AgDay Daily Recap - September 5, 2018

September 5, 2018 02:57 AM
 
AgDay

TODAY ON AGDAY
SEPTEMBER 5, 2018

HEADLINES

SIGN UPS FOR TRADE AID ARE NOW LIVE. THAT'S AS AG GROUPS STRESS THE TIMELINE FOR CALMING THE  TARIFF STORM. <M THE TIMETABLE IS VERY IMPROTANT TO US> THE TARIFF FALLOUT REACHING NEARLY EVERY  SECTOR OF AGRICULTURE...  <   "I'M MICHELLE ROOK.  WE'LL GET REACTION FROM THE COUNTRY TO THE  ON-GOING TRADE WAR AND NEW TRADE AID PACKAGE. "> IN AGRIBSUINESS, IS THE TRADE AID ENOUGH TO KEEP  FARMERS AFLOAT...  < IT ONLY COVERS ABOUT TWO BILLION BUSHELS OF BEANS AND WE'RE  WE'RE ALREADY PRODUCING OVER 4 BILLION BUSHEL BEANS> AND PRICES AREN'T SO SUPER - FOR THIS 'SUPER  FOOD'. AGDAY - BROUGHT TO YOU BY THE CHEVY SILVERADO, THE MOST  DEPENDABLE, LONGEST-LASTING FULL SIZE PICKUPS ON THE ROAD. 

TARIFF PAIN
GOOD MORNING I'M TYNE MORGAN. CLINTON GRIFFITHS IS ON ASSIGNMENT. AFTER MORE THAN A MONTH OF TALK AND DEBATE  OVER THE IMPACT OF TARIFFS TO FARMERS  BOTTOMLINE, THOSE ON THE FRONTLINES CAN NOW  SIGN UP FOR SOME RELIEF.  THE 4 POINT 7 BILLION DOLLARS OF TARIFF AID WILL BE  DISTRIBUTED AFTER AN APLICATION PROCESS.  REMEMBER, THE PAYMENTS FOR MOST CROPS WILL BE  BASED ON ACTUAL PRODUCTION NUMBERS.  TO SIGN UP OR SEE IF YOU QUALIFY, VISIT FARMERS  DOT GOV AND CLICK ON THE MANAGE TAB. DETAILS ARE  UNDER THE MARKET FACILITATION PROGRAM. YOU CAN ALSO SIGN UP AT YOUR LOCAL F-S-A OFFICE.  THE AMERICAN FARM BUREAU FEDERATION CALLING  THE MARKET FACILITATION PROGRAM A "BAND-AID" AND NOT A PERMANENT FIX.  ZIPPY DUVALL TELLING ME THE FUNDS WILL HELP SOME FARMERS GET THROUGH THIS CROP YEAR. THE FEDEATION SAYS ITS NOT BACKING DOWN FROM  ITS UNWAVERING SUPPORT OF THE TRUMP  ADMINISTRATION.  HOWEVER, DUVALL SAYS THE FEDERATION IS MAKING  ITS CONCERNS OVER TRADE CLEAR.  <OUR CONCERN IS THE TIMELINE. AND THAT'S WAHT I KEEP TELLING THIS ADMINISTRATION, IVE BEEN IN FRONT OF THE VICE PRESIDENT AND MR  LIGHTHIZER TWO TIMES NOW, THE VICE PRESIDENT TWICE AND MR  LIGHTHIZER ONCE, AND TOLD THEM THE TIMETABLE IS VERY IMPROTANT TO US, WE WERE ON THEIR SIDE WE UDNERSTAND WHAT THEY'RE TRYING TO  DO BUT HOW LONG CAN WE STAND THE DOWN ECONOMY AND HOW LONG  IS THAT RUNWAY? WE'RE GOING TO STICK WITH THEM, AND THIS  MITIGATION PACKAGE THAT USDA BROUGHT OUT, WILL HELP, THE TRADE  TREATY IN MEXICO WILL HELP WE JUST CAN'T STOP WITH THAT, WE GOT TO  BE ON TEH AGGRESSIVE SIDE.> IT'S THAT RUNWAY OF TIME THAT'S RUNNING OUT. THAT'S AS EXPORTS OF KEY COMMODITIES - LIKE SOYBEANS - TYPICALLY PICK UP IN THE MONTHS OF  SEPTEMBER AND OCTOBER. AND AS MICHELLE ROOK REPORTS, THE TARIFF PAIN RIPPLING THROUGH THE AG ECONOMY IS HITTING  NEARLY EVERY SECTOR OF AGRICULTURE RIGHT NOW.    FARMERS HERE IN THE NORTHWESTERN CORN BELT HAVE GENERALLY  BEEN SUPPORTIVE OF THE TRADE WAR, SAYING THEY'LL TAKE SHORT TERM  PAIN FOR LONG TERM GAIN.  AS LONG AS THAT PAIN DOESN'T LAST TOO  LONG. SOYBEAN FARMERS THIS FAR WEST ARE HIT THE HARDEST BECAUSE SUCH  A LARGE PERCENTAGE OF THEIR CROP GOES TO CHINA.     "70, 80- PERCENT OF OUR SOYBEANS ARE EXPORTED AND ALL OF THAT PRETTY MUCH  GOES TO THE WEST COAST."  6 SEC  COUPLE THAT WITH BASIS LEVELS THAT ARE HISTORICALLY WIDE FOR BEANS  AND SOME ELEVATORS NOT EVEN BIDDING.    "THE CONCERN IS RIGHT NOW FARMERS AREN'T QUITE SURE OF WHAT'S GOING TO  HAPPEN DURING HARVEST, WHERE IS THEIR PRODUCT GOING TO GO?  AND  WHEN YOU ARE IN LIMBO YOU'RE NOT SURE WHERE PRICE IS."  10 SEC   , "WELL I THINK THAT'S THE BIGGEST CONCERN. UP IN OUR AREA IT IS  VERY COMMON TO SEE A $1.30 NEGATIVE TO THE CHICAGO BOARD OF  TRADE."    PORK PRODUCERS IN THE REGION HAVE ALSO FELT A HUGE MARKET LOSS  FROM THE TRADE WAR, ESTIMATED AT $40 TO $45 PER HEAD.   (:55) DAVE PREISLER, MN PORK PRODUCERS ASSOCIATION CEO, "IF  WE LOOK AT YOU KNOW THE LOSSES THAT ARE LOOKING TO ACCRUE TO  MINNESOTA PORK PRODUCERS ARE BASICALLY EQUIVALENT TO THE ECONOMIC GAIN THAT MINNESOTA HAD FROM HOSTING THE SUPER  BOWL." ALTHOUGH PORK PRODUCERS HAVE SOME HOPE, WITH A MEXICAN DEAL  THAT WILL AT LEAST OPEN THAT MARKET BACK UP.    BRAD GREENWAY, MT. VERNON, SD FARMER, "MEXICO I THINK  STILL IS NUMBER ONE IN VOLUME AND SO IT'S HUGE AND THE THING IS IS  THEY TAKE THE PRODUCTS THAT WE DON'T CONSUMER IN THE U.S. AND  SO IT'S A LOT OF THE VARIETY MEATS AND THINGS LIKE THAT….HUGE IN THE HAM MARKET."  10 SEC  CATTLE PRODUCERS HAVE BEEN LESS IMPACTED, BUT FEAR THE SAME  FATE IF THE TRADE WAR HAS A LONG TAIL.  "SO TRADE IS YOU KNOW VERY IMPORTANT TO THE BEEF  INDUSTRY.  RIGHT NOW IT HASN'T PROBABLY AFFECTED US NEAR AS MUCH  AS PROBABLY THE PORK AND THE GRAINS, BUT IT WILL."  9 SEC  IF WE  DON'T GET THINGS WORKED OUT.   MEANWHILE, USDA RECENTLY ANNOUNCED A TRADE AID PACKAGE THAT GIVES SOYBEAN FARMERS $1.65 PER BUSHEL ON HALF THEIR 2018 CROP.  BUT SAY THEY WANT TRADE NOT AID. SCHMITZ, "IT'S A BAND AID.  WE WOULD PREFER TO GET OUR MONEY  FROM THE MARKET RATHER THAN FROM THE GOVERNMENT."  6 SEC  AND PORK PRODUCERS DON'T BELIEVE THE $4 PER HEAD PAYMENT  THEY'LL RECEIVE COMES EVEN CLOSE TO MARKET LOSSES.     "IT'S A BIG AMOUNT OF EVERY PIG THAT I SELL OFF OUR  FARM COMES FROM TRADE, SO THE $4 IS A VERY SMALL AMOUNT AND  YOU COULD SAY IT'S A BAND AID."  10 SEC  FARMERS ALSO AGREE THE TRADE WAR NEEDS TO BE SETTLED QUICKLY,  BUT TERRY BRANSTAD, AMBASSADOR TO CHINA SAYS HE'S NOT SURE HOW LONG IT WILL LAST. "I CAN'T REALLY  PREDICT IT. WE'RE CONTINUING TO HAVE DISCUSSIONS. I'M TRYING TO  KEEP THE LEADERS IN WASHINGTON INFORMED AND DO ALL THAT WE CAN AND WE'VE HAD SEVERAL MEETING AND WE'RE GOING TO CONTINUE  WORK ON IT."   16 SEC   BUT HE BELIEVES THE TARIFFS ARE COMPLETELY WARRANTED.   "CHINA HAS NOT TREATED US OR OTHER COUNTRIES FAIRLY FOR  A LONG TIME WITH THEIR STEALING OF TECHNOLOGY AND ALSO NOT ENFORCING INTELLECTUAL PROPERTY RIGHTS THE TRADE DEFICIT HAS GONE  UP AND UP."  15 SEC SO, FARMERS HOLD ON AND HOPE THEY CAN MAKE IT UNTIL THE TRADE  WAR IS RESOLVED.    "YOU KNOW WE'RE  ON THE 4TH YEAR OF A REALLY BAD FINANCIAL SITUATION IN AGRICULTURE  AND THEN PUT THIS ON TOP OF THE FOUR BAD YEARS THAT'S WHAT'S GOING  TO BE TOUGH."  10 SEC  I'M MICHELLE ROOK REPORTING FOR AGDAY. 

PURDUE AG BAROMETER
THE TRADE AID PACKAGE MAY BE ONE REASON WHY THIS MONTH'S AG BAROMETER FROM PURDUE UNIVERSITY AND THE CME TICKED HIGHER. . THE BAROMETER READING INCREASED THIS MONTH TO  ONE-29 FOLLOWING A SIGNIFICANT DROP FOR THE  MONTH OF JULY. PURDUE ECONOMISTS SAY THE SHIFT IN SENTIMENT IS PRIMARILY DUE TO AN INCREASE IN PRODUCER'S  PERCEPTION OF CURRENT CONDITIONS. . PURDUE COLLECTED SURVEY RESPONSES FROM  FARMERS IN MID-AUGUST, AFTER USDA OUTLINED THE  ASSISTANCE PACKAGE IN GENERAL TERMS, BUT PRIOR  TO DETAILS COMING OUT ON HOW PAYMENTS WOLD BE  ALLOCATED. ONE OF THE QUESTIONS WE POSED WAS ALONG THE LINES OF ASKING  PEOPLE WHETHER OR NOT THE RELIEF PLAN PROPOSED BY THE TRUMP ADMINISTRATION WOULD RELIEVE THEIR CONCERNS ABOUT THE IMPACT OF  TARIFFS ON FARM INCOME. AND 47 PERCENT OF THE PEOPLE IN THE  SURVEY SAID THAT THEY THOUGHT THE RELIEF PLAN WOULD EITHER SOMEWHAT OR AT LEAST PARTIALLY RELIEVED THEIR CONCERNS. AND I  THINK THAT PROBABLY DROVE THE INCREASE IN THE CURRENT CONDITION  INDEX AND IN TURN THE IMPROVEMENT IN THE BAROMETER. 0> THE SURVEY SHOWS PRODUCERS ARE STILL  CONCERNED ABOUT A TRADE WAR, BUT THEY WERE  SOMEWHAT LESS CONCERNED IN AUGUST THAN THEY  WERE IN JULY.  . DESPITE THE 12 POINT INCREASE, PRODUCER  SENTIMENT REMAINS WELL BELOW ITS LATE SPRING  READINGS OF 141 IN MAY AND 143 IN JUNE.  . 

FARM BILL
A BIG WEEK FOR THE FARM BILL, AS THE CONFERENCING PROCESS BEGINS. BOTH HOUSE AND  SENATE CONFEREES WILL HASH OUT THE DIFFERENCES  IN THE FARM BILL. THE MOST CONTENTIOUS ISSUE IS  TYING WORK REQUIREMENTS TO SNAP.  THAT'S AS WE RAPIDY APPROACH THE SEPTEMBER 30TH DEADLINE WITH THE CURRENT LAW EXPIRES. IF THE  DEADLINE ISN'T MET, CONGRESS WILL NEED TO EXTEND  THE 2014 FARM BIL.  HOWEVER, EVETHAT MOVE IS TRICKY, AS 39  PROGRAMS, INCLUDING CONSERVATION AND ORGANIC  AGRICULTURE AND FARMERS' MARKETS PROGRAMS,  WILL LAPSE WITH AN EXTENSION. 

CROP COMMENTS
IT'S HARVEST TIME ACROSS THE SOUTH BUT FARMERS COULD BE FACING DELAYS AS "GORDON" CHURNS IN  THE GULF. CINDI CLAWSON JOINS US NOW WITH CROP COMMENTS. GOOD MORNING TYNE. WE START CROP COMMENTS IN WASHINGTON COUNTY,  GEORGIA. A "NASS" CROP REPORTER SAYS CORN  HARVEST IS PROGRESSING QUICKLY. IT'S OVER HALF-WAY COMPLETED.  THREE- QUARTERS OF THE CROP IS CALLED GOOD-TO- EXCELLENT. . DRY CONDITIONS HAVE AFFECTED PASTURE LAND. . WE'LL SEE IF THAT CHANGES IN THE COMING DAYS WITH  THE TROPICAL SYSTEM MOVING ASHORE. AND IN SAUK COUNTY, WISCONSIN FOLKS ARE DEALING  WITH VERY WET CONDITIONS. SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL WISCONSIN HAS BEEN STRUGGLING WITH HEAVY RAIN AND FLOODING ALL  LAST WEEK. . A FARMER POSTED SOME COMMENTS ON AGWEB  ABOUT THE CONDITIONS. HE SAYS "WE CAN'T PUT  TOGETHER A WEEK OF SUNSHINE FOR ANYTHING.  IMPOSSIBLE TO MAKE DRY HAY." BUT CROPS ARE LOOKING GOOD. AND TAKING A LOOK AT OUR WIND SPEED FORECAST YOU'LL NOTICE THAT  THE GREAT LAKES WILL BE A BIT ON THE WINDY SIDE TODAY AND ALSO IN  THE GULF COAST STATES WITH THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM  GORDON YOU CAN SEE THAT MOVES ON UP TO THE NORTH. THERE'S A  FRONT MOVING THROUGH THE NATION'S MIDSECTION AND WE'LL SEE SOME STRONGER WINDS WITH THAT AS WE GET INTO THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS  ESPECIALLY AS WE HEAD INTO THOSE AFTERNOON HOURS AND WE'LL START  TO SEE GORDON KIND OF JOINING FORCES WITH THAT AS WE HEAD INTO ESPECIALLY LATER ON THURSDAY. BUT HAVE A LOOK AT YOUR NATIONAL  FORECAST COMING UP IN JUST A FEW MINUTES. BUT FOR NOW HERE ARE  SOME HOMETOWN TEMPS. 0 

TEASE
STILL TO COME, AS YOU PREPARE TO SIGN UP FOR TARIFF RELIEF AID, RABO AGRIFINANCE DIVES INTO THE  STIPULATIONS SURROUNDING PAYMENTS THIS YEAR.  IN PACKER T-V WE'LL SEE WHY LOW-BUSH BLUEBERRIES  - ONE OF THOSE SO-CALLED 'SUPER FOODS' - ISN'T  FEELING SO SUPER THESE DAYS. AND THIS IS MORE THAN JUST PHYSICAL THERAPY -  THESE FOLKS ARE THROWING SOME SERIOUS PUNCHES  AT A NEUROLOGICAL DISEASE.   

FLOOR OF THE CME
A BRAZILIAN COURT HAS RULED THAT FARMERS IN THAT  COUNTRY CAN CONTINUE TO USE GLYPHOSATE TO  CONTROL WEEDS. A MONTH AGO, A LOWER LEVEL COURT ISSUED AN  INJUNCTION THAT COULD HAVE BLOCKED ITS  REGISTRTION AND USE. . ON MONDAY, A HIGHER COURT OVERTURNED THE INJUNCTION.  MEANWHILE ARGENTINA IS RE-INSTATING A TAX ON  CROP EXPORTS. THOSE TAXES HAD BEEN REPEALED IN DECEMBER 2015 BY NEWLY-ELECTED PRESIDENT MAURICIO MACCRI AS  HE THOUGHT FARM EXPORTS - WITHOUT THE TAX -  COULD HELP BOLSTER THE ECONOMY.  THE MOVE MEANS EXPORTS OF CORN, WHEAT AND  BEEF WILL BE TAXED AGAIN. . FOR ARGENTINA'S CHIEF CASH CROP -- SOYBEANS AND SOY MEAL -- THERE'LL BE AN INCREASE IN THE TAX  RATE. W HAT A DAY IT'S BEEN FOR LIVESTOCK. WE HAD CATTLE AND FEEDER  CATTLE STARTING LOWER ON DAY. BUT HERE IS RECRUITMENT INTO THE  CLOSE. WE'VE HAD REALLY NICE REVERSALS AND ARE NOW TRADING HIGHER ON THE DAY THESE OUTSIDE REVERSAL HIGHER DAYS IN BOTH  CATTLE AND FEEDER CATTLE WOULD SUGGEST THAT WE COULD SEE SOME  FOLLOW THROUGH TO THE UPSIDE AS FAR AS THE NEWS IS CONCERNED REALLY WASHING IS IN ROMANIA. THERE'S AN EXPANSION OF THE  AFRICAN SWINE FLU. ONE OF THE MAJOR PRODUCERS THERE IS IS HAVING  TO CALL THEIR ENTIRE ENTIRE HERD ABOUT 120000 ANIMALS OR SO AND THAT'S THAT IS A CONCERN AND THIS IS NOW GROWING GLOBALLY. SO NOW  WE ARE THINKING THAT THERE'S A CHANCE THAT WE COULD SEE BETTER  EXPORTS AND OUR EXPORTS FOR CATTLE HAVE ALREADY BEEN VERY STRONG. OUR DOMESTIC DEMAND HAS BEEN VERY STRONG WITH  CONSUMER CONFIDENCE CONFIDENCE AT 18 YEAR HIGHS BUT OUR  THINKING FOR PORK AND BEEF THAT OUR EXPORTS CAN BE REALLY GOOD AS  WELL SO THAT'S GIVING A FAIR AMOUNT OF BOOST IN THE MARKETS TODAY.  THIS IS TED SEIFRED OF ZANER AG HEDGE COMING TO YOU FROM THE  CME FLOOR. 0 

AGRIBUSINESS
<HERE NOW IS STEVE NICHOLSON OF RABO AGRIFINANCE. STEVE WE  SAW THIS TARIFF RELIEF AID KIND OF DETAILS SURROUNDING THAT COME OUT  FROM USDA THIS WEEK. AT FIRST BLUSH LOOKS LIKE IT'S A PRETTY GOOD  DEAL FOR SOYBEAN FARMERS BUT THERE'S A LOT OF RESTRICTIONS AROUND  THIS FACT. THERE IS A LOT OF RESTRICTIONS AND WE'LL GO BACK TO A LOT OF  DETAILS AND WE HAD THE TRACKAGE SO IT SAID A BUCK 60 A BUSHEL  AND FARMERS CAN DO THAT. I LOOK FORWARD TO THAT. IT'S THREE POINT SIX MILLION BUSHELS FOR SOYBEANS. THIS ALL LOOKS PRETTY GOOD. YOU  START LOOKING TO KIND OF DO THE CALCULATIONS AND YOU'RE LOOKING TO  GO IF I TAKE ONE POINT SIXTY FIVE AND LOOK AT YOU KNOW THREE POINT  SIX BILLION DOLLAR OR THREE POINT SIXTEEN DOLLARS. IT ONLY COVERS  ABOUT TWO BILLION BUSHELS OF BEANS AND WE'RE WE'RE ALREADY  PRODUCING OVER 4 BILLION BUSHEL BEANS AND YOU'RE SAYING BUT YOU  START LYNGDOH RESTRICTIONS YOU CAN'T NO ONE CAN GET MORE THAN A  HUNDRED TWENTY FIVE THOUSAND DOLLARS AND YOU'VE GOT THE NO NET  FARM INCOME OR NET TAXABLE INCOME OVER THE LAST THREE YEARS HAS TO BE BELOW NINE THOUSAND DOLLARS TO QUALIFY. SO THERE'S GONNA  BE A LOT OF PEOPLE UNFORTUNATELY NOT GOING TO GET ANY RELIEF  BECAUSE IF THEY DON'T FALL IN THOSE CATEGORIES. SO IT LOOKS GOOD ON THE SURFACE BUT YOU START DIGGING DOWN LIKE MAKES YOU  CONCERNED. OK SO WE KNOW WHAT RELIEF AID POSSIBLY SOME OF  THESE PRODUCERS ARE GOING TO GET NOT ALL OF THEM WILL BUT WITH THE SLAVEY MARKET. HOW BIG OF A DEAL WOULD A GREAT WIN BE FOR THIS  MARKET RIGHT NOW. I THINK IT WOULD BE A BIG DEAL BECAUSE RIGHT  NOW YOU'RE YOU ARE NOW WITHIN 30 DAYS OF REALLY OF THE BIG TRADE PILE FOR THEU.S. EXPORTS AND WE DON'T GET THIS. YOU KNOW WE'RE  GOING TO CONTINUE TO SEE SOYBEANS BE DOWN AT A VERY VERY LOW  LEVEL PRICE WISE AND IT MAKE THE GAME AS LIKELY TALKED ABOUT. AND CORN IS UP TO THE MOVE UP THE OPTION TO GET SOME SALES OFF  THE BOOKS. SO WE'VE SEEN LOW EXPORTS THIS SUMMER BUT THAT'S  TYPICAL SO YOU'RE SAYING THOUGH AS THE EXPORT SEASON HEATS UP THIS IS WHEN WE NEED TO SEE THESE TRADE DEALS YOU SEE THEM GO  UP. I THINK THE GOOD NEWS IS I WOULD SAY ONE THING BEANS ARE  GOING TO FIND THE MEANS YOU CAN FIND THE WAY IN CHINA BECAUSE THE WORLD DOESN'T HAVE ENOUGH BEANS TO MOVE US BEANS WILL GO  THERE. IT'S JUST GOING TO BE INEFFICIENT AND WE WILL GET WE WILL.  FARMERS WON'T GET THE PRICE THEY SHOULD GET FOR THAT PRICE. ALL RIGHT OR FOR THE BEANS GOING THROUGH. GOT IT. STEVE NICHOLSON  THANK YOU SO MUCH WE APPRECIATE IT. LET'S TAKE A QUICK BREAK  AND WE'LL HAVE MUCH MORE RIGHT HERE ON AGDAY. 0>

WEATHER
WELCOME BACK. WELL TIME NOW TO CHECK WEATHER WITH  METEOROLOGIST CINDI CLAWSON. CINDY LOOKING AT THIS MOISTURE  MAP YOU CAN REALLY TELL THE AREA THAT HAVE HAD A LOT OF RAIN HAVE FLOODED PARTS OF IOWA WISCONSIN KANSAS YEAH. BUT THAT TROPICAL  STORM AS IT MOVES INWARD IT SEEMS LIKE WE'RE GOING TO SEE A LOT  MORE MOISTURE. ABSOLUTELY. WE'RE GOING TO SEE THIS MAP PROBABLY CHANGE QUITE A BIT OVER THE NEXT WEEK. BUT TAKE A LOOK  AT WHAT IS HAPPENING IN THE CENTER UNITED STATES AS YOU HEARD  EARLIER IN THE SHOW FROM OUR FARMER IN CROP WATCH WHERE WE HAD A LOT OF RAIN UP IN THE UPPER MIDWEST INTO THE WESTERN PART OF THE  GREAT LAKES. LOTS OF RAIN LOTS OF FLOODING WE'VE BEEN HEARING  ABOUT IT OVER THE PAST WEEK OR SO. AND YOU CAN REALLY SEE THAT REFLECTED ON OUR ROOT ZONE MOISTURE MAPS. WE'VE REALLY GOT A LOT  OF MOISTURE THERE AND AS TIME MENTIONED WE'RE GOING TO START TO  SEE SOME OF THIS GET A LOT WETTER AND THE GULF COAST STATES AS  GORDON DROPS THREE TO SIX INCHES OF RAIN KIND OF WIDESPREAD. BUT THERE OBVIOUSLY ARE GOING TO BE SOME HIGHER AMOUNTS IN SOME  AREAS AS WELL. LET'S TAKE A LOOK AT THAT MAP AND HERE'S GORDON  THAT'S GOING TO BE MAKING SOME SLOW MOVEMENT OFF TO THE NORTH NORTHWEST. WE ALSO HAVE A FRONTAL SYSTEM THAT'S GOING TO BE  DRAPED FROM THE GREAT LAKES ALL THE WAY DOWN INTO THE CENTRAL  AND SOUTHERN PLAINS. THOSE ARE THE TWO BIG WEATHER MAKERS AS WE GET INTO THE NEXT 24 HOURS BUT COLD FRONT SWINGS KIND OF PIVOTS  MORE THROUGH THE NORTHEASTERN STATES AND KIND OF REMAIN  STATIONARY AS YOU GET OVER TOWARDS THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN  PLAINS WHILE GORDON MAKES A NORTHWARD PUSH. EVENTUALLY THESE  TWO WILL COME TOGETHER BUT YOU CAN SEE HOW WE'LL SEE THAT FRONT  MOVING THROUGH. NOW GETTING INTO THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES BUT SOME SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FOR A LOT OF THE  ESPECIALLY WESTERN GULF COAST STATES AND ON INTO PARTS OF TEXAS  AS WELL. THE ESTIMATE OF THE PAST 24 HOURS PRECIPITATION WELL  THERE IS GORDON RIGHT THERE AND THEN YOU CAN SEE THE FRONT THE  TWO BIG MAKERS OF RAIN FOR US AND THOSE ARE BOTH GOING TO BE CONTINUING TO BE A BIG RAIN MAKERS ESPECIALLY GORDON WERE  AREAS OUR MODEL IS SHOWING UPWARDS OF SEVEN EIGHT INCHES OF  RAIN IN SOME OF THESE SPOTS AND IT COULD BE SOMEWHAT LOCALIZED. BUT LOOK FOR SOME HEAVY RAIN ESPECIALLY IN THE PANHANDLE OF  FLORIDA AND UP INTO ALABAMA AND INTO MISSISSIPPI AS WELL. AND ALL  ALONG THAT COLD FRONT ALONG THE NATION'S MIDSECTION. TEMPERATURE  WISE IT'S COOLER BEHIND THAT FRONT. MUCH MORE COMFORTABLE  TEMPERATURES THERE IN THE 60S AND 70S STILL HOT AND HUMID OUT AHEAD OF THAT FRONT. COOLER OVERNIGHT LOW TEMPERATURES THERE AS  WE SEE 50S AND 60S. BUT STILL SOME MUGGY 70S AND MUCH OF THE  SOUTHEASTERN STATES FAIRLY COMFORTABLE IN THE NORTHWEST. AND THEN AS WE GET INTO TOMORROW WE'LL SEE THAT FRONT MOVE A LITTLE  FURTHER TO THE SOUTH. AT LEAST IN THE NORTHEASTERN PART OF THE  COUNTRY THAT WILL BRING SOME COOLER TEMPERATURES THERE BUT STILL  SOME FAIRLY WARM AND MUGGY CONDITIONS IN THE SOUTHEAST. THAT'S  A LOOK AT YOUR NATIONAL FORECAST. NOW LET'S CHECK ON SOME LOCAL  CITIES KENNEWICK WASHINGTON SUNNY AND WARM FOR YOU TODAY  WITH A HIGH OF 86 DEGREES. HEAD OVER TO ABERDEEN SOUTH DAKOTA  SUNNY AND A LITTLE COOLER WITH A HIGH OF 71. AND MONROEVILLE  ALABAMA SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FOR YOU WITH A HIGH OF 84.  LATER - SEE WHY SOME FOLKS IN THEIR "GOLDEN  YEARS" - ARE PUTTING-ON BOXING GLOVES. FIND OUT WHAT THEY HOPE TO KNOCK-OUT OF THE  RING. BUT FIRST - WILD BLUEBERRY PRICES HAVE TAKEN A  BEATING IN RECENT YEARS.  WE'LL LOOK AT THE  CURRENT CONDITION OF THE "SUPER FOOD".

PACKER TV
THE U-S CRANBERRY CROP IS ONE OF THE VICTIMS OF A  TRADE WAR. CHINA PLACING A 40 PERCENT DUTY ON AMERICAN  DRIED CRANBERRIES THIS YEAR.  BUT IT'S MORE THAN TRADE WEIGHING ON PRICES-- IT'S  ALSO A GLUT OF THE FRUIT.  AND NOW CRANBERRY FARMERS ARE ASKING THE  FEDERAL GOVERMENT FOR PERMISSION TO DESTROY A  QUARTER OF THIR CROP.  THE BOSTON GLOBE REPORTING IF THE GOVERNMENT  APPRIVES TEH REQUEST, FARMERS WILL KEEP ABOUT  100 MILLION POUNDS OF CRANBERRIES OFR THE  MARKET. . LAST YEAR, USDA SHOWS CRANBERRY FARMERS SAW  PRICES 3 DOLLARS AND 50 CENTS A BARREL BELOW  WHAT IT COSTS TO PRODUCE THE CROP.  MEANWHILE U-S GROWERS OF WILD BLUEBERRIES ARE  CUTTING ACREAGE OF THEIR HARVESTED CROP THIS YEAR. ALMOST ALL OF THE LOW-BUSH CROP IN THIS COUNTRY  COMES FROM MAINE.  THESE BLUEBERRIES ARE MOSTLY USED IN FROZEN  FORM OR PROCESSED FOODS.  THE INDUSTRY HAS BEEN STRUGGLING WITH LONG- TERM PRICE DROPS, WEATHER, DISEASE AND FOREIGN COMPETITION. . THIS YEAR'S HARVEST HAS NEARLY WRAPPED-UP. LAST  YEAR HARVESTER COLLECTED ABOUT 68 MILLION  POUNDS, WHICH WAS THE LOWEST TOTAL SINCE 2005. "I'VE BEEN IN THE BUSINESS FOR 42 YEARS AND WE'VE HAD PEAKS AND  VALLEYS IN THE INDUSTRY, AND I THINK THIS IS JUST ANOTHER VALLEY  WE'RE GOING THROUGH. IT'S HARD TO BUILD DEMAND ON THE MARKET  WHEN YOU DON'T HAVE ENOUGH FRUIT TO GO AROUND."  > THE SAME BERRIES ARE HARVESTED IN CANADA. THE  WEAKNESS OF THE CANADIAN DOLLAR HAS ALSO HURT  THE U.S. INDUSTRY BECAUSE CANADIAN BERRIES SELL FOR LESS.  

TEASE
UP NEXT - ARE YOU EVER TOO OLD TO GET INTO THE BOXING RING? APPARENTLY NOT - IF YOU'RE FIGHTING FOR YOUR LIFE.DETAILS WHEN WE COME BACK. 

IN THE COUNTRY
IN THE COUNTRY - SPONSORED BE THE ALL-NEW KUBOTA SIDEKICK. A  UTILITY VEHICLE THAT LETS YOU CLIMB MORE, COVER MORE, TOW MORE  AND ENJOY MORE. VISIT KUBOTAUSA.COM.   MORE THAN 60-THOUSAND NEW CASES OF PARKINSON'S DISEASE ARE DIAGNOSED EACH YEAR. NOW PATIENTS  CAN BEAT-BACK AGAINST THE NEUROLOGICAL DISEASE. DOCTORS AT UNIVERSITY OF MISSOURI HEALTH ARE PRESCRIBING A PROGRAM CALLED  "ROCK STEADY  BOXING." RESEARCH IS SHOWING THAT THIS FORM OF  EXERCISE IS IMPROVING SYMPTOMS IN PEOPLE WITH  PARKINSON'S DISEASE. . THE CLASS BEGINS LIKE ANY OTHER WORKOUT FOR A MATURE GROUP, WITH WARMUPS THAT FOCUS ON BALANCE AND AGILITY. THEN, IT'S TIME TO BOX.  .  "WE'RE NOT ONLY WORKING ON THE LEGS, THE ARMS, THE BALANCE, WE ARE ALSO WORKING ON THEIR VOICE  AND BEING LOUD SO THAT THEY CAN BE HEARD, AND AT THE SAME TIME,  WITH THE NUMBERS, IT'S COGNITIVE FUNCTION SO WE ARE ALSO WORKING ON THEIR BRAINS."> THE TRAINER YELLS NUMBERS THAT CORRELATE TO  PUNCHES — A JAB, HOOK OR UPPERCUT, THROWN WITH  THE RIGHT OR LEFT HAND. . THEN, WITH LOUD VOICES, THE GROUP REPEATS THE NUMBERS. IT'S AN EFFORT TO KEEP THE BRAIN ACTIVE  WHILE MAKING LARGE MOVEMENTS. 

CLOSE
THAT'S ALL THE TIME WE HAVE THIS MORNING. WE'RE GLAD YOU TUNED IN.  FOR ALL OF US AT AGDAY I'M TYNE MORGAN. HAVE A  GREAT DAY. 

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