NOAA Predicts Pedestrian Midwestern Winter

October 20, 2016 12:56 PM
 
NOAA Predicts Pedestrian Midwestern Winter

Do you live in the Midwest? Picture the average winter. NOAA says that’s probably what you’re going to get for 2016-17.

For meteorological winter – December, January and February -  NOAA gives “equal chances” in the Midwest of normal conditions for both temperature and precipitation, with a few exceptions.

For temperature, cooler-than-normal conditions could happen in the upper Midwest, including large portions of Wisconsin, Minnesota and the Dakotas. Meantime, warmer-than-normal temperatures are probably in the southern half of the U.S.

temp
© NOAA

 

As for precipitation, December through February totals could be wetter than normal in Wisconsin, Indiana, Ohio and Michigan, along with parts of the Northwest. Drier conditions may prevail in the southern third of the U.S.

precip

Here is NOAA's 2016-17 winter precipitation expectations.
© NOAA

Any area under the “equal chance” category means “there is not a strong enough climate signal in these areas to shift the odds, so they have an equal chance for above-, near-, or below-normal temperatures and/or precipitation,” according to NOAA.

NOAA also predicts La Nina will influence winter conditions this year. La Nina conditions tend to favor above-average snowfall around the Great Lakes and northern Rockies, with below-average snowfall occurring in the Mid-Atlantic.

“This climate outlook provides the most likely outcome for the upcoming winter season, but it also provides the public with a good reminder that winter is just up ahead and it’s a good time to prepare for typical winter hazards, such as extreme cold and snowstorms,” says Mike Halpert, deputy director, NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center. “Regardless of the outlook, there is always some chance for extreme winter weather, so prepare now for what might come later this winter.”

 

Access all of AgWeb’s weather current conditions, forecasts, news, analysis, maps and more at www.AgWeb.com/weather

Do you live in the Midwest? Picture the average winter. NOAA says that’s probably what you’re going to get for 2016-17.

 

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Comments

 
Spell Check

Craig A. Moore
Billings, MT
10/20/2016 02:21 PM
 

  Is it just me or does "so they have an equal chance for above-, near-, or below-normal temperatures and/or precipitation" mean they don't have a clue with what is going on?

 
 
Zorcon
Western, NE
10/20/2016 05:26 PM
 

  Beyond three days out, these clowns don't have a clue. I think the Farmer's Almanac does just as good a job as NOAA for winter predictions. I always go up and talk to the indian on the hill about the upcoming winter, but he just looks down on how much hay the farmer in the valley is putting up to determine how bad a winter it's going to be.

 
 

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