Even after trudging through mud and rain yesterday, soggy feet didn’t result in downtrodden attitudes. Scouts saw consistent, high-yield averages on nearly every stop, which could mean USDA’s record yield estimate might not be too far off the mark.
“1994 was the most consistent crop I have ever seen—it looked like a carpet was laid from Ohio to Nebraska,” said AgriTalk Host Chip Flory. “We are seeing that consistency [this year].”
Emily Carolan, Pioneer territory manager, Flory’s daughter and number-cruncher for the Pro Farmer Crop Tour, said when you dig into each route, that consistency is even more evident.
If you compare all routes in South Dakota, including those in the ‘rougher’ areas, yields are still pretty consistent, Carolan said. She saw route averages of 170, 177, 180 and 183 bu. per acre for corn—a small 13 bu. range.
“In Ohio, it was even closer together, not quite the lows and the highs,” Carolan added. “178, 179, 182, 186, they noticed it yesterday when they were in Ohio—that’s a good route.”
With numbers flowing in real-time, scouts can start tracking numbers and get more detailed information to paint a more accurate picture of the Corn Belt. If this consistency holds true for the next few days, U.S. farmers will be looking at a big, possibly record-breaking, national yield average.
“You’ve gotta be doggone consistent across the U.S. if you’re gonna build that yield,” Flory said. “I want to caution everyone. When you find good numbers in northeast Nebraska on day one everyone gets excited. Then on day two people ask, ‘Where did the corn go?’”
Teams today are making their way into parts of Nebraska with less idyllic growing conditions, including the south where dry weather prevails, which could result in lower yield estimates. Stay tuned for more coverage at ProFarmer.com or AgWeb.com.