WxRisk.com: Forecast 'Quiet' For U.S.

January 3, 2012 03:42 AM

Meteorologist David Tolleris of WxRisk.com has provided the following weather highlights:

A quick look at the national weather radar is available at this link.
The Monday national radar shows very little rain or snow anywhere over any portions of the Plains the Delta or the Midwest

US forecast overview
Things look pretty quite and dry for the next 7 days. Models show a big east US low JAN 11-12. If this low forms a arctic high could drop south into COL KS and TX around JAN 12-13-14.

Forecast details
The Friday morning weather map shows low pressure over IA ... high pressure over the East Coast and moving out to sea. There is weak a warm front from the Low in IA into ILL and western KY and a cold front from the low into MO northwest ARK and OK. Minimum temps Friday morning at 7am EST show subzero cold over northeast MN northern WI ... SINGLE digits over IA northern MO southern WI... TEENS over eastern ND eastern SD eastern NEB eastern KS MO ILL IND MI OH KY and eastern TN ... 20s over western NEB eastern COL western KS OK ARK LA MS AL GA.

The Tuesday morning weather map shows strong arctic high pressure covering all the Midwest extending from Wisconsin down into Southern Arkansas. The strong north winds over the Midwest have eased up considerably in the past 24 hours. Over the Plains the winds have turnaround to a southerly direction and temperatures of warming rapidly. The weather models continue to show that a mild pattern will remain dominant for the next seven days with respect to conditions over the Plains and the Midwest. There are no major weather systems are the likely bring significant rain to any portion of the central and lower Plains through the weekend. There will be a low pressure area which shall develop over the southeast states and move up the East Coast over the weekend but this feature will not really impact the lower Plains at all because it will develop too far to the east.

WEEK 2 January 9-15
A second and possibly more significant area of low pressure will develop over the Delta early next week -- JAN 9-10. This low pressure area also will probably develop too far to the east to provide any portion of the lower Plains with significant rain. It will develop over the southeastern states and move up the East Coast as a major East Coast Low pressure area which may also bring some snow to the western Corn Belt and the mountains of the East coast... and rain to the coastal areas. Behind the system there may be a push of arctic air building down from southwest Canada into the Rockies and the central and lower Plains January 12 -13 and 14. This will have to watch is carefully and see how it develops. In order for this arctic air mass to get into lower Plains we are going to have to get the big East coast storm to form first. If there is no big East Coast storm around January 12-13 then there will be NO arctic air mass following it and therefore no threat to the central lower Plains.


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