Gulke: Farmers Finding Lower Corn Yield than Predicted

September 9, 2016 06:39 PM
irrigation pivot corn

Ahead of Monday’s USDA report, farmers walking their fields already are finding  out that corn yield  isn’t quite  the  record high 175.1 bushels per acre predicted by the agency in August, according to Jerry Gulke, president of the Gulke Group in Chicago.

"They’re finding disappointment (in their corn fields), …  in all states in all areas,” said Gulke, speaking to Pam Fretwell on Farm Journal Radio.  “It looks 10 to 20 bushels less than last year … so the corn crop is a good, solid crop, but not a record.” explained Gulke.

In Illinois,  for example,  “there is 240 to 250 corn, not 300,” Gulke observed, and in  Iowa  it’s “pretty tough to find anything over 220 to 240.” USDA makes its projections based mainly on surveys of farmers, Gulke noted.

“In my opinion, it (corn yield) could come anywhere from 166 bushels per acre  to 173 bushels per acre, eventually, but not necessarily on Monday,” Gulke said.

 Soybeans, though, are a different story, with some saying USDA could raise  yield  to 50 bushels per acre in Monday’s report,  Gulke  explained.

“How we close on Monday  … will tell us what the market thinks,” he said.

Listen to his full comments here:

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Spell Check

Waterloo, IL
9/11/2016 12:32 AM

  Probably 10-20% of corn harvested in our area in bottoms. Everyone I talked to pretty much had same one word description - disappointing. Just got hit with third set of 6+inch storms since July for us. Those are 2 or 3 day storms. Roots are starting to let loose. Can see it in areas of most fields regardless of whose it is or what brand or variety when you get above and can look down. Lot of areas starting to lean or looking wrangled. Another system possible in 4-5 days. I feel a little panic starting to creep in.

Mike madsen
Heron Lake, MN
9/10/2016 07:32 AM

  Mn cornwill be 20 bu. less than last year, easy! Soybeans no better than last year.

Bruning, NE
9/10/2016 07:45 AM

  Boy you guys sure are smart. How much do you analysts make anyway? Only took you 2 months after everybody who was anybody in ag knew 100 degrees at pollination wasn't going to be good. Can't Farm Journal pay enough to get someone with some brains anymore?


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