What’s Your Chance for a White Christmas?

December 18, 2013 02:11 AM
What’s Your Chance for a White Christmas?

NOAA shows the geographies where snow is most likely to be on the ground on Dec. 25.

Been dreaming of a white Christmas? You’re not alone — the U.S. has been fascinated with the idea of a winter wonderland since at least 1942, the year Bing Cosby sang White Christmas on the silver screen for the first time. (Trivia buffs take note - it was for the movie "Holiday Inn." He sang it again in for "White Christmas" in 1954.)

You won’t know for sure if you’ll have snow on the ground until Dec. 25, but the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) does offer up the historical probability of a white Christmas, which it defines as having at least 1 inch of snowfall on the ground. Probability is determined by calculating the 30-year historical average.


Want a guarantee of snow on the ground this Christmas? Move to Marquette, Mich., or International Falls, Minn., both of which had snow cover every year since recordkeeping began.

Beyond historical averages, The Weather Channel has a regularly updated map that gives the odds for a white Christmas for 2013. As of Dec. 17, much of the northern Rockies, Great Plains, upper Midwest and Northeast have the best odds.


If you want to avoid the snow, head to Florida. Snow is rare, but possible. Northeastern Florida even celebrated its own white Christmas in 1989.

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