Say Ole To Growth

02:56AM Aug 06, 2014
( )

Mexico's economy recovers, but ag challenges remain

TP 044 T14162

Improvements are expected this year in the Mexican economy after a slow 2013. Yet difficulties remain for agriculture. Grain and oilseed production will be driven by declining prices and margins, while increases will be seen for meat in those categories. The peso will appreciate slowly but surely, and pressures on consumer prices are expected to ease.

TP 044 T14162 b

Factors driving Mexico’s growth include the resumption of exports to the U.S., the increased competitiveness of Mexican manufacturing and higher government spending, Rabobank analyst Pablo Sherwell explains.

TP 044 T14162 c

Production constraints combined with a relatively soft price likely mean that corn demand from Mexico’s feed industry will increase in 2014/15 and that imports will rise. Gains for wheat also are expected. 

TP 044 T14162 d