLY ABOUT THE NEXT THREE TO FOUR WEEKS. AND  BECAUSE WE PLANTED A LOT OF COTTON THEY MAY BE RUNNING ALL THE WAY TO CHRISTMAS AGAIN SO WE COULD REALLY SEE AN EXTENDED HARVEST PERIOD. YES I THINK SO. AND THE BIG REASON IS NOT SO  MUCH BECAUSE OF THE WEATHER THIS YEAR BUT BECAUSE PEOPLE WERE REALLY TRYING TO GET IN WITH  THOSE PLANTING RAINS AND THAT EXTENDED THE PLANTING OVER ABOUT A MONTH AND A HALF PERIOD. SO WAITING ON MOISTURE IN ORDER TO GET THE FIELD TO PLANT THIS YEAR I ACTUALLY GOT IT. SO THAT'S  WHY HARVEST WILL BE EXTENDED. GLEN THANK YOU SO MUCH FOR JOINING US. WE APPRECIATE IT. LET'S  TAKE A QUICK BREAK AND THEN WE'LL HAVE A CHECK OF WEATHER RIGHT HERE ON AG DAY. > 

WEATHER
WELCOME BACK TO AG DAY WITH METEOROLOGIST MIKE HOFFMAN. MIKE THE QUESTION ABOUT IS  SEEING SOME RAIN SOMETHING YOU DON'T NECESSARILY WANT TO SEE THIS TIME OF YEAR. HOW LONG  WILL THIS LAST. THEY ARE GOING TO DELAY HARVEST I THINK TO THREE DAYS MAYBE EVEN A LITTLE BIT  MORE IN THE UPPER MIDWEST WESTERN CORN BELT THOSE ARE THE AREAS WE'RE CONCERNED ABOUT. THIS IS ONE OF THOSE SITUATIONS WHERE A VERY SLOW MOVING NORTHWARD MOVING WARM FRONT IS  GOING TO PRODUCE LOTS OF COMPLEXES OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOT OF THEM OCCUR AT NIGHT. THOSE CAN  BE BIG RAINMAKERS SO LET'S PUT THE MAPS INTO MOTION IS PRETTY HUMID SOUTH OF THE FRONT AND NORTH OF IT WHERE YOU HAVE THAT LIFTING AIR UP OVER THE COOLER AIR TO THE NORTH. WE DO GET THESE  COMPLEXES OF THUNDERSTORMS YOU CAN SEE THAT AS WE HEAD THROUGH THE DAY TODAY. SCATTERED  STUFF IN THE SOUTHWEST NOT TOO MUCH ELSEWHERE A LITTLE BIT OF A HIT AND MISS STUFF IN FLORIDA.  THEN AS WE HEAD THROUGH THE NIGHTTIME HOURS TONIGHT NEW COMPLEXES DEVELOP BACK IN SOUTH DAKOTA PARTS OF MINNESOTA INTO SOUTHERN WISCONSIN AS WE HEAD TOWARD MORNING. AREAS OF  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BACK INTO MONTANA AS WELL. AND ACTUALLY WE'RE SEEING A LITTLE BIT  OF A DISTURBANCE HERE COMING NORTHWARD PROBABLY SHOULD PUT AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE THERE  ON MY MAP AND THAT'S CONTINUING SOME OF THAT MOISTURE EVEN INTO THE MORNING HOURS IN THE DESERT SOUTHWEST AND THAT'S GOING TO BE SOME DECENT MOISTURE THAT'S GOT SOME TROPICAL  NATURE TO IT. AS TO ME FEEDING UP ALONG THIS FRONT. SO SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE  COLD FRONT. LARGE AREAS OF THUNDERSTORMS AHEAD OF THE WARM FRONT BUT THE WARM FRONT IS FINALLY LIFTING NORTHWARD BY LATE IN THE DAY TOMORROW SO WE'LL BE TALKING ABOUT THE NORTHERN  GREAT LAKES BACK INTO NORTH DAKOTA BY THAT POINT PRECIPITATION ESTIMATE PAST 24 HOURS. THE  REMNANTS OF FLORENCE FINALLY MOVING AWAY OUT OF NEW ENGLAND. AND YOU CAN SEE A COMPLEX  ALREADY OCCURRED. PARTS OF THE NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND LOOK AT THE AMOUNTS ARE COMPUTER MODEL PUTTING DOWN FOUR OR FIVE INCHES OF RAIN. PARTS OF THAT AREA OVER A TWO AND A  HALF A PERIOD FROM NORTHERN ILLINOIS NORTHEASTERN IOWA BACK ACROSS SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF  MINNESOTA. SO SOME OF THOSE AREAS COULD GET A LOT OF RAIN AND THAT COULD REALLY START TO DELAY  THINGS. TEMPERATURES ACROSS THAT FRONT. BIG DIFFERENCE. HIGHS FROM THE 90S SOUTH OF IT TO THE  60S NORTH OF IT WHERE IT'S PROBABLY RAINING AND AS YOU CAN SEE AS WE HEAD THROUGH TONIGHT LOW TEMPERATURES ARE GOING TO STAY VERY MUGGY FROM IOWA ILLINOIS SOUTHWARD LOT COOLER TO THE  NORTH LOW 48 IN BISMARCK. SO COOLER TEMPERATURES COMING INTO THE NORTHERN ROCKIES NORTHERN  PLAINS AND THAT KIND OF CONTINUES TOMORROW. THE HEAT ACTUALLY MAKE SOME INROADS FARTHER  NORTH. HERE'S THE JET STREAM YOU CAN SEE THE RIDGE THAT'S WHAT'S PUMPING UP THAT WARM AIR AND WE DO HAVE IT KIND OF CUTBACK ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES IN THE NORTHEAST AS WE HEAD  THROUGH THE WEEKEND BUT THE RIDGE BUILDS BACK UP NEXT WEEK WAS A BIG TROUGH DEVELOPING  OUT WEST. THAT'S A LOOK ACROSS THE COUNTRY. NOW LET'S TAKE A LOOK AT SOME LOCAL FORECASTS HEADING TO SANDPOINT IDAHO. FIRST OF ALL COOL WITH A MIX OF CLOUDS AND SUNSHINE. HIGH OF 66  MASON CITY IOWA PERIODS OF RAIN MAYBE A THUNDERSTORM HIGH OF 78 AND DECATUR ALABAMA.  LOTS OF SUNSHINE. HOT AND HUMID HIGH AROUND 93. 

TEASE
UP NEXT - THE LATEST NUMBERS ON WISCONSIN'S DAIRY INDUSTRY?  HOW MANY ARE CALLLING IT QUITS? PLUS SEE HOW A TOOL USED IN GAMING SYSTEMS MAY HELP YOU OVERCOME  PHOBIAS THAT ARE SO BAD THAT THEY GIVE YOU THE SWEATS.

DAIRY REPORT
NAFTA TALKS ARE SCHEDULED TO PICK-UP AGAIN TODAY IN WASHINGTON AS  CHIEF NEGOTIATORS FROM THE U-S AND CANADA ARE SET TO TO CONTINUE  TALKS. CANADIAN FOREIGN MINISTER CHRYSTIA FREELAND ARRIVED IN THE CAPITAL  YESTERDAY. ACCORDING TO BLOOMBERG SOURCES, FREELAND IS SET TO  MEET WITH U-S TRADE REPRESENTATIVE ROBERT LIGHTHIZER TODAY. THE TEAMS ARE FACING AN END-OF MONTH DEADLINE SET BY PRESIDENT TRUMP.  THE PRESIDENT INTENDS TO SIGN A NEW VERSION OF NAFTA WITH MEXICO IN  ABOUT TEN DAYS. BUT THE SPECIFIC DATE IS UNCERTAIN AT THIS POINT. THE PRESIDENT HAS THREATENED TO PROCEED WITHOUT CANADA - WHICH IS  THE NUMBER ONE BUYER OF U-S GOODS. ACCORDING TO BLOOMBERG NEWS, CANADA SEEMS TO BE OFFERING  CONCESSIONS ON DAIRY POLICIES AND OTHER ISSUES. BUT IN RETURN THEY WANT TO PRESERVE CERTAIN PARTS OF THE ORIGINAL DEAL, INCLUDING ANTI- DUMPING DISPUTE PANELS. THE U.S. DAIRY INDUSTRY IS ON TRACK TO SEE THE LARGEST DECLINE OF DAIRY  FARMS SINCE 2013...AND AMERICA'S DAIRYLAND OF WISCONSIN IS ESPECIALLY HARD-HIT. 429 WISCONSIN DAIRY FARMS HAVE CALLED IT QUITS SINCE THE BEGINNING OF  THE YEAR. THE STATE LOST 47 DURING THE MONTH OF AUGUST ALONE. 44 WERE CLOSED IN JULY AND 54 IN JUNE. NOW, THERE ARE ONLYL 84-HUNDRED LICENSED DAIRY FARMS IN THE STATE. 

TEASE
SCARED OF SPIDERS? AFRAID TO FLY? NEXT FIND OUT HOW VIDEO-GAME TECHNOLOGY  CAN HELP YOU OVERCOME THOSE PHOBIAS. 

IN THE COUNTRY
IN THE COUNTRY - SPONSORED BE THE ALL-NEW KUBOTA SIDEKICK. A UTILITY VEHICLE THAT LETS YOU CLIMB MORE, COVER MORE, TOW MORE AND ENJOY MORE. VISIT KUBOTAUSA.COM.  A LOT OF US HAVE PHOBIAS - A FEAR OF SOMETHING. PERHAPS IT'S HEIGHTS, OR SNAKES, OR SPIDERS. IN THIS ERA OF VIRTUAL REALITY, IT APPEARS THERE'S A HIGH TECH WAY TO  BREAK YOU OF THOSE FEARS. A GROWING NUMBER OF THERAPISTS ARE USING VIRTUAL REALITY TO HELP  PATIENTS OVERCOME THEIR FEARS. RESEARCHERS HAVE BEEN USING THE TECHNOLOGY FOR 20 YEARS BUT IT'S NOW REACHING THE MAINSTREAM. V-R THERAPY CAN HELP PEOPLE BY EXPOSING THEM GRADUALLY TO THEIR  GREATEST TERRORS. FOR PATIENTS WITH TRUE PHOBIAS, THEY HAVE A FIGHT OR FLIGHT RESPONSE. THEY GET SWEATY AND THEIR HEART RACES. "IT IS DRAMATIC.  AT THE HEART OF FEAR OF HEIGHTS PEOPLE HAVE THESE IDEAS THAT SOMETHING BAD  IS GOING TO HAPPEN. THAT THEY'RE GOING TO FALL OFF, OR THE BUILDINGS COLLAPSE, OR THEY'RE GOING TO  JUMP OFF.  AND WHAT WE DO IN THE THERAPY IS HELP PEOPLE TO LEARN THAT THAT WON'T HAPPEN  AROUND HEIGHTS. SO, IF YOU CHANGE THOSE THOUGHTS, IT LEADS TO CHANGES IN THE REAL WORLD."  FEAR OF SPIDERS AND OTHER PHOBIAS ARE THOUGHT TO AFFECT MORE THAN ONE IN TEN AMERICAN ADULTS. HERE'S WHAT THE V-R SIMULATION LOOKS LIKE.  YOU CAN SEE THE CREEPY  SPIDER ON THE COUNTER....AND THE PATIENT IS USING A TOOL - LIKE A SPATULA - TO TAKE CONTROL OVER THE SPIDER. THE PATIENT - LET'S JUST CALL HER BETSY, FOR EXAMPLE - IS PUSHING THE  EIGHT-LEGGED CREATURE TOWARDS THE SINK WHICH HAPPENS TO BE FULL OF  WATER. LO-AND-BEHOLD - THE SPIDER IS SWEPT AWAY. EXPERTS PREDICT PEOPLE WITH MILD PHOBIAS WILL ONE DAY BE ABLE TREAT THEMSELVES SUCCESSFULLY AT HOME. 

CLOSE
THAT'S ALL THE TIME WE HAVE THIS MORNING. WE'RE GLAD YOU TUNED IN.  FOR MIKE HOFFMAN, AND THE REST OF US AT AGDAY I'M BETSY JIBBEN. HAVE A  GREAT DAY.

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