Evening Report (VIP) -- April 1, 2013

April 1, 2013 09:40 AM
 

WINTER WHEAT CONDITION A MIXED BAG... The percentage of the winter wheat crop in "excellent" and "very poor" condition both saw gains since the end of November 2012, USDA's NASS reports. The weekly crop condition data shows 5% of the crop in "excellent" condition, which compares to 4% on Nov. 25, 2012. But the report also shows 10% of the crop in "very poor" shape, which is higher than 7% at the end of November. Bottom line: The crop is in much worst shape than last year at this time, as 30% is now rated "poor" to "very poor" compared to just 12% last year at this time.

Winter Wheat

very poor

poor

fair

good

excellent

This week

10

20

36

29

5

Nov. 25, 2012

7

19

41

29

4

Year-ago

3

9

30

46

12

 

USDA is now back to issuing its weekly update, which will turn more attention to weather and the condition of the winter wheat crop, especially the HRW wheat crop given the large drought footprint across the region.

 

 

MIDWEST FIELDS SLOWLY WARMING... Meteorologist Gail Martell of MartellCropProjections.com says strong warming over the Easter weekend helped with snowmelt, although northern areas of Minnesota, South Dakota and Wisconsin still have significant snowpack yet to melt. Corn Belt field temps range in the 30s across the northern half of the Midwest and the upper 30s to low 40s in the southern half, which shows there's still a ways to go to get soils to at least 52 degrees for seed germination.

Martell says the sudden shift toward a wet weather pattern may be due to an emerging El Nino signal. "Temperatures in the eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean have been steadily warming in recent weeks, signaling a move away from La Nina and toward El Nino. In the U.S. Great Plains, the El Nino effect causes heavy rainfall. The western Corn Belt would also get a good chance for heavy precipitation in the long-range forecast," she notes.

Meanwhile, Martell says after beneficial precip in February, dry conditions across the HRW Wheat Belt is stressing the crop. She says the forecast calls for light to moderate rains this week in the Southern Plains, though more is needed as the crop greens up. Click here for more details and related maps.

 

 

6-10 DAY FORECAST CALLS FOR WARMER TEMPS FOR MUCH OF CORN BELT... The National Weather Service forecast for April 7-11 calls for above-normal temps from Iowa and Missouri eastward, while normal temps are expected across the Dakotas, Nebraska and Minnesota. Also, above-normal precip is in the forecast for the entire Plains and Corn Belt. The forecast is favorable for thawing soils across the heart of the Corn Belt, but suggests a late start to the planting season for the Upper Midwest and Northern Plains. Click here for related maps.

 

 

IOWA FARMLAND POSTS 9.4% SIX-MONTH GAIN... The value of Iowa farmland rose 9.4% from September to March, according to a survey of land professionals conducted by the Iowa Chapter of the REALTORS Land Institute. Combining that 9.4% gain with the 7.7% increase from March to September found in the September survey yields an increase of 17.1% for the year-long period ending March 1. All nine Iowa crop reporting districts showed an increase. The districts varied from a 6.7% rise in west-central Iowa to a 12.6% increase in northeast Iowa for the September to March period. Click here for more from LandOwner Editor Mike Walsten.

 

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