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NOAA Predicts Pedestrian Midwestern Winter

17:56PM Oct 20, 2016

corn-stover-snow-2013( AgWeb )

Do you live in the Midwest? Picture the average winter. NOAA says that’s probably what you’re going to get for 2016-17.

For meteorological winter – December, January and February -  NOAA gives “equal chances” in the Midwest of normal conditions for both temperature and precipitation, with a few exceptions.

For temperature, cooler-than-normal conditions could happen in the upper Midwest, including large portions of Wisconsin, Minnesota and the Dakotas. Meantime, warmer-than-normal temperatures are probably in the southern half of the U.S.

temp
© NOAA

 

As for precipitation, December through February totals could be wetter than normal in Wisconsin, Indiana, Ohio and Michigan, along with parts of the Northwest. Drier conditions may prevail in the southern third of the U.S.

precip

Here is NOAA's 2016-17 winter precipitation expectations.
© NOAA

Any area under the “equal chance” category means “there is not a strong enough climate signal in these areas to shift the odds, so they have an equal chance for above-, near-, or below-normal temperatures and/or precipitation,” according to NOAA.

NOAA also predicts La Nina will influence winter conditions this year. La Nina conditions tend to favor above-average snowfall around the Great Lakes and northern Rockies, with below-average snowfall occurring in the Mid-Atlantic.

“This climate outlook provides the most likely outcome for the upcoming winter season, but it also provides the public with a good reminder that winter is just up ahead and it’s a good time to prepare for typical winter hazards, such as extreme cold and snowstorms,” says Mike Halpert, deputy director, NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center. “Regardless of the outlook, there is always some chance for extreme winter weather, so prepare now for what might come later this winter.”

 

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Do you live in the Midwest? Picture the average winter. NOAA says that’s probably what you’re going to get for 2016-17.