EHedger Closing Grain Commentary 12.29.09

Published on: 16:12PM Dec 29, 2009
Market Settlement Change Low High 
March corn 417    1    413.25 418
March wheat 541    -9 3/4 540 554.75
Jan soybeans 1038    9    1020.25 1040
Jan soymeal 314.90 4.50 306.6 316.3
Jan soyoil 39.43 -0.20 39.21 39.57
Feb live cattle 85.125 -0.25 84.80 85.33
Feb lean hogs 65.425 0.72 65.10 65.625

Soybeans closed higher, wheat closed lower and corn closed mixed.  The grain markets remain thin ahead of the New Year.  As I have said before, we will be receiving a lot of information on the January 12th reports and this has many traders on the sidelines for the time being.  Also, the market is waiting to see how much “new money” enters after Jan.1st.  The expectation for large allocations of money in this timeframe has kept support in the markets for now and provided a good selling opportunity for farmers.  We have seen a lot of farmer selling in the past few trading sessions and expect this to continue at the start of the year.  We should see farmer selling pick up dramatically (especially corn) after the start of 2010 as farmers free up some cash for tax season. Many farmers sold soybeans “off the combine” and stored corn.  A lot of this corn is not storing well and these bushels will be moved shortly.  For these reasons alone, I would make sure you are all caught up on sales by January 1.  If we do see a lot of farmer selling in January, it will be hard to find enough buying to accommodate this selling at current prices.  The calls that we bought a couple of weeks ago should give you the confidence to fire off cash sales at these levels and higher.  January will be a very important month and the information we receive will help structure our market for 2010.  If we continue to see a run-up in prices ahead of these reports, it will be a good idea to have some good sales on the books before this time.


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