The National Weather Service's Climate Prediction Center (CPC) outlooks for October call for above-normal temps to continue across the Midwest and Plains, with below-normal precip expected across Kansas and Nebraska. In its outlook for October through December, the agency says there are equal chances of normal, below- or above-normal precip and temps across the bulk of the Midwest and Plains, although above-normal temps are expected across Texas.
The forecast for drought persistence across much of the HRW Wheat Belt is a concern for the establishment of the newly planted crop, although recent rains have provided soils with a temporary boost to help with germination.
CPC Outlooks for October:
CPC Outlooks for October-December:
As a result, the CPC expects current drought areas to remain intact, as it calls for persistence of drought across the central Corn Belt, western Kansas, western Oklahoma and Texas. In its Seasonal Drought Outlook, the CPC says "drought persistence is anticipated across the Midwest, which has experienced flash drought conditions for the second summer in a row. However, this year's flash drought started significantly later in the growing season, helping to mitigate crop losses."