El Nino Conditions Established at Sea is Trend We Can't Ignore

February 6, 2017 02:59 PM
Farm After the Rain

Spring planting is on the minds of many farmers, and that includes weather conditions. Rumor has it an El Nino pattern is on the horizon, and it is looking more likely.

On Market Rally Radio Friday, Michael Clark, ag meteorologist of BamWX.com, said despite the atmosphere’s behavior, there wasn’t much of a La Nina by the end of December and most of January, “we weren’t technically in a La Nina.”

According to Clark, data from the European and American models show there could be a weak El Nino for June, July, and August.

“This is a trend we can’t ignore,” said Clark to Market Rally host Chip Flory.

Clark pointed to 1991, 1994, and 2009 as years that could be similar to 2017 if the El Nino comes to fruition. He thinks this year could see a more active severe weather and a cooler growing season.

“The risk of it being a cooler summer is higher than the risk of it being warmer,” said Clark.

While the sea surface temperatures are indicating an El Nino, what else needs to happen? Listen to Flory and Clark discuss weather on Market Rally above. 

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Spell Check

Walton, IN
2/7/2017 07:17 AM

  Blah blah blah blah blah blah blah. Let's drag out Elwynn Taylor tomorrow and see if he predicts a drought again. Something tells me he would. Lond range weather forecasting is a joke. Just like the market bit hook line and sinker those hacks from Weather 360 last year and their 'the sky is falling drought". Good thing I guess, gave me a chance to sell about all my crop at good prices.

Bombay, MN
2/8/2017 10:20 AM

  Too many leeches (hedge funds, speculators, analysts, private weather companies) are trying to make a living off ag commodities/production today whereas 20 years ago they were not as heavily involved. Consequently they continue to put out "noise" to either sell their service or influence market direction for their benefit. I agree with Dave - you cannot accurately predict weather more than tens days out. As long as these folks think they can suck money out of the commodity markets without having to actually produce anything of value to anyone , we will have to read and listen to their 'noise" and try not to buy into their BS...


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