Crop Tour Sees Consistency, Record Yield Potential In Corn Belt

August 21, 2018 12:47 PM
Scouts saw consistent, high-yield averages on nearly every stop, which could mean USDA’s record yield estimate might not be too far off the mark.

Even after trudging through mud and rain yesterday, soggy feet didn’t result in downtrodden attitudes. Scouts saw consistent, high-yield averages on nearly every stop, which could mean USDA’s record yield estimate might not be too far off the mark.

“1994 was the most consistent crop I have ever seen—it looked like a carpet was laid from Ohio to Nebraska,” said AgriTalk Host Chip Flory. “We are seeing that consistency [this year].”

Emily Carolan, Pioneer territory manager, Flory’s daughter and number-cruncher for the Pro Farmer Crop Tour, said when you dig into each route, that consistency is even more evident.

If you compare all routes in South Dakota, including those in the ‘rougher’ areas, yields are still pretty consistent, Carolan said. She saw route averages of 170, 177, 180 and 183 bu. per acre for corn—a small 13 bu. range.

 “In Ohio, it was even closer together, not quite the lows and the highs,” Carolan added. “178, 179, 182, 186, they noticed it yesterday when they were in Ohio—that’s a good route.”

With numbers flowing in real-time, scouts can start tracking numbers and get more detailed information to paint a more accurate picture of the Corn Belt. If this consistency holds true for the next few days, U.S. farmers will be looking at a big, possibly record-breaking, national yield average.

“You’ve gotta be doggone consistent across the U.S. if you’re gonna build that yield,” Flory said. “I want to caution everyone. When you find good numbers in northeast Nebraska on day one everyone gets excited. Then on day two people ask, ‘Where did the corn go?’”

Teams today are making their way into parts of Nebraska with less idyllic growing conditions, including the south where dry weather prevails, which could result in lower yield estimates. Stay tuned for more coverage at or

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Spell Check

Augusta, ME
8/22/2018 07:48 AM

  It's just human nature that people just can't believe what they hear unless it's good news or actually touch and feel it themselves. Even if it's peer-reviewed scientific data, it won't be believed.

auburn, IL
8/22/2018 10:22 AM

  I guess its just common sense not to believe everything people tell you in todays world, the three ear check tells you nothing about the field , the test weight, how even or consistent the field is, what fields were checked, good or bad? how many fields checked? There is no scientific data to support this, unless you are going back after harvest and compare your estimates to real data, not only do we have to deal with this information but now we have the satellite pictures that predict yields on color, sorry , don't put much faith in this, will let the combine do the talking

auburn, IL
8/21/2018 07:09 PM

  don't worry , its all record yields , with 3 ears in a field


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