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Released November 10, 2014, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service
(NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, United States Department of
Corn Production Down Slightly from October Forecast
Soybean Production Up Less Than 1 Percent
Cotton Production Up Less Than 1 Percent
Orange Production Unchanged
Small Grains Update
Survey respondents who reported barley, oats, Durum wheat, or other spring
wheat acreage as not yet harvested in Colorado, Idaho, Minnesota, Montana,
North Dakota, South Dakota, Utah, and Wyoming during the surveys conducted in
preparation for the Small Grains 2014 Summary, released September 30, 2014,
were re-contacted in late October to determine how many of those acres were
actually harvested and record the actual production from those acres. Based
on this updated information, several changes were made to the estimates
published in the Small Grains 2014 Summary. Because unharvested production is
a component of on-farm stocks, changes were made to the September 1 on-farm
stocks levels comparable with the production adjustments.
Corn production is forecast at 14.4 billion bushels, down slightly from the
previous forecast, but up 3 percent from 2013. Based on conditions as of
November 1, yields are expected to average 173.4 bushels per acre, down
0.8 bushel from the previous forecast but 14.6 bushels above the 2013
average. If realized, this will be the highest yield and production on record
for the United States. Area harvested for grain is forecast at 83.1 million
acres, unchanged from the previous forecast but down 5 percent from 2013.
Soybean production is forecast at a record 3.96 billion bushels, up less than
1 percent from October and up 18 percent from last year. Based on November 1
conditions, yields are expected to average a record high 47.5 bushels per
acre, up 0.4 bushel from last month and up 3.5 bushels from last year. Area
for harvest in the United States is forecast at a record 83.4 million acres,
unchanged from last month.
Soybeans: Area for harvest is forecast at a record 83.4 million acres,
unchanged from October but up 9 percent from 2013.
The November objective yield data for the combined 11 major soybean-producing
States (Arkansas, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Minnesota, Missouri,
Nebraska, North Dakota, Ohio, and South Dakota) indicate a higher pod count
compared with last year as conditions have generally been more favorable
across the Midwest. Compared with final counts for 2013, pod counts are up in
eight of the eleven published States. The largest increase from 2013's final
pod count is expected in Missouri, up 555 pods per 18 square feet. An
increase of more than 200 pods per 18 square feet is expected in Arkansas,
Illinois, and Iowa.
Soybean harvest in the 18 major States was 10 percent complete at the end of
September, equal to last year's pace but 7 percentage points behind normal.
Rain across much of the central Corn Belt slowed harvest during the early
part of October. As of October 19, harvest was 53 percent complete, 8
percentage points behind last year and 13 percentage points behind normal. At
that time, harvest progress in Illinois, Indiana, Kansas, Michigan, Missouri,
Ohio, and Wisconsin had fallen behind normal by 20 percentage points or more.
Drier weather during the latter part of October allowed harvest progress to
catch up to or surpass the normal pace in most States by the end of the
month. As of November 2, harvest was 83 percent complete, 2 percentage points
behind last year but equal to the 5-year average. Progress was only behind
normal by more than 10 percentage points in Indiana, Kentucky, Michigan, and
Ohio at that time.
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