USFR Weekly Recap - May 21-22, 2011

May 26, 2011 09:07 AM
 

THIS WEEK ON U.S. FARM REPORT
EPISODE #1971
MAY 21-22, 2011

TODAY ON U.S. FARM REPORT. THE FARM TOLL IN TEXAS MOUNTS AS DRY WEATHER PERSISTS.

ONE STATE OVER ACRES ARE COVERED WITH FLOOD WATER.

AND LAND WAS USUALLY THE MAIN FORM OF WEALTH. ARE WE GOING BACK TO THE GOOD OLD DAYS?

U.S. FARM REPORT BROUGHT TO YOU BY CHEVY AND THEIR AWARD WINNING CARS, TRUCKS AND CROSSOVERS.

HELLO AND WELCOME TO U.S. FARM REPORT. THERE IS A POPULAR THING FARMERS LIKE TO RECITE. AMERICA HAS THE MOST ABUNDANT FOOD SUPPLY IN THE WORLD. VERY WONDERED WHAT THAT MEANT. HOW IS IT MEASURED? IF WE ARE THE MOST ABUNDANT WHO IS NUMBER TWO? IN TRUTH IT'S JUST A MADE UP STAT. FURTHER MORE THIS YEAR AT LEAST ABUNDANCE OF CORN IS IN DOUBT. THE CORN MARKET IS FINDING IT ON PAPER IS DIFFERENT FROM WHERE NEEDED. OUR EXPERTS CAN GO INTO THIS LATER BUT MY LEVELS TELL ME WHAT WE HAVE IS A BOUND ISN'T CONCERN. TIME FOR THE HEADLINES. HERE IS AL PELL.

WHILE RAINY WEATHER CONTINUES TO SLOW THINGS IN THE CORN BELT A DOUBT CONTINUES TO WILT PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN U.S. AND IN TEXAS AG LOSSES OVER A BILLION DOLLARS AND ECONOMISTS WITH THE EXTENSION OFFICE EXPECT THEM TO CLIMB HIGHER. MOST OF THE LOSSES CONNECTED TO LIVESTOCK INDUSTRY SUCH AS INCREASED FEEDING COST AND LOST VALUE OF WHEAT PASTURE GRAZING. IN RESPONSE U.S.D.A. IS LETTING EMERGENCY GRAZING OF ACRES IN THE CONSERVATION RESERVE PROGRAM. IN KANSAS PRODUCERS IN 12 WESTERN COUNTIES ARE PART OF THE ORDER. LAND OWNERS WHO TAKE ADVANTAGE WILL SEE A PAYMENT REDUCTION.

CUTTING NORMALLY DOESN'T START UNTIL THE END OF MAYOR JUNE. AS EXPECTED DRY CONDITIONS AREN'T HELPING YIELDS SO FAR FARMERS ARE REPORTING YIELDS AS LOW AS TEN TO 20-BUSHELS AN ACRE. IN LOUISIANA CROPS THAT WEREN'T DROWNED BY THE MISSISSIPPI ARE STRUGGLING WITH DROUGHT. ONE AREA WAS THE DIRECT LINE OF FLOODWATERS WHEN THE GATE WAS OPENED. OFFICIALS SAY ABOUT 10% OF THE ROW CROPS WERE FLOODED INCLUDING CORN, COTTON, SOYBEAN AND SUGAR CANE. LSU SAID MANY OF THE CROPS WERE DEALING WITH DRYNESS BEFORE THE FLOODWATERS HIT.

SECOND QUARTER PROFITS SKYROCKETED BY 65% SITING STRONG DEMAND FOR AG EQUIPMENT, IN CANADA AND BRAZIL. REVENUE GREW 25% OVER LAST YEAR NEARING THE 9 BILLION-DOLLAR MARK. COMPANY HAD PREDICTED IT JUST BELOW THAT. THOSE SAME FACTORS ARE SHOWING UP IN FARMLAND VALUES. THE FEDERAL RESERVE BANK SAID THE RATE OF INCREASE IN GOOD MIDWEST FARMLAND HAS HIT A 32 YEAR HIGH. PRICES IN ILLINOIS AND IOWA HAVE GONE UP 16% FROM LAST YEAR. THE LAST TIME THE FEDS SAW INCREASES LIKE THIS WAS IN 1979.

THOSE ARE THE HEADLINES, NOW BACK TO JOHN FOR CROP WATC >>

CROP WATCH THIS WEEK IS A TWO STATE STOP, A GROWER FROM JEFFERSON COUNTY NEW YORK SAID HE HAD FOUR DAYS OF WEATHER LAST WEEK. HE GOT A THIRD PLANTED BUT LAST WEEKEND WAS A WASH OUT AND THE PAST FEW DAYS WEREN'T MUCH BETTER. AND ANOTHER FARMER SAID IT'S FRUSTRATING HEARING ABOUT THE PRECIPITATION IN THE MIDWEST. THEY HAVE GOTTEN LESS THAN AN INCH AND A QUARTER. OF THE 1500 ACRES OF WHEAT PLANTED LAST FALL OVER A THOUSAND HAVE ZEROED OUT WITHOUT SPROUTING. WHEN WE RETURN AL IS BACK TO TALK MARKETS. THAT DISCUSSION BEGINS IN JUST TWO MINUTES. PLEASE STAY WITH US. .

U.S. FARM REPORT IS BROUGHT TO YOU BY DUPONT, HERBICIDE THE BEST. .

WE HAVE GARY, GARY YOU WERE TALKING ABOUT STUFF EARLIER IN PARTICULAR IN YOUR COLUMN THAT YOU SENT OUT THIS WEEK. GIVE ME A SUMMARY OF WHAT YOU WERE TALKING THAT WE NEED TO KNOW ABOUT CAUSING THINGS TO HAPPEN IN THE MARKET.

WE JUST HAVE GONE THROUGH THIS INCREDIBLE ZIGZAG --DOWN $1.10 IN LIQUIDATION FEES AND WE HAVE THIS STRONG FUNDAMENTAL. THE SHALL BOOKLET IS IN THE WORST SHAPE. WE HAD --YOU KNOW THE MARKET WOULD COME BACK BUT THEN IT CAME BACK AGAIN. NOW IT'S SPUTTERING BUT WE HAVE A LONG WAY TO GO. IT'S TO WET IN THE EAST, WET UP IN THE SPRING WHEAT COUNTRY, KANSAS WHEAT ISN'T SO HOT AND FRANCE ISN'T EITHER. WORLDWIDE WE EXPECT TO WHEAT UP 3% IN TOTAL PRODUCTION SO WE WILL GET BY. IT'LL BE A BUMPY RIDE.

COME TO YOU ANDY, THE BUMPY RIDE, DO YOU THINK WE WILL CONTINUE TO RICE OR GO DOWN ON THE MARKET? >> I THINK WE WILL RISE, WE WILL TRADE A LOT OF LIMIT MOVES AND WE HAVE SEEN A DOZEN OF THEM. THE MARKET USUALLY DOESN'T GO UP WHEN IT RAINS AND THAT'S KIND OF WHAT WE HAVE GONE THROUGH. WE WILL CROSS THE TIPPING POINT AND ONCE WE SEAL THE ACRES OUT WITH THE PLANT DATES THE RAIN ARE DO THE DAMAGE IT'LL DO AND WE HAVE TO PRICE OUT DEMANDS AT THAT POINT. WE ARE TALKING ABOUT LOT OF UNPLANTED GROUND INTO INDIANA, IOWA AND INTO THE DAKOTA'S. A 25th PLANT DATE, UP IN THE DAKOTA A THAT WE WILL HIT AND THE SOUTH AND THE 20th OF MAY, WE ARE GOING TO RUN INTO A LOT OF THE ACRES, WE WILL LOOSE BETWEEN THREE MILLION ACRES, AROUND 4, 500 MILLION-BUSHELS, IT'LL BE REALLY TIGHT NEXT YEAR.

LET ME LOOK AT CORN. JULY CORN, I'M HEARING THE BASE PRICES SO HIGH, A LOT OF PRODUCERS CAN'T GET --WE ARE TALKING ABOUT LIVESTOCK. I SUPPOSE THE SAME MIGHT BE TRUE WITH ETHANOL.

YOU HAVE TO BE PATIENT. THE SUPPLIES --WE WATCHED THIS ALL WINTER, SPRING LONG THAT WE ARE GOING TO HAVE THE ULTRA TIGHT --HOW DO YOU RATION THAT OUT.

PRICE? ISN'T THAT IT?

QUITE A JOB OF THAT AT NEARLY EIGHT DOLLARS IN CORN. AS ANDY SAID THAT MAY NOT BE ENOUGH. IF WE CONTINUE TO HAVE -- JUST FLAT ACRE LOST PROBLEMS OR YIELD DEPLETING THROUGH MATURITY SEEDING.

YOU MENTIONED YIELD LOSS HERE AND OF COURSE THAT MEANS WE HAVE FEWER ACRES PLANTED BUT THEN PREVENTION, THE INDIVIDUAL FARMER HAS TO MAKE THAT CHOICE DOESN'T HE?

HE CAN PLANT CORN, LIKE 60% OF HIS COVERAGE, HE COULD --HE COULD WRITE A SCHEDULE FOR SOYBEANS IF HE WANTED TO BUT YOU MIGHT, YOU WON'T GET EITHER PLANTED, THEN YOU JUST LOOSE THE ACRES, YOU COULD MAKE A DECISION BUT YOU HAVE TO MAKE EVERY DECISION TO GET THE CORN PLANTED BUT THE DOLLAR FIGURE FOR ILLINOIS IS OVER $50 AN ACRE AND IT'S LIKE $3.50 SO IT MIGHT BE APPEALING FOR GUYS TO SAY I WILL TAKE THE MONEY, NOT TAKE THE RISK ON HAVING A POOR BEAN YIELD AND DOING THAT. I JUST THINK THAT IT'S GOING TO GET REALLY TIGHT AND WE HAVE GOTTEN IN TO THE STAGE OF THE MARKET WHERE WE KNEW IT WOULD GET TIGHT. NOW WE KNEW IT --WE KNEW CASH WOULD GET TIGHT IN SEPTEMBER AND INTO AUGUST AND THEY ARE TRYING TO GET THOSE THINGS COVERED. WE HOPED WE WOULD HAVE AN EARLY HARVEST.

SOME OF THE GUYS PROPROTECTED --LET'S SAY THE EARLY AUGUST, BUT THEN --IF WE HAVE A LATE HARVEST IT WON'T BE AVAILABLE.

YES. THE PATTERN IN WEATHER ISN'T CHANGING AND --YOU JUST LOOK AT THE PACIFIC. THERE ARE TWO SYSTEMS, THEY HAVE BEEN LINED UP AND MARCHING IN FOR MONTHS. PATTERN HASN'T BROKEN, PATTERNS ARE HARD TO BREAK. SOMETIMES HAVE YOU TO GO THROUGH CHANGE OF SEASON BUT THAT TIME OUT WON'T COME FOR A WHILE. IT'LL BE TO LATE IF THAT'S WHAT HAPPENS BECAUSE THAT'S --THAT IS A OFTEN --OFTEN HAPPENS BUT --WE HAVE A PATTERN, CAN'T BREAK IT AND IT'S --WE ARE SOAKED.

YOU STAY WITH ME HERE. WE WILL BE BACK WITH MORE U.S. FARM REPORT. .

ROUND TABLE GUESTS, GARY AND ANDY. FIRST SEGMENT WE TALKED ABOUT CORN AND WHAT THE THINGS WERE, THAT SORT OF THING. I WILL ASK ABOUT BEANS BECAUSE THEY HAVEN'T BEEN CLIMBING AS MUCH AS I THOUGHT THEY WOULD. DOES THAT MEAN ALL THE CONACRES WILL BE PUT TO BEANS IN.

I THINK YOU WILL PICK UP BEAN ACRES BUT YOU WILL SEE PREVENTION AND SOYBEANS ALSO. I WOULDN'T HAVE DREAMED IN A MILLION YEARS AFTER THE LAST COUPLE SEASONS WITH WETNESS WE WOULD SEE A FLOOD ONS MISSISSIPPI LIKE THIS AND THEN GO UP INTO THE OHIO VALLEY. IT'S A PROBLEM FOR ACRES IN GENERAL, CORN AND BEANS, BUT THE BEAN MARKET IN GENERAL IS --ITS BEEN A DOG, CORN RALLIED 80 SOME CENTS AND BEAN WAS LIKE 40. IT TELLS YOU WHAT IS GOING ON AND THE CHINESE HAVEN'T BEEN BUYING BEANS LIKE THEY HAVE BEEN IN THE FIRST HALF OF THE YEAR AND PART OF MAN IS THEY JUST DON'T KNOW WHAT TO DO WITH PRICE AND THEY HAVE HARD PRICE CAPS ON MEAL AND OIL. UNTIL THEY PULL THEM YOU WOULDN'T WANT TO GET SUPER BULLISH BEANS. WE HAVE TIGHT STOCKS.

THEY SAID CHINA AND ARGENTINA GOT AN AGREE MEANT THAT HELPED THE BEAN OIL PRICE. IT'S REALLY NOT HELPING THE BEAN SALES THOUGH.

I HEAR THEY WILL PULL THE CAPS ON CANOLA OIL AND THEY ARE LOOKING FOR CORN IN THE SEPTEMBER SHIPMENT. I THINK YOU WILL SEE -- THEY ARE HOPING TO GET LUCKY ON THE WEATHER. THEY ARE TAKING STEPS TO MAKE SURE THERE IS NO GRAIN.

YOUR CONCEPT ON SOYBEANS.

WE ARE WASHING OUT ACRES, THE SWOLLEN MISSISSIPPI RIVER. PROBABLY NOT MUCH OF A CHANGE. PROBABLY SEASONLY LACKS WHICH IS NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF THE YEAR WITH SOUTH AMERICAN PRODUCTION AND GOT TO REMEMBER THEY HAVE A GOODYEAR AND WORLDWIDE SOYBEAN PRODUCTION WOULD BE UP ONLY ABOUT A PERCENT BUT WE AREN'T LOSING, SUPPLIES ARE TIGHT AND THINGS COULD GET EXCITING BUT IF YOU STEP BACK AND LOOK AT BEAN CHART THEY HAVE JUST BEEN DUKING OUT, SHADOW BOXING WITH THE CORN IS LOOKING LIKE THE SHUTTLE LIFTOFF.

THE NEXT STEP I WANT TO GO TO IS TALK ABOUT WHEAT AT THIS TIME. I KNOW --TALKING ABOUT THE WORLD WHEAT SITUATION, ALMOST EVERY COUNTRY --WE HAVE WHEAT IN THIS COUNTRY AND A LOT OF THE DROUGHT OUT WEST, YIELD ISN'T GOING TO BE GOOD. WHERE DO WE STAND ON WHEAT?

I THINK THE LOW GOT PULLED IN EARLY IN THE WEEK. LIGHT YIELD AND JUST LIKE CORN HARVEST LAST FALL WE SAW THE MARKET RALLY THROUGH --I THINK WE DON'T DO ANYTHING TO CRAZY UNLESS EUROPE GETS HIT PRETTY GOOD ON THE YIELD AND THAT ISN'T A DONE DEAL YET. IF THEY DON'T GET RAIN AND HELP, THE WHEAT MARKET IN PARTICULAR IN MINNEAPOLIS COULD BE CRAZY BECAUSE MINNEAPOLIS WHEAT ACTS LIKE CORN.

IT IS REALLY BULLISH.

MY UNDERSTANDING IS IT'S NOT A WORLD SHORTAGE OF WHEAT SUCH AS THERE IS OR COULD BE --.

CORNS AND BEANS. WE HAVE ABOUT 3% --.

WE HAVE HIGH PROTEIN --IT COULD BE BIG TROUBLE. WE HAVE THE PROBLEMS, KANSAS, RED WHEAT, THAT'S MOST UNUSUAL AND THEN IN EUROPE WE HAVE TO FOCUS ON FRANCE, THAT'S WHERE THE TROUBLE IS, WITH THE DRYNESS. YOU GO EAST, ON INTO THE BLACK SEA COUNTRIES, THAT --THEY ARE DOING OKAY, THAT'S WHERE YOU GET THIS --WHEAT HAS GROWN AND WE GROW WHEAT IN ALASKA, A FRIEND OF MINE OWNED AN ELEVATOR. HE JUST HAD A SHOVEL BUT -- IT'S GROWING EVERYWHERE, EVERY STATE OF THE UNION, EVERYBODY GROWS WHEAT, SAUDI ARABIA WHEN WE HAD PROBLEMS IN THE CARTER ADMINISTRATION AND EMBARGOEA AND THEY WENT OUT AND BOUGHT A HOSE AND STRING SPRINKLER. NOW THEY EXPORT.

WE LEARN SOMETHING EVERY DAY. YOU WATCH U.S. FARM REPORT DON'T YOU?

WEALTH OF USELESS KNOWLEDGE.

WILL WE HAVE A LOT OF OUTSIDE MONEY?

YES.

YES OR NO?

GOLDMAN SACK'S SAYS YES, SO DO I.

WE WILL BE BACK WITH MORE IN JUST A MOMENT.

ALL YOU GOT TO KNOW. .

WEATHER ON U.S. FARM REPORT IS BROUGHT TO YOU BY NATIONWIDE AGRO BUSINESS, NATIONWIDE AGRO BUSINESS IS THE NUMBER ONE FARM INSURANCE IN THE U.S..

I HAVEN'T CHECKED MY PHONE ON THE --THE RADAR FOR FIVE MINUTES, LET'S GO STRAIGHT TO THE SOURCE. MIKE I HAD THE SAME LOW PRESSURE CENTERED OVER ME FOR THREE DAYS LAST WEEKEND. ARE THEY MORE FREQUENT OR AM I JUST NOTICING THEM?

IT'S KIND OF LATE IN THE SEASON TO BE SEEING A SITUATION LIKE THIS. IT'S A BIT UNUSUAL TO BE SEEING A LARGE AREA GETTING AMOUNT OF RAIN. I KNOW A LOT OF YOU AREN'T WORRIED, SOME OF YOU ARE WORRIED ABOUT THE DROUGHT AND THAT IS STILL THE CASE OVER MUCH OF OKLAHOMA BUT THE EASTERN PART. MUCH OF TEXAS, MUCH OF THE SOUTHEAST IS GETTING DRYER ONCE AGAIN, ESPECIALLY SOUTHEAST FLORIDA AND OF COURSE THE DROUGHT CONTINUES IN TO THE SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE DESERT SOUTHWEST. LET'S CHECK THINGS OUT INTO THIS WEEK. WE CONTINUE TO SEE A TROUGH OVER THE UPPER MIDWEST BUT AT LEAST NOT THAT CUT OFF LOW WE SAW MOST OF LATE LAST WEEK. THAT'S CHANGED A LITTLE BIT. YOU CAN SEE AS WE HEAD INTO THE WEEK --ENERGY IS MOVING THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES. NOW THE NEXT PIECE OF ENERGY COMES IN AND IT MAY CUT OFF. AT LEAST THE LATEST COMPUTER MODEL IS TRYING TO MOVE IT ALONG WITH ANOTHER TROUGH DIVING IN TO THE FORTH EASTERN PLAINS. OVERALL IT'S A WARMER SITUATION THIS COMING WEEK BUT WE ARE LOOKING AT SLOW MOVING STORM SYSTEMS, LOPEFULLY THEY DON'T JUST COMPLETELY STALL. THAT'S SOMETHING WE WILL HAVE TO WATCH. THERE IS THE WEATHER MAP AND AT LEAST A WIDE AREA WHERE THERE ARE CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS, NOW MOST OF THIS SECTOR, HIT AND MISS AFTERNOON VARIETY THUNDERSTORMS, NORTH OF THAT THOUGH A LITTLE MORE GENERAL RAIN AREAS PARTS OF THE AREA INTO THE GREAT LAKES, COUPLE AREAS MOVING IN TO PARTS OF OKLAHOMA AND TEXAS AND RAIN WOULD BE GOOD NEWS, BY THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK WE ARE LOOKING AT THE FIRST PART OF THE SYSTEM. THE CENTRAL PLAIN STATES AND THIS WILL BE SLOW MOVING WITH AREAS OF RAIN, ESPECIALLY NORTH TO NORTHWEST OF THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE AND THESE WILL BE THE HIT AND MISS VARIETY IN THE MUGGY AIR FROM THE OHIO VALLEY BASICALLY ON TOWARD THE GULF OF MEXICO. THEN BY FRIDAY WE WILL SEE ANOTHER SYSTEM --RAIN AND A FEW SPOTS OF SNOW IN THE HIGHER ELEVATION, THAT VERY SLOW SYSTEM MOVING THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY. SOME RAIN AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS THERE. COMING UP IN THE NEXT HALF HOUR THE LONGER RANGE FORECAST. .

YOU ARE WATCHING THIS SHOW I THINK WE CAN ASSUME THE MUCH OVER EXPOSED PREDICTION OF THE END OF THE WORLD ON SATURDAY WAS MISTAKEN. WHILE THE MEDIA SNICKERED MOST GLOSSED OVER A WORSE SIGN OF BAD NEWS, WE HIT THE DEBT CEILING. THE LEGISLATION NEEDED TO RAISE THE DEBT LIMIT IS BEING USED TO FORCE LIKELY TARGETED SPENDING CUTS. RAISING IT HAS ALWAYS BEEN AN OCCASION FOR STERN WORDS ABOUT FISCAL RESPONSIBILITY. THIS TIME I THINK WE ARE FOOLISHLY PLAYING HARD BALL WITH A GRAND GRENADE. . JUST AS HISTORY HAS SHOWN EVENTS LIKE THE CUBAN MISSILE CRISIS IN 1962 TO HAVE BEEN A NEAR MIRACLE ESCAPE FROM DISASTER I THINK LEGISLATORS ARE FOOLING THEMSELVES WITH HOW WELL THEY CAN JUDGE THE EDGE OF THE CLIFF. UNLIKE PREVIOUS CRISIS THIS UNNEEDED CONFRONTATION WILL BE UNFOLDING IN A WORLD WHERE INFORMATION AND MONEY FLOW AS FAST AS ELECTRONS DOWN A WIRE. WHILE THE PLAYERS THINK THEY MAY BE IN CONTROL IN A PRESENCE ROOM PANIC COULD TAKE THE REINS IN A MINUTE. FARMERS HAVE MUCH MORE TO LOOSE THAN THEY MAY THINK. I BELIEVE THOSE CONSEQUENCES WILL COME FASTER AND MORE BRUTALLY THAN WE CAN IMAGINE. LET US KNOW WHAT YOU THINK. SEND E-MAIL TO MAILBAG AT U.S. FARM REPORT.COM OR CALL AND LEAVE US A VOICEMAIL.

COMING UP IN THE NEXT HALF HOUR COLLEGE STUDENTS TURNED RODEO RIDERS IN NEW MEXICO. STAY WITH US, THE SECOND HALF IS COMING RIGHT UP. .

TODAY ON U.S. FARM REPORT. FOOD COMPANIES STEP UP THEIR RESPONSE TO CHILD NUTRITION CRITICISM. MIKE HOFFMAN LOOKS FOR RELIEF FOR WET AND DRY AREAS.

AND A COLLEGE TEAM FOR THE ANIMALS AREN'T JUST MASCOTS.

U.S. FARM REPORT BROUGHT TO YOU BY CHEVY, AND THEIR AWARD WINNING CARS, TRUCKS AND CROSSOVERS. .

HELLO, WELCOME TO U.S. FARM REPORT. FOR ALL OF YOU HEADED TO A COLLEGE GRADUATION I REMEMBER THAT HAPPY DAY, NOT ONLY DID MY BUDGET NOT MISS THE CHECKS BUT IT'S A MILESTONE IN RAISING A CHILD. HOWEVER OF THE JOY OF THAT EVENT IS NOTHING COMPARED TO THE ANNOUNCEMENT, DAD I HAVE A JOB. GRADUATES FINDING A BRUTAL JOB MARKET EVEN FOR ONCE GOLDEN CAREERS LIKE ENGINEERING. THERE IS ONE SURPRISING GROUP OF SMILING GRADUATES AND THEY ARE SMILING PARENTS. HERE IS AL WITH THAT STORY.

Reporter: THANK YOU JOHN. THE JOB MARKET IS HOLDING STRONG FOR COLLEGE GRADUATES SPECIALIZING IN AGRICULTURE. AGRICULTURE CAREERS.COM PUBLISHED A 2010 U.S. BUSINESS JOB REPORT AND IT FOUND EYE JOB POSTINGS WERE UP SIGNIFICANTLY FROM THE PREVIOUS YEAR. THE JOB NUMBER --NUMBERS OF JOBS POSTED IN NORTH AMERICA GREW BY 23%. THE HIGHEST NUMBER OF AVAILABLE JOBS COULD BE FOUND IN THE MIDWEST. AT PURDUE JOB PLACEMENT IS A ROUND 90%.

A LOT OF OPTIMISM, PLACEMENT APPEARS TO BE QUITE GOOD. WE WILL SEE PLACEMENT OF THE GRADUATES IN THE 90% I THINK OR HIGHER. IN FACT WE ARE SEEING ENROLLMENT IN THE AGRICULTURE SCHOOLS VERY STRONG AND ONE OF THE REASONS FOR THAT IS AGRICULTURE NOT ONLY HAS A LOT OF OPPORTUNITY BUT IT'S INVOLVED WITH A LOT OF THE BIG ISSUES OF THE WORLD FROM FEEDING THE WORLD TO CONSERVATION TO ENVIRONMENT TO GLOBAL WARMING. ITS LIGHT AT THE CENTER OF THAT, AGRICULTURE WILL BE IMPORTANT IN ALL THOSE AREAS AND YOUNG PEOPLE SEE THAT, NOT ONLY FOR THE OPPORTUNITIES BUT FOR THE REAL PROBLEMS THAT AGRICULTURE IS INVOLVED WITH SOLVING.

THE AVAILABLE JOBS COVERED MANY ASPECTS OF AGRICULTURE INCLUDING BIO TECHNOLOGY AND EQUIPMENT.

UNDERSTANDING THAT EATING HABITS FORMED AT AN EARLY AGE A GROWING NUMBER OF FOOD COMPANIES ARE GETTING ON BOARD WITH HEALTHY KID CAMPAIGNS. A NEW REPORT FROM A MARKET RESEARCH FIRM SAID THE HEALTHY KIDS FOOD MARKET SAY TEN BILLION DOLLAR NICHE. WITH ONE IN EVERY THREE KIDS OVER WEIGHT FOOD MAKERS WANT TO PRESENT THEMSELVES AS THE SOLUTION, NOT THE CAUSE. THE HE REPORT PREDICTS SALES OF HEALTHIER FOODS TARGETED TO KIDS WILL GROW 40% IN THE NEXT FIVE-YEARS. THOSE ARE THE HEADLINES, WE HAVE MIKE NOW AND HE IS JOINING US WITH THE NATIONAL FORECAST.

WEATHER ON U.S. FARM REPORT IS BROUGHT TO YOU BY NATIONWIDE AGRO BUSINESS, NATIONWIDE AGRO BUSINESS THE NUMBER ONE FARM INSURANCE IN THE U.S..

LATE LAST WEEK WE SAW ANOTHER KIND OF CUT OFF LOW MOVING THROUGH THE CENTER OF THE COUNTRY. WE EXPECT THAT TO START MOVING BY EARLY NEXT WEEK --IT'S STILL SLOW BUT AT LEAST IS MOVING THROUGH THE NORTHEAST PARTS AND THE PORTIONS OF THE GREAT LAKES MOVING NORTHEAST, A WIDESPREAD AREA IN EASTERN TWO THIRDS OF THE AREA, THERE IS AT LEAST A CHANCE OF RAIN, HIT AND MISS IN THE WARM SECTOR, INTO THE GREAT LAKES PROBABLY MORE GENERAL SHOWERS, THAT SYSTEM, ANOTHER WEAK SYSTEM THROUGH THE WEST, BY WEDNESDAY THEN IT LOOKS LIKE THE TROUGH DEVELOPS AND MIGHT START TO CUT OFF FOR A DAY OR TWO, WE DON'T EXPECT IT TO LAST AS LONG AS THE LAST ONE DID AND WE EXPECT THIS SYSTEM TO BE WARMER THAN THE LAST ONE WAS BECAUSE IT WAS CHILLY IN PLACES BUT GENERAL RAIN ACROSS THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL PARTS INTO THE PARTS OF THE OHIO VALLEY. THESE WILL BE MISSED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. BY FRIDAY THEN IT DEPENDS ON WHICH MODEL YOU LOOK AT, THE CUT OFF MOVING THROUGH THE SOUTHEAST, IT CAN MOVE --IT SHOULD BE A WARM UP. LET'S TAKE A LOOK AT THE LONGER RANGE FORECAST. THIS WILL TAKE US FROM THE 29th OF MAY THROUGH JUNE 4th AND LOOKS ABOVE NORMAL FORT EASTERN SEABOARD. ABOVE NORMAL FOR THE SOUTHWEST, ESPECIALLY SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA AND ARIZONA, FROM MICHIGAN DOWN TO ARKANSAS, OKLAHOMA BACK INTO THE NORTHERN ROCKIES, PROBABLY WILL BE COLDER THAN NORMAL AS SOME CHILLY AIR TRIES TO MOVE THERE. PRECIPITATION INTO EARLY JUNE. ABOVE NORMAL FROM ARKANSAS THROUGH PARTS OF THE -- NORTHERN DIXIE, TENNESSEE VALLEY INTO THE NORTHEAST AND ANOTHER BATCH FROM THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES BACK THROUGH SOUTH DAKOTA AND NEBRASKA. IN BETWEEN NEAR NORMAL, A LOT OF THIS AREA DOESN'T NECESSARILY NEED THE RAIN. BELOW NORMAL WHERE YOU COULD USE IT IN SOUTH FLORIDA AND SOUTH AND WEST TEXAS INTO THE DESERT SOUTHWEST. 30 DAY OUTLOOK, PARTS OF THE NORTH BEST ABOVE NORMAL, FOUR CORNER AREA, TEXAS AND MUCH OF THE SOUTHWEST PRECIPITATION OVER THE NEXT 30 DAYS, ABOVE NORMAL FROM THE OHIO VALLEY THROUGH GREAT LAKES AND -- SOUTH FLORIDA AS WELL AS AREAS THAT COULD USE THE RAIN, TEXAS, MUCH OF THE FOUR CORNERS, AS YOU NOTICE ON BOTH OF THOSE LONG RANGE OUTLOOKS THE AREAS THAT COULD USE THE RAIN PROBABLY NOT A GOOD CHANCE.

THERE IS A DON'T NEED IT STILL GETTING SOME.

WE WILL BE WATCHING HEAT.

THAT'S AN IMPORTANT FACTOR. WE AREN'T GETTING WHAT WE NEED TO GET THE CROPS GOING.

THAT'S SOME GOOD NEWS N IS STILL A WET SITUATION BUT A WARMER WET SITUATION.

WE WILL TAKE WHAT WE CAN GET. SPIRIT OF THE HEART LAND IS NEXT. .

COLLEGE SPORTS S ARE HUGE. THIS WEEKEND WE HEAD TO NEW MEXICO TO RIDE WITH ONE OF THE BEST COLLEGE RODEO TEAMS IN THE COUNTRY. AS CLINTON SHOWS US THE AGENT LETS ARE ONLY A FEW STEPS FROM THE TOP OF THEIR SPORT. AT THE EDGE OF NEW MEXICO ALONG OLD ROUTE 66 LIES A LOWER SCALED, HIGHER EDUCATION ESTABLISHMENT WITH ENROLLMENT AROUND 1,000 THE COMMUNITY COLLEGE IN NEW MEXICO IS IN A BIG SCHOOL BUT THIS YEAR IT'S A GIANT IN THE ARENA.

WE ARE THE TEAM TO BEAT PRETTY MUCH SO FAR.

RIGHT NOW THE MEN'S TEAM IS SITTING 4th IN THE NATION AND ONE TEAM MEMBER IS RIDING AT THE FRONT OF THE PACK. RANKED TOP AROUND TOP COWBOY IN THE COUNTRY. THAT'S OUT OF MORE THAN 130 OTHER SCHOOLS INCLUDING MANY FOUR YEAR UNIVERSITIES.

THE GUYS ARE GOOD AND THE GIRLS ARE GETTING THERE.

LAST YEAR THE GIRLS HAD THE BEST BARREL RAISER BUT IN ALL OF THE POSSIBLE ARENAS HOW DOES A TINY TOWN PULL SUCH TALENTED ATHLETES.

WE HAVE HAD --A LOT OF SUPPORT FROM THE SCHOOL, FROM THE COMMUNITY AND THEN WE HAVE BEEN LUCKY TO HAVE A LOT OF GOOD KIDS HERE, MOST OF THEM ARE FROM SMALLER TOWNS, THEY DON'T WANT TO GO TO A FOUR YEAR UNIVERSITY. THEY DON'T WANT TO BE OVERWHELMED . THEY WANT TO GET IN CAREFULLY. THIS IS A GREAT PLACE TO START OUT. COMING A SMALL TOWN I WASN'T REAL SURE ABOUT THE WHOLE COLLEGE DEAL BUT FROM ONE SMALL TOWN TO ANOTHER ABOUT THE SAME SIZE, CLASSES ARE GOING WELL AND STUFF AND JUST ALMOST A HOME AWAY FROM HIM.

IT'S VERY DIFFERENT TO WHERE I'M FROM BECAUSE I'M FROM THE COAST SO, YEAH, I WASN'T SURE AT FIRST BUT ITS BEEN GREAT.

FROM THE ACCENT IS HE SHE IS OBVIOUSLY NOT FROM TEXAS, TRY AUSTRALIA AND BEING OUT OF STATE ISN'T THAT UNUSUAL. THE RODEO HAS RIDERS 16 DIFFERENT STATES, AUSTRALIA AND MOST YEARS CANADA.

WE FIND KIDS, A LOT PROSECUTE SMALLER STATES AND FROM HAWAII AND AUSTRALIA AND IDAHO AND THEY DON'T GET RECRUITED AS MUCH AS KIDS IN THE SOUTHWEST WHERE IT'S MORE PROMINENT. TO COMPETE WITH THE BIGGER SCHOOLS WE HAVE TO THINK OUTSIDE THE BOX.

IT HELPS THEY SHARE A SADDLE WITH THE BIG BOYS AND FOR THE TRANSPLANT IT'S A CHANCE TO COMPETE.

ITS BEEN A DREAM OF MINE FOR ABOUT THREE YEARS, VERY BEEN TRYING TO GET OVER HERE TO PURSUE MY EDUCATION AND RODEO.

FOR THE KIDS HAVING TEAMMATES ACROSS THE COUNTRY AND OTHER COUNTRIES ONLY ADDS TO THE LEARNING EXPERIENCE.

IT'S GREAT TO KNOW HOW THEY DO THINGS BACK WHERE THEY ARE FROM AND HOW THEY DO THEM HERE AND HANG OUT WITH THEM AND STUFF. YOU CAN LEARN A LOT PROSECUTE PEOPLE ON --THEIR DIFFERENT PARTS OF THE COUNTRY.

LESSONS YOU CAN'T LEARN IN A CLASSROOM AND PART OF THE EDUCATIONAL LESSON THE COACH HOPES EVERYBODY WILL CARRY ON.

BE CONSISTENT WITH WHAT YOU DO AND DON'T TRY TO PRETEND TO DO IT WELL ONE DAY AND SLACK OFF FOR THREE DAYS IN A ROW, BE CONSISTENT AND DO IT EVERY DAY.

LIFE LESSON HELPING THIS SMALL SCHOOL STAND TALL. HELPING THESE KIDS TAKE A SHOT AT CATCHING THEIR DREAMS. FOR THE U.S. FARM REPORT, I'M CLINTON GRIFFITHS.

CLINTON SAID SEVERAL MEMBERS OF THE TEAM QUALIFIED FOR THE COLLEGE NATIONAL FILES RODEO. THEY WILL COMPETE JUNE 12th THROUGH THE 18th.

NEXT WEEK A COLLEGE WORE LIVESTOCK SHARES THE CAMPUS WITH CLASSROOMS AND DORMS THAT. STORY NEXT WEEK ON SPIRIT OF THE HEART LAND.

WHEN WE COME BACK WEATHER WISDOM FROM BAXT. >>ANNOUNCER: R BLACK. . >>

WHEN I SELL A CRITICIZEDDER I'M KEEPING PEOPLE LOVING BEEF AND VOLUNTEERS, BEEF AND DAIRY FOLKS LIKE YOU AND ME DIED HOW IT'S SPENT. GET TO KNOW YOUR CHECKOFF AT MY BEEF CHECKOFF.COM. .

BAXTER BLACK IS BROUGHT TO YOU BY YOUR BEEF CHECKOFF. IF YOU WOULD LIKE TO LEARN MORE ABOUT HOW PRODUCERS MAKE DECISIONS, WHERE THE DOLLARS GO AND HOW THEY ARE INVESTED TO PROMOTE YOUR PRODUCT VISIT MY BEEF CHECKOFF.COM.

WHAT'S IT LIKE WHEN A STORM ROLLS IN ON BAXTER BLACK? AS ALWAYS ONLY HE CAN EXPLAIN IT IN SUCH DRAMATIC DETAILS. .

THE BIG HIGH PLAYS IN MY MIND, ROW ON THE JUDAS --ROUGH ON THE JUDAS, ANYWHERE YOU FEEL TINY AND YOU GET A GOOD LOOK AT THE GUY, SOMETIMES WHEN IT'S A STORM --YOU CAN LOOK THE LORD IN THE EYE. I STOOD AND WATCHED IN AMAZEMENT OUT ON SAINT AUGUSTINE PLAIN WHILE THE SKY TURNED AS BLACK AS THE CURTAINS IN HELL AND THE WIND CAME CHASING THE RAIN. STANDING THERE WATCHING I FELT IT IN THE MINUTING BEFORE IT ARRIVED --A STILLNESS TRICKLED BY SKIN LIKE THE STORM ITSELF WAS ALIVE AND WHEN IT HIT IT HIT WITH A FURY. THE WIND --FLED THE CHARGE WITH THE SCREAM OF A DEMON. THE STORM WAS BARING ITS TEETH AND THE THUNDER CRACKED THE SKIES SPLIT APART WITH A HORRIBLE ROAR, I FELT LIKE A FOX IN A CAGE MADE OF BONE, INSIDE OF A HOUND WITH A DOOR. THE BLACKNESS SHOOK LIKE A SHE BEAR AND THE LIGHTNING BLINDED THE SUN AND THE RAIN FELL LIKE BULLETS AROUND MAY SCATTER IN DUST LIKE A GUN AND IT WAS OVER. QUICK AS IT STARTED. LEAVING A PEACEFUL INSTEAD -- AND THE ONLY SOUND WAS THE BEAT OF MY HEART POUNDING INSIDE OF MY HEAD. I TOOK OFF MY HAT TO SHAKEN TO MOVE, AFRAID OF MAKING A SOUND. I FELT LIKE A MAN ON THE HEAD OF A PIANO WITH NOBODY ELSE AROUND. THE SUN WAS ALREADY SPARKED WITH --AND RAIN DROPS STILL WET ON MY FACE. BIG HIGH ONLY GOD'S WAY WAS PUT IN THE MAN IN HIS PLACE. THIS IS BAXTER BLACK FROM OUT THERE. .

BAXTER WILL JOIN US AGAIN IN TWO WEEKS. UNTIL THEN CHECK OUT HIS WORK ON BAXTER BLACK.COM.

UP NEXT TRACTOR TRAIL TALES AND THE COUNTRY CHURCH SALUTE. .

AL JOINS YOU NOW FOR TRACTOR TALES.

WE HAVE A 1967 JOHN DE, RE230. THIS TRACTOR WORKED THE ORANGE GROVES OF FLORIDA AND THAT BEEN IN THE FAMILY FROM THE BEGINNING.

ITS BEEN IN --WAS IN MY FAMILY WHEN IT WAS BRAND NEW, MY GRANDFATHER BOUGHT IT AND FROM FIELD EQUIPMENT OFFSPRINGS AND WHEN HAD WAS DELIVERED I WAS THE FIRST TO DRIVE IT. AS YOU SEE IT RIGHT NOW WITH HOW IT WAS DELIVERED WITH THE FRONT SHIELD AND THE FENDERS. WE KNEW WHERE IT WAS FOR A TIME T WAS IN THE BUSHES AND THE MAN THAT HAD IT WAS GRACIOUS ENOUGH THAT SINCE HE WAS A FRIEND HE LET US HAVE IT BACK AND WE RESTORED IT. NOTHING WORKED BUT IT'S ALL ORIGINAL TIN. I DROVE IT WHEN I WAS YOUNG IN THE FAMILY OWNED AND WE ALSO DID WORK FOR THE CITRUS GROWERS AND I DROVE IT QUITE A BIT DURING MY HIGH SCHOOL DAYS. IT'S SOMEWHERE IN THE 62, 63 HORSE RANGE. IT'S ONE OF THE BIGGER TRACTORS, FOR THE HORSE POWER FOR THE SIZE IT WAS IT WOULD PULL A TEN FOOT ROW DISK, AND IT WOULD PULL MOST OF THE PTO DRIVEN SPRAYING MACHINES OF THAT DAY. ABOUT 16, 17 MILES AN HOUR.

JOIN US NEXT WEEK AS WE FEATURE A COLLECTOR FROM THE EAST COAST AND HIS FARM SUPER C. HE SAID IT'S A WORK IN PROGRESS. SEE FOR YOURSELF NEXT WEEK ON TRACTOR TALES.

TODAY'S COUNTRY CHURCH SALUTE GROSS TO THE OAK, GRO OVE CHURCH IN POLK. CALLED THE LITTLE WHITE CHURCH THE STORY OF THIS HISTORIC STRUCTURE DATES BACK TO 1882. THAT IS WHEN CONSTRUCTION STARTED WITH ALL MATERIALS TAKEN TO THE SITE BY HORSE AND WAGON. LONG PART OF THE UNITED METHODIST DOMINATION IT'S NOW NONDENOMINATIONAL. MEMBERS INCLUDE BAPTISTS AND OTHER RELIGIOUS BACKGROUNDS,S CHURCH SERVES AS A RURAL COMMUNITY WITH VINEYARD OWNERS MAKING UP A LARGE PART OF THE CHURCH THE CURRENT PASTOR MARK WILLIAMS. WE INVITE YOU TO TELL US ABOUT YOUR CHURCH. SEND INFORMATION TO THE ADDRESS ON YOUR SCREEN. WE WILL BE RIGHT BACK.

COUNTRY SALUTE IS BROUGHT TO YOU BY FARMERS FEEDING THE WORLD. LEARN MORE, GIVE GENEROUSLY, DREAM HUGE WITH US. .

IT'S DIFFICULT TO END THE PROGRAM THIS WAY BUT WE WANTED YOU TO KNOW OF THE SUDDEN AND TRAGIC LOSS OF A FRIEND AND COLLEAGUE. LINDSEY HILL WAS KILLED IN A CAR ACCIDENT THURSDAY MORNING. WHILE SHE ONLY WORKED WITH US A SHORT TIME HER IMPACT WAS IMMEDIATE. CLINTON HAS MORE.

LINDSEY KNEW AGRICULTURE AND IT'S IMPORTANCE IN THE COUNTRY. FOR THOSE OF YOU WHO DON'T KNOW SHE GREW UP ON A FAMILY FARM IN OHIO. SHE HAD AN AGRICULTURE COMMUNICATION DEGREE FROM THE OHIO STATE UNIVERSITY AND THEN WORKED IN AG BROADCASTING BOTH IN RADIO AND TELEVISION IN HER HOME STATE BEFORE FINDING HER WAY TO OUR DOOR.

HERE WE GO. STAND BY.

IN ADDITION TO HER DUTIES AT FARM JOURNAL TELEVISION SHE WAS A LEADER IN THE INDUSTRY SERVING AS PRESIDENT OF THE NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF FARM BROADCASTERS. SHE INSTANTLY BECAME AN IMPORTANT TEAM MEMBER HERE AT FARM JOURNAL QUICK WITH A SMILE AND SHARP ON THE JOB. WHETHER IT WAS INTERVIEWING THE SECRETARY OF AGRICULTURE OR MISS AMERICA SHE GOT IT. > WE ARE BOTH ROOKIES HERE. WE'RE TOGETHER.

WE JUST THIS WEEK SHE POSTED SPENDING THE DAY WORKING IN DOWNTOWN CHICAGO. DON'T TELL ANYBODY BUT I MAY LOVE THIS JOB. WHILE IT WAS ONLY FOR A SHORT TIME WE LOVED HER TOO.

FROM WASHINGTON DC, I'M LINDSEY LITTLE WITH A LITTLE BIT OF WIND IN MY HAIR.

SHE HAD A UNIQUE PERSPECTIVE ON A LIFE WELL LIVED. SHE WROTE, LIFE IS TO SHORT TO WAKE UP WITH REGRET, LOVE THE PEOPLE WHO TREAT YOU RIGHT, FORGIVE THOSE WHO DON'T, BELIEVE EVERYTHING HAPPENS FOR A REASON, IF IT CHANGES YOUR LIFE LET IT, NOBODY SAID LIFE WOULD BE EASY, JUST PROMISED IT WOULD BE WORTH IT.

IF YOU WERE IMPRESSED BY LINDSEY'S PERFORMANCE ON THE SHOW YOU SHOULD HAVE MET HER IN PERSON. SHE FOUND NEW POSSIBILITIES FOR THE SHOW AND HOW TO BETTER SERVE OUR VIEWERS. SHE BECAME NOT JUST A DELIGHTFUL PROFESSIONAL COLLEAGUE BUT A REMINDER OF HOW UNIQUE THE ONCOMING GENERATIONS OF AGRICULTURE ARE. IT'S HARD NOT TO DWELL ON HER OBVIOUS AND SADLY UNFULFILLED POTENTIAL THAT WE SHALL NOT ENJOY BUT HER LIFE AND CHARACTER ABSOLUTELY REFUTED ONE OVER USED LAMENT IN THE INDUSTRY, CLEARLY AS LINDSEY DEMONSTRATED AGRICULTURE IS ATTRACTING OUR BEST AND BRIGHTEST.

 

 

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