AgDay Daily Recap - September 21, 2018

September 21, 2018 02:57 AM
 
AgDay

TODAY ON AGDAY
SEPTEMBER 21, 2018

HEADLINES

BANKERS SPEAK UP ON HOW TARIFFS IMPACT THEIR RURAL COMMUNITIES.  AFRICAN SWINE FEVER BECOMES AN EPIDEMIC IN  IN ANALYSIS WE'RE TALKING COTTON IN TEXAS!  AND NOT GETTING 'CATFISHED' WITH CATFISH LABELING. AGDAY-BROUGHT TO YOU BY THE DEPENDABLE, LONG  LASTING CHEVY SILVERADO. 

RURAL MAINSTREET INDEX
GOOD MORNING I'M BETSY JIBBEN IN FOR CLINTON GRIFFITHS.  MORE THAN 8 OUT OF 10 BANKERS ARE REPORTING  NEGATIVE IMPACTS ON THEIR LOCAL, RURAL  ECONOMIES DUE TO TARIFFS FROM OTHER COUNTRIES.THAT'S ACCORDING TO THE LATEST RURAL MAINSTREET  INDEX - CONDUCTED BY CREIGHTON UNIVERSITY -  WHICH SURVEYS BANKERS IN 10 DIFFERENT STATES, REPRESENTING 200 RURAL COMMUNITIES. THE SEPTEMBER SURVEY CLIMBING ABOVE GROWTH  NEUTRAL FOR THE EIGHTH STRAIGHT MONTH.  BUT THE SURVEY IS SHOWING BANKERS HAVE  RESERVATIONS. MORE THAN 8 OUT OF 10 BANKERS REPORTED  NEGATIVE IMPACTS FROM TARIFFS ON THEIR  ECONOMIES.  HOWEVER, ONLY 4 OUT OF 10 BANKERS SUPPORTED  CUTTING RECENTLY ENACTED TARIFFS ON IMPORTED  GOODS.  FARM COUNTRY RESPONDING TO THE NEWS.  <"THE CURRENT ADMINISTRATION TRYING TO MAKE CHINA PLAY BY THE  RULES. THIS HAS BEEN GOING ON FOR 20 PLUS YEARS. IT'S A SHAME  WE'VE HAD TO TAKE A HIT HERE IN THE LAST MONTHS OR SO BUT IF EVERY  ADMINISTRATION HAD BEEN TRYING TO MAKE THEM PLAY BY THE RULES, MAYBE IT WOULDNT' HAVE BEEN SO BLUNT.AND AS A SOYBEAN FARMER, WE'D LIKE TO SEE TRADE, NOT AID," THE SURVEY ALSO SHOWING MORE THAN ONE-FIFTH OF BANK CEOS SUPPORT RAISING THE FEDERAL RESERVE  INTEREST RATES TWO OR MORE TIMES IN 2018.

CHINA SLASHING OTHER TARIFF RATES
CHINA IS PLANNING ON SLASHING TARIFF RATES WITH MAJORITY OF ITS OTHER TRADING PARTNERS AS   TRADE TURMOIL DEEPENS WITH THE UNITED STATES.  ACCORDING TO BLOOMBERG, CHINA'S TARIFF CUT ON  IMPORTS COULD HAPPEN AS SOON AS NEXT MONTH. IT'S AN EFFORT TO STIMULATE DOMESTIC  CONSUMPTION SINCE A LOWER COST ON SOME  IMPORTED GOODS IS EXPECTED TO HELP.  BLOOMBERG SAYING ANY REDUCTION OF TARIFFS  USUALLY MUST BE OFFERED TO ALL COUNTRIES  EQUALLY UNDER WORLD TRADE ORGANIZATION RULES.  IT'S NOT KNOWN HOW THE PLANNED REDUCTION  WOULD IMPACT IMPORTS FROM THE U.S.  

AFRICAN SWINE FEVER
SPEAKING OF CHINA,  THE COUNTRY IS EXPERIENCING A BIG DROP TO ITS  DOMESTIC HOG HERD. ACCORDING TO REUTERS,  THE MINISTRY OF AG AND RURAL AFFAIRS SAYING CHINA'S SOW HERD HAS FALLEN IN AUGUST BY 4-POINT- 8 PERCENT FROM A YEAR EARLIER.  THE SOW HERD DECLINED JUST OVER ONE PERCENT  FROM THE MONTH PRIOR.  ONE MAJOR REASON FOR THE HERD DECLINE IN CHINA  IS DUE TO FOREIGN ANIMAL DISEASE OUTBREAKS.  CHINA DISCOVERING MORE THAN A DOZEN OUTBREAKS  OF AFRICAN SWINE FEVER IN ITS HERD SINCE AUGUST.  IT'S PUTTING THE U.S. HOG INDUSTRY ON HIGH ALERT  WITH INDUSTRY LEADERS SAYING ANY DISEASE OUTBREAK IN THE U.S. WOULD CRIPPLE THE U.S.  EXPORT MARKET.  

U.S. PORK
THE U.S. PORK INDUSTRY FEELING PAIN, AFTER MEXICO  AND CHINA SLAPPED RETALIATORY TARIFFS ON A TOTAL  OF 90 PERCENT ON U.S. HOG PRODUCTS. <"WE WERE THE FIRST ONES TO TAKE THE TARIFFS BACK IN APRIL WHEN  CHINA PUT IT ON. WE WERE THE FIRST ONES TO TAKE IT WHEN CAME ALONG."> BUT NOW THE INDUSTRY IS THREATENED WITH  ANOTHER SET OF PROBLEMS OUT OF ITS CONTROL -  THEY CALL IT THE BIG THREE -  FOOT AND MOUTH DISEASE  CLASSICAL SWINE FEVER   AND AFRICAN SWINE FEVER  FOREIGN ANIMAL DISEASES WHICH HAVE BEEN  DISCOVERED IN CHINA, JAPAN AND BELGIUM SINCE  AUGUST.  NO FOOD SAFETY IMPLICATIONS FOR HUMANS BUT  DEADLY FOR HOGS.. AND STRIKING FEAR IN THE  MARKETS.  <"IF ANY OF THOSE THREE ENTER THE U.S. SWINE HERD, ALL EXPORTS  WOULD BE STOPPED FOR THE ENTIRE U.S. PRODUCT."<"SORES IN THE SKIN, PURPLE EARS, (COULD TAKE OUT MIDDLE) IT'S  REALLY DRAMATIC."> WHILE ALL THREE ARE A CONCERN TO THE INDUSTRY A LOT OF ATTENTION IS FOCUSED ON AFRICAN SWINE FEVER  THAT'S BECAUSE IT'S FOUND IN CHINA, A WORRY FOR  THE UNITED STATES SINCE CHINA MAKES UP ROUGHLY  50 PERCENT OF THE WORLD'S SWINE POPULATION. <"WE'VE HAD SOME PROJECTIONS. IF WE LOSE ALL OF OUR PORK MARKET  OVERNIGHT, THEN YOU'D EXPECT TO SEE A 45 PERCENT DECLINE TO LIVE  HOG PRICES, THAT'S BECAUSE WE HAVE TO GET AMERICANS TO EAT 25  TO 30 PERCENT MORE PORK. 24,"> THE OVERSEAS OUTBREAKS ADDS URGENCY TO  REQUESTS U.S. LIVESTOCK GROUPS HAVE TO BEEF UP  GOVERMENT ACTION PLANS AGAINST FOREIGN ANIMAL  DISEASES AND NOT JUST FOR AFRICAN SWINE FEVER.  


NPPC FOR FMD BANK
NPPC IS ASKING FOR FUNDING IN THE NEXT FARM BILL  FOR RESEARCH AND BLOCK GRANTS FOR STATE  AGENCIES TO PREPARE FOR POTENTIAL DISEASE  EMERGENCIES. THEY'RE ASKING FOR A FOOT AND  MOUTH DISEASE VACCINE BANK- THAT HASN'T CHANGED  DESPITE THE AFRICAN SWINE FEVER OUTBREAK.  <" THE ASK AND REQUEST HAS NO CHANGE ON NPPC'S POSITION FOR FOOT AND MOUTH VACCINE BECAUSE THAT'S A VERY IMPORTANT TOOL  IN THE CONTROL AND ELIMINATION OF FOOT AND MOUTH IF THAT WERE TO  EVER ENTER THE NATIONAL U.S. SWINE HERD."> WHILE THERE ARE VACCINES FOR FMD, THERE ARE NOT  ANY DEVELOPED FOR AFRICAN SWINE FEVER. <"ME ON ZOOM: DO WE KNOW HOW LONG THAT WOULD TAKE TO  TRADITIONALLY MAKE A VACCINE? 29 UNKNOWN AT THIS TIME BECAUSE THEY'VE ATTEMPTED FOR NEARLY DECADES NOW IN THE CASE OF AFRICAN  SWINE FEVER,"> MERCK- A LEADER  IN DEVELOPING VACCINES TELLING AGDAY VIA EMAIL  QUOTE- WE HAVE LOOKED INTO THE OPPORTUNITY BUT  AT THIS TIME WE HAVE NOT FOUND ANY VIABLE  CANDIDATES THAT COULD PREVENT THE DISEASE.  YET, WHEN IT COMES TO PRICE, HAYES SAY U.S. HOG PRICES COULD CONTINUE TO SEE A BOOST IF THE  OUTBREAKS CONTINUE OVERSEAS, EVEN IF CHINA ISN'T  IMPORTING FROM THE UNITED STATES.  <"IF THE OUTBREAK IS AS BAD AS SOME INDICATED THEN THEY WILL BE SCARCE ON PORK AND THEY WILL IMPORT MORE, EVEN IF IT DOESN'T COME  FROM US, WE WILL SEE SOME OF THE BENEFIT."> BUT HAYES RECOGNIZES TRADE WOES PLAY A ROLE  TOO. <" 13:54 THE ONLY PRODUCT WE ARE SHIPPING TO CHINA CURRENTLY ARE  INTESTINES. BUT THEY DO ADD VALUE. SO, WE COULD TAKE ANOTHER 2  DOLLAR HIT IF WE LOSE THAT EXPORT OPPORTUNITY."> TRADE AND DISEASE ANXIETY.. THE INDUSTRY HOPES WILL BE RESOLVED SO THEY CAN HAVE A SENSE OF RELIEF TOO.  IT'S UNKNOWN HOW THE DISEASE IS SPREADING THOUSANDS OF MILES THROUGH EUROPE AND CHINA AND IF IT WOULD EVEN ARRIVE IN THE STATES.HOWEVER,  THE FDA, USDA AND NPPC - ALONG WITH OTHER  ORGANIZATIONS- ARE TRYING TO MONITOR ANIMAL  ADDITIVES AND INGREDIENTS IN IMPORTED FEED. THE PROBLEM IS - IT'S HARD TO TEST FOOD AND  DETERMINE IF IT'S CONTAMINATED.

CARGILL RECALL
MEANWHILE,  CARGILL IS RECALLING SOME GROUND BEEF PRODUCTS  DUE TO POSSIBLE E. COLI CONTAMINIATION.  THE COMPANY RECALLING ROUGHLY 132-THOUSAND  POUNDS OF GROUND BEEF WHICH MAY BE  CONTAMINATED BY E-COLI.  THE MEAT WAS PRODUCED AND PACKAGED MID-JUNE.  OFFICIALS SAY IT AFFECTS 12 DIFFERENT CARGILL PRODUCTS.  

HURRICANE FLORENCE IMPACTS
RESCUES ARE STILL OCCURING IN THE CAROLINAS THIS  MORNING. BUT EVEN THOUGH FLORENCE HAS LEFT,   THERE'S A RE-NEWED CALL TO EXAMINE THE  HURRICANE RATING SYSTEM AS SOME STORM VICTIMS  SAY IT DOES NOT ADEQUATELY ACCOUNT FOR  RAINFALL. AS HURRICANE FLORENCE PUSHED ACROSS OPEN  WATER IT WAS RATED A CATEGORY 4 STORM. BUT AS IT DREW CLOSER TO LAND ITS RANKING  DROPPED TO CATEGORY TWO...AND THEN ONE AS IT  MADE LANDFALL. WITH A LESSER INTENSITY ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON  SCALE, SOME RESIDENTS DECIDED TO RIDE OUT THE STORM. STORMS ARE CATEGORIZED BY WIND STRENGTH. WHILE  THE WINDS WERE DIMINISHED, THE RAINFALL DID NOT.  AND NOW RECORD-SETTING FLOODING COVERS CITIES  LIKE WILMINGTON AND NEW BERN. SEVERAL METEOROLOGISTS AND DISASTER EXPERTS SAY SOMETHING NEEDS TO CHANGE OR AT LEAST ADD  TO THE SCALE TO REFLECT THE REAL RISKS IN  HURRICANES.  <MARSHALL SHEPHERD, UNIVERSITY OF GEORGIA METEOROLOGY  PROFESSOR: "THERE'S A SIGNIFICANT DANGER IN FOCUSING TOO MUCH ON CATEGORY  WITH STORMS LIKE HURRICANE FLORENCE OR HARVEY. THE IMPACTS OF  THOSE STORMS ARE MUCH BROADER THAN WINDSPEED BUT YET THAT'S WHAT THE CATEGORIES IN THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE GIVE US. WE  NEED TO HAVE A WAY OF CONVEYING THE IMPACTS OF THE STORM:  RAINFALL, SURGE AND TORNADOES, NOT JUST THE WIND." > <MARSHALL SHEPHERD, UNIVERSITY OF GEORGIA METEOROLOGY  PROFESSOR: "ALL YOU HAVE TO DO IS THINK ABOUT HURRICANE SANDY, HURRICANE  HARVEY, NOW HURRICANE FLORENCE. NEITHER OF THESE STORMS WERE  REALLY ABOVE CATEGORY 1 WHEN THEY DID THEIR MOST DAMAGE. OF COURSE, HARVEY WAS A CAT 4 AT LANDFALL, BUT MOST OF THAT RAIN FELL  IN HOUSTON WHEN IT WAS A TROPICAL STORM." > THE FIVE HURRICANE CATEGORIES ARE BEING  MEASURED THROUGH THE 47 YEAR-OLD SAFFIR  SIMPSON SCALE. ONCE A STORM HITS 74 MPH  IS CONSIDERED A  CATEGORY 1 HURRICANE. IT RATCHETS UP UNTIL IT  REACHES THE TOP-OF-THE-SCALE CATEGORY 5 AT 157 MPH.BUT IN CASES LIKE FLORENCE, HARVEY, SANDY IN 2012,  MANY EXPERTS SAY THE SCALE DIDN'T QUITE TELL THE  STORY BECAUSE IT FOCUSED ON WIND NOT WATER.  

CROP COMMENTS
THE WESTERN CORN BELT RECEIVING AN UNWANTED VISITOR - AND THAT'S RAIN. MOISTURE POUNDING THE  REGION, COMING AT THE WORST TIME DURING HARVEST.  CINDI CLAWSON HAS AN UPDATE IN CROP COMMENTS.  RAIN PLUMMETING PORTIONS OF SOUTH DAKOTA.  THESE PICTURES ACTUALLY COMING FROM BETSY'S  DAD - JIM - IN THE SOUTHEAST CORNER OF THE STATE. JIM DOESN'T KNOW HOW MUCH RAIN HE HAS RECEIVED  SINCE WATER IS OVERFLOWING IN THE RAIN GAUGE. HE  BELIEVES HE'S RECEIVED 7 INCHES IN 36 HOURS.  HE'S MOSTLY WORRIED ABOUT CHASING CATTLE TO  HIGHER GROUND.  AND SHANNON OVER IN ROLFE, IOWA SENDING US A  PICTURE FROM THE AREA. SHANNON SAYING HER  BROTHER IN LAW WAS IN THE WATER YESTERDAY  RESCUING HORSES FROM THE FLOODED PASTURE.  LET'S TAKE A LOOK AT THE WIND FORECAST AS WE HEAD THROUGH THE DAY TODAY. WE'RE GOING TO HAVE A FRONTAL BOUNDARY DRIPPED FROM  THE NORTHEAST ALL THE WAY BACK INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND THAT  WILL BE THE FOCUS OF WHERE THE HEAVIER WINDS WILL BE ESPECIALLY  OVER IN THE GREAT LAKES AREA AS WE HEAD INTO THE OVERNIGHT  HOURS. WE'LL SEE THAT CONTINUING INTO THE NORTHEASTERN UNITED STATES BUT WE WILL SEE THE WINDS PICKING UP IN PARTS OF THE PLAINS  AND INTO THE ROCKIES AS WE HEAD INTO OUR SATURDAY. THAT'S A  LOOK AT YOUR NATIONAL FORECAST WE'RE GOING HAVE MORE COMING UP FOR YOU IN JUST A FEW MINUTES. BUT FOR NOW HERE ARE SOME  HOMETOWN TEMPS. 

TEASE
COMING UP -  HOW MUCH OF A HIT WILL DRYLAND COTTON SUFFER IN  TEXAS? TYNE MORGAN DISCUSSES IN ANALYSIS.  WHY ONE AGRONOMISTS SAYS 'LET YOUR EARS DO THE TALKING' AND NOT GETTING 'CATFISHED' WITH CATFISH  LABELING. 

AGRIBUSINESS
USDA SAYING IN ITS LAST CROP PRODUCTION REPORT, THE ALL COTTON PRODUCTION IS DOWN FROM LAST  YEAR AND YIELD IS EXPECTED TO BE TOO.  WITH DRYNESS IN TEXAS, HOW MANY ACRES COULD BE  ABANDONED?  TYNE MORGAN HEADS TO THE STATE TO FIND OUT.  INTERNATIONAL CENTER FOR COMPETITIVE COMPETITIVENESS. DARYN  LET'S TALK ABOUT COTTON YOU KNOW HERE WE'RE SETTING IN LUBBOCK  TEXAS. WE KNOW HOW VITAL COTTON IS HERE. BUT WE'VE SEEN COTTON  PRICES KIND OF RETREAT OFF THE HIGHS WE SAW IN MID MAY. WHAT ARE WE SEEN PRESSURE COTTON PRICES AT THIS POINT. WELL I THINK THERE'S  THERE'S TWO THINGS ONE OF THEM IS THERE WAS AFTER AFTER PLANTING  TIME IT DIDN'T LOOK AS BAD AS PEOPLE THOUGHT IT WAS GOING TO BE. SO THERE WAS SOME ADDED PRODUCTION IN THE SYSTEM THAT PEOPLE  WERE THINKING ABOUT. SO THAT BACK THAT OFF BUT THEN WE'VE ALSO  SEEN SOME PRETTY RAPID CURRENCY DEPRECIATIONS BOTH IN CUSTOMERS LIKE TURKEY AND COMPETITORS LIKE BRAZIL AND INDIA AND  THOSE THAT PUT PRESSURE ON US PRICES AS WELL BUT THEY'VE HELD UP  RELATIVELY WELL CONSIDERING WHERE WE AT. OH YEAH 80 CENTS ISN'T BAD. NOT NOT WHATSOEVER BUT IT'S NOT THE HIGHS THAT WE SAW. NO.  BUT WE KNOW THE STRUGGLES HERE IN WEST TEXAS WHERE WE  PRODUCE A LOT OF COTTON SETTING AROUND THIS LUBBOCK AREA. SO DO  YOU EXPECT I MEAN WE KNOW THAT ABANDONMENT IS HIGH. HOW  MUCH ABANDONMENT COULD WE SEE ON THOSE DRYLAND ACRES. WELL I THINK SOME OF THE DRYLAND ACRES ESPECIALLY FROM SORT OF PLAINVIEW  TEXAS SOUTH WE YOU KNOW WE COULD SEE AS HIGH AS 75 PERCENT IN  EACH COUNTY ABANDONMENT ON DRY LAND. IS THAT ACCOUNTED FOR IN  THE PRICE DO YOU THINK THE MARKET REALIZES HOW BAD HOW BAD  FARMERS HAVE STRUGGLED TO. I MEAN I THINK THERE IS SOME OF THAT I THINK THAT'S WHAT'S GIVING US A LITTLE BIT OF SUPPORT WHEN WE'VE  FACED SOME PRETTY STRONG HEADWINDS BUT I DO THINK AT THE END OF  THE DAY YOU KNOW THERE MAY BE SOME SURPRISES LEFT LEFT IN THE MARKET BEFORE IT'S ALL SAID AND DONE DEMAND'S BEEN GOOD. AND  WHEN YOU LOOK AT DEMAND FOR OTHER CROPS YOU KNOW CHINA IS NOT  COMING TO THE TABLE TO BUY. BUT ARE WE SEEING CHINA BYU.S. COTTON CHINA CHINA IS BUYINGU.S. COTTON CERTAINLY NOT AT THE RATE  IT WAS. I MEAN THE TARIFFS HAVE TAKEN A BITE OUT OF YOU KNOW THEIR  WILLINGNESS TO BUY. THEY ARE BUYING FORWARD INTO THE END THE 19  CROP YEAR. BUT OTHER COUNTRIES HAVE STEPPED UP TO THE TABLE A  BIT. YES. WHAT OTHER COUNTRIES HAVE STEPPED UP TO THE TABLE WE'RE REALLY WE'RE SEEING THAT DEMAND SIDE OF COTTON RIGHT NOW  HOLD VERY STRONG. YEAH IT'S YOU KNOW A LOT OF THE TEXTILE  PROCESSORS MOVED TO SOUTHEAST ASIA. SO VIETNAM IS NOW THE LARGEST CONSUMER OFU.S. COTTON BUT ALSO CAMBODIA THAILAND  INDONESIA PLACES LIKE THAT WERE LOSING TURKEY AT THIS POINT  BECAUSE OF THE CURRENCY ISSUES. THAT'S A LITTLE BIT TROUBLESOME AND I'M NOT SURE THAT ONE'S YET BAKED INTO THE INTO THE PIE THAT  ONE THAT ONE COULD CAUSE US A LITTLE BIT OF PRESSURE ON PRICES. SO  WHERE WE SIT TODAY HEADING INTO THIS FALL DO YOU THINK WE COULD  SEE COTTON PRICES FALL. OR DO YOU THINK MAYBE WE'LL FIND EVEN  MORE SUPPORT HERE IN THE WEEKS AHEAD. I THINK IF IF THE CURRENCIES MOVE IN THE RIGHT DIRECTION THE TURKISH CENTRAL BANK ANNOUNCED  RAISING INTEREST RATES SO THEIR CURRENCY APPRECIATED. AND SO THAT  WILL THAT WILL HELP BUOY THAT DEMAND A LITTLE BIT. SO AS LONG AS WE  DON'T GET THE BAD NEWS I THINK WE'RE IN DECENT SHAPE GOING  FORWARD EVERYTHING ELSE IS BAKED IN THE PILE. SO HOPEFULLY WE'LL GET SOME GOOD NEWS OR GO THE RIGHT DIRECTION. YEAH DAN THANK  YOU SO MUCH I APPRECIATE IT. STAY WITH US WE NEED TO TAKE A  QUICK BREAK AND THEN WE'LL BE RIGHT BACK WITH MORE ON. 0> 

WEATHER
<WELCOME BACK TO AGDAY. WE'LL START YOU OFF THIS MORNING WITH A  LOOK AT THE LATESTU.S. DROUGHT MONITOR AND IT CONTINUES TO BE BAD  NEWS FOR AREAS WEST OF THE MISSISSIPPI. MISSOURI STILL DEALING WITH MUCH OF THE STATE IN GETTING INTO EXTREME AND EVEN EXCEPTIONAL  DROUGHT FOUR CORNERS REGION BY FAR THE WORST BUT MUCH OF THE  WEST UNITED STATES STILL VERY VERY DRY. WE HAVE SOME DRY  POCKETS IN THE NORTHEAST AND SOUTHEAST AS WELL. HERE'S WHAT'S  GOING ON TODAY. THE MAIN WEATHER MAKER IS GOING TO BE THIS  FRONT RIGHT HERE DRIPPED FROM THE GREAT LAKES ALL THE WAY BACK DOWN INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. THAT'S GOING TO BRING SHOWERS  AND SOME THUNDERSTORMS HEADING INTO OUR FRIDAY THROUGH THE  DAY WILL SEE THAT LOW PUSHING OFF TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST WITH THE FRONT TRAILING WITH FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THERE. HIGH  PRESSURE AND COOLER TEMPERATURES SETTLE IN BEHIND THE FRONT SO  THAT'S GOING TO BE AFFECTING MUCH OF THE CORN BELT AS WE GET INTO THE NEXT DAY AND A HALF. BUT WE'VE GOT TO GET THAT FRONT THROUGH  FIRST. HERE'S FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING COULD SEE THAT  EASTWARD PORCHE. WE'RE GOING TO LOOK AT THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME PRETTY HEAVY RAINFALL THOUGH IN PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS.  SECONDARY FRONT BRINGING SOME SHOWERS MAYBE EVEN A FEW  FLAKES RIGHT ALONG THEU.S. CANADIAN BORDER THERE WITH SOME  COOLER TEMPERATURES AND THEN AS WE HEAD THROUGH THE DAY ON  SATURDAY WE'LL SEE THAT HIGH PUSHING OFF TO THE EAST. RAIN  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS STILL IN THE SOUTHEAST UNITED STATES  AND WE'LL KEEP AN EYE ON THAT FRONT. THAT'S RIGHT ALONG THE  CANADIAN BORDER. ALL RIGHT. HERE'S A LOOK AT THE PRECIPITATION THE  PAST 24 HOURS HAS BEEN WET IN THE UPPER MIDWEST IN THE GREAT LAKES AS WE ADD IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS YOU CAN SEE THE  MOVEMENT OF THAT FRONT AND YOU CAN SEE THE HEAVY RAIN WE ARE  EXPECTING IN PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS ARKANSAS OKLAHOMA TEXAS LOOKING AT SOME VERY HEAVY RAINFALL. ALSO AS WE GET INTO  THE GREAT LAKES AND MOVING ON OFF TO THE EAST. TEMPERATURE  WISE WE'RE GOING TO SEE BIG CHANGES OUT ON THE BACKSIDE OF THAT FRONT. RIGHT NOW WE'RE GOING TO BE SEEING TEMPERATURES ONLY IN  THE 50S FOR HIGHS TODAY IN THE UPPER MIDWEST BEHIND THE FRONT.  AHEAD OF THE FRONT WE'RE STILL PRETTY WARM AND MUGGY 80S AND EVEN SOME 90S THERE. HEADING INTO TONIGHT WE'RE GOING TO SEE  THAT FRONT CONTINUE ITS EASTWARD PUSH FOR LOWS IN THE 40S IN THE  UPPER MIDWEST 60S KIND OF AROUND THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY STILL SOME MUGGY 70S IN THE SOUTHERN PARTS OF THE UNITED STATES BUT  TOMORROW WE SEE THOSE 60S COME EVEN FURTHER INTO THE CORN  BELT. SO WE'RE GOING TO SEE A COOLER WEEKEND FOR A LOT OF AREAS ESPECIALLY IN THE NATION'S MIDSECTION. THAT'S A LOOK AT YOUR  NATIONAL FORECAST. NOW LET'S CHECK OUT THE WEATHER WHERE YOU  LIVE. POCATELLO IDAHO SUNNY AND WARMER TODAY WITH A HIGH TEMPERATURE OF 78 DEGREES. ENID OKLAHOMA. SHOWERS AND  THUNDERSTORMS. HEAVY RAIN WITH FALLING TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE  DAY IN AKRON OHIO. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AND A BREEZY DAY WITH A HIGH OF 88. 0> 

TEASE
COMING UP - FARM JOURNAL AGRONOMIST MISSY BAUER JOINS US - SHE SHARES HOW EAR COUNTS AND  YIELD AREN'T THE ONLY DATE-A YOUR EARS WILL TELL  YOU.  WHEN GOING TO A RESTURANT, DO YOU KNOW WHAT  YOU ACTUALLY ORDERED?  SOME RESTURANTS IN LOUSIANA ARE TRYING TO  CHANGE THE RULES.  STAY WITH US. 

FARM JOURNAL COLLEGE TV
IF YOU'RE NOT IN THE COMBINE YET, CHANCES ARE YOU'RE TAKING SOME LAST MINUTE YIELD SAMPLES.  BUT IN THIS MORNING'S FARM JOURNAL COLLEGE -  AGRONOMIST MISSY BAUER POINTS OUT HOW THE EARS  CAN SHOW MUCH MORE THAN YIELD, BUT NITROGEN  DEFICIENCY.  <0YOU KNOW I KIND OF SAY LET YOUR EARS TALK TO YOU. SO WE DO A  LOT OF WORK THIS TIME YOU'RE HEADING OUT TO THE FIELD BEFORE HARVEST AND DO OUR FINAL STAND AND EAR COUNTS BUT WE'RE OUT  THERE DOING THAT LOOK FOR CERTAIN THINGS ON YOUR EARS TO MAYBE  TELL YOU AT WHAT POINT DURING THE SEASON DID IT GO UNDER UNDERGO STRESS AS FAR AS ITS GROWING GROWTH STAGE. SO I GOT QUITE A FEW  EXAMPLES HERE WHERE THIS KIND OF GO THROUGH IN THESE EXAMPLES  HERE WHAT I'M LOOKING AT. WE'VE ACTUALLY RAN INTO SOME NITROGEN DEFICIENCY. BUT WHEN I LOOK AT THESE EARS I CAN TELL THAT BECAUSE  PART OF WHAT WE'RE DOING WITH NITROGEN IS REALLY TRYING TO GET THAT  TIP FILL HERE AT THE END OF THE SEASON ON KERNEL WAY. SO THE SIZE  OF THE KERNELSETC. BUT IF I LOOK AT THESE EARS HERE I CAN TELL FROM  THESE EARS BECAUSE I HAVE A SHORTER COB THAT I ACTUALLY RAN OUT  OF NITROGEN HERE MUCH EARLIER IN THE SEASON SO I STARTED RUNNING  IN NITROGEN ISSUES BEFORE I EVEN GOT TO TASLEEM TIME. OK. OKAY. SO THOSE EARLY SEASON. YEAH. AGAIN WHY. BECAUSE I CAN SEE IT'S  A SHORT CAB ALONG WITH THE SMALL EAR. RIGHT NOW IF WE LOOK AT THIS  YEAR HERE I CAN TELL THAT THIS HAD NITROGEN DEFICIENCY LATER IN THE  SEASON. WHY. BECAUSE I HAVE A FULL SIZE COB HERE. IN WHAT I'VE  ACTUALLY LOST. WHAT I WOULD CALL THE TIP FILL. SO I RAN OUT AND LATE IN  THE SEASON AS I GOT INTO THAT BLISTER STAGE AND INTO EARLY MILK I  ACTUALLY ABORTED THESE KERNELS I POLLINATED BUT I LOST THE KERNELS  AFTER POLLINATION TIME BECAUSE I DIDN'T HAVE ENOUGH NITROGEN  HERE. THAT'S DIFFERENT THAN WHAT I HAVE OVER HERE. I HAVE FOUR EARS FULL SIZE COBS NO KERNEL ABORTION ALL THE WAY FILLED ALL THE  WAY. SURE. EXACTLY. SO JUST LOOKING AT THE EARS SO THIS IS ALL  DEALING WITH SOME NITROGEN STUFF. BUT I CAN TELL IF IT AFFECTED ME  KIND OF EARLY IN THE SEASON AND STAYED THROUGH IT WAS JUST  SOMETHING I'D RAN OUT AT THE TAIL END. OBVIOUSLY THE IMPACT HERE IS MUCH GREATER THAN IT IS HERE ON YIELDS. > 

TEASE
HOW DO YOU KNOW IF THAT FISH YOU ORDERED ACTUALLY IS CATFISH AND NOT SOME IMITATION? WE'LL SHOW YOU WHAT ONE STATE IS DOING TO  VERIFY. 

IN THE COUNTRY
CATFISH IS A POPULAR INGREDIENT IN MANY FISH RECIPES. BUT WHEN ORDERING IT, HOW CAN YOU BE  SURE YOU ARE GETTING WHAT YOU ASKED FOR? EFFORTS ARE UNDERWAY IN LOUISIANA TO MAKE SURE RESTAURANTS AND MARKETS ARE CORRECTLY LABELLING ONLY DOMESTIC CATFISH AS CATFISH. LSU  AGCENTER'S CRAIG GAUTREAUX HAS THIS REPORT. CATFISH ARE SKINNED, FILLETED AND PACKAGED AT FRESHWATER  SEAFOOD MARKET, JUST INSIDE THE CITY LIMITS OF LOUREAVILLE.  REGULATIONS STATE ONLY CATFISH NATIVE TO NORTH AMERICA CAN BE CALLED CATFISH, BUT THERE HAVE BEEN SOME INCIDENCES OF OTHER  SPECIES BEING SOLD AS CATFISH IN RESTAURANTS ACROSS THE STATE.  THOMAS HYMEL: WHEN A CUSTOMER GOES TO A RESTAURANT, AND  THEY SEE CATFISH, THEY'RE EXPECTING IT IS A DOMESTIC CATFISH. AND  LEGALLY, THAT'S WHAT IT HAS TO BE. NARRATOR: FRESHWATER MARKET PROCESSES MOSTLY WILD-CAUGHT BLUE  AND CHANNEL CATFISH. HYMEL BELIEVES IF MORE PEOPLE UNDERSTAND  THE LABELING OF CATFISH, THERE WILL BE A HIGHER DEMAND FOR DOMESTIC CATFISH. HYMEL: SO WE'RE HOPING NOW WE CAN REALLY EXPAND THE  PRODUCTION AND MARKET OF THESE WILD CATFISH, NOW THAT THEY ARE  NOT BEING CHALLENGED AS CATFISH BY THESE IMPORTED SPECIES. NARRATOR: IN 2016, THE U.S. DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE TOOK OVER  REGULATING THE CATFISH INDUSTRY FROM THE FOOD AND DRUG ADMINISTRATION, WHICH CREATED ANOTHER HURDLE FOR CATFISH  PROCESSORS. EVELYN WATTS: THE INSPECTION STANDARDS ARE HIGHER,  DOCUMENTATION, ESPECIALLY, IS MORE STRINGENT. THEY WERE REQUIRED TO DEVELOP PROTOCOLS, KEEP RECORDS. SO THAT WAS  PROBABLY ONE OF THE BIGGEST CHALLENGES THE INDUSTRY HAD TO FACE.  NARRATOR: WATTS, A FOOD SCIENTIST WITH THE LSU AGCENTER, DEVELOPED A CURRICULUM AND TRAINING PROGRAM TO GET PROCESSORS  IN LOUISIANA COMPLIANT WITH THE USDA STANDARDS TO REMAIN IN  BUSINESS. WATTS: THEY REALLY DON'T HAVE THOUSANDS OF DOLLARS TO PAY A  CONSULTANT TO HELP THEM IMPLEMENT AND DEVELOP A HAACP PLAN.  SO WITH THE SERVICE WE PROVIDE, ACTUALLY THEY HAVE THIS AT NO COST. NARRATOR:  IMPORTED FISH SIMILAR TO CATFISH HAVE COMMON NAMES SUCH AS SWAI, BASA AND TRA. WITH THE LSU AGCENTER, THIS IS  CRAIG GAUTREAUX REPORTING.  

CLOSE
THAT'S ALL THE TIME WE HAVE THIS MORNING. WE'RE GLAD YOU TUNED IN.  FOR ALL OF US AT AGDAY I'M BETSYJIBBEN. HAVE A  GREAT DAY.

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