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WASDA Report 8/12/10

Published on: 09:47AM Aug 12, 2010

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WASDE Report 8/12/10

 ISSN: 1554-9089

 WASDE - 485     August 12, 2010

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WHEAT:  U.S. wheat ending stocks for 2010/11 are lowered this month as higher expected exports more than offset an increase in forecast production and lower projected feed and residual use. Production is forecast 49 million bushels higher mostly reflecting higher yields for durum and other spring wheat,especially in the Northern Plains.  Winter wheat production is also raised slightly as higher yields in the Northern Plains and Pacific Northwest more than offset reductions in the eastern Corn Belt.  Feed and residual use is lowered 10 million bushels as rising values have priced wheat out of feed rations.  Exports are projected 200 million bushels higher with declines in foreign production, particularly in the FSU-12, reducing global supplies and making U.S. wheat competitive in key Middle East and North Africa markets.  U.S. ending stocks are projected 141 million bushels lower from last month, and down 21 million from 2009/10.  The 2010/11 season-average farm price is projected at $4.70 to $5.50 per bushel, up 50 cents on both ends of the range.

Several changes are made to U.S. supply and use estimates for 2009/10 based on the latest U.S. Bureau of Census trade and mill grind data and revisions.  Exports are raised 16 million bushels and imports are raised 4 million bushels.  Food use is lowered 3 million bushels.  Thus, feed and residual is estimated 10 million bushels lower.

Global wheat supplies for 2010/11 are reduced sharply with world production lowered 15.3 million tons, mostly on reductions for FSU-12 and EU-27 countries.  Production for Russia is lowered 8.0 million tons as continued extreme drought and record heat during July and early August have further reduced summer crop prospects.  Kazakhstan production is lowered 2.5 million tons reflecting the same adverse weather conditions as in Russia.  Ukraine production is lowered 3.0 million tons as heavy summer rains damaged maturing crops and hampered harvesting in western and southern growing areas.  Harvest results also support indications that producers reduced input use in response to limits on available capital.  EU-27 production is lowered 4.3 million tons with yields reduced for northwestern Europe on untimely heat and dryness.  Yields are lowered for southeastern Europe as heavy rains from the same weather pattern that affected Ukraine reduced output.  Production is also lowered for Algeria, Brazil, Uruguay, Belarus, and Croatia. Partially offsetting are increases for India, the United States, Australia, and Uzbekistan.

World wheat imports and exports are reduced sharply as tighter supplies and higher prices reduce projected global consumption. Imports are projected 5.7 million tons lower as higher prices reduce demand in a number of countries.  Exports are lowered 12.0 million tons for Russia partly reflecting the recent announcement banning exports through December.  Also limiting Russia export prospects is higher expected wheat feeding with drought-reduced forage and coarse grain crops and policy goals aimed at increasing domestic meat production. 

Exports for Kazakhstan and Ukraine are lowered 2.0 million tons each with sharply lower production.  Higher exports from other countries partly offset FSU-12 declines.  Exports are raised 1.2 million tons for China, 1.0 million tons each for Australia and EU-27, and 0.9 million tons for Turkey.  The 5.4-million-ton increase projected for U.S. exports is expected to offset the largest share of the decline from FSU-12.  Global ending stocks are projected 12.3 million tons lower.  At 174.8 million tons, world stocks are projected 49.9 million tons higher than in 2007/08 when prices soared to record levels.

COARSE GRAINS:  Projected U.S. feed grain supplies for 2010/11 are raised this month as higher forecast production for corn and sorghum more than offset lower corn carryin. Beginning stocks for corn are projected 52 million bushels lower reflecting higher expected exports, corn use for sweeteners and

starch, and a small reduction in projected imports for 2009/10. Corn production for 2010/11 is forecast 120 million bushels higher.  The survey-based yield forecast of 165.0 bushels per acre is up 1.5 bushels from last month's projection and 0.3 bushels above last year's record.

Domestic corn use for 2010/11 is raised 30 million bushels reflecting higher expected corn use for sweeteners and starch. Exports are projected 100 million bushels higher as tighter foreign supplies of wheat and coarse grains raise prospects for U.S. corn shipments.  Despite higher production, ending stocks are projected down 61 million bushels at 1.3 billion, the lowest in 4 years.  The season-average farm price is raised 5 cents on each end of the range to $3.50 to $4.10 per bushel.  Similar price increases are projected for the other feed grains.

Other 2010/11 feed grains changes include higher sorghum and barley production with higher forecast yields.  Sorghum feed and residual use is projected 15 million bushels higher with larger supplies.  Sorghum exports are raised 10 million bushels with higher expected demand from Mexico. 

Global coarse grain supplies for 2010/11 are projected 10.6 million tons lower with reduced foreign production more than offsetting higher U.S. output.  More than half of the reduction in foreign coarse grain production is for barley.  Barley production is lowered 3.0 million tons for Russia as extended drought and extreme heat sharply reduce yield potential for spring barley. EU-27 barley production is lowered 1.5 million tons on untimely dryness and heat in northwest Europe and excessive rains in eastern Europe.  Barley production is lowered 1.5 million tons for Ukraine, 0.6 million tons for Algeria, and 0.5 million tons for Kazakhstan.  Global corn production is lowered 0.8 million tons with Russia and Ukraine each lowered 1.5 million tons and EU-27 lowered 1.0 million tons.  These reductions more than offset higher production in the United States.  Global rye and oats production are lowered 1.3 million tons and 0.7 million tons,respectively, on reductions for Russia, EU-27, and Ukraine.

Global coarse grain imports are raised this month with increases for corn in China, EU-27, South Korea, and Israel, supporting higher expected corn feeding in each country.  In EU-27, South Korea, and Israel, corn is expected to replace higher priced wheat in feed rations.  Barley feeding is also raised for EU-27 replacing wheat.  By contrast, coarse grain feeding is lowered 3.7 million tons for Russia with wheat expected to partly replace barley, corn, oats, and rye in livestock and poultry feeding. Offsetting reduced coarse grain exports from Ukraine and Russia are higher barley exports from EU-27 and Australia and higher corn exports from the United States.  Global coarse grain ending stocks are lowered 8.1 million tons with corn ending stocks down 1.9 million.  EU-27 barley ending stocks are down 4.0 million tons accounting for most of the rest.  Coarse grain and corn ending stocks are both expected to remain well above their recent lows in 2006/07.

RICE:  U.S. total rice supplies for 2010/11 are projected at a record 299.8 million cwt, down 9.6 million from last month, but up 29.9 million from the previous year.  Beginning stocks, imports, and production are lowered from a month ago.  U.S. beginning stocks for 2010/11 are lowered 4.5 million cwt to 33.9 million because of changes made to the 2009/10 supply and use balance.  USDA's first survey-based forecast of the 2010/11 U.S. rice crop is a record 245.9 million cwt, down 4.1 million from last month's projection, but up 26.0 million from 2009/10. Average yield is forecast at 7,039 pounds per acre, down 118 pounds per acre from last month's trend-based projection, and a

decrease of 46 pounds per acre from last year.  Area harvested at 3.5 million acres is unchanged from a month ago.  Long-grain production is forecast at a record 187.2 million cwt, down 2.8 million from last month, while combined medium- and short-grain production is forecast at 58.6 million, down 1.4 million from a month ago.  The import projection is lowered 1.0 million cwt to 20.0 million based mostly on the revised estimate for 2009/10, indicating slower growth.

U.S. total rice use for 2010/11 is projected at a record 243.0 million cwt, up 1.0 million cwt from last month, and an increase of 7.0 million from 2009/10.  Domestic and residual use is unchanged from last month.  The export projection is raised 1.0 million cwt from last month to 114.0 million based mostly on large food aid announcements for shipment early in the marketing year.  The makeup of the export projection is changed from last month, as the combined milled- and brown-rice export projection is raised 5.0 million cwt, and the rough rice export projection is lowered 4.0 million cwt.  The long-grain export projection is raised 1.0 million cwt to 80.0 million, and the combined medium- and short-grain estimate is unchanged from a month ago.  U.S. rice ending stocks for 2010/11 are estimated at 56.8 million cwt, down 10.6 million from last month, but up 22.9 million from the previous year, and the highest stocks since 1985/86.  The all rice and by-class prices for 2010/11 are unchanged from a month ago.

The U.S. 2009/10 export estimate is raised 4.0 million cwt to 109.0 million based on U.S. Census data through June and U.S. Export Sales data through July 29.  Long-grain exports are raised 2.5 million cwt to 74.5 million, and combined medium-and short-grain exports are raised 1.5 million to a record 34.5 million.  Additionally, the 2009/10 import estimate is lowered 0.5

million cwt to 19.5 million, based on Census data through June. The changes in 2009/10 trade led to a corresponding reduction in 2009/10 ending stocks. 

Projected global 2010/11 total supplies are raised from a month ago primarily due to an increase in beginning stocks, while production and imports are nearly the same as last month.  The increase in beginning stocks of 5.5 million tons is due primarily to an increase in India's 2009/10 rice crop combined with a reduction in estimated domestic and residual use-both estimates are based on a recently received report from the Agricultural Counselor's office in New Delhi.  India's 2009/10 rice crop is estimated at 89.1 million tons, up 1.6 million from last month, and domestic consumption and residual is estimated at 85.4 million, down 3.9 million from the July estimate.  Global rice production for 2010/11 is projected at a record 459.2 million tons, nearly the same as a month ago.  Global consumption is raised from a month ago largely due to an increase for India. World ending stocks for 2010/11 are projected at 97.5 million tons, up 0.9 million from last month, largely the result of upward revisions for Bangladesh, Burma, India, and Turkey.

OILSEEDS:  U.S. oilseed production for 2010/11 is projected at 103.3 million tons, up 2.6 million from last month as higher soybean and cottonseed production are only partly offset by lower peanut production.  Soybean yields are forecast at 44.0 bushels per acre, 1.1 bushels above last month=s trend yield projection, and equal to last year=s record yield.  The first survey-based forecast of U.S. soybean production is a record 3.4 billion bushels, 88 million above the July projection, and 74 million above last year=s crop.  Projected soybean exports are raised 65 million bushels to 1.435 billion.  The sharp increase in exports reflects strong export sales, especially to China, stronger projected import demand for China, and reduced soybean stocks in South America at the beginning of the 2010/11 marketing year.  China soybean imports are raised to 49.5 and 52 million tons, respectively for 2009/10 and 2010/11.  Soybean crush is raised 5 million bushels to 1.65 billion reflecting a small increase in domestic soybean meal demand.  Soybean ending stocks are projected at 360 million bushels, unchanged from July.

Soybean and product prices all increased this month.  The U.S. season-average soybean price for 2010/11 is projected at $8.50 to $10.00, up 40 cents on both ends of the range.  Soybean meal prices are projected at $250 to $290 per short ton, up $10.00 on both ends of the range.  Soybean oil prices are projected at 36.5 to 40.5 cents per pound, up 2.5 cents on both ends of the range.

Global oilseed production for 2010/11 is projected at 439.7 million tons, down 1 million from last month.  Reductions for sunflower seed and rapeseed are mostly offset by higher soybean production.  Sunflower seed production is reduced by 1 million tons each for Russia and Ukraine.  Persistent drought and excessive heat in July and early August sharply reduced yield potential for both countries.  Rapeseed production is reduced for EU-27, Russia, Ukraine, and Belarus.  Higher global soybean production reflects the larger U.S. crop.  Other changes include higher rapeseed production for Australia, lower sunflower seed production in EU-27, lower cottonseed production for Pakistan, and increased cottonseed production for India.

U.S. changes for 2009/10 include increased soybean crush and exports and lower ending stocks.  Crush is raised 5 million bushels to 1.75 billion reflecting increased domestic soybean meal disappearance.  Soybean exports are increased 10 million to a record 1.47 billion bushels.  Soybean ending stocks are projected at 160 million bushels, down 15 million from last month.  Soybean oil ending stocks are raised to 3.18 billion pounds reflecting sharply lower projected use for methyl ester production.

SUGAR:  Projected U.S. sugar supply for fiscal year 2010/11 is increased 506,000 short tons, raw value, from last month, due to higher beginning stocks, production, and imports.  Production is increased 100,000 tons due to higher than expected forecast U.S. sugar beet yields.  Imports are increased 185,000 tons to reflect lower tariff rate quota (TRQ) shortfall and the announced refined specialty sugar quota.  Sugar use is increased 200,000 tons in line with the increase for 2009/10.

For 2009/10, U.S. supplies are increased 341,000 tons, due to higher beginning stocks, production, and imports.  Beginning stocks are increased 35,000 tons due to revisions in Sweetener Market Data.  Cane sugar production is increased 6,000 tons based on processor reports.  Imports are increased 300,000 tons: 50,000 tons less TRQ shortfall, 50,000 tons more re-export imports, and 200,000 tons from Mexico and high-tier imports. These import increases are driven by tight U.S. supplies.  Total use is increased 120,000 tons, reflecting revised estimates in Sweetener Market Data.  Ending stocks are increased 221,000 tons.For Mexico, 2010/11 ending stocks are lowered 95,000 metric tons, raw value, due to lower beginning stocks.  Mexico's 2009/10 production is decreased slightly while exports are increased 90,000 tons; sugar use is unchanged.

LIVESTOCK, POULTRY, AND DAIRY:  Total U.S. meat production forecasts for 2010 and 2011 are reduced slightly from last month.  Beef production for 2010 is reduced on slightly lower estimated second quarter output and forecast lighter average carcass weights in the third quarter that more than offset slightly higher slaughter.  For 2011, beef production is unchanged but is shifted between quarters as more cattle are expected to be marketed in the first part of the year.  Pork production in late 2010 and 2011 is reduced on lower expected imports of live swine from Canada.  Broiler meat and turkey

production for 2010 reflects slightly higher estimated second quarter production.  Forecast poultry meat production for the remainder of 2010 and 2011 is unchanged.  Cattle, hog, and poultry prices are little changed from last month.

Beef imports are raised for 2010 based on the current pace of imports and weakening domestic cow slaughter.  Export forecasts for beef, pork, and broilers are raised, partly reflecting strong recent shipments.  Stronger demand from a number of markets is expected to support higher exports through the remainder of this year and into next year. 

Forecast milk production for 2010 and 2011 is raised from last month.  Producers continue to add cows to the herd and the rate of growth in milk per cow has increased.  Exports for 2010 and 2011 are raised sharply as June exports were strong, global supplies remain relatively tight, and demand in a number of markets is expected to support higher than previously forecast sales.  However, sales in 2011 will be dampened by increased competition.

Strong demand for butter and cheese resulted in higher forecast prices for 2010 but the prices for nonfat dry milk (NDM) and whey are lowered from last month.  The Class III price forecast for 2010 is raised as the higher cheese price more than offsets the lower whey price, but the Class IV price forecast is reduced as the lower NDM price more than offsets the higher butter

price.  For 2011, cheese, NDM, and whey price forecasts are reduced but butter is raised.  For 2011, the Class III and Class IV price forecasts are lowered.  The all milk price is forecast to average $15.90 to $16.10 per cwt for 2010 and $15.55 to $16.55 per cwt for 2011.

COTTON:  The 2010/11 U.S. cotton forecast shows higher production and exports compared with last month, resulting in lower ending stocks.  Production is raised 234,000 bales, as the first survey-based forecast indicates lower abandonment, more than offsetting a reduction in yield.  Exports are raised 700,000 bales to 15.0 million based on larger supplies and higher foreign import demand.  The projected range for the marketing-year average price received by producers is raised 1 cent on each end of the range to 61 to 75 cents per pound.

With largely offsetting increases in world production and consumption, a reduction in world 2010/11 beginning stocks is reflected in ending stocks.  World beginning stocks are lowered 3.4 million bales from last month, including reductions for China, India, Pakistan, Brazil, and Australia, partially offset by an increase for the United States.  Production is raised for India, the United States, Turkey, and Australia, but is reduced 7 percent for Pakistan due to estimated losses from floods.  World consumption is raised to nearly 121 million bales, 2.7 percent above last season, with increases from last month mainly in China and Turkey.  With lower beginning stocks and higher consumption, this month's China imports are raised 850,000 bales, accounting for about three-fourths of the 1.2 million-bale increase in world imports.  Exports are higher mainly in India and the United States.  World ending stocks are now projected at 45.6 million bales.  If realized, the stocks-to-use ratio of 38 percent would be the smallest since 1994/95.

This month's estimates include historical adjustments in supply and use for India and Pakistan.  China's 2009/10 consumption is raised 1.0 million bales based on recent indications of higher offtake.

 

 

                                 WASDE-485-8                    August 2010

 

                 World and U.S. Supply and Use for Grains 1/

                              Million Metric Tons

===============================================================================

                      :           :   Total   :          :  Total   :  Ending

     Commodity        :   Output  :   Supply  : Trade 2/ :   Use    :  Stocks

===============================================================================

                      :

                      :                         World

Total grains 3/       :

      2008/09         :  2,240.91   2,610.13     285.37    2,159.92    450.21

      2009/10 (Est.)  :  2,226.48   2,676.69     278.28    2,199.90    476.79

      2010/11 (Proj.) :

              July    :  2,237.90   2,709.13     276.57    2,245.29    463.84

            August    :  2,212.81   2,689.60     271.15    2,245.28    444.32

Wheat                 :

      2008/09         :    683.26     808.13     143.41      642.62    165.51

      2009/10 (Est.)  :    680.30     845.80     132.23      651.84    193.97

      2010/11 (Proj.) :

              July    :    661.07     854.08     131.28      667.04    187.05

            August    :    645.73     839.70     124.67      664.94    174.76

Coarse grains 4/      :

      2008/09         :  1,109.62   1,273.36     112.99    1,079.53    193.84

      2009/10 (Est.)  :  1,103.57   1,297.41     115.93    1,109.55    187.86

      2010/11 (Proj.) :

              July    :  1,117.55   1,306.33     113.81    1,126.15    180.18

            August    :  1,107.91   1,295.77     114.97    1,123.72    172.04

Rice, milled          :

      2008/09         :    448.03     528.64      28.97      437.77     90.86

      2009/10 (Est.)  :    442.61     533.48      30.12      438.51     94.97

      2010/11 (Proj.) :

              July    :    459.28     548.72      31.48      452.11     96.61

            August    :    459.17     554.13      31.51      456.62     97.52

                      :

                      :                     United States

Total grains 3/       :

      2008/09         :    400.28     461.70      81.58      314.23     65.89

      2009/10 (Est.)  :    416.45     488.49      82.05      338.25     68.19

      2010/11 (Proj.) :

              July    :    418.85     494.14      84.10      339.62     70.42

            August    :    424.00     497.79      92.37      340.49     64.94

Wheat                 :

      2008/09         :     68.02      79.80      27.64       34.29     17.87

      2009/10 (Est.)  :     60.31      81.41      23.98       30.94     26.49

      2010/11 (Proj.) :

              July    :     60.30      89.52      27.22       32.55     29.75

            August    :     61.64      90.85      32.66       32.28     25.92

Coarse grains 4/      :

      2008/09         :    325.87     373.98      50.94      275.98     47.06

      2009/10 (Est.)  :    349.22     398.58      54.64      303.31     40.63

      2010/11 (Proj.) :

              July    :    350.74     394.94      53.36      303.02     38.57

            August    :    354.68     397.56      56.15      304.16     37.25

Rice, milled          :

      2008/09         :      6.40       7.93       3.00        3.96      0.96

      2009/10 (Est.)  :      6.92       8.50       3.43        4.00      1.07

      2010/11 (Proj.) :

              July    :      7.81       9.68       3.53        4.05      2.11

            August    :      7.68       9.38       3.56        4.05      1.77

===============================================================================

1/ Aggregate of local marketing years.  2/ Based on export estimate.  See

individual commodity tables for treatment of export/import imbalances.  3/

Wheat, coarse grains and milled rice.  4/ Corn, sorghum, barley, oats, rye,

millet and mixed grains (for U.S. excludes millet and mixed grains).

 

 

 

                                 WASDE-485-9                    August 2010

 

              World and U.S. Supply and Use for Grains, Continued 1/

                              Million Metric Tons

===============================================================================

                      :           :   Total   :          :  Total   :  Ending

     Commodity        :   Output  :   Supply  : Trade 2/ :   Use    :  Stocks

===============================================================================

                      :

                      :                         Foreign 3/

Total grains 4/       :

      2008/09         :  1,840.63   2,148.42     203.79    1,845.68    384.32

      2009/10 (Est.)  :  1,810.03   2,188.20     196.23    1,861.65    408.60

      2010/11 (Proj.) :

              July    :  1,819.05   2,214.99     192.47    1,905.67    393.42

            August    :  1,788.82   2,191.81     178.78    1,904.79    379.39

Wheat                 :

      2008/09         :    615.24     728.33     115.78      608.33    147.64

      2009/10 (Est.)  :    619.98     764.39     108.25      620.89    167.48

      2010/11 (Proj.) :

              July    :    600.76     764.57     104.06      634.49    157.30

            August    :    584.09     748.85      92.01      632.66    148.85

Coarse grains 5/      :

      2008/09         :    783.76     899.38      62.05      803.55    146.78

      2009/10 (Est.)  :    754.35     898.82      61.28      806.24    147.22

      2010/11 (Proj.) :

              July    :    766.81     911.39      60.45      823.13    141.62

            August    :    753.23     898.21      58.83      819.56    134.80

Rice, milled          :

      2008/09         :    441.63     520.71      25.96      433.81     89.91

      2009/10 (Est.)  :    435.70     524.98      26.69      434.51     93.90

      2010/11 (Proj.) :

              July    :    451.47     539.03      27.95      448.06     94.51

            August    :    451.49     544.75      27.94      452.57     95.74

===============================================================================

1/ Aggregate of local marketing years.  2/ Based on export estimate.  See

individual commodity tables for treatment of export/import imbalances.   3/

Total foreign is equal to world minus United States.   4/ Wheat, coarse grains

and milled rice.  5/ Corn, sorghum, barley, oats, rye, millet and mixed

grains.

 

 

 

                     World and U.S. Supply and Use for Cotton 1/

                                 Million 480-lb. bales

===============================================================================

                      :           :   Total   :          :  Total   :  Ending

     Commodity        :   Output  :   Supply  : Trade 2/ :   Use    :  Stocks

===============================================================================

                      :

                      :                         World

      2008/09         :    107.16     167.84      30.11      109.94     60.53

      2009/10 (Est.)  :    102.15     162.68      35.65      117.71     47.58

      2010/11 (Proj.) :

              July    :    116.02     167.00      37.02      119.70     49.91

            August    :    116.85     164.43      38.24      120.87     45.61

                      :                     United States

      2008/09         :     12.82      22.87      13.28        3.59      6.34

      2009/10 (Est.)  :     12.19      18.53      12.00        3.40      3.10

      2010/11 (Proj.) :

              July    :     18.30      21.20      14.30        3.40      3.50

            August    :     18.53      21.64      15.00        3.40      3.20

                      :                        Foreign 3/

      2008/09         :     94.34     144.98      16.83      106.35     54.20

      2009/10 (Est.)  :     89.96     144.16      23.65      114.31     44.48

      2010/11 (Proj.) :

              July    :     97.72     145.80      22.72      116.30     46.41

            August    :     98.32     142.79      23.24      117.47     42.41

===============================================================================

1/ Marketing year beginning August 1.  2/ Based on export estimate.  3/  Total

Foreign is equal to world minus United States. See global cotton tables for

treatment of export/import imbalances.

 

 

 

 

                                 WASDE-485-10                    August 2010

 

                 World and U.S. Supply and Use for Oilseeds 1/

                             (Million Metric Tons)

===============================================================================

                      :           :   Total   :        :   Total   :  Ending

     Commodity        :   Output  :   Supply  :  Trade :    Use 2/ :  Stocks

===============================================================================

                      :

                      :                         World

Oilseeds              :

      2008/09         :    396.37     458.03     94.48      338.32     56.34

      2009/10 (Est.)  :    441.20     497.54    104.97      355.50     74.28

      2010/11 (Proj.) :

              July    :    440.74     516.67    103.78      370.03     77.32

            August    :    439.74     514.02    104.92      371.00     73.83

Oilmeals              :

      2008/09         :    228.59     236.37     69.27      227.95      5.93

      2009/10 (Est.)  :    242.31     248.25     72.59      238.21      6.17

      2010/11 (Proj.) :

              July    :    251.76     258.23     74.47      247.80      6.83

            August    :    253.27     259.44     74.83      249.48      6.46

Vegetable Oils        :

      2008/09         :    133.38     144.66     55.81      130.45     12.61

      2009/10 (Est.)  :    139.06     151.67     57.75      137.61     11.45

      2010/11 (Proj.) :

              July    :    146.48     157.84     60.58      144.44     11.94

            August    :    146.14     157.59     60.18      144.19     11.46

                      :

                      :                     United States

Oilseeds              :

      2008/09         :     89.20      97.41     35.69       49.34      5.62

      2009/10 (Est.)  :     98.90     105.60     40.93       51.40      5.82

      2010/11 (Proj.) :

              July    :    100.78     107.91     38.53       49.02     11.32

            August    :    103.34     110.04     40.31       49.28     11.32

Oilmeals              :

      2008/09         :     37.71      39.86      7.95       31.67      0.25

      2009/10 (Est.)  :     39.87      41.37     10.64       30.39      0.33

      2010/11 (Proj.) :

              July    :     37.90      40.04      8.33       31.38      0.33

            August    :     38.03      40.18      8.33       31.51      0.33

Vegetable Oils        :

      2008/09         :      9.67      14.36      1.46       11.17      1.74

      2009/10 (Est.)  :     10.00      14.98      1.87       11.32      1.79

      2010/11 (Proj.) :

              July    :      9.70      14.63      1.30       11.86      1.47

            August    :      9.75      14.81      1.30       11.94      1.56

                      :

                      :                      Foreign 3/

Oilseeds              :

      2008/09         :    307.17     360.63     58.78      288.98     50.72

      2009/10 (Est.)  :    342.30     391.94     64.04      304.11     68.46

      2010/11 (Proj.) :

              July    :    339.96     408.77     65.24      321.00     66.00

            August    :    336.40     403.98     64.61      321.72     62.52

Oilmeals              :

      2008/09         :    190.87     196.52     61.32      196.28      5.69

      2009/10 (Est.)  :    202.45     206.88     61.95      207.82      5.84

      2010/11 (Proj.) :

              July    :    213.86     218.19     66.14      216.42      6.50

            August    :    215.24     219.26     66.50      217.97      6.12

Vegetable Oils        :

      2008/09         :    123.72     130.30     54.35      119.28     10.87

      2009/10 (Est.)  :    129.06     136.70     55.88      126.30      9.66

      2010/11 (Proj.) :

              July    :    136.78     143.21     59.28      132.58     10.47

            August    :    136.39     142.79     58.88      132.25      9.90

===============================================================================

1/ Aggregate of local marketing years with Brazil and Argentina on an

Oct.-Sept. year.  2/ Crush only for oilseeds.  3/ Total foreign is equal to

world minus United States.

 

 

 

 

                                  WASDE-485-11                    August 2010

 

                           U.S. Wheat Supply and Use 1/

===============================================================================

                            :         :         :      2010/11  Projections

        Item                : 2008/09 : 2009/10 :==============================

                            :         :   Est.  :        July          August

===============================================================================

Area                        :               Million acres

 Planted                    :   63.2       59.1          54.3            54.3

 Harvested                  :   55.7       49.9          48.3            48.3

Yield per harvested         :                   Bushels

    acre                    :   44.9       44.4          45.9            46.9

                            :             Million bushels

Beginning stocks            :    306        657           973             973

Production                  :  2,499      2,216         2,216           2,265

Imports                     :    127        119           100             100

  Supply, total             :  2,932      2,991         3,289           3,338

Food                        :    927        917           940             940

Seed                        :     78         70            76              76

Feed and residual           :    255        149           180             170

  Domestic, total           :  1,260      1,137         1,196           1,186

Exports                     :  1,015        881         1,000           1,200

  Use, total                :  2,275      2,018         2,196           2,386

Ending stocks               :    657        973         1,093             952

  CCC inventory             :      0          0

  Free stocks               :    657        973

    Outstanding loans       :     27         51

Avg. farm price ($/bu) 2/   :   6.78       4.87    4.20- 5.00      4.70- 5.50

===============================================================================

                           

                       U.S. Wheat by Class: Supply and Use

===============================================================================

   Year beginning           :  Hard  :   Hard  :  Soft  :       :       :     

     June 1                 : Winter :  Spring :  Red   : White : Durum : Total

===============================================================================

2009/10 (estimated)         :                Million bushels

Beginning stocks            :    254       142     171       64      25     657

Production                  :    919       548     404      237     109   2,216

  Supply, total 3/          :  1,175       731     607      310     169   2,991

Domestic use                :    420       282     256       88      90   1,137

Exports                     :    370       214     109      143      44     881

  Use, total                :    790       497     366      231     134   2,018

Ending stocks, total        :    385       234     241       79      35     973

                            :

2010/11 (projected)         :

Beginning stocks            :    385       234     241       79      35     973

Production                  :  1,029       593     260      274     109   2,265

  Supply, total 3/          :  1,415       862     521      362     178   3,338

Domestic use                :    491       263     242      106      84   1,186

Exports                     :    545       340     100      160      55   1,200

  Use, total                :  1,036       603     342      266     139   2,386

  Ending stocks, total      :

                    August  :    379       259     179       96      39     952

                      July  :    476       333     162       88      34   1,093

===============================================================================

Note: Totals may not add due to rounding.  1/ Marketing year beginning June 1.

2/ Marketing-year weighted average price received by farmers.  3/ Includes

imports.

 

 

 

 

                                 WASDE-485-12                    August 2010

 

                 U.S. Feed Grain and Corn Supply and Use 1/

===============================================================================

                            :         :         :      2010/11  Projections

        Item                : 2008/09 : 2009/10 :==============================

                            :         :   Est.  :        July          August

===============================================================================

FEED GRAINS                 :

Area                        :               Million acres

 Planted                    :  101.8      100.1         100.0 *         100.0

 Harvested                  :   91.0       89.6          90.0 *          90.0

Yield per harvested         :                Metric tons

     acre                   :   3.58       3.90          3.89            3.94

                            :             Million metric tons

Beginning stocks            :   45.1       47.0          41.9            40.6

Production                  :  325.7      349.0         350.6           354.5

Imports                     :    3.0        2.2           2.1             2.1

  Supply, total             :  373.7      398.3         394.6           397.2

Feed and residual           :  140.9      146.9         141.6           141.9

Food, seed & industrial     :  134.8      156.2         161.2           161.9

  Domestic, total           :  275.7      303.0         302.7           303.9

Exports                     :   50.9       54.6          53.4            56.1

  Use, total                :  326.6      357.7         356.1           360.0

Ending stocks, total        :   47.0       40.6          38.5            37.2

  CCC inventory             :    0.0        0.0

  Free stocks               :   47.0       40.6

    Outstanding loans       :    4.4        4.6

                            :

CORN                        :

Area                        :               Million acres

 Planted                    :   86.0       86.5          87.9 *          87.9

 Harvested                  :   78.6       79.6          81.0 *          81.0

Yield per harvested         :                  Bushels

    acre                    :  153.9      164.7         163.5 *         165.0

                            :               Million bushels

Beginning stocks            :  1,624      1,673         1,478           1,426

Production                  : 12,092     13,110        13,245          13,365

Imports                     :     14          8            10              10

  Supply, total             : 13,729     14,791        14,733          14,802

Feed and residual           :  5,182      5,525         5,350           5,350

Food, seed & industrial     :  5,025      5,865         6,060           6,090

 Ethanol for fuel 2/        :  3,709      4,500         4,700           4,700

  Domestic, total           : 10,207     11,390        11,410          11,440

Exports                     :  1,849      1,975         1,950           2,050

  Use, total                : 12,056     13,365        13,360          13,490

Ending stocks, total        :  1,673      1,426         1,373           1,312

  CCC inventory             :      0          0

  Free stocks               :  1,673      1,426

    Outstanding loans       :    171        175

Avg. farm price ($/bu) 3/   :   4.06 3.50- 3.60    3.45- 4.05      3.50- 4.10

===============================================================================

Note: Totals may not add due to rounding.  1/ Marketing year beginning

September 1 for corn and sorghum; June 1 for barley and oats.  2/ For a further

breakout of FSI corn uses including ethanol, see the ERS Feed Outlook table 5,

or Feed Grains Database at "www.ers.usda.gov/db/feedgrains." 3/ Marketing-year

weighted average price received by farmers. * For July: Area planted and

harvested of corn as reported in June 30, 2010, "Acreage" report. Projected

corn yield based on the simple linear trend of the national average yield for

1990-2009 adjusted for 2010 planting progress.

 

 

 

 

                                 WASDE-485-13                    August 2010

 

               U.S. Sorghum, Barley and Oats Supply and Use 1/

===============================================================================

                            :         :         :      2010/11  Projections

         Item               : 2008/09 : 2009/10 :==============================

                            :         :   Est.  :        July          August

===============================================================================

                            :               Million bushels

SORGHUM                     :

Area planted (mil. acres)   :    8.3        6.6           6.0 *           6.0

Area harv. (mil. acres)     :    7.3        5.5           5.2 *           5.2

Yield (bushels/acre)        :   65.0       69.4          67.6 *          74.1

Beginning stocks            :     53         55            28              28

Production                  :    472        383           350             383

Imports                     :      0          0             0               0

   Supply, total            :    525        438           378             411

Feed and residual           :    233        140           105             120

Food, seed & industrial     :     95        100           100             100

   Total domestic           :    328        240           205             220

Exports                     :    143        170           140             150

   Use, total               :    471        410           345             370

Ending stocks, total        :     55         28            33              41

Avg. farm price ($/bu) 2/   :   3.20 3.10- 3.20    3.15- 3.75      3.20- 3.80

                            :

BARLEY                      :

Area planted (mil. acres)   :    4.2        3.6           3.0 *           3.0

Area harv. (mil. acres)     :    3.8        3.1           2.5 *           2.5

Yield (bushels/acre)        :   63.6       73.0          71.6 *          72.3

Beginning stocks            :     68         89           115             115

Production                  :    240        227           182             184

Imports                     :     29         17            15              15

   Supply, total            :    337        333           312             314

Feed and residual           :     67         48            50              50

Food, seed & industrial     :    169        164           165             165

   Total domestic           :    236        212           215             215

Exports                     :     13          6            10              10

   Use, total               :    249        218           225             225

Ending stocks, total        :     89        115            87              89

Avg. farm price ($/bu) 2/   :   5.37       4.66    3.50- 4.10      3.55- 4.15

                            :

OATS                        :

Area planted (mil. acres)   :    3.2        3.4           3.2 *           3.2

Area harv. (mil. acres)     :    1.4        1.4           1.3 *           1.3

Yield (bushels/acre)        :   63.7       67.5          66.7 *          66.3

Beginning stocks            :     67         84            80              80

Production                  :     89         93            88              87

Imports                     :    115         95            90              90

   Supply, total            :    270        272           258             258

Feed and residual           :    108        115           115             115

Food, seed & industrial     :     75         75            76              76

   Total domestic           :    183        190           191             191

Exports                     :      3          2             3               3

   Use, total               :    186        192           194             194

Ending stocks, total        :     84         80            64              64

Avg. farm price ($/bu) 2/   :   3.15       2.02    2.10- 2.70      2.15- 2.75

===============================================================================

Note: Totals may not add due to rounding.  1/ Marketing year beginning

September 1 for sorghum, June 1 for barley and oats.  2/ Marketing-year

weighted average price received by farmers.  *  For July:  Sorghum area planted

and area harvested as reported in the June 30, 2010, "Acreage" report.  Sorghum

projected yield derived from the 2000-2009 average yield, excluding 2002 and

2003, adjusted to reflect adequate to abundant soil moisture in the southern

and central Plains.  Barley and oats area planted, area harvested, yield, and

production as reported in the July 9, 2010, "Crop Production" report.

 

 

 

 

 

                                  WASDE-485-14                    August 2010

 

                          U.S. Rice Supply and Use 1/

                 (Rough Equivalent of Rough and Milled Rice)

===============================================================================

                            :         :         :      2010/11  Projections

        Item                : 2008/09 : 2009/10 :==============================

                            :         :   Est.  :        July          August

===============================================================================

TOTAL                       :

Area                        :               Million acres

 Planted                    :   3.00       3.14          3.51 *          3.51

 Harvested                  :   2.98       3.10          3.49 *          3.49

Yield per harvested         :                    Pounds

   acre                     :  6,846      7,085         7,157 *         7,039

                            :

                            :            Million hundredweight

 Beginning stocks 2/        :   29.6       30.6          38.4            33.9

 Production                 :  203.7      219.9         250.0           245.9

 Imports                    :   19.2       19.5          21.0            20.0

   Supply, total            :  252.6      269.9         309.4           299.8

 Domestic & residual 3/     :  126.4      127.0         129.0           129.0

 Exports, total 4/          :   95.6      109.0         113.0           114.0

  Rough                     :   31.6       40.0          47.0            43.0

  Milled (rough equiv.)     :   64.0       69.0          66.0            71.0

   Use, total               :  222.0      236.0         242.0           243.0

 Ending stocks              :   30.6       33.9          67.4            56.8

 Avg. milling yield (%) 5/  :  69.25      69.36         68.86           68.86

 Avg. farm price ($/cwt) 6/ :  16.80      14.00   10.75-11.75     10.75-11.75

                            :

LONG GRAIN                  :

 Harvested acres (mil.)     :   2.35       2.27

 Yield (pounds/acre)        :  6,522      6,743

 Beginning stocks           :   19.1       20.1          24.3            21.3

 Production                 :  153.3      152.7         190.0           187.2

   Supply, total 7/         :  188.2      189.8         232.3           226.1

 Domestic & Residual 3/     :   99.4       94.0          99.0            99.0

 Exports 8/                 :   68.8       74.5          79.0            80.0

   Use, total               :  168.1      168.5         178.0           179.0

 Ending stocks              :   20.1       21.3          54.3            47.1

 Avg. farm price ($/cwt) 6/ :  14.90      12.80    9.00-10.00      9.00-10.00

                            :

MEDIUM & SHORT GRAIN        :

 Harvested acres (mil.)     :   0.63       0.84

 Yield (pounds/acre)        :  8,063      8,010

 Beginning stocks           :    9.1        8.0          11.7            10.2

 Production                 :   50.5       67.1          60.0            58.6

   Supply, total 7/         :   61.9       77.7          74.7            71.3

 Domestic & Residual 3/     :   27.0       33.0          30.0            30.0

 Exports 8/                 :   26.9       34.5          34.0            34.0

   Use, total               :   53.9       67.5          64.0            64.0

 Ending stocks              :    8.0       10.2          10.7             7.3

 Avg. farm price ($/cwt) 6/ :  24.80      17.80   17.00-18.00     17.00-18.00

===============================================================================

Note: Totals may not add due to rounding.  1/ Marketing year beginning August

1.  2/ Includes the following quantities of broken kernel rice (type

undetermined) not included in estimates of beginning stocks by type (in mil.

cwt):  2008/09-1.4; 2009/10-2.4; 2010/11-2.4. 3/ Residual includes unreported

use, processing losses, and estimating errors.  Use by type may not add to

total rice use because of the difference in brokens between beginning and

ending stocks.  4/ Includes rough rice and milled rice exports.  Milled rice

exports are converted to an equivalent rough basis.  5/ Expressed as a

percent-- the national average milling yield calculated by the Farm Service

Agency (FSA) from warehouse stored loan data. The 2010/11 milling yield is

calculated using the previous five-year average.  6/ Includes imports.  7/

Marketing-year weighted average price received by farmers.  8/ Exports by type of rice are estimated.  * For July: Area planted and area harvested as

reported in June 30, 2010, "Acreage" report.  Projected yield is derived from

the trend yields by rice class for the period, 1990-2009.

 

 

 

 

                                 WASDE-485-15                    August 2010

 

        U.S. Soybeans and Products Supply and Use (Domestic Measure) 1/

===============================================================================

                           :         :         :      2010/11  Projections

        Item               : 2008/09 : 2009/10 :===============================

                           :         :   Est.  :        July          August

===============================================================================

SOYBEANS:                  :               Million acres

Area                       :                           

  Planted                  :   75.7       77.5          78.9*           78.9

  Harvested                :   74.7       76.4          78.0*           78.0

                           :

                           :                   Bushels

Yield per harvested        :

    acre                   :   39.7       44.0          42.9*           44.0

                           :

                           :             Million bushels

                           :

Beginning stocks           :    205        138           175             160

Production                 :  2,967      3,359         3,345           3,433

Imports                    :     13         15            10              10

  Supply, total            :  3,185      3,512         3,530           3,603

Crushings                  :  1,662      1,750         1,645           1,650

Exports                    :  1,279      1,470         1,370           1,435

Seed                       :     90         92            88              88

Residual                   :     16         41            67              70

  Use, total               :  3,047      3,353         3,170           3,243

Ending stocks              :    138        160           360             360

Avg. farm price ($/bu) 2/  :   9.97       9.60    8.10- 9.60     8.50 -10.00

                           :

                           :

                           :               Million pounds

SOYBEAN OIL:               :

Beginning stocks           :  2,485      2,861         2,916           3,176

Production                 : 18,745     19,555 3/     18,755          18,810

Imports                    :     90        110           115             115

  Supply, total            : 21,319     22,526        21,786          22,101

Domestic                   : 16,265     16,100        17,300          17,400

  For methyl ester         :  2,013      1,800         2,900           2,900

Exports                    :  2,193      3,250         2,100           2,100

  Use, total               : 18,459     19,350        19,400          19,500

Ending stocks              :  2,861      3,176         2,386           2,601

Average price (c/lb) 2/    :  32.16      35.50         34.00-          36.50-

                           :                            38.00           40.50

                           :

                           :           Thousand short tons

SOYBEAN MEAL:              :

Beginning stocks           :    294        235           300             300

Production                 : 39,102     41,525 3/     39,135          39,235

Imports                    :     88        140           165             165

  Supply, total            : 39,484     41,900        39,600          39,700

Domestic                   : 30,752     30,100        30,400          30,500

Exports                    :  8,497     11,500         8,900           8,900

  Use, total               : 39,249     41,600        39,300          39,400

Ending stocks              :    235        300           300             300

Average price ($/s.t.) 2/  : 331.17     310.00        240.00-         250.00-

                           :                           280.00          290.00

===============================================================================

Note: Reliability calculations at end of report.  1/ Marketing year beginning

September 1 for soybeans; October 1 for soybean oil and meal.  2/ Prices:

soybeans, marketing year weighted average price received by farmers; soybean

oil, simple average of crude soybean oil, Decatur; soybean meal, simple average

of 48 percent, Decatur. 3/ Based on October year crush of 1,760 million

bushels. *Planted and harvested acres from the June 30 Acreage report;

projected yield based on 1989-2009 trend analysis.

 

 

 

 

                              WASDE-485-16               August 2010

                       U.S. Sugar Supply and Use 1/

======================================================================

                        :           :          :  2010/11 Projection

      Item              : 2008/09   : 2009/10  :======================

                        :           :   Est.   :   July      August

======================================================================

                        :           1,000 short tons, raw value

                    :

Beginning stocks        :   1,664       1,534      1,268      1,489

Production 2/           :   7,532       7,811      8,235      8,335  

  Beet sugar            :   4,214       4,450      4,710      4,810  

  Cane sugar            :   3,318       3,361      3,525      3,525   

   Florida              :   1,577       1,638      1,785      1,785  

   Hawaii               :     192         147        135        135  

   Louisiana            :   1,397       1,465      1,465      1,465  

   Texas                :     152         111        140        140

Imports                 :   3,082       3,029      2,084      2,269   

  TRQ 3/                :   1,370       1,874      1,224      1,409  

  Other program 4/      :     308         450        300        300 

  Other 5/              :   1,404         705        560        560  

    Mexico              :   1,402         530        550        550  

     Total supply       :  12,278      12,374     11,587     12,093  

                        :

Exports                 :     136         200        150        150 

Deliveries              :  10,608      10,685     10,485     10,685   

  Food 6/               :  10,442      10,475     10,300     10,500  

  Other 7/              :     166         210        185        185  

Miscellaneous           :       0           0          0          0   

     Total use          :  10,744      10,885     10,635     10,835 

Ending stocks           :   1,534       1,489        952      1,258           

                        :

Stocks to use ratio     :    14.3        13.7        9.0       11.6  

======================================================================

1/ Fiscal years beginning Oct 1.  Includes Puerto Rico.  Historical data are from FSA,

"Sweetener Market Data" except imports (U.S. Customs Service, Census Bureau). 2/

Production projections for 2010/11 are based on Crop Production, trend recovery rates, and

processor projections where appropriate.  3/ For 2010/11, includes shortfall of 60,000 tons.

4/ Includes sugar under the re-export and polyhydric alcohol programs.  5/ For 2008/09, other

high-tier (0) and other (0).  For 2009/10, other high-tier (175) and other (0).  For 2010/11,

other high-tier (10) and other (0). 6/Combines SMD deliveries for domestic human food use,

SMD

miscellaneous uses, and the difference between SMD imports and WASDE imports.  7/ Transfers

to

sugar-containing products for reexport, and for nonedible alcohol and feed.

 

     Mexico Sugar Supply and Use and High Fructose Corn Syrup Imports 1/

==========================================================================

            :               Supply            :        Use       :             

   Fiscal   :====================================================: Ending

    year    : Beginning : Production: Imports : Domestic :Exports: stocks

            :  stocks   :           :         :    2/    :       :

==========================================================================

                           1,000 metric tons, raw value

Sugar

2009/10 est.

        Jul        488        5,120      820       5,170      390      868

        Aug        488        5,115      820       5,170      480      773

2010/11 proj.

        Jul        868        5,450      150       4,950      500    1,018

        Aug        773        5,450      150       4,950      500      923

==========================================================================

1/ U.S. HFCS exports to Mexico (metric tons, dry-weight basis): Oct-Sep 2008/09 = 302,844;

Oct-Jun 2008/09 = 192,608; Oct-Jun 2009/10 = 672,357.  Footnote source: U.S. Census Bureau. 

2/Includes domestic consumption and Mexico's products export program (IMMEX).

 

 

 

 

                                 WASDE-485-17                    August 2010

 

                          U. S. Cotton Supply and Use 1/

===============================================================================

                           :         :         :      2010/11  Projections

        Item               : 2008/09 : 2009/10 :===============================

                           :         :   Est.  :        July          August

===============================================================================

                           :               Million acres

Area                       :                           

  Planted                  :   9.47       9.15         10.91 *         10.91

  Harvested                :   7.57       7.53         10.40 *         10.63

                           :

                           :                   Pounds

Yield per harvested        :

    acre                   :    813        777           845 *           837

                           :

                           :             Million 480 pound bales

                           :

Beginning stocks 2/        :  10.05       6.34          2.90            3.10

Production                 :  12.82      12.19         18.30           18.53

Imports                    :   0.00       0.00          0.00            0.01

  Supply, total            :  22.87      18.53         21.20           21.64

Domestic use               :   3.59       3.40          3.40            3.40

Exports                    :  13.28      12.00         14.30           15.00

  Use, total               :  16.86      15.40         17.70           18.40

Unaccounted 3/             :  -0.33       0.03          0.00            0.04

Ending stocks              :   6.34       3.10          3.50            3.20

                           :

Avg. farm price 4/         :   47.8       62.5     60.0-74.0       61.0-75.0

===============================================================================

Note: Reliability calculations at end of report.

1/ Upland and extra-long staple; marketing year beginning August 1.  Totals may

not add due to rounding.  2/ Based on Bureau of Census data.  3/ Reflects the

difference between the previous season's supply less total use and ending

stocks based on Bureau of Census data.  4/ Cents per pound for upland cotton. 

*For July, planted area reported in June 30 "Acreage."  Projected harvested

area and yield per harvested area adjusted from historical averages to reflect

favorable crop conditions in the Southwest.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

                                 WASDE-485-18                    August 2010

 

                         World Wheat Supply and Use 1/

                             (Million Metric Tons)

===============================================================================

                      :          Supply         :           Use         :

                      :=========================:=======================:Ending

        Region        :         :       :       :  Domestic 2/  :       :stocks

                      :Beginning:Produc-:       :===============:       :

                      :  stocks : tion  :Imports: Feed : Total  :Exports:

===============================================================================

                      :

                      :                      2008/09

                      :

World 3/              :  124.87  683.26  136.86  118.43  642.62  143.41  165.51

United States         :    8.32   68.02    3.46    6.95   34.29   27.64   17.87

Total foreign         :  116.54  615.24  133.40  111.48  608.33  115.78  147.64

  Major exporters 4/  :   22.75  211.24    8.26   68.07  147.70   65.64   28.91

   Argentina          :    2.35   10.10    0.03    0.03    5.33    6.77    0.39

   Australia          :    3.65   21.42    0.11    3.75    6.85   14.75    3.59

   Canada             :    4.41   28.61    0.38    3.30    8.03   18.81    6.56

   EU-27 5/           :   12.34  151.11    7.74   61.00  127.50   25.32   18.38

  Major importers 6/  :   63.35  171.94   74.39   14.97  231.35    6.44   71.89

   Brazil             :    0.34    5.88    6.40    0.20   10.70    0.40    1.53

   China              :   38.96  112.46    0.48    8.00  105.50    0.72   45.69

   Select. Mideast 7/ :    6.53   13.40   20.45    1.85   31.10    0.87    8.41

   N. Africa 8/       :    9.48   14.35   23.48    2.70   37.56    0.25    9.50

   Pakistan           :    3.48   20.96    3.13    0.40   22.80    2.10    2.66

   Southeast Asia 9/  :    2.66    0.00   11.96    1.32   11.74    0.42    2.46

  Selected other      :

   India              :    5.80   78.57    0.01    0.10   70.92    0.02   13.43

   FSU-12             :   12.88  115.45    6.54   24.65   76.32   37.76   20.80

    Russia            :    3.87   63.70    0.20   16.20   38.90   18.39   10.48

    Kazakhstan        :    2.45   12.55    0.11    2.70    7.53    5.70    1.88

    Ukraine           :    2.07   25.90    0.07    2.90   11.90   13.04    3.11

                      :

                      :                 2009/10 (Estimated)

                      :

World 3/              :  165.51  680.30  130.94  117.51  651.84  132.23  193.97

United States         :   17.87   60.31    3.23    4.06   30.94   23.98   26.49

Total foreign         :  147.64  619.98  127.71  113.46  620.89  108.25  167.48

  Major exporters 4/  :   28.91  196.79    6.01   65.73  146.12   59.00   26.58

   Argentina          :    0.39    9.60    0.01    0.03    4.93    4.50    0.57

   Australia          :    3.59   22.50    0.10    4.00    7.10   14.50    4.59

   Canada             :    6.56   26.50    0.40    3.70    8.60   18.50    6.36

   EU-27 5/           :   18.38  138.20    5.50   58.00  125.50   21.50   15.07

  Major importers 6/  :   71.89  184.02   68.75   15.44  234.45    4.92   85.29

   Brazil             :    1.53    4.94    6.50    0.20   10.80    1.20    0.97

   China              :   45.69  115.00    1.39    8.00  105.00    0.89   56.19

   Select. Mideast 7/ :    8.41   14.84   17.65    1.70   31.64    0.79    8.47

   N. Africa 8/       :    9.50   20.23   20.95    2.95   39.33    0.24   11.13

   Pakistan           :    2.66   24.03    0.20    0.40   23.20    0.30    3.40

   Southeast Asia 9/  :    2.46    0.00   13.45    1.64   12.44    0.41    3.07

  Selected other      :

   India              :   13.43   80.68    0.30    0.10   78.21    0.10   16.10

   FSU-12             :   20.80  113.84    5.30   27.73   80.41   36.65   22.87

    Russia            :   10.48   61.70    0.15   19.00   42.00   18.50   11.83

    Kazakhstan        :    1.88   17.00    0.08    2.70    7.55    7.80    3.61

    Ukraine           :    3.11   20.90    0.05    3.30   12.30    9.30    2.46

===============================================================================

1/ Aggregate of local marketing years.  2/ Total foreign and world use

adjusted to reflect the differences in world imports and exports.  3/ World

imports and exports may not balance due to differences in marketing years,

grain in transit, and reporting discrepancies in some countries. 4/ Argentina,

Australia, Canada, and the EU-27. 5/ Trade excludes intra-trade. 6/ Brazil,

China, Japan, Mexico, N. Africa, Pakistan, selected Middle East, and Southeast

Asia. 7/ Lebanon, Iraq, Iran, Israel, Jordan, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, Yemen,

United Arab Emirates, and Oman. 8/ Algeria, Egypt, Libya, Morocco, and

Tunisia. 9/ Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand, and Vietnam.

 

 

 

 

                                 WASDE-485-19                    August 2010

 

                   World Wheat Supply and Use 1/ (Cont'd.)

                             (Million Metric Tons)

===============================================================================

                      :          Supply         :           Use         :

                      :=========================:=======================:Ending

        Region        :         :       :       :  Domestic 2/  :       :stocks

                      :Beginning:Produc-:       :===============:       :

                      :  stocks : tion  :Imports: Feed : Total  :Exports:

===============================================================================

                      :

                      :                 2010/11 (Projected)

World 3/              :

            July      :  193.02  661.07  127.58  121.80  667.04  131.28  187.05

          August      :  193.97  645.73  121.93  120.23  664.94  124.67  174.76

United States         :

            July      :   26.49   60.30    2.72    4.90   32.55   27.22   29.75

          August      :   26.49   61.64    2.72    4.63   32.28   32.66   25.92

Total foreign         :

            July      :  166.53  600.76  124.86  116.90  634.49  104.06  157.30

          August      :  167.48  584.09  119.21  115.60  632.66   92.01  148.85

  Major exporters 4/  :

            July      :   27.58  196.32    6.51   63.20  145.95   61.00   23.46

          August      :   26.58  193.01    6.51   61.20  143.95   63.00   19.14

   Argentina      Jul :    1.07   12.00    0.01    0.10    5.10    7.00    0.97

                  Aug :    0.57   12.00    0.01    0.10    5.10    7.00    0.47

   Australia      Jul :    4.59   22.00    0.10    4.10    7.25   15.50    3.94

                  Aug :    4.59   23.00    0.10    4.10    7.25   16.50    3.94

   Canada         Jul :    6.36   20.50    0.40    2.00    7.10   15.50    4.66

                  Aug :    6.36   20.50    0.40    2.00    7.10   15.50    4.66

   EU-27 5/       Jul :   15.57  141.82    6.00   57.00  126.50   23.00   13.90

                  Aug :   15.07  137.51    6.00   55.00  124.50   24.00   10.08

  Major importers 6/  :

            July      :   82.83  183.39   65.73   16.81  237.94    4.62   89.39

          August      :   85.29  182.39   63.03   16.31  237.33    5.97   87.39

   Brazil         Jul :    0.67    5.50    6.30    0.20   10.90    0.60    0.97

                  Aug :    0.97    5.00    6.50    0.20   10.80    0.60    1.07

   China          Jul :   56.14  114.50    0.90    9.00  105.80    0.85   64.89

                  Aug :   56.19  114.50    0.50    9.00  105.80    2.00   63.39

   Sel. Mideast 7/Jul :    8.22   17.55   14.98    2.10   32.85    0.71    7.18

                  Aug :    8.47   17.55   14.08    1.75   32.45    0.71    6.93

   N. Africa 8/   Jul :   10.38   18.05   21.50    2.85   39.85    0.24    9.84

                  Aug :   11.13   17.55   20.90    2.95   40.25    0.24    9.09

   Pakistan       Jul :    3.40   22.60    0.30    0.40   23.60    0.30    2.40

                  Aug :    3.40   22.60    0.30    0.40   23.60    0.30    2.40

   SE Asia 9/     Jul :    2.37    0.00   13.45    1.71   12.94    0.43    2.46

                  Aug :    3.07    0.00   12.45    1.46   12.44    0.43    2.66

  Selected other      :

   India          Jul :   16.10   79.00    0.30    0.10   80.01    0.40   14.99

                  Aug :   16.10   80.71    0.30    0.10   82.44    0.20   14.48

   FSU-12         Jul :   23.77  100.62    6.23   32.48   85.86   31.65   13.11

                  Aug :   22.87   87.21    5.88   34.18   87.17   15.85   12.94

    Russia        Jul :   12.83   53.00    0.15   24.00   47.20   15.00    3.78

                  Aug :   11.83   45.00    0.65   26.00   49.20    3.00    5.28

    Kazakhstan    Jul :    3.91   14.00    0.08    2.70    7.65    8.00    2.33

                  Aug :    3.61   11.50    0.08    2.70    7.65    6.00    1.53

    Ukraine       Jul :    2.26   20.00    0.05    3.10   12.10    8.00    2.21

                  Aug :    2.46   17.00    0.05    2.80   11.60    6.00    1.91

===============================================================================

1/ Aggregate of local marketing years.  2/ Total foreign and world use

adjusted to reflect the differences in world imports and exports.  3/ World

imports and exports may not balance due to differences in marketing years,

grain in transit, and reporting discrepancies in some countries. 4/ Argentina,

Australia, Canada, and the EU-27. 5/ Trade excludes intra-trade. 6/ Brazil,

China, Japan, Mexico, N. Africa, Pakistan, selected Middle East, and Southeast

Asia. 7/ Lebanon, Iraq, Iran, Israel, Jordan, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, Yemen,

United Arab Emirates, and Oman. 8/ Algeria, Egypt, Libya, Morocco, and

Tunisia. 9/ Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand, and Vietnam.

 

 

 

 

                                 WASDE-485-20                    August 2010

 

                      World Coarse Grain Supply and Use 1/

                             (Million Metric Tons)

===============================================================================

                      :          Supply         :           Use         :

                      :=========================:=======================:Ending

        Region        :         :       :       :  Domestic 2/  :       :stocks

                      :Beginning:Produc-:       :===============:       :

                      :  stocks : tion  :Imports: Feed : Total  :Exports:

===============================================================================

                      :

                      :                      2008/09

                      :

World 3/              :  163.74 1109.62  110.40  645.80 1079.53  112.99  193.84

United States         :   45.06  325.87    3.05  140.92  275.98   50.94   47.06

Total foreign         :  118.68  783.76  107.35  504.88  803.55   62.05  146.78

  Major exporters 4/  :   13.21   71.67    2.10   32.66   49.33   22.45   15.20

   Argentina          :    3.27   19.13    0.04    5.79    8.75   12.45    1.24

   Australia          :    2.67   12.27    0.00    5.89    7.25    4.41    3.29

   Canada             :    4.01   27.18    1.90   16.63   22.87    3.87    6.36

  Major importers 5/  :   35.05  243.91   82.52  234.41  311.37    6.72   43.39

   EU-27 6/           :   12.77  161.43    3.41  114.05  151.80    5.55   20.25

   Japan              :    1.71    0.22   19.61   15.05   19.97    0.00    1.57

   Mexico             :    4.74   32.25   10.47   25.24   42.06    0.16    5.24

   N. Afr & Mideast 7/:    6.97   24.70   23.22   39.59   46.92    0.23    7.75

   Saudi Arabia       :    2.81    0.27    8.69    9.13    9.35    0.01    2.41

   Southeast Asia 8/  :    3.19   24.63    5.21   20.36   28.27    0.77    4.00

   South Korea        :    2.12    0.36    7.25    6.41    8.21    0.00    1.52

  Selected other      :

   Brazil             :   12.87   53.62    1.60   40.75   48.53    7.15   12.41

   China              :   40.43  172.66    1.65  107.83  160.32    0.22   54.19

   FSU-12             :    4.45   78.56    0.65   41.30   57.94   17.10    8.62

    Russia            :    1.59   40.70    0.11   21.90   32.80    4.79    4.80

    Ukraine           :    1.59   26.22    0.02   10.33   13.70   11.88    2.25

                      :

                      :                 2009/10 (Estimated)

                      :

World 3/              :  193.84 1103.57  110.50  653.09 1109.55  115.93  187.86

United States         :   47.06  349.22    2.31  146.91  303.31   54.64   40.63

Total foreign         :  146.78  754.35  108.19  506.18  806.24   61.28  147.22

  Major exporters 4/  :   15.20   76.42    2.45   33.94   51.26   26.06   16.75

   Argentina          :    1.24   27.95    0.03    7.63   10.66   15.81    2.75

   Australia          :    3.29   11.57    0.00    5.64    7.11    4.69    3.06

   Canada             :    6.36   22.37    2.27   16.21   22.77    3.03    5.20

  Major importers 5/  :   43.39  235.15   81.89  232.21  309.91    5.62   44.90

   EU-27 6/           :   20.25  151.76    2.67  110.58  148.53    2.98   23.17

   Japan              :    1.57    0.18   19.59   14.87   19.78    0.00    1.56

   Mexico             :    5.24   27.80   10.75   24.53   41.30    0.25    2.24

   N. Afr & Mideast 7/:    7.75   31.98   20.79   41.38   49.07    1.13   10.32

   Saudi Arabia       :    2.41    0.27    9.51    9.23    9.43    0.00    2.76

   Southeast Asia 8/  :    4.00   22.78    5.61   20.44   28.35    1.26    2.78

   South Korea        :    1.52    0.34    8.24    6.54    8.59    0.00    1.50

  Selected other      :

   Brazil             :   12.41   56.86    0.91   42.28   50.00    8.53   11.64

   China              :   54.19  161.35    2.98  109.75  164.55    0.22   53.75

   FSU-12             :    8.62   67.94    0.52   39.37   55.41   14.93    6.74

    Russia            :    4.80   31.82    0.20   20.52   30.99    3.02    2.81

    Ukraine           :    2.25   24.12    0.02    9.70   12.87   11.46    2.06

===============================================================================

1/ Aggregate of local marketing years. Coarse grains include corn, sorghum,

barley, oats, rye, millet, and mixed grains (for U.S. excludes millet and

mixed grains).  2/ Total foreign and world use adjusted to reflect the

differences in world imports and exports. 3/ World imports and exports may not

balance due to differences in marketing years, grain in transit, and reporting

discrepancies in some countries. 4/ Argentina, Australia, Canada, and South

Africa. 5/ The EU-27, Mexico, Japan, selected North Africa and Middle East,

South Korea, Southeast Asia, and Taiwan. 6/ Trade excludes intra-trade. 7/

Algeria, Egypt, Iran, Israel, Jordan, Libya, Morocco, Syria, Tunisia, and

Turkey. 8/ Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand, and Vietnam.

 

 

 

 

                                 WASDE-485-21                    August 2010

 

                  World Coarse Grain Supply and Use 1/ (Cont'd.)

                             (Million Metric Tons)

===============================================================================

                      :          Supply         :           Use         :

                      :=========================:=======================:Ending

        Region        :         :       :       :  Domestic 2/  :       :stocks

                      :Beginning:Produc-:       :===============:       :

                      :  stocks : tion  :Imports: Feed : Total  :Exports:

===============================================================================

                      :

                      :                 2010/11 (Projected)

World 3/              :

            July      :  188.78 1117.55  110.62  656.21 1126.15  113.81  180.18

          August      :  187.86 1107.91  112.82  654.95 1123.72  114.97  172.04

United States         :

            July      :   41.95  350.74    2.25  141.62  303.02   53.36   38.57

          August      :   40.63  354.68    2.25  142.00  304.16   56.15   37.25

Total foreign         :

            July      :  146.82  766.81  108.38  514.59  823.13   60.45  141.62

          August      :  147.22  753.23  110.58  512.96  819.56   58.83  134.80

  Major exporters 4/  :

            July      :   16.97   73.18    2.73   35.04   52.89   26.08   13.90

          August      :   16.75   73.18    2.73   34.54   52.39   26.58   13.68

   Argentina      Jul :    3.77   27.08    0.03    8.02   11.18   16.21    3.49

                  Aug :    2.75   27.08    0.03    8.02   11.18   16.21    2.47

   Australia      Jul :    3.36   10.97    0.00    5.64    7.17    4.46    2.70

                  Aug :    3.06   10.97    0.00    5.54    7.07    4.96    2.00

   Canada         Jul :    5.10   22.11    2.57   16.32   22.90    2.88    3.99

                  Aug :    5.20   22.11    2.57   16.32   23.10    2.88    3.89

  Major importers 5/  :

            July      :   44.82  234.98   83.22  237.77  316.75    6.96   39.31

          August      :   44.90  231.28   83.97  240.12  319.00    7.81   33.34

   EU-27 6/       Jul :   23.17  146.35    2.72  111.75  150.25    5.26   16.72

                  Aug :   23.17  143.16    3.22  113.65  152.16    6.11   11.28

   Japan          Jul :    1.56    0.18   19.38   14.66   19.58    0.00    1.54

                  Aug :    1.56    0.18   19.38   14.66   19.58    0.00    1.54

   Mexico         Jul :    2.49   31.93   11.75   25.43   42.40    0.15    3.62

                  Aug :    2.24   32.03   11.95   25.43   42.40    0.15    3.67

   N Afr/M.East 7/Jul :    9.82   31.06   20.68   42.98   50.87    0.77    9.92

                  Aug :   10.32   30.46   20.73   43.23   51.12    0.77    9.62

   Saudi Arabia   Jul :    2.76    0.27    9.21    9.33    9.53    0.00    2.71

                  Aug :    2.76    0.27    8.71    9.33    9.53    0.00    2.21

   S.-east Asia 8/Jul :    2.95   24.77    6.01   22.04   30.14    0.79    2.80

                  Aug :    2.78   24.77    6.01   21.74   29.74    0.79    3.02

   South Korea    Jul :    1.50    0.34    8.64    6.84    9.02    0.00    1.46

                  Aug :    1.50    0.34    9.14    7.34    9.52    0.00    1.46

  Selected other      :

   Brazil         Jul :   11.29   53.73    1.41   43.58   51.30    7.03    8.09

                  Aug :   11.64   53.73    1.41   43.58   51.30    7.03    8.44

   China          Jul :   53.75  173.00    2.08  110.81  167.80    0.27   60.75

                  Aug :   53.75  173.00    2.98  111.81  168.80    0.27   60.65

   FSU-12         Jul :    6.78   62.80    0.46   36.84   52.04   12.86    5.15

                  Aug :    6.74   53.16    1.01   32.15   46.55    9.83    4.54

    Russia        Jul :    2.81   26.80    0.15   17.20   26.90    1.22    1.65

                  Aug :    2.81   20.90    0.70   13.50   22.40    0.44    1.57

    Ukraine       Jul :    2.10   24.95    0.02   10.93   14.00   11.21    1.86

                  Aug :    2.06   21.75    0.02   10.43   13.50    9.01    1.32

===============================================================================

1/ Aggregate of local marketing years. Coarse grains include corn, sorghum,

barley, oats, rye, millet, and mixed grains (for U.S. excludes millet and

mixed grains).  2/ Total foreign and world use adjusted to reflect the

differences in world imports and exports. 3/ World imports and exports may not

balance due to differences in marketing years, grain in transit, and reporting

discrepancies in some countries. 4/ Argentina, Australia, Canada, and South

Africa. 5/ The EU-27, Mexico, Japan, selected North Africa and Middle East,

South Korea, Southeast Asia, and Taiwan. 6/ Trade excludes intra-trade. 7/

Algeria, Egypt, Iran, Israel, Jordan, Libya, Morocco, Syria, Tunisia, and

Turkey. 8/ Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand, and Vietnam.

 

 

 

 

                                 WASDE-485-22                    August 2010

 

                          World Corn Supply and Use 1/

                             (Million Metric Tons)

===============================================================================

                      :          Supply         :           Use         :

                      :=========================:=======================:Ending

        Region        :         :       :       :  Domestic 2/  :       :stocks

                      :Beginning:Produc-:       :===============:       :

                      :  stocks : tion  :Imports: Feed : Total  :Exports:

===============================================================================

                      :

                      :                      2008/09

                      :

World 3/              :  131.32  797.83   82.45  478.84  781.64   84.42  147.51

United States         :   41.26  307.14    0.34  131.62  259.27   46.97   42.50

Total foreign         :   90.06  490.69   82.10  347.22  522.37   37.45  105.00

  Major exporters 4/  :    5.27   27.57    0.06    8.80   16.30   11.99    4.61

   Argentina          :    2.18   15.00    0.03    4.50    6.40   10.32    0.49

   South Africa       :    3.09   12.57    0.03    4.30    9.90    1.67    4.11

  Major importers 5/  :   16.51  117.89   48.99  115.87  162.94    2.67   17.77

   Egypt              :    0.85    6.65    5.03    8.70   11.10    0.01    1.41

   EU-27 6/           :    4.36   62.32    2.74   47.50   62.00    1.74    5.68

   Japan              :    1.16    0.00   16.53   12.10   16.70    0.00    1.00

   Mexico             :    4.13   24.23    7.76   16.40   32.40    0.16    3.56

   Southeast Asia 7/  :    3.19   24.57    5.20   20.30   28.20    0.76    4.00

   South Korea        :    2.08    0.09    7.19    6.37    7.89    0.00    1.47

  Selected other      :

   Brazil             :   12.58   51.00    1.14   38.50   45.50    7.14   12.08

   Canada             :    1.46   10.59    1.84    7.53   11.66    0.37    1.86

   China              :   39.39  165.90    0.05  107.00  152.00    0.17   53.17

   FSU-12             :    1.14   21.67    0.42   12.92   14.76    6.89    1.58

    Ukraine           :    0.67   11.40    0.01    5.10    5.85    5.50    0.73

                      :

                      :                 2009/10 (Estimated)

                      :

World 3/              :  147.51  808.45   85.20  486.93  816.93   89.82  139.03

United States         :   42.50  333.01    0.20  140.34  289.32   50.17   36.23

Total foreign         :  105.00  475.44   85.00  346.58  527.61   39.65  102.80

  Major exporters 4/  :    4.61   36.50    0.05    9.60   17.20   16.50    7.46

   Argentina          :    0.49   22.50    0.03    5.20    7.10   14.00    1.92

   South Africa       :    4.11   14.00    0.03    4.40   10.10    2.50    5.54

  Major importers 5/  :   17.77  106.72   50.20  110.95  158.80    2.74   13.15

   Egypt              :    1.41    6.82    5.00    9.50   11.90    0.00    1.34

   EU-27 6/           :    5.68   55.77    2.50   43.50   58.50    1.25    4.21

   Japan              :    1.00    0.00   16.30   11.70   16.30    0.00    1.00

   Mexico             :    3.56   21.30    8.00   14.80   30.80    0.25    1.81

   Southeast Asia 7/  :    4.00   22.72    5.60   20.40   28.30    1.24    2.78

   South Korea        :    1.47    0.08    8.20    6.50    8.30    0.00    1.45

  Selected other      :

   Brazil             :   12.08   54.35    0.50   40.00   47.00    8.50   11.43

   Canada             :    1.86    9.56    2.20    7.40   11.90    0.15    1.57

   China              :   53.17  155.00    1.00  109.00  156.00    0.15   53.02

   FSU-12             :    1.58   17.85    0.33   11.27   12.87    5.68    1.21

    Ukraine           :    0.73   10.50    0.01    4.80    5.50    5.20    0.54

===============================================================================

1/ Aggregate of local marketing years. 2/ Total foreign and world use adjusted

to reflect the differences in world imports and exports. 3/ World imports and

exports may not balance due to differences in marketing years, grain in

transit, and reporting discrepancies in some countries. 4/ Argentina and South

Africa. 5/ Egypt, the EU-27, Mexico, Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, and Southeast

Asia. 6/ Trade excludes intra-trade. 7/ Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines,

Thailand, and Vietnam.

 

 

 

 

                                 WASDE-485-23                    August 2010

 

                      World Corn Supply and Use 1/ (Cont'd.)

                             (Million Metric Tons)

===============================================================================

                      :          Supply         :           Use         :

                      :=========================:=======================:Ending

        Region        :         :       :       :  Domestic 2/  :       :stocks

                      :Beginning:Produc-:       :===============:       :

                      :  stocks : tion  :Imports: Feed : Total  :Exports:

===============================================================================

                      :

                      :                 2010/11 (Projected)

World 3/              :

            July      :  139.59  832.38   86.72  492.90  830.89   89.16  141.08

          August      :  139.03  831.59   89.17  493.65  831.42   90.42  139.20

United States         :

            July      :   37.55  336.44    0.25  135.90  289.83   49.53   34.89

          August      :   36.23  339.49    0.25  135.90  290.59   52.07   33.32

Total foreign         :

            July      :  102.04  495.94   86.47  357.00  541.06   39.63  106.19

          August      :  102.80  492.10   88.92  357.75  540.83   38.35  105.88

  Major exporters 4/  :

            July      :    7.46   33.50    0.05   10.50   18.50   16.50    6.01

          August      :    7.46   33.50    0.05   10.10   17.90   16.50    6.61

   Argentina      Jul :    2.92   21.00    0.03    5.50    7.50   14.00    2.44

                  Aug :    1.92   21.00    0.03    5.50    7.50   14.00    1.44

   South Africa   Jul :    4.54   12.50    0.03    5.00   11.00    2.50    3.56

                  Aug :    5.54   12.50    0.03    4.60   10.40    2.50    5.16

  Major importers 5/  :

            July      :   13.33  112.83   52.60  113.85  162.30    2.11   14.35

          August      :   13.15  111.79   53.60  114.55  162.90    1.91   13.74

   Egypt          Jul :    1.34    7.00    5.40   10.10   12.60    0.00    1.14

                  Aug :    1.34    7.00    5.40   10.10   12.60    0.00    1.14

   EU-27 6/       Jul :    4.21   56.99    2.50   43.00   58.00    1.20    4.50

                  Aug :    4.21   55.95    3.00   43.50   58.50    1.00    3.66

   Japan          Jul :    1.00    0.00   16.30   11.70   16.30    0.00    1.00

                  Aug :    1.00    0.00   16.30   11.70   16.30    0.00    1.00

   Mexico         Jul :    1.81   24.00    9.10   15.60   31.80    0.15    2.96

                  Aug :    1.81   24.00    9.10   15.60   31.80    0.15    2.96

   S.-east Asia 7/Jul :    2.95   24.71    6.00   22.00   30.10    0.76    2.80

                  Aug :    2.78   24.71    6.00   21.70   29.70    0.76    3.02

   South Korea    Jul :    1.45    0.08    8.60    6.80    8.70    0.00    1.43

                  Aug :    1.45    0.08    9.10    7.30    9.20    0.00    1.43

  Selected other      :

   Brazil         Jul :   11.08   51.00    1.00   41.30   48.30    7.00    7.78

                  Aug :   11.43   51.00    1.00   41.30   48.30    7.00    8.13

   Canada         Jul :    1.47   10.50    2.50    8.00   12.50    0.30    1.67

                  Aug :    1.57   10.50    2.50    8.00   12.70    0.30    1.57

   China          Jul :   53.02  166.00    0.10  110.00  159.00    0.20   59.92

                  Aug :   53.02  166.00    1.00  111.00  160.00    0.20   59.82

   FSU-12         Jul :    1.21   21.37    0.28   13.16   14.86    6.26    1.75

                  Aug :    1.21   18.37    0.48   12.16   13.86    5.08    1.12

    Ukraine       Jul :    0.54   13.00    0.01    5.90    6.60    6.00    0.95

                  Aug :    0.54   11.50    0.01    5.80    6.50    5.00    0.55

===============================================================================

1/ Aggregate of local marketing years. 2/ Total foreign and world use adjusted

to reflect the differences in world imports and exports. 3/ World imports and

exports may not balance due to differences in marketing years, grain in

transit, and reporting discrepancies in some countries. 4/ Argentina and South

Africa. 5/ Egypt, the EU-27, Mexico, Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, and Southeast

Asia. 6/ Trade excludes intra-trade. 7/ Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines,

Thailand, and Vietnam.

 

 

 

 

                                 WASDE-485-24                    August 2010

 

                   World Rice Supply and Use (Milled Basis) 1/

                             (Million Metric Tons)

===============================================================================

                      :          Supply         :        Use        :

                      :=========================:===================: Ending

        Region        :         :       :       :         :         : stocks

                      :Beginning:Produc-:       : Total 2/:         :

                      :  stocks : tion  :Imports: Domestic: Exports :

===============================================================================

                      :

                      :                      2008/09

World 3/              :   80.61  448.03   27.09    437.77    28.97    90.86

United States         :    0.92    6.40    0.61      3.96     3.00     0.96

Total foreign         :   79.69  441.63   26.48    433.81    25.96    89.91

  Major exporters 4/  :   18.43  150.12    0.80    123.08    19.52    26.75

   India              :   13.00   99.18    0.00     91.09     2.09    19.00

   Pakistan           :    0.70    6.70    0.00      3.49     2.91     1.00

   Thailand           :    2.71   19.85    0.30      9.50     8.57     4.79

   Vietnam            :    2.02   24.39    0.50     19.00     5.95     1.96

  Major importers 5/  :   14.43   64.48   11.53     74.63     0.74    15.07

   Brazil             :    0.97    8.57    0.68      8.53     0.57     1.12

   EU-27 6/           :    1.13    1.62    1.34      2.93     0.14     1.02

   Indonesia          :    5.61   38.30    0.25     37.09     0.01     7.06

   Nigeria            :    0.77    3.20    1.75      5.15     0.00     0.57

   Philippines        :    4.42   10.75    2.60     13.65     0.00     4.12

   Sel. Mideast 7/    :    1.43    1.67    3.73      5.67     0.02     1.13

  Selected other      :

   Burma              :    0.59   10.15    0.00      9.65     1.05     0.04

   C. Amer & Carib 8/ :    0.39    1.51    1.31      2.93     0.00     0.29

   China              :   38.02  134.33    0.34    133.00     0.78    38.90

   Egypt              :    0.69    4.40    0.02      4.00     0.55     0.56

   Japan              :    2.56    8.03    0.66      8.33     0.20     2.72

   Mexico             :    0.19    0.16    0.59      0.76     0.01     0.17

   South Korea        :    0.69    4.84    0.25      4.79     0.00     1.00

                      :

                      :                 2009/10 (Estimated)

World 3/              :   90.86  442.61   27.43    438.51    30.12    94.97

United States         :    0.96    6.92    0.62      4.00     3.43     1.07

Total foreign         :   89.91  435.70   26.81    434.51    26.69    93.90

  Major exporters 4/  :   26.75  140.31    0.80    117.08    21.20    29.58

   India              :   19.00   89.13    0.00     85.43     2.20    20.50

   Pakistan           :    1.00    6.50    0.00      2.90     3.75     0.85

   Thailand           :    4.79   20.30    0.30      9.60     9.50     6.29

   Vietnam            :    1.96   24.38    0.50     19.15     5.75     1.94

  Major importers 5/  :   15.07   64.09   11.31     76.04     0.48    13.94

   Brazil             :    1.12    7.64    0.95      8.55     0.30     0.86

   EU-27 6/           :    1.02    1.98    1.35      3.10     0.14     1.11

   Indonesia          :    7.06   38.80    0.25     38.10     0.02     7.99

   Nigeria            :    0.57    3.40    1.80      5.30     0.00     0.47

   Philippines        :    4.12    9.76    2.20     13.61     0.00     2.46

   Sel. Mideast 7/    :    1.13    2.07    3.50      5.69     0.02     0.99

  Selected other      :

   Burma              :    0.04   10.60    0.00     10.00     0.30     0.34

   C. Amer & Carib 8/ :    0.29    1.62    1.50      3.08     0.00     0.33

   China              :   38.90  137.00    0.30    134.50     0.85    40.85

   Egypt              :    0.56    4.30    0.04      4.00     0.60     0.29

   Japan              :    2.72    7.71    0.70      8.20     0.20     2.73

   Mexico             :    0.17    0.18    0.60      0.77     0.01     0.17

   South Korea        :    1.00    4.92    0.30      4.75     0.00     1.46

===============================================================================

1/ Aggregate of local marketing years.  2/ Total foreign and world use

adjusted to reflect the differences in world imports and exports. Total

domestic includes both domestic use and unreported disappearance.  3/ World

imports and exports may not balance due to differences in some countries.  

4/ India, Pakistan, Thailand, and Vietnam.  5/ Brazil,  Indonesia, Hong Kong,

Cote d'Ivoire, Nigeria, Philippines, selected Middle East, and the EU-27. 6/

Trade excludes intra-trade.  7/ Selected Middle East includes Iran, Iraq, and

Saudi Arabia. 8/ Central American and Caribbean countries.

 

 

 

 

                                 WASDE-485-25                    August 2010

 

                   World Rice Supply and Use (Milled Basis) 1/ (Cont'd.)

                             (Million Metric Tons)

===============================================================================

                      :          Supply         :        Use        :

                      :=========================:===================: Ending

        Region        :         :       :       :         :         : stocks

                      :Beginning:Produc-:       : Total 2/:         :

                      :  stocks : tion  :Imports: Domestic: Exports :

===============================================================================

                      :

                      :                 2010/11 (Projected)

World 3/              :

            July      :   89.44  459.28   28.67    452.11    31.48    96.61

          August      :   94.97  459.17   28.90    456.62    31.51    97.52

United States         :

            July      :    1.21    7.81    0.67      4.05     3.53     2.11

          August      :    1.07    7.68    0.64      4.05     3.56     1.77

Total foreign         :

            July      :   88.23  451.47   28.00    448.06    27.95    94.51

          August      :   93.90  451.49   28.26    452.57    27.94    95.74

  Major exporters 4/  :

            July      :   24.43  150.85    0.85    125.80    21.90    28.43

          August      :   29.58  150.85    0.85    130.30    21.90    29.08

   India          Jul :   15.00   99.00    0.00     93.50     2.50    18.00

                  Aug :   20.50   99.00    0.00     98.00     2.50    19.00

   Pakistan       Jul :    1.20    6.50    0.00      3.00     3.60     1.10

                  Aug :    0.85    6.50    0.00      3.00     3.60     0.75

   Thailand       Jul :    6.29   20.60    0.35      9.80    10.00     7.44

                  Aug :    6.29   20.60    0.35      9.80    10.00     7.44

   Vietnam        Jul :    1.94   24.75    0.50     19.50     5.80     1.89

                  Aug :    1.94   24.75    0.50     19.50     5.80     1.89

  Major importers 5/  :

            July      :   14.06   67.38   11.71     78.03     0.66    14.46

          August      :   13.94   67.38   11.71     77.98     0.66    14.39

   Brazil         Jul :    0.99    8.40    0.65      8.65     0.50     0.89

                  Aug :    0.86    8.40    0.65      8.60     0.50     0.81

   EU-27 6/       Jul :    1.11    2.01    1.35      3.15     0.14     1.18

                  Aug :    1.11    2.01    1.35      3.15     0.14     1.18

   Indonesia      Jul :    7.99   40.00    0.25     39.50     0.00     8.74

                  Aug :    7.99   40.00    0.25     39.50     0.00     8.74

   Nigeria        Jul :    0.47    3.60    1.90      5.50     0.00     0.47

                  Aug :    0.47    3.60    1.90      5.50     0.00     0.47

   Philippines    Jul :    2.46   10.80    2.50     13.70     0.00     2.06

                  Aug :    2.46   10.80    2.50     13.70     0.00     2.06

   Sel. Mideast 7/Jul :    0.99    2.13    3.75      5.80     0.02     1.05

                  Aug :    0.99    2.13    3.75      5.80     0.02     1.05

  Selected other      :

   Burma          Jul :    0.04   11.00    0.00     10.10     0.70     0.24

                  Aug :    0.34   11.00    0.00     10.10     0.70     0.54

   C. Am & Car. 8/Jul :    0.32    1.56    1.50      3.09     0.00     0.29

                  Aug :    0.33    1.62    1.45      3.11     0.00     0.29

   China          Jul :   40.85  137.50    0.33    135.50     0.90    42.28

                  Aug :   40.85  137.50    0.33    135.50     0.90    42.28

   Egypt          Jul :    0.29    3.90    0.15      3.85     0.30     0.19

                  Aug :    0.29    3.90    0.15      3.85     0.30     0.19

   Japan          Jul :    2.73    7.85    0.70      8.13     0.20     2.95

                  Aug :    2.73    7.85    0.70      8.13     0.20     2.95

   Mexico         Jul :    0.17    0.16    0.65      0.82     0.01     0.16

                  Aug :    0.17    0.16    0.65      0.82     0.01     0.16

   South Korea    Jul :    1.46    4.60    0.33      4.74     0.01     1.64

                  Aug :    1.46    4.60    0.33      4.74     0.01     1.64

===============================================================================

1/ Aggregate of local marketing years.  2/ Total foreign and world use

adjusted to reflect the differences in world imports and exports. Total

domestic includes both domestic use and unreported disappearance.  3/ World

imports and exports may not balance due to differences in some countries.  

4/ India, Pakistan, Thailand, and Vietnam.  5/ Brazil,  Indonesia, Hong Kong,

Cote d'Ivoire, Nigeria, Philippines, selected Middle East, the EU-27. 6/ Trade

excludes intra-trade.  7/ Selected Middle East includes Iran, Iraq, and Saudi

Arabia. 8/ Central American and Caribbean countries.

 

 

 

 

                                 WASDE-485-26                    August 2010

 

                         World Cotton Supply and Use 1/

                             (Million 480-pound bales)

================================================================================

                      :          Supply         :       Use      :      :

        Region        :=========================:================: Loss : Ending

                      :Beginning:Produc-:Imports:Domestic:Exports:  2/  : stocks

                      :  stocks : tion  :       :        :       :      :

================================================================================

                      :

                      :                      2008/09

                      :

World                 :   60.69  107.16    30.07  109.94    30.11  -2.67  60.53

United States         :   10.05   12.82       3/    3.59    13.28  -0.33   6.34

Total foreign         :   50.64   94.34    30.07  106.35    16.83  -2.33  54.20

  Major exporters 4/  :   17.80   42.34     1.54   26.83    13.88  -0.19  21.17

   Central Asia 5/    :    2.42    7.10     0.01    1.60     4.45   0.00   3.47

   Afr. Fr. Zone 6/   :    0.67    2.41       3/    0.19     2.15   0.00   0.75

   S. Hemis. 7/       :    8.30    8.68     0.31    5.52     4.60  -0.20   7.38

    Australia         :    0.60    1.50       3/    0.05     1.20  -0.07   0.93

   Brazil             :    6.25    5.48     0.05    4.20     2.74  -0.15   4.99

   India              :    5.63   22.60     0.80   17.75     2.36   0.00   8.92

  Major importers 8/  :   30.99   49.21    26.06   75.24     1.88  -2.15  31.29

   Mexico             :    0.93    0.57     1.32    1.85     0.18   0.03   0.76

   China              :   20.50   36.70     7.00   44.00     0.08  -2.25  22.37

   EU-27 9/           :    0.67    1.23     0.96    1.14     1.01   0.05   0.65

   Turkey             :    1.95    1.93     2.92    5.10     0.14  -0.09   1.65

   Pakistan           :    4.47    8.70     1.95   11.25     0.38   0.03   3.47

   Indonesia          :    0.39    0.03     2.00    2.00     0.02   0.05   0.35

   Thailand           :    0.32      3/     1.60    1.60     0.00   0.03   0.29

   Bangladesh         :    0.62    0.04     3.80    3.75     0.00   0.01   0.70

   Vietnam            :    0.25    0.01     1.25    1.25     0.00   0.00   0.26

                      :

                      :                 2009/10 (Estimated)

                      :

World                 :   60.53  102.15    36.21  117.71    35.65  -2.05  47.58

United States         :    6.34   12.19       3/    3.40    12.00   0.03   3.10

Total foreign         :   54.20   89.96    36.21  114.31    23.65  -2.08  44.48

  Major exporters 4/  :   21.17   41.98     1.56   28.84    20.10  -0.19  15.95

   Central Asia 5/    :    3.47    6.12     0.01    1.69     5.91   0.00   2.01

   Afr. Fr. Zone 6/   :    0.75    2.16       3/    0.18     2.22   0.00   0.51

   S. Hemis. 7/       :    7.38    8.77     0.40    5.70     4.91  -0.20   6.15

    Australia         :    0.93    1.60       3/    0.04     2.10  -0.07   0.46

   Brazil             :    4.99    5.35     0.16    4.40     1.99  -0.15   4.26

   India              :    8.92   23.50     0.60   19.60     6.55   0.00   6.87

  Major importers 8/  :   31.29   45.38    31.98   81.27     2.33  -1.89  26.95

   Mexico             :    0.76    0.42     1.40    1.90     0.10   0.03   0.56

   China              :   22.37   32.50    10.94   48.50     0.03  -2.00  19.28

   EU-27 9/           :    0.65    1.01     0.89    0.98     1.06   0.05   0.46

   Turkey             :    1.65    1.75     4.30    5.80     0.15  -0.08   1.83

   Pakistan           :    3.47    9.60     1.50   11.50     0.75   0.03   2.30

   Indonesia          :    0.35    0.03     2.10    2.05     0.02   0.05   0.36

   Thailand           :    0.29      3/     1.80    1.78     0.01   0.03   0.29

   Bangladesh         :    0.70    0.05     4.00    4.00     0.00   0.01   0.74

   Vietnam            :    0.26    0.02     1.70    1.60     0.00   0.00   0.38

================================================================================

1/ Marketing year beginning August 1.   Totals may not add exactly and trade

may not balance due to rounding and other factors.   2/ Generally reflects

cotton lost or destroyed in the marketing channel; for Australia, Brazil,

China, and the United States, reflects the difference between implicit stocks

based on supply less total use and indicated ending stocks.  3/ Less than

5,000 bales.  4/ Includes Egypt and Syria in addition to the countries and

regions listed.  5/ Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan,

Turkmenistan, and Uzbekistan.  6/ Benin, Burkino Faso, Cameroon, Central

African Republic, Chad, Cote d'Ivoire, Mali, Niger, Senegal, and Togo.  7/

Argentina, Australia, Brazil, Paraguay, South Africa, Tanzania, and Zimbabwe.

8/ In addition to the countries and regions listed, includes Hong Kong, Japan,

Russia, South Korea, and Taiwan. 9/ Includes intra-EU trade.

 

 

 

 

                                 WASDE-485-27                    August 2010

 

                         World Cotton Supply and Use 1/

                             (Million 480-pound bales)

================================================================================

                      :          Supply         :       Use      :      :

        Region        :=========================:================: Loss : Ending

                      :Beginning:Produc-:Imports:Domestic:Exports:  2/  : stocks

                      :  stocks : tion  :       :        :       :      :

================================================================================

                      :

                      :                 2010/11 (Projected)

World                 :

            July      :   50.99  116.02    37.05  119.70    37.02  -2.58  49.91

          August      :   47.58  116.85    38.25  120.87    38.24  -2.04  45.61

United States         :

            July      :    2.90   18.30       3/    3.40    14.30   0.00   3.50

          August      :    3.10   18.53     0.01    3.40    15.00   0.04   3.20

Total foreign         :

            July      :   48.09   97.72    37.05  116.30    22.72  -2.58  46.41

          August      :   44.48   98.32    38.24  117.47    23.24  -2.08  42.41

  Major exporters 4/  :

            July      :   17.75   47.44     1.64   29.94    19.27  -0.19  17.81

          August      :   15.95   48.54     1.94   29.93    19.85  -0.19  16.84

   Central Asia 5/Jul :    2.01    6.97     0.01    1.73     5.60   0.00   1.65

                  Aug :    2.01    6.97     0.01    1.73     5.72   0.00   1.53

   Afr. Fr. Zn. 6/Jul :    0.51    2.66       3/    0.18     2.45   0.00   0.53

                  Aug :    0.51    2.66       3/    0.18     2.45   0.00   0.53

   S. Hemis 7/    Jul :    6.79   11.22     0.51    5.95     4.88  -0.20   7.89

                  Aug :    6.15   11.32     0.81    5.95     4.73  -0.20   7.80

    Australia     Jul :    0.74    2.20       3/    0.04     1.85  -0.07   1.12

                  Aug :    0.46    2.30       3/    0.04     2.00  -0.07   0.80

   Brazil         Jul :    4.63    7.00     0.30    4.60     2.20  -0.15   5.28

                  Aug :    4.26    7.00     0.60    4.60     1.90  -0.15   5.51

   India          Jul :    8.02   25.00     0.63   20.40     5.90   0.00   7.35

                  Aug :    6.87   26.00     0.63   20.40     6.50   0.00   6.59

  Major importers 8/  :

            July      :   28.75   47.42    32.81   82.15     2.24  -2.39  26.99

          August      :   26.95   46.92    33.62   83.33     2.09  -1.89  23.96

   Mexico         Jul :    0.56    0.64     1.50    1.90     0.20   0.03   0.58

                  Aug :    0.56    0.64     1.40    1.90     0.15   0.03   0.53

   China          Jul :   20.49   33.00    11.65   49.00     0.03  -2.50  18.62

                  Aug :   19.28   33.00    12.50   50.00     0.03  -2.00  16.76

   EU-27 9/       Jul :    0.46    1.38     0.84    0.93     1.26   0.05   0.44

                  Aug :    0.46    1.38     0.82    0.91     1.26   0.05   0.44

   Turkey         Jul :    1.83    2.10     3.30    5.70     0.15  -0.08   1.46

                  Aug :    1.83    2.30     3.40    6.00     0.15  -0.08   1.46

   Pakistan       Jul :    2.91   10.20     2.30   11.60     0.40   0.03   3.39

                  Aug :    2.30    9.50     2.30   11.50     0.30   0.03   2.27

   Indonesia      Jul :    0.36    0.03     2.20    2.10     0.02   0.05   0.42

                  Aug :    0.36    0.03     2.20    2.10     0.02   0.05   0.42

   Thailand       Jul :    0.29      3/     1.80    1.78     0.01   0.03   0.28

                  Aug :    0.29      3/     1.80    1.78     0.01   0.03   0.28

   Bangladesh     Jul :    0.74    0.05     4.25    4.25     0.00   0.01   0.78

                  Aug :    0.74    0.05     4.25    4.25     0.00   0.01   0.78

   Vietnam        Jul :    0.36    0.02     1.78    1.80     0.00   0.00   0.35

                  Aug :    0.38    0.02     1.75    1.80     0.00   0.00   0.35

================================================================================

1/ Marketing year beginning August 1.   Totals may not add exactly and trade

may not balance due to rounding and other factors.   2/ Generally reflects

cotton lost or destroyed in the marketing channel; for Australia, Brazil, and

the United States, reflects the difference between implicit stocks based on

supply less total use and indicated ending stocks. 3/ Less than 5,000 bales. 

4/ Includes Egypt and Syria in addition to the countries and regions listed. 

5/ Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, and

Uzbekistan.  6/ Benin, Burkino Faso, Cameroon, Central African Republic, Chad,

Cote d'Ivoire, Mali, Niger, Senegal, and Togo.   7/ Argentina, Australia,

Brazil, Paraguay, South Africa, Tanzania, and Zimbabwe.  8/ In addition to the

countries and regions listed, includes Hong Kong, Japan, Russia, South Korea,

and Taiwan. 9/ Includes intra-EU trade.

 

 

 

 

                                 WASDE-485-28                    August 2010

 

                       World Soybean Supply and Use 1/

                             (Million Metric Tons)

===============================================================================

                      :          Supply         :           Use         :

                      :=========================:=======================:Ending

     Region           :         :       :       :               :       :stocks

                      :Beginning:Produc-:       :    Domestic   :       :

                      :  stocks : tion  :Imports: Crush : Total :Exports:

===============================================================================

                      :

                      :                      2008/09

World 2/              :   52.89  211.96   77.17  192.71  220.79   77.25   43.97

United States         :    5.58   80.75    0.36   45.23   48.11   34.82    3.76

Total foreign         :   47.31  131.22   76.81  147.48  172.68   42.44   40.21

  Major exporters 3/  :   40.85   93.80    1.30   64.61   69.09   38.21   28.65

   Argentina          :   21.76   32.00    1.24   31.24   32.82    5.59   16.59

   Brazil             :   18.90   57.80    0.04   31.87   34.72   29.99   12.04

  Major importers 4/  :    5.61   17.58   64.50   61.66   77.19    0.45   10.05

   China              :    4.25   15.54   41.10   41.04   51.44    0.40    9.05

   EU-27              :    0.81    0.64   13.21   12.86   14.09    0.02    0.56

   Japan              :    0.27    0.26    3.40    2.50    3.75    0.00    0.18

   Mexico             :    0.06    0.15    3.33    3.47    3.50    0.00    0.04

                      :

                      :                 2009/10 (Estimated)

World 2/              :   43.97  259.90   86.66  207.65  237.44   89.58   63.52

United States         :    3.76   91.42    0.41   47.63   51.24   40.01    4.34

Total foreign         :   40.21  168.48   86.25  160.02  186.20   49.57   59.18

  Major exporters 3/  :   28.65  130.70    0.20   68.36   72.97   44.75   41.82

   Argentina          :   16.59   54.50    0.00   33.53   35.12   11.00   24.97

   Brazil             :   12.04   69.00    0.19   33.28   36.18   28.35   16.70

  Major importers 4/  :   10.05   16.87   73.27   68.89   84.89    0.32   14.97

   China              :    9.05   14.70   49.50   48.48   59.08    0.25   13.92

   EU-27              :    0.56    0.86   13.00   12.50   13.77    0.04    0.61

   Japan              :    0.18    0.23    3.60    2.53    3.83    0.00    0.18

   Mexico             :    0.04    0.11    3.45    3.51    3.55    0.00    0.05

                      :

                      :                 2010/11 (Projected)

World 2/              :

            July      :   65.35  251.29   87.54  216.30  247.57   88.84   67.76

          August      :   63.52  253.69   89.54  219.75  250.92   91.11   64.73

United States         :

            July      :    4.75   91.04    0.27   44.77   48.98   37.29    9.80

          August      :    4.34   93.44    0.27   44.91   49.21   39.05    9.80

Total foreign         :

            July      :   60.59  160.25   87.27  171.53  198.60   51.55   57.96

          August      :   59.18  160.25   89.27  174.85  201.71   52.05   54.93

  Major exporters 3/  :

            July      :   43.55  121.50    0.19   73.00   77.80   46.24   41.20

          August      :   41.82  121.50    0.19   73.81   78.59   46.74   38.19

   Argentina      Jul :   25.47   50.00    0.00   38.65   40.32   12.50   22.65

                  Aug :   24.97   50.00    0.00   39.26   40.91   12.50   21.56

   Brazil         Jul :   17.92   65.00    0.18   32.80   35.80   28.90   18.40

                  Aug :   16.70   65.00    0.18   33.00   36.00   29.40   16.47

  Major importers 4/  :

            July      :   14.68   16.91   73.97   74.10   90.43    0.52   14.62

          August      :   14.97   16.91   75.95   76.49   92.82    0.52   14.50

   China          Jul :   13.62   14.60   50.00   53.40   64.22    0.45   13.55

                  Aug :   13.92   14.60   52.00   55.80   66.62    0.45   13.45

   EU-27          Jul :    0.61    1.00   12.60   12.40   13.62    0.03    0.56

                  Aug :    0.61    1.00   12.60   12.40   13.62    0.03    0.56

   Japan          Jul :    0.18    0.23    3.66    2.59    3.89    0.00    0.17

                  Aug :    0.18    0.23    3.66    2.59    3.89    0.00    0.17

   Mexico         Jul :    0.05    0.11    3.60    3.67    3.71    0.00    0.05

                  Aug :    0.05    0.11    3.60    3.67    3.71    0.00    0.05

===============================================================================

1/ Data based on local marketing years except Argentina and Brazil which are

adjusted to an October-September year.  2/ World imports and exports may not

balance due to differences in local marketing years and to time lags between

reported exports and imports.  Therefore, world supply may not equal world

use.  3/ Argentina, Brazil and Paraguay.  4/ Japan, China, and EU, Mexico, and

Southeast Asia (includes Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, and Thailand).

 

 

 

 

                                 WASDE-485-29                    August 2010

 

                     World Soybean Meal Supply and Use 1/

                             (Million Metric Tons)

===============================================================================

                      :          Supply         :        Use        :

                      :=========================:===================: Ending

        Region        :         :       :       :         :         : stocks

                      :Beginning:Produc-:       : Total   :         :

                      :  stocks : tion  :Imports: Domestic: Exports :

===============================================================================

                      :

                      :                      2008/09

World 2/              :    6.36  151.43   51.18    151.94    52.82     4.23

United States         :    0.27   35.47    0.08     27.90     7.71     0.21

Total foreign         :    6.10  115.96   51.10    124.04    45.11     4.01

  Major exporters 3/  :    3.83   54.81    0.10     15.00    40.94     2.79

   Argentina          :    1.14   24.36    0.00      0.63    24.03     0.85

   Brazil             :    2.59   24.70    0.08     12.42    13.11     1.84

   India              :    0.11    5.75    0.01      1.95     3.81     0.10

  Major importers 4/  :    1.27   44.10   28.19     71.70     1.53     0.33

   EU-27              :    1.07   10.13   20.98     31.58     0.47     0.13

   China              :    0.00   32.48    0.22     31.67     1.02     0.00

                      :

                      :                 2009/10 (Estimated)

World 2/              :    4.23  163.55   53.13    160.26    55.77     4.88

United States         :    0.21   37.67    0.13     27.31    10.43     0.27

Total foreign         :    4.01  125.88   53.00    132.95    45.34     4.61

  Major exporters 3/  :    2.79   57.25    0.11     16.12    40.73     3.30

   Argentina          :    0.85   26.15    0.00      0.67    25.38     0.94

   Brazil             :    1.84   25.79    0.10     12.80    12.75     2.18

   India              :    0.10    5.31    0.01      2.65     2.60     0.17

  Major importers 4/  :    0.33   49.75   29.33     76.86     2.05     0.50

   EU-27              :    0.13    9.85   21.80     31.09     0.45     0.23

   China              :    0.00   38.37    0.07     36.88     1.55     0.00

                      :

                      :                 2010/11 (Projected)

World 2/              :

            July      :    5.23  170.40   54.81    168.08    56.93     5.43

          August      :    4.88  173.12   55.38    170.55    57.74     5.09

United States         :

            July      :    0.27   35.50    0.15     27.58     8.07     0.27

          August      :    0.27   35.59    0.15     27.67     8.07     0.27

Total foreign         :

            July      :    4.96  134.90   54.66    140.50    48.85     5.16

          August      :    4.61  137.53   55.23    142.89    49.67     4.82

  Major exporters 3/  :

            July      :    3.69   61.45    0.13     17.16    44.35     3.75

          August      :    3.30   62.16    0.13     17.04    45.16     3.39

   Argentina      Jul :    1.52   29.95    0.00      0.70    29.42     1.36

                  Aug :    0.94   30.43    0.00      0.70    29.55     1.13

   Brazil         Jul :    1.60   25.42    0.12     13.38    11.83     1.93

                  Aug :    2.18   25.58    0.12     13.38    12.41     2.09

   India          Jul :    0.56    6.08    0.01      3.08     3.10     0.47

                  Aug :    0.17    6.15    0.01      2.96     3.20     0.17

  Major importers 4/  :

            July      :    0.50   53.70   30.22     81.84     2.00     0.59

          August      :    0.50   55.60   30.80     84.31     2.00     0.59

   EU-27          Jul :    0.23    9.77   22.60     31.85     0.45     0.30

                  Aug :    0.23    9.77   23.05     32.30     0.45     0.30

   China          Jul :    0.00   42.26    0.05     40.81     1.50     0.00

                  Aug :    0.00   44.16    0.05     42.71     1.50     0.00

===============================================================================

1/ Data based on local marketing years except for Argentina and Brazil which

are adjusted to an October-September year.  2/ World imports and exports may

not balance due to differences in local marketing years and to time lags

between reported exports and imports.  Therefore, world supply may not equal

world use.  3/ Argentina, Brazil, and India.  4/ Eastern Europe, China, EU,

and Southeast Asia (includes Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, and Thailand).

 

 

 

 

                                 WASDE-485-30                    August 2010

 

                     World Soybean Oil Supply and Use 1/

                             (Million Metric Tons)

===============================================================================

                      :          Supply         :        Use        :

                      :=========================:===================: Ending

        Region        :         :       :       :         :         : stocks

                      :Beginning:Produc-:       : Total   :         :

                      :  stocks : tion  :Imports: Domestic: Exports :

===============================================================================

                      :

                      :                      2008/09

World 2/              :    3.11   35.70    8.96     35.91     9.12     2.73

United States         :    1.13    8.50    0.04      7.38     1.00     1.30

Total foreign         :    1.99   27.19    8.92     28.53     8.13     1.43

  Major exporters 3/  :    0.94   14.35    0.80      8.48     7.01     0.59

   Argentina          :    0.30    5.91    0.00      1.43     4.70     0.08

   Brazil             :    0.43    6.12    0.01      4.27     1.91     0.37

   EU-27              :    0.21    2.31    0.79      2.78     0.40     0.14

  Major importers 4/  :    0.29    8.60    3.60     11.83     0.09     0.57

   China              :    0.23    7.31    2.49      9.49     0.08     0.47

   India              :    0.06    1.29    1.06      2.30     0.00     0.10

   Pakistan           :    0.01    0.00    0.04      0.05     0.00     0.00

                      :

                      :                 2009/10 (Estimated)

World 2/              :    2.73   38.40    8.60     38.07     8.92     2.75

United States         :    1.30    8.87    0.05      7.30     1.47     1.44

Total foreign         :    1.43   29.53    8.55     30.76     7.45     1.31

  Major exporters 3/  :    0.59   15.03    0.50      9.24     6.22     0.67

   Argentina          :    0.08    6.39    0.00      1.91     4.40     0.16

   Brazil             :    0.37    6.39    0.05      5.05     1.42     0.35

   EU-27              :    0.14    2.25    0.45      2.28     0.40     0.16

  Major importers 4/  :    0.57    9.83    3.14     13.13     0.08     0.33

   China              :    0.47    8.64    1.60     10.42     0.08     0.20

   India              :    0.10    1.19    1.50      2.67     0.00     0.12

   Pakistan           :    0.00    0.00    0.04      0.04     0.00     0.00

                      :

                      :                 2010/11 (Projected)

World 2/              :

            July      :    2.65   40.15    8.98     40.32     9.02     2.43

          August      :    2.75   40.82    8.84     40.97     8.99     2.45

United States         :

            July      :    1.32    8.51    0.05      7.85     0.95     1.08

          August      :    1.44    8.53    0.05      7.89     0.95     1.18

Total foreign         :

            July      :    1.32   31.64    8.92     32.47     8.07     1.35

          August      :    1.31   32.29    8.79     33.08     8.03     1.27

  Major exporters 3/  :

            July      :    0.69   15.92    0.45      9.56     6.79     0.71

          August      :    0.67   16.08    0.45      9.84     6.72     0.64

   Argentina      Jul :    0.21    7.40    0.00      2.13     5.20     0.27

                  Aug :    0.16    7.52    0.00      2.23     5.20     0.25

   Brazil         Jul :    0.33    6.29    0.05      5.10     1.29     0.28

                  Aug :    0.35    6.33    0.05      5.25     1.22     0.26

   EU-27          Jul :    0.16    2.23    0.40      2.33     0.30     0.16

                  Aug :    0.16    2.23    0.40      2.36     0.30     0.13

  Major importers 4/  :

            July      :    0.36   10.88    3.38     14.21     0.07     0.32

          August      :    0.33   11.33    3.37     14.65     0.07     0.31

   China          Jul :    0.20    9.52    2.15     11.58     0.07     0.22

                  Aug :    0.20    9.95    2.15     12.01     0.07     0.22

   India          Jul :    0.15    1.36    1.19      2.60     0.00     0.10

                  Aug :    0.12    1.39    1.18      2.60     0.00     0.08

   Pakistan       Jul :    0.00    0.00    0.04      0.04     0.00     0.00

                  Aug :    0.00    0.00    0.04      0.04     0.00     0.00

===============================================================================

1/ Data based on local marketing years except for Argentina and Brazil which

are adjusted to an October-September year.  2/ World imports and exports may

not balance due to differences in local marketing years and to time lags

between reported exports and imports.  Therefore, world supply may not equal

world use.  3/ Argentina, Brazil and EU.  4/ India, China and Pakistan.

 

 

 

                               WASDE-485-31            August 2010

                 U.S. Quarterly Animal Product Production 1/

===============================================================================

   Year  :      :      :  Red :       :      :  Total:   Red  :       :       :

   and   :      :      : meat :       :      :poultry: meat & :       :       :

quarter  : Beef : Pork :  2/  :Broiler:Turkey:    3/ : poultry:  Egg  :  Milk :

===============================================================================

         :                   Million pounds                    Mil doz  Bil lbs

    2009 :

    III  :   6690   5700  12464    9172   1417    10725   23189    1880    46.8

     IV  :   6426   5996  12504    8827   1441    10385   22889    1924    46.3

 Annual  :  25965  22999  49274   35511   5663    41674   90947    7534   189.3

         :

    2010 :

      I  :   6251   5607  11936    8732   1340    10188   22124    1867    47.4

     II  :   6549   5301  11922    9184   1383    10692   22614    1890    49.7

   III*  :   6605   5435  12113    9450   1400    10975   23088    1905    47.7

    IV*  :   6240   5895  12212    9125   1425    10675   22887    1940    47.2

 Annual  :

Jul Proj :  25666  22247  48209   36482   5540    42513   90722    7582   191.2

Aug Proj :  25645  22238  48183   36491   5548    42530   90713    7602   192.0

         :

    2011 :

     I*  :   5990   5615  11680    9075   1375    10565   22245    1890    48.3

    II*  :   6380   5415  11866    9400   1390    10915   22781    1900    50.0

 Annual  :

Jul Proj :  25135  22685  48112   37575   5645    43720   91832    7620   193.5

Aug Proj :  25135  22655  48082   37575   5645    43720   91802    7660   194.6

===============================================================================

* Projection.

1/ Commercial production for red meats; federally inspected for poultry meats.

2/ Beef, pork, veal and lamb & mutton. 3/ Broilers, turkeys and mature chicken.

 

 

                     U.S. Quarterly Prices for Animal Products 1/

===============================================================================

   Year  :            Barrows  :          :          :           :            :

   and   :  Steers  :and gilts : Broilers :  Turkeys :    Eggs   :     Milk   :

 quarter :     2/   :     3/   :    4/    :     5/   :      6/   :       7/   :

===============================================================================

         : Dol./cwt   Dol./cwt   Cents/lb.  Cents/lb.  Cents/doz.   Dol./cwt

    2009 :

    III  :      83.05      38.90       76.8       78.1        94.8        12.13

     IV  :      83.29      41.20       72.1       81.4       117.7        15.40

 Annual  :      83.25      41.24       77.6       76.5       103.0        12.84

         :

    2010 :

      I  :      89.44      50.41       82.2       75.6       126.0        15.60

     II  :      96.33      59.60       85.0       84.4        82.8        15.07

   III*  :      94-96      57-59      83-85      95-97       84-86  16.30-16.60

    IV*  :      92-98      49-53      80-84     95-101     102-108  16.65-17.25

 Annual  :

Jul Proj :      92-95      54-56      83-85      86-88      98-101  15.80-16.10

Aug Proj :      93-95      54-55      82-84      88-89      99-101  15.90-16.10

         :

    2011 :

     I*  :      93-101     54-58      81-87      74-80     107-115  15.60-16.50

    II*  :      96-104     54-58      82-88      81-87     101-109  15.05-16.05

 Annual  :

Jul Proj :      95-102     53-57      81-88      83-89     103-112  15.90-16.90

Aug Proj :      95-102     53-57      81-88      83-89     103-112  15.55-16.55

===============================================================================

*Projection.

1/ Simple average of months. 2/ 5-Area, Direct, Total all grades 3/ National

Base, Live equiv 51-52% lean. 4/ Wholesale, 12-city average. 5/ 8-16 lbs, hens

National. 6/ Grade A large, New York, volume buyers. 7/ Prices

received by farmers for all milk.

 

 

 

                                      WASDE-485-32        August 2010

                               U.S. Meats Supply and Use

===============================================================================

                   :         Supply               :      Use

                   :-----------------------------------------------------------

                   :      :        :     :        :      :      : Disappearance

                   :      :   Pro- :     :        :      :      :--------------

                   : Beg- :   duc- :     :        :      : End- :      :  Per

     Item          :inning:   tion : Im- :  Total :  Ex- : ing  :      :capita

                   :stocks:    1/  :ports:  supply: ports:stocks:Total : 2/  3/

===============================================================================

                   :                      Million pounds 4/

BEEF               :

 2009              :    642    26068  2626    29336   1935    565  26836   61.1

 2010 Proj.    Jul :    565    25768  2508    28841   2088    535  26218   59.2

               Aug :    565    25747  2603    28915   2193    535  26187   59.1

 2011 Proj.    Jul :    535    25237  2785    28557   2000    515  26042   58.3

               Aug :    535    25237  2785    28557   2070    515  25972   58.1

                   :

PORK               :

 2009              :    635    23020   834    24489   4095    525  19870   50.1

 2010 Proj.    Jul :    525    22269   844    23638   4327    500  18811   47.1

               Aug :    525    22260   848    23633   4468    500  18665   46.7

 2011 Proj.    Jul :    500    22706   885    24091   4550    500  19041   47.3

               Aug :    500    22676   875    24051   4675    500  18876   46.8

                   :

TOTAL RED MEAT 5/  :

 2009              :   1307    49412  3631    54350   6046   1114  47191  112.6

 2010 Proj.    Jul :   1114    48348  3521    52983   6437   1062  45484  107.5

               Aug :   1114    48322  3628    53064   6682   1062  45320  107.1

 2011 Proj.    Jul :   1062    48251  3856    53169   6570   1042  45557  106.9

               Aug :   1062    48221  3846    53129   6765   1042  45322  106.3

                   :

BROILERS           :

 2009              :    745    35131    86    35961   6818    616  28527   79.7

 2010 Proj.    Jul :    616    36092    96    36804   5863    670  30271   83.9

               Aug :    616    36101    83    36800   6471    670  29659   82.2

 2011 Proj.    Jul :    670    37173    96    37939   6150    660  31129   85.5

               Aug :    670    37173    96    37939   6650    660  30629   84.1

                   :

TURKEYS            :

 2009              :    396     5588    13     5997    534    262   5201   16.9

 2010 Proj.    Jul :    262     5467    12     5741    514    250   4977   16.1

               Aug :    262     5475    12     5749    540    250   4959   16.0

 2011 Proj.    Jul :    250     5571    12     5833    530    275   5028   16.1

               Aug :    250     5571    12     5833    550    275   5008   16.0

                   :

TOTAL POULTRY  6/  :

 2009              :   1144    41219   104    42467   7452    880  34135   97.9

 2010 Proj.    Jul :    880    42050   112    43042   6477    923  35642  101.2

               Aug :    880    42066    99    43045   7109    923  35013   99.4

 2011 Proj.    Jul :    923    43243   112    44278   6790    938  36550  102.9

               Aug :    923    43243   112    44278   7310    938  36030  101.4

                   :

RED MEAT & POULTRY :

 2009              :   2451    90631  3735    96818  13498   1994  81326  210.6

 2010 Proj.    Jul :   1994    90397  3633    96024  12914   1985  81125  208.7

               Aug :   1994    90388  3727    96109  13791   1985  80333  206.6

 2011 Proj.    Jul :   1985    91494  3968    97447  13360   1980  82107  209.7

               Aug :   1985    91464  3958    97407  14075   1980  81352  207.7

===============================================================================

1/ Total including farm production for red meats and, for poultry,

federally inspected plus non-federally inspected, less condemnations.

2/ Pounds, retail-weight basis. 3/ Population source: Dept. of Commerce,

Census Bureau. 4/ Carcass weight for red meats and certified

ready-to-cook weight for poultry. 5/ Beef, pork, veal, lamb and mutton.

6/ Broilers, turkeys and mature chicken.

 

 

 

                                    WASDE-485-33              August 2010

                               U.S. Egg Supply and Use

===============================================================================

                           :       :       :  2010 Projected :  2011 Projected

                           :       :       :-----------------:-----------------

         Commodity         :  2008 :  2009 :   Jul  :   Aug  :   Jul  :   Aug

===============================================================================

EGGS                       :                   Million dozen

 Supply                    :

   Beginning stocks        :    11.1    17.2    18.0     18.0     18.0     18.0

   Production              :  7501.0  7534.0  7582.0   7602.0   7620.0   7660.0

   Imports                 :    14.6    11.0    12.0     12.4     12.0     12.0

     Total supply          :  7526.7  7562.2  7612.0   7632.4   7650.0   7690.0

                           :

  Use                      :

   Exports                 :   206.3   242.2   237.2    249.3    237.0    237.0

   Hatching use            :   996.3   955.1   986.6    985.4   1010.0   1010.0

   Ending stocks           :    17.2    18.0    18.0     18.0     18.0     18.0

   Disappearance           :

     Total                 :  6306.9  6346.9  6370.2   6379.7   6385.0   6425.0

     Per capita (number)   :   248.3   247.7   246.5    246.9    245.0    246.6

===============================================================================

 

                               U.S. Milk Supply and Use

===============================================================================

                           :       :       :  2010 Projected :  2011 Projected

         Commodity         :       :       :-----------------:-----------------

                           :  2008 :  2009 :   Jul  :   Aug  :   Jul  :   Aug

===============================================================================

                           :                   Billion pounds

Milk                       :

 Production                :   190.0   189.3   191.2    192.0    193.5    194.6

    Farm use               :     1.1     1.0     1.0      1.0      1.0      1.0

                           :

Fat Basis Supply           :

   Beg. commercial stocks  :    10.4    10.1    11.3     11.3     10.5     10.5

   Marketings              :   188.9   188.3   190.2    191.0    192.5    193.6

   Imports                 :     5.3     5.6     4.5      4.2      4.7      4.3

     Total cml. supply     :   204.6   204.0   206.1    206.6    207.7    208.4

                           :

Fat Basis Use              :

   Commercial Exports      :     8.7     4.1     5.3      6.3      5.1      5.6

   Ending commercial stks  :    10.1    11.3    10.5     10.5      9.8      9.9

   CCC net removals 1/     :     0.0     0.7     0.2      0.2      0.0      0.0

   Commercial use 2/       :   185.7   187.7   190.0    189.5    192.8    192.9

                           :

Skim-solids Basis Supply   :

   Beg. commercial stocks  :    10.0    10.9    11.3     11.3     11.3     11.4

   Marketings              :   188.9   188.3   190.2    191.0    192.5    193.6

   Imports                 :     7.0     5.5     4.6      4.6      4.8      4.7

     Total cml. supply     :   205.9   204.7   206.1    207.0    208.6    209.6

                           :

Skim-solids Basis Use      :

   Commercial Exports      :    26.6    22.5    26.3     28.8     27.3     28.0

   Ending commercial stks  :    10.9    11.3    11.3     11.4     10.9     11.0

   CCC net removals 1/     :     1.3     2.9     0.0      0.0      0.0      0.0

   Commercial use 2/       :   167.1   168.6   168.8    167.1    170.4    170.6

                           :

                           :                   Million pounds

CCC product net removals 1/:

    Butter                 :       0      30       8        8        0        0

    Cheese                 :       0       2       2        2        0        0

    Nonfat dry milk        :     111     247       2        2        0        0

    Dry whole milk         :       0       0       0        0        0        0

===============================================================================

Note:  Totals may not add due to rounding.

1/ Includes products exported under the Dairy Export Incentive Program.

2/ Domestic commercial use only. 2009 and 2010 adjusted for the Barter Program

 

 

 

                                WASDE-485-34              August 2010

                            U.S. Dairy Prices

===========================================================================

                      :        :       : 2010 Projected  : 2011 Projected

                      :        :       :-----------------:-----------------

      Commodity       :  2008  :  2009 :   Jul  :   Aug  :   Jul  :   Aug

===========================================================================

                      :                    Dollars per pound

                      :

Product Prices 1/     :

 Cheese               :   1.8958  1.2963 1.465-   1.500-   1.520-   1.505-

                      :                    1.495    1.520    1.620    1.605

                      :

 Butter               :   1.4352  1.2094 1.530-   1.610-   1.400-   1.435-

                      :                    1.590    1.650    1.530    1.565

                      :

 Nonfat dry milk      :   1.2257  0.9222 1.195-   1.145-   1.235-   1.175-

                      :                    1.225    1.165    1.305    1.245

                      :

 Dry whey             :   0.2500  0.2584 0.365-   0.360-   0.375-   0.355-

                      :                    0.385    0.380    0.405    0.385

                      :

                      :                    Dollars per cwt

Milk Prices 2/        :

 Class III            :    17.44   11.36 13.80-   14.15-   14.40-   14.15-

                      :                    14.10    14.35    15.40    15.15

                      :

 Class IV             :    14.65   10.89 14.65-   14.50-   14.40-   14.00-

                      :                    15.05    14.80    15.50    15.10

                      :

 All milk 3/          :    18.34   12.84 15.80-   15.90-   15.90-   15.55-

                      :                    16.10    16.10    16.90    16.55

                      :

===========================================================================

1/ Simple average of monthly prices calculated by AMS from NASS weekly average

dairy product prices for class price computations. 2/ Annual Class III and

Class IV prices are the simple averages of monthly minimum Federal order

milk prices paid by regulated plants for milk used in the respective classes.

All milk price is the simple average of monthly prices received by farmers for

milk at average test.  3/ Does not reflect any deductions from producers as

authorized by legislation.

 

 

 

 

                                   WASDE-485-35                    August 2010

 

Note: Tables on pages 35-37 present a 29-year record of the differences between

the August projection and the final estimate. Using world wheat production as

an example, changes between the August projection and the final estimate have

averaged 11.2 million tons (2.0%) ranging from -32.1 to 19.5 million tons. The

August projection has been below the estimate 18 times and above 11 times.

 

                            Reliability of August Projections

===============================================================================

                 :Differences between proj. & final estimate,1981/82-2009/10 1/

  Commodity and  :=============================================================

      region     :  Avg. :  Avg. :    Difference    : Below final : Above final

===============================================================================

WHEAT            :Percent      Million metric tons            Number of years

   Production    :

       World     :   2.0    11.2     -32.1    19.5             18          11

       U.S.      :   1.9     1.2      -3.4     4.2             12          17

       Foreign   :   2.2    10.8     -31.1    17.8             18          11

   Exports       :

       World     :   4.6     5.3     -15.1    10.2             20           9

       U.S.      :   8.4     2.7     -10.0     7.8             14          14

       Foreign   :   5.6     4.9     -14.7     7.2             19          10

   Domestic use  :

       World     :   1.5     8.3     -23.4    15.4             16          13

       U.S.      :   6.0     1.8      -3.7     3.6             11          18

       Foreign   :   1.5     7.7     -21.1    14.5             18          11

   Ending stocks :

       World     :   8.0    10.8     -31.2    23.7             21           8

       U.S.      :  14.2     3.2     -11.1    12.6             16          13

       Foreign   :   8.7     9.4     -28.7    11.2             21           8

                 :

COARSE GRAINS 2/ :

   Production    :

       World     :   2.0    17.3     -51.0    32.7             22           7

       U.S.      :   4.5    10.3     -22.1    31.4             20           9

       Foreign   :   2.0    12.4     -28.8    20.0             19          10

   Exports       :

       World     :   5.6     6.0     -14.7    17.4             19          10

       U.S.      :  13.5     7.2     -19.7    14.9             12          17

       Foreign   :  12.9     6.7     -18.1    14.2             18          11

   Domestic use  :

       World     :   1.4    12.3     -29.4    24.3             15          14

       U.S.      :   3.8     7.5     -15.9    17.0             19          10

       Foreign   :   1.4     9.5     -20.2    23.3             17          12

   Ending stocks :

       World     :  13.6    19.1     -53.5    30.5             23           6

       U.S.      :  23.3    11.3     -43.5    22.1             15          14

       Foreign   :  13.9    12.3     -28.7    17.2             24           5

                 :

RICE, milled     :

   Production    :

       World     :   1.9     6.8     -24.4     4.1             20           9

       U.S.      :   4.4     0.2      -0.6     0.5             17          12

       Foreign   :   1.9     6.8     -24.7     4.2             21           8

   Exports       :

       World     :   7.5     1.5      -6.8     0.9             20           9

       U.S.      :   8.1     0.2      -1.0     0.9             16          11

       Foreign   :   8.5     1.5      -6.7     0.8             19          10

   Domestic use  :

       World     :   1.3     4.4     -23.5     3.5             22           7

       U.S.      :   6.4     0.2      -0.4     0.5             13          16

       Foreign   :   1.3     4.4     -24.0     3.7             21           8

   Ending stocks :

       World     :  10.5     5.0     -14.5     7.9             23           6

       U.S.      :  23.1     0.3      -0.6     1.0             17          11

       Foreign   :  11.0     5.0     -15.5     7.5             23           6

===============================================================================

1/ Footnotes at end of table.                                        CONTINUED

 

 

 

 

                                   WASDE-485-36                    August 2010

 

                     Reliability of August Projections (Continued)

===============================================================================

                 :Differences between proj. & final estimate,1981/82-2009/10 1/

  Commodity and  :=============================================================

      region     :  Avg. :  Avg. :    Difference    : Below final : Above final

===============================================================================

SOYBEANS         :Percent      Million metric tons            Number of years

   Production    :

       World     :   3.8     6.2     -18.3    26.7             17          12

       U.S.      :   5.3     3.5      -7.4    11.1             15          14

       Foreign   :   6.9     6.1     -13.3    26.4             15          14

   Exports       :

       World     :   6.3     2.8     -11.6     9.1             18          11

       U.S.      :  10.7     2.6      -7.1     5.5             16          12

       Foreign   :  17.1     2.6      -9.4     9.0             14          15

   Domestic use  :

       World     :   3.3     4.8      -8.8    15.9             18          11

       U.S.      :   4.4     1.8      -3.9     4.6             19          10

       Foreign   :   4.0     4.1      -7.4    11.3             18          11

   Ending stocks :

       World     :  13.1     3.7     -15.0     8.2             16          13

       U.S.      :  37.4     2.6      -7.3     6.9              9          20

       Foreign   :  17.7     3.8     -16.0     7.8             18          11

                 :

COTTON           :        Million 480-pound bales

   Production    :

       World     :   3.6     3.3     -13.2    10.5             16          13

       U.S.      :   6.6     1.1      -3.1     3.9             17          11

       Foreign   :   3.8     2.8     -10.7    10.2             15          13

   Exports       :

       World     :   7.0     2.1      -7.1    10.2             13          16

       U.S.      :  16.5     1.3      -3.0     3.2             16          13

       Foreign   :   8.1     1.5      -4.1     8.5             14          15

   Mill use      :

       World     :   3.0     2.8      -7.5    14.2             13          16

       U.S.      :   7.0     0.5      -1.2     1.3             15          12

       Foreign   :   3.1     2.7      -7.1    13.4             14          15

   Ending stocks :

       World     :  13.4     5.3     -12.5    14.2             20           9

       U.S.      :  34.1     1.6      -5.1     3.1             12          17

       Foreign   :  13.0     4.5     -13.0    12.3             22           7

===============================================================================

1/ Final estimate for 1981/82-2008/09 is defined as the first November estimate

following the marketing year, and for 2009/10 last month's estimate.   2/

Includes corn, sorghum, barley, oats, rye, millet, and mixed grain.

 

 

 

 

                                   WASDE-485-37                    August 2010

 

                   Reliability of United States August Projections 1/

===============================================================================

                 :Differences between proj. & final estimate,1981/82-2009/10 2/

  Commodity and  :=============================================================

      region     :  Avg. :  Avg. :    Difference    : Below final : Above final

===============================================================================

CORN             :Percent        Million bushels              Number of years

   Production    :   4.9     382      -889    1079             19          10

   Exports       :  14.2     259      -750     546             11          18

   Domestic use  :   4.3     298      -590     575             19          10

   Ending stocks :  26.9     410     -1674     740             15          14

                 :

SORGHUM          :

   Production    :   6.5      38       -82     108             16          13

   Exports       :  16.1      37      -115      97             15          14

   Domestic use  :  10.8      40      -114      81             13          15

   Ending stocks :  39.5      45      -201     133             10          19

                 :

BARLEY           :

   Production    :   5.0      18       -63      67             11          18

   Exports       :  35.3      16       -82      38             14          13

   Domestic use  :   8.3      27       -47      82             12          16

   Ending stocks :  16.2      25       -61      94             13          16

                 :

OATS             :

   Production    :   7.5      16       -26      57              6          23

   Exports       :  58.4       1        -5       8              8          10

   Domestic use  :   4.4      14       -39      35              9          20

   Ending stocks :  15.4      17       -40      37             13          16

                 :

                 :           Thousand short tons

SOYBEAN MEAL     :

   Production    :   4.1    1334     -2858    3669             19          10

   Exports       :  13.4     927     -2550    1800             16          13

   Domestic use  :   3.4     859     -1550    3800             16          13

   Ending stocks :  26.7      63      -204     428             10          14

                 :

                 :              Million pounds

SOYBEAN OIL      :

   Production    :   4.0     626     -1583    1790             17          12

   Exports       :  23.5     387     -1575    1219             12          15

   Domestic use  :   3.2     451     -1085    2200             18          11

   Ending stocks :  30.7     514     -1472    1078             14          15

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                 :

ANIMAL PROD. 3/  :              Million pounds

   Beef          :   3.6     905      -803    2536             18           9

   Pork          :   2.2     391     -1315    1372             15          12

   Broilers      :   2.0     534     -1337    1338             16          11

   Turkeys       :   2.6     125      -444     372             18           9

                 :

                 :              Million dozen

   Eggs          :   1.4      88      -184     188             17          10

                 :

                 :              Billion pounds

   Milk          :   1.3     2.1      -7.0     6.8             14          13

===============================================================================

1/ See pages 35 and 36 for record of reliability for U.S. wheat, rice,

soybeans, and cotton. 2/ Final estimate for 1981/82-2008/09 is defined as the

first November estimate following the marketing year, and for 2009/10 last

month's estimate.  3/ Calendar years 1983 thru 2009 for meats, eggs, and milk.

Final for animal products is defined as latest annual production estimate

published by NASS.

 

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