AgDay Daily Recap -September 26, 2017

September 26, 2017 02:57 AM
 
AgDay

TODAY ON AGDAY
SEPTEMBER 26, 2017


HEADLINES
A HARVEST PROGRESS UPDATE AS THE CORN BELT WAVES GOODBYE TO A  SEPTEMBER HEAT WAVE. DROUGHT AND DRYNESS HAS NORTH DAKOTA RANCHERS HUSTLING TO  STOCKPILE HAY. IN AGRIBUSINESS...WHAT ABOUT SPRING WHEAT MARKETS. THE DAIRY REPORT AND PRICE PREDICTIONS. AND THE RETURN OF THE CONDOR TO THE WESTERN SKIES.  AGDAY - PRESENTED BY CHEVY SILVERADO. HIGH-STRENGTH STEEL FOR HIGH-STRENGTH DEPENDABILITY.

CROP PROGRESS
GOOD MORNING I'M CLINTON GRIFFITHS. HEAT SCORCHING MUCH OF THE CORN BELT THE LAST FEW DAYS BUT IS IT  ENOUGH TO DRY DOWN AND MATURE THE NATION'S CROPS?  AS WE MENTIONED ON CROP TOUR, EASTERN CORN BELT FARMERS NEEDING A  FEW EXTRA WEEKS TO GET CROPS TO MATURITY. IN INDIANA, SOME FARMERS WELCOMING THE WARM UP AS THOSE POCKETS AND PORTIONS OF FIELDS WERE REPLANTED SEVERAL TIMES OR LATE.  EVEN WITH THE HEAT, SIGNS OF A WET SPRING OR OTHER PROBLEMS STILL  "THE 80S WE'RE GETTING TODAY IS VERY VERY WELCOME. IF WE COULD HAVE 2 MORE WEEKS OF THIS  AND FROST IN NOVEMBER, WE'D BE ESTASTIC! WE'LL HAVE MORE FROM INDIANA FARMERS AND THEIR CROP CONDITIONS  TOMORROW MORNING AS BETSY JIBBEN KICKS OFF OUR WEEKLY I-80 HARVEST  TOUR.  DESPITE THE HEAT IN THE MIDWEST LAST WEEK, THE CROP PROGRESS SHOWING  DELAYS THROUGH-OUT THE CORN BELT...AND MUCH OF THE U-S FOR THAT  MATTER...AS FAR AS CORN HARVESTED. OVERALL 11-PERCENT IS HARVESTED, SIX POINTS BEHIND THE FIVE YEAR  AVERAGE. ALL FIVE STATES OF THE I-80 TOUR ARE BEHIND, MOST ARE SINGLE  DIGITS, BUT ILLINOIS CORN HARVEST IS 12 POINTS BEHIND. OF THE 18 STATES THAT "NASS" SURVEYS FOR CORN, ONLY TEXAS IS ACTUALLY AHEAD OF THE AVERAGE. AS FAR AS MATURITY - ILLINOIS, MINNESOTA AND WISCONSIN ARE ALL AT LEAST 20  POINTS BEHIND. SOYBEAN HARVEST REACHING TEN PERCENT, TWO POINTS BEHIND AVERAGE. 63-PERCENT OF THE SOY CROP IS DROPPING LEAVES, WHICH IS RIGHT ON PAR. LOOKING AT WINTER WHEAT 24-PERCENT IS PLANTED, FOUR POINTS BEHIND  AVERAGE. WITH JUST 14-PERCENT PLANTED, KANSAS IS SIX POINTS BEHIND.

DROUGHT IN NORTH DAKOTA
THIS YEAR'S DROUGHT IN THE NORTHERN PLAINS HAS MADE IT MUCH MORE  DIFFICULT - AND EXPENSIVE - FOR FARMERS TO BUILD-UP ENOUGH FEED TO GET  THEIR LIVESTOCK THROUGH WINTER. FORTUNATELY, WHAT SEEMS LIKE A CONSTANT STREAM OF SEMIS LOADED WITH  BALES OF HAY ARE MOVING THROUGH THE BARREN STATE. CLIFF NAYLOR FROM AGDAY AFFILIATE KFYR IN BISMARCK REPORTS ON THE  RUSH TO STOCKPILE HAY IN NORTH DAKOTA. A WAVE OF HAY HAS BEEN HEADING WEST THROUGH NORTH DAKOTA MOST OF THE SUMMER.  THE  SUPPLY LINE WILL CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE FALL AND WINTER. THOUSANDS OF TONS OF FEED ARE BEING HAULED INTO NORTH DAKOTA ON SEMIS FROM AS FAR AWAY  MINNESOTA, NEBRASKA, IOWA, KANSAS, AND WISCONSIN. FEED IS ALSO BEING TRUCKED IN FROM  EASTERN AREAS OF THE STATE. DOROTHY MESCHKE:  THERE'S NO HAY DOWN THERE TO BE HAD, EVERYONE YOU TALK TO, THEY'RE EITHER  PUTTING UP KOCHIA WEED, AND HAULING IT HOME OR PUTTING UP CROP, SO YES, THERE ARE A LOT OF  SEMIS THAT ARE HAULING IT IN. CENTRAL AND WESTERN NORTH DAKOTA RANCHERS HAVE STRUGGLED THROUGH EXCEPTIONAL, EXTREME  AND SEVERE DROUGHT CONDITIONS ALL SUMMER, LIMITING THE AMOUNT OF HAY THEY HAVE BEEN ABLE TO PUT UP. CARL MESCHKE:  WE HAVEN'T PUT UP ANY HAY. DOROTHY MESCHKE AND HER HUSBAND CARL RAISE 200 HEAD OF CATTLE IN THE SOUTHWEST CORNER OF  THE STATE NEAR AMIDON, THE AREA OF NORTH DAKOTA THAT'S BEEN HIT THE HARDEST BY DROUGHT.   THEY ARE HAULING HAY THEMSELVES TO CUT COSTS. CARL MESCHKE:  THIS IS EXCELLENT HAY, WE WERE VERY FORTUNATE TO FIND THIS.  WE FOUND OURS ON  THE HAY LINE. THE STATE AGRICULTURE DEPARTMENT SET UP A WEBSITE TO CONNECT PRODUCERS WHO NEED TO BUY  HAY WITH SELLERS.  THE INTERNET PAGE ALSO LISTS TRUCKERS WHO ARE HAULING HAY. THE MESCHKE'S ARE BUYING 300 TONS OF HAY AND TRUCKING IT 200 MILES.  THEY CAN ONLY STACK  15 BALES ON THEIR TRAILER, SO IT WILL TAKE 26 TRIPS TO GET THIS FEED HOME. CARL MESCHKE:  WE JUST HAVE TO BITE THE BULLET IF YOU DON'T WANT TO SELL YOUR CATTLE DOWN. THE GOING RATE TO HAVE HAY HAULED IS 140 TO 150 DOLLARS A TON.  DOROTHY MESCHKE:  IT SURE IS A LOT CHEAPER TO HAUL IT OURSELVES THAN PAYING A SEMI TO DO IT. DOROTHY WORKS AS A SUBSTITUTE TEACHER IN THE FALL, BUT SHE ISN'T TAKING ANY CLASSROOM ASSIGNMENTS UNTIL ALL THIS HAY IS HAULED HOME. I'M CLIFF NAYLOR REPORTING FOR AGDAY . NORTH DAKOTA FARMERS HAVEN'T HAD A BREAK ALL SUMMER - AND NOW FALL - FROM THE DROUGHT. LAST WEEK'S DROUGHT MONITOR SHOWS THE SLIGHTEST OF IMPROVEMENT IN  SOME CATEGORIES DUE TO SOME HEAVY RAINS IN WESTERN COUNTIES. BUT  THOSE DRY PASTURES AND PARCHED FIELDS WERE SIMPLY SHIFTED INTO A  LESSER INTENSITY OF DROUGHT.

CATTLE ON FEED REPORT
USDA RELEASING WHAT ANALYSTS ARE CALLING A BEARISH CATTLE ON FEED  LATE FRIDAY. MARKETS REACTING TO THE DOWN SIDE IN TRADE MONDAY. USDA COUNTING 10 POINT 5 MILLION HEAD IN AUGUST. THAT'S UP 4 PERCENT YEAR OVER YEAR. HOWEVER, PLACEMENT CATCHING ANALYSTS BY SURPRISE. MANY EXPECTING A DROP BUT USDA REPORTING PLACEMENTS UP 3  PERCENT...THE LARGEST FOR AN AUGUST SINCE 2012.  ANALYSTS SAY THAT WILL WEIGH HEAVILY ON MARKETS IN FIRST QUARTER OF  NEXT YEAR. MARKETINGS IN AUGUST WERE UP SIX PERCENT TO JUST UNDER 2 MILLION HEAD.

TYSON PLANT UPDATE
AN UPDATE NOW TO A STORY OUT OF KANSAS.  TYSON FOODS MAY BE CONSIDERING AS MANY AS 20 ALTERNATIVE SITES IN THE  STATE AFTER LEAVENWORTH COUNTY, WITHDREW PLANS TO ISSUE $500 MILLION  IN BONDS. THE MONEY FOR A PROPOSED POULTRY PROCESSING FACILITY THERE IN  NORTHWEST KANSAS.  STATE AG SECRETARY JACKIE MCCLASKEY SAYS THE OTHER 20 COMMUNITIES IN  KANSAS HAVE EXPRESSED INTEREST IN BECOMING THE NEW LOCATION FOR THE  $320 MILLION FACILITY.  SHE WORRIES THE STATE COULD LOSE OUT ON THE 16-HUNDRED JOBS.

NEW WOTUS RULE
WHILE EFFORTS CONTINUE TO DO-AWAY WITH THE MUCH-MALIGNED "WATERS OF  THE U-S" RULE, THE E-P-A IS WORKING ON A REPLACEMENT.  ACCORDING TO  POLITICO EPA ADMINISTRATOR SCOTT PRUITT SAYS HE HOPES TO PROPOSE A  NEW FORM OF THE "WOTUS" RULE IN EARLY 2018. EARLIER THIS SUMMER PRUITT ANNOUNCED HE HOPED TO HAVE ONE IN PLACE  BY THE END OF THE YEAR. THE WATERS OF THE U-S RULE WAS FIRST PUT IN THE REGULATORY BOOKS IN  2015. IT DETERMINES WHICH WATERWAYS ARE UNDER FEDERAL JURISDICTION  WHICH MANY FARM GROUPS THOUGHT WAS GOVERNMENT OVERREACH.

PUERTO RICO DISASTER
FOLKS IN PUERTO RICO CONTINUE TRY AND GET A HANDLE ON THE IMPACT OF  HURRICANE MARIA. FOLKS FACING HEAVY RAINS AND THREATS THAT A DAM COULD FAIL. 70-THOUSAND PEOPLE WERE IN DANGER AND ASKED TO EVACUATE. MEANWHILE, AGRICULTURE BIG BUSINESS IN PUERTO RICO. IT'S DEPARTMENT OF AG SAYS THE TERRITORY LOST 80 PERCENT OF IT'S CROP  VALUE IN THE STORM--LOSSES ARE NOW NEARING 800-MILLION DOLLARS IN THAT  INDUSTRY ALONE.

CROP COMMENTS
LATE PLANTING THIS SPRING MEANS SOME LATE CUTTING OF SILAGE. MIKE  HOFFMAN HAS DETAILS IN CROP COMMENTS. GOOD MORNING CLINTON. WE'LL BEGIN CROP COMMENTS IN FALLON, NEVADA. FARM JOURNAL COLLEAGUE  ANNA-LISA LACA <ON-UH LISA LAH-KUH> SENT THIS FROM HER FAMILYS' FARM  WHERE THEY'RE CHOPPING SILAGE. SHE SAYS THE FARM SITS AT 46-HUNDRED  FEET ABOVE SEA LEVEL IN SANDY SOILS. THEY IRRIGATE, AND HAVE COOL NIGHTS  EVEN THROUGH-OUT SUMMER. TO FIND THE RIGHT SILAGE FOR THEIR FARM,  THEY RUN THEIR OWN TEST PLOTS. ANNA-LISA COVERS THE DAIRY INDUSTRY FOR US. SHE SAYS FARMERS IN MANY  PARTS OF THE COUNTRY ARE GETTING A LATE START ON THEIR SILAGE BECAUSE  OF LATE MATURING CORN AND COOL WEATHER.. WE FOUND THE SAME THING IN NORTHEAST INDIANA WHERE THIS DAIRY  PRODUCER SAYS THEY'RE THREE WEEKS BEHIND. "PROBABLY ABOUT 2 AND A HALF TO 3 WEEKS BEHIND. OUR LATE CROPS LOOK FAIRLY GOOD SO THOSE  ARE PROMISING BUT OUR EARLY CROPS ARE NOT SO GOOD. WHAT DID MAKE ISN'T MAKING MUCH OF  ANYTHING. SO WE HAVE OUR FINGERS CROSSED THAT CORN SILAGE WILL BE FAIRLY DECENT FOR US,"OF COURSE THE LATER WE GET INTO SEPTEMBER, AND HEADING INTO OCTOBER,  FARMERS RUN THE RISK OF WET FALL WEATHER...FURTHER HAMPERING  EFFORTS TO GET SILAGE OUT OF THE FIELD. AND NOW HERE ARE SOME HOMETOWN TEMPS.

TEASE
THIS IS MACHINERY PETE - INVITING YOU TO CHECK OUT MY NEW WEBSITE - MACHINERYPETE.COM - OFFERING FARMERS TENS OF THOUSANDS OF USED EQUIPMENT LISTINGS TO SEARCH.  LET MACHINERY  PETE HELP YOU FIND AND VALUE YOUR NEXT PIECE OF USED EQUIPMENT. SPRING WHEAT WAS ONE OF THE HOTTEST MARKETS IN THE COUNTRY EARLIER  THIS YEAR. WHERE ARE PRICES NOW AND WHAT'S NEXT...WE'LL GET SOME ANSWERS AT THE  AGRIBUSINESS DESK COMING UP. AND LATER, THISE BIG BIRDS ARE ON A BIT TIME COMEBACK IN THE GOLDEN  STATE. AGDAY - BROUGHT TO YOU BY ILEVO SEED TREATMENT FROM BAYER. PROTECT YOUR SOYBEANS FROM  SDS AND NEMATODES THIS SEASON. 

FLOOR OF THE CME
IN AGRIBUSINESS GRAINS ENDING STRONG LAST-- SEEING THE RETURN ON RED  ON MONDAY.DETAILS FROM OUR FRIENDS ON THE FLOOR. WE'RE GOING TO TALK ABOUT SOYBEANS TODAY A COUPLE OF FACTORS THAT ARE GIVING THE MARKET SOME SHORT TERM WEAKNESS. WE SAW VERY STRONG CLOSE ON FRIDAY AND IMMEDIATELY COMING BACK AND COMING UNDER SOME PRESSURE TODAY. NUMBER ONE IS THAT HARVEST IS ON THE RISE. WE HAVE A LOT OF HIGH RISK ACTIVITY OVER THE WEEKEND. WE HAD HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN CORN BELT AND THAT'S ACCELERATING THE HARVEST QUITE DRY. WE SHOULD SEE INCREASING CASH MOVEMENT OVER THE NEAR TERM. DECEMBER CATTLE LIMIT DOWN TODAY ON MONDAY CATTLE ON FEEDREPORT WAS OUT ON FRIDAY AND THE NUMBER ONE BIG FACTOR FOR THE BREAK. THE NUMBERS CAME IN HIGHER THAN EXPECTED FOR PLACEMENTS. BUT WHAT REALLY HURT THE DECEMBER CONTRACT IS THAT FEEDER CATTLE THAT WERE EIGHT HUNDRED TO EIGHT HUNDRED AND NINETY NINE POUNDS A HEAVIER WEIGHT, FEEDER CATTLE GROUP THAT WAS UP 12 PERCENT FROM A YEAR AGO. THESE ARE CATTLE THAT ARE GOING TO BE DUE TO MARKET PROBABLY BEFORE THE END OF THE YEAR SO THIS REALLY PUT EXTRA PRESSURE ON THE DECEMBER CONTRACT. ON TOP OF THE OTHER FACTORS IN THE CATTLE ON FEED FEED REPORT WHICH WERE BEARISH.

AGRIBUSINESS
TOMMY GRISAFI ADVANCE TRADING OUR GUEST HERE AT AGRIBUSINESS DESK. TOMMY AS WE TALK  ABOUT SOME OF THE SPRING WHEAT MARKETS EARLIER THIS YEAR REALLY HOT. A REALLY HOT MARKET WHEN  WE HAD THAT DROUGHT GOING ON IN CROP CONDITIONS KEPT GOING DOWN. WHERE DO WE STAND  TODAY? WELL THE DROUGHT WAS REAL AND IT REALLY AFFECTED THINGS TREMENDOUSLY. SOME OF THE YIELDS ON  THE EASTERN PART OF THE STATE IN MINNESOTA WERE A LITTLE BETTER THAN EXPECTED. SOME OF THE  WEST WEREN'T NEARLY..THEY WERE BAD BUT THEY WEREN'T AS BAD. AND SO THE MARKET DID ITS JOB AS  IT WENT FROM 550 TO 850. SO YOU KNOW HEY BUY LESS WHEAT FROM US -- YOU'RE NOT GOING BUY  LESS WHEAT FROM US OR USE LESS-- WE'LL GET THE PRICE UP. IT'S KIND OF COME AND HURT US NOW  BECAUSE WHEN THE WHEAT SHOWED UP THE PRICE CAME DOWN AND THEN WE HAD THIS MONSTER  CALLED RUSSIA WHO PRODUCED JUST A RECORD BREAKING WHEAT CROP. SO ALL THE DISASTER WE HAD IN  AMERICA AND THIS IS WHERE THE AMERICAN FARMER SOMETIMES STRUGGLES IN MARKETING IS THAT  THEY SAY "YOU DON'T UNDERSTAND OUR WHEAT CROPS RUINED." I SAID YOU DON'T UNDERSTAND RUSSIA  HAS SO MUCH WHEAT THEY'RE SELLING IT CHEAPER THAN YOU ARE. AND SO WE WE HAD ALL THE ALL THE MIXTURE FOR A BULL MARKET AND WE DID IT WAS CRAZY BULL MARKET FOR A FEW MONTHS AND THEN IT ENDED AND NOW IT PROBABLY GOT CHEAPER AND WE REALIZED. DEC SPRING WHEAT WENT DOWN TO  6.10 6.15 THE DAY IT SENSE RALLIED. BUT YOU KNOW MAYBE WE GET BACK IN THAT $6.50 TO $7  RANGE. IS IT BETTER THAN WHERE WE WERE A YEAR AGO WHEN WE WERE $5.50. YES BUT NOT THAT  MUCH BETTER. AND SO WHEN YOUR YIELD GOES DOWN WHICH MOST GROWERS UP THERE THEIR YIELD  WENT DOWN AND THEN THE MARKET'S A DOLLAR HIGHER IT'S JUST EQUALING OUT. SO YEAH. SO AS YOU START TO LOOK INTO NEXT YEAR. WAS THERE ENOUGH RALLY THERE. DID PEOPLE  PLAN FAR ENOUGH AHEAD AT THAT TIME TO MAYBE KEEP SOME OF THESE ACRES OR ADD ACRES FOR  NEXT YEAR. THERE WAS A POINT WHEN THE WHEAT WAS UP AND YOU'RE LOOKING AT $7 DEC 17 OR DEC 18 SPRING  WHEAT. AND GUYS SAY I'M GOING TO PUT MORE WHEAT ACRES IN. BUT IF THEY DIDN'T SELL THAT WHEAT  THERE OR PROTECT IT THEY PROBABLY SAID YOU KNOW WHAT I MIGHT JUST PLANT MORE SOYBEANS NEXT  YEAR BECAUSE WHEAT SINCE COME DOWN. SO IF WHEAT GOES UP DURING THE WINTER OR AUSTRALIA  HAS A CHANCE OF NOT FINISHING UP WELL THEY'RE HAVING SOME WEIRD WEATHER DOWN THERE. BUT WE  HAVE THAT BIG MONSTER OVER THERE RUSSIA WILLING TO SELL THAT WHEAT AT AN AFFORDABLE PRICE. AND  WE DID SEE AN ACRE SHIFT IN ITS PROBABLY SHIFT IN BACK OUT. OK. WE'LL KEEP AN EYE ON IT. THANKS TOMMY. WE'LL BE BACK IN JUST A MINUTE. AGDAY WEATHER - BROUGHT TO YOU BY KAWASAKI AND THE NEW MULE PRO-FXR™ SIDE X  SIDE. RIDE LIKE A BOSS WITH HIGH-END STYLING AND RUGGED CAPABILITY.

WEATHER
WELCOME BACK TO AGDAY WITH METEOROLOGIST MIKE HOFFMAN. MIKE WHEN IS FALL COMING BACK?  SUMMER WAS NICE. WE ENJOYED SUMMER BUT NOW IT'S TIME FOR ANOTHER SEASON. WHEN'S THAT  SHOW UP? YEAH THE CORN BELT HAD A LATE SUMMER WHICH A LOT OF CASES WAS MORE SUMMER THAN IT HAD EARLIER. RIGHT. ALL SUMMER LONG BUT YEAH IT'S GOING TO BE COOLING DOWN IN THE ENTIRE  CORN BELT THE REST OF THIS WEEK AND IT'S BASICALLY THE COOLER AIR BEHIND THE COLD FRONT COMING  EASTWARD IT'S NOT EXACTLY BLASTING EAST BUT IT IS COMING EAST AND IT WILL COOL EVERYBODY BACK DOWN TO MORE TYPICAL NUMBERS FOR THIS TIME OF THE YEAR AT LEAST. LIKE I SAID THROUGH THE CORN  BELT. STILL WATCHING MARIA OFFSHORE IT'S GOING TO CAUSE SOME ISSUES ON THE OUTER BANKS OF  NORTH CAROLINA. BUT BASICALLY THIS ONE LOOKS LIKE IT'S GOING TO STAY OFFSHORE AND CONTINUE TO  WEAKEN AND THEN EVENTUALLY MOVE EASTWARD INTO THE ATLANTIC. SO LET'S PUT THE MAPS INTO  MOTION HIGH PRESSURE KIND OF MOVING SOUTHWARD NOW ACROSS THE TENNESSEE VALLEY. EXCUSE  ME AS THE COLD FRONT FROM THE WEST COMES IN IT'S KIND OF SHOVING IT THAT WAY. MARIA NOT MOVING TOO QUICK SO IT IS GOING TO CAUSE SOME HIGH WAVES AND SURF AND A LITTLE BIT OF RAIN  ALONG THE EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE COAST WITH CAROL AND NORTH CAROLINA. AND YOU CAN SEE  EVENTUALLY THAT WILL START TO MOVE EASTWARD. SO THE COLD FRONT DURING THE DAY TOMORROW WE'LL  SEE SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSHOWERS DEVELOP ALONG BUT THERE'S NOT A LOT OF MOISTURE TO BE  HAD HERE.  AS HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO KIND OF KEEPING A LOT OF THAT MOISTURE TO THE SOUTH. YOU CAN SEE SOME HIT AND MISS VARIETY THUNDERSTORMS ONCE AGAIN DEVELOPING IN PARTS  OF THE FOUR CORNER REGION. THERE'S THE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATE OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS ADDING  ON THE NEXT 36 YOU CAN SEE WE GET A LITTLE BIT MORE IN TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA. SOME OF THOSE  AREAS END UP WITH A FAIR AMOUNT OF RAIN OVER A TWO TWO OR THREE DAY PERIOD HERE JUST SOME  LIGHTER AMOUNTS ALONG THAT COLD FRONT IN PARTS OF THE OHIO VALLEY CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI VALLEY.  SNOWFALL IT'S ALL HIGHER ELEVATION AS YOU CAN SEE OUT WEST. NOT A LOT OF IT BUT EVEN INTO THE  MOUNTAINS OF COLORADO SEEING SOME OF THAT SNOW. THERE'S HIGH TEMPERATURES TODAY 80S AND  90S ALL THE WAY FROM THE GREAT LAKES INTO THE GULF COAST AREA 50S AND 60S BEHIND THE FRONT.  PRETTY QUICK CHANGE THERE BUT WITH THE FRONT NOT BLASTING EAST AS IT'S GOING TO BE A FEW AREAS  EACH DAY WE'LL SEE THAT BIG CHANGE LOWS TOMORROW MORNING IN THE 40S MAYBE EVEN UPPER  30S IN PARTS OF NORTH DAKOTA. STILL MUGGY IN THE SOUTHEAST STILL HOT AND HUMID THOUGH FROM  PENNSYLVANIA AND NEW YORK THROUGH THE SOUTHEAST DURING TOMORROW AFTERNOON. BUT TURNING  MORE TYPICAL ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS AND THAT'S ALL BECAUSE OF THIS TROUGH THAT KIND OF DIGS  IN A LITTLE BIT THEN IT DIGS IN A LITTLE BIT MORE BY THIS WEEKEND SO THAT COULD BE A CHILLY SHOT OF  AIR. AND IT LOOKS LIKE KIND OF THINGS ARE MOVING WEST TO EAST AS WE HEAD INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK  SO CHANGES COMING THROUGHOUT THAT TIME. THAT'S A LOOK ACROSS THE COUNTRY NOW LETS TAKE A LOOK AT SOME LOCAL FORECASTS. WE'LL HEAD OUT TO HOBBS NEW MEXICO FIRST OF ALL CLOUDY AND  COOLER SHOWERS AND A THUNDERSTORM IN SOME AREAS HIGH OF 69 MADISON WISCONSIN PARTLY  SUNNY THUNDERSTORM IN SOME AREAS AS WELL HIGH OF 83. AND FINALLY MACON GEORGIA SUNNY AND  VERY WARM HIGH 91. 

TEASE
WHEN WE COME BACK IT'S OUR DAIRY REPORT INCLUDING SOME EXPERT  EXPECTATIONS ON MILK MARKETS. AND LATER THE CALIFORNIA CONDOR WAS ON THE BRINK OF EXTINCTION...NOW  NUMBERS ARE SOARING...THAT STORY ON IN THE COUNTRY. AGDAY - BROUGHT TO YOU BY BALCHEM.  STANDING BESIDE YOU FOR 50 YEARS - BRINGING REAL  RESULTS TO THE DAIRY INDUSTRY.  NOW THROUGH THE REAL FACES OF DAIRY PROJECT, YOU CAN SHARE  YOUR STORY AT REALFACESOFDAIRY.COM.

DAIRY REPORT
THE DAIRY REPORT ON AGDAY IS BROUGHT TO YOU BY QLF.  FOR 40 YEARS, QLF HAS BEEN PROUD  TO SUPPORT AMERICAN FARMERS THAT FEED THE WORLD. FROM OUR PARTNERS AT MILK MAGAZINE AND DAIRY HERD MANAGEMENT,  STRONG MILK PRODUCTION NUMBERS AND SLOWING EXPORTS IS TUGGING ON  MILK PRICES.  ECONOMISTS TELLING EDITOR JIM DICKRELL THAT A CULMINATION OF LITTLE  THINGS ARE LIKELY TO TAKE A DOLLAR OFF OF MILK PRICES. THE ECONOMISTS NOW FORECASTING 17 DOLLAR CLASS THREE MILK IN THE  FOURTH QUARTER ON INTO 2018. ON THE PRODUCTION SIDE, DAIRY COW CULLING PICKED UP SPEED IN AUGUST. USDA SAYS CULLING ROSE NEARLY (8.7%) 9 PERCENT YEAR OVER YEAR...AND  WAS ALSO HIGHER THAN JULY. NEARLY 266,000 DAIRY COWS WENT TO SLAUGHTER IN AUGUST. AND FOR THE YEAR, CULLING IS UP ROUGHLY 80,000 COWS. RECORD MILK PRODUCTION IN NEW ZEALAND HAS LED THE NATION TO TRIPLE  THE AMOUNT OF IMPORTED U.S. DISTILLER'S DRIED GRAINS WITH SOLUBLES.  THE U.S. GRAINS COUNCIL REPORTING THAT THE 2017 MILK SUPPLY IN NEW  ZEALAND IS EXPECTED TO REACH NEARLY 22 MILLION TONS, BEATING A PRIOR  RECORD SET IN 2014. THE GRAINS COUNCIL SAYS GRAIN BUYERS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED  PURCHASES DUE TO LOCAL CROP FAILURES AND LOCAL MARKET LIMITATIONS.

TEASE
STILL TO COME, WE'LL HEAD TO THE DAIRY STATE OF CALIFORNIA WHERE THESE  BIG BIRDS ARE ONCE AGAIN ON THE RISE.

IN THE COUNTRY
IN THE COUNTRY - BROUGHT TO YOU BY KUBOTA.  SEE THE ALL-NEW KOMMANDER-PRO ZERO-TURN  MOWER AT KUBOTA.COM. THE ENDANGERED CALIFORNIA CONDOR IS MAKING A SLOW BUT STEADY  COMEBACK IN THE WILD THREE DECADES AFTER THE GIANT BIRD WENT NEARLY  EXTINCT. THERE ARE NOW ABOUT 450 CONDORS, INCLUDING ABOUT 270 IN THE  WILD - MOSTLY IN THE SOUTHWEST UNITED STATES. TERRY CHEA SHOWS US HOW THE RECOVERY EFFORTS TOOK FLIGHT. IN THE COASTAL MOUNTAINS OF CENTRAL CALIFORNIA, BIOLOGISTS CLOSELY  TRACK THE ACTIVITIES OF AN ENDANGERED ICON. THE CALIFORNIA CONDOR IS AMONG THE WORLD'S LARGEST BIRDS -- WITH  WINGSPANS REACHING 10 FEET. THE GIANT VULTURES ONCE PATROLLED THE SKIES FROM MEXICO TO CANADA,  BUT IN THE 20TH CENTURY THEY ALMOST WENT EXTINCT. KELLY SORENSON, EXECUTIVE  DIRECTOR, VENTANA WILDLIFE SOCIETY: "IT'S STILL ONE OF THE MOST CRITICALLY ENDANGERED SPECIES IN THE WORLD. HOWEVER, WE'VE BEEN ABLE TO INCREASE THE POPULATION FROM JUST 22 BIRDS IN 1982 TO  NOW SOMEWHERE AROUND 450." CONDORS ARE NOW REPRODUCING IN THE WILD AND  EXPANDING THEIR RANGE IN CALIFORNIA, ARIZONA, UTAH AND MEXICO.  BIOLOGISTS SAY THE BIGGEST THREAT IS LEAD AMMUNITION, WHICH CAN POISON  THE SCAVENGERS WHEN THEY EAT DEAD ANIMALS SHOT WITH LEAD BULLETS. TO  PROTECT CONDORS AND OTHER WILDLIFE, CALIFORNIA IS BANNING ON LEAD  AMMO FOR HUNTING STATEWIDE. THE VENTANA WILDLIFE SOCIETY GIVES AWAY COPPER BULLETS TO HUNTERS AND RANCHERS. SORENSON: "WE'RE ALREADY STARTING TO SEE FEWER LEAD DEATHS. THE CONDORS ARE SURVIVING  LONGER. THEIR BLOOD-LEAD LEVELS ARE COMING DOWN. SO IT'S VERY ENCOURAGING THAT WE'RE ON THE  RIGHT TRACK, AND THAT HUNTERS AND RANCHERS ARE PART OF THAT SOLUTION." THIS YEAR THE SAN DIEGO ZOO CELEBRATED THE BIRTH OF ITS 200TH CONDOR.  CHICKS LIVE HERE FOR ABOUT A YEAR AS THEY PREPARE FOR LIFE IN THE WILD.  MICHAEL MACE, CURATOR OF BIRDS, SAN DIEGO ZOO: "THAT CHICK DOES NOT SEE A HUMAN.  EVERYTHING IS DONE THROUGH A HAND PUPPET, OR A PARENT RAISING A CHICK. ALL THROUGH THAT  PROCESS THAT CHICK IS REINFORCED THAT IT'S A CONDOR AND NOT A HUMAN." THIS CONDOR SANCTUARY IN BIG SUR IS ONE OF SEVERAL SITES WHERE  CAPTIVE-BRED BIRDS ARE RELEASED. ABOUT 90 CONDORS NOW LIVE IN CENTRAL CALIFORNIA - SCAVENGING,  BREEDING AND RAISING CHICKS ON THEIR OWN.AMY LIST, BIOLOGIST, VENTANA WILDLIFE SOCIETY: "I HOPE THAT I'M OUT OF A JOB SOON BECAUSE  CONDORS DON'T NEED TO BE MANAGED IN THE FUTURE. I HOPE THAT THEY'RE SELF-SUSTAINING AND WILD  AND FREE, AND NOBODY NEEDS TO TRAP OR TAG OR MONITOR THEM AT ALL. THAT'S WHAT I HOPE." IT'S A HOPE THAT COULD BECOME REALITY IF CALIFORNIA CONDORS STAY ON  THEIR CURRENT FLIGHT PATH.  TERRY CHEA, ASSOCIATED PRESS, BIG SUR,  CALIFORNIA.

CLOSE
THAT'S ALL THE TIME WE HAVE THIS MORNING. WE'RE GLAD YOU TUNED IN.  FOR ALL OF US AT AGDAY I'M CLINTON GRIFFITHS. HAVE A GREAT DAY. 

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