GFV8: -.325 at 152.625, trading in a range of 1.20
GFX8: .20 at 152.925, trading in a range of .825
Cattle Commentary: October live cattle opened higher, traded both sides of that open, and finished the day where we started. Friday’s Commitment of Traders report showed funds sold 495 futures through September 4th, expanding their net short position to 941. Cash cattle was firm from the previous week but wasn’t anything to write home about. The bulk of last week’s cash trade cane in from 107-108. Early calls for this weak are steady. The positive price action above technicial resistance has started to neutralize the chart. Consecutive closes above resistance would start to give the bulls the advantage, see the full technical breakdown below.
PM Boxed Beef / Choice / Select
Current Cutout Values: / 206.30 / 198.93
Change from prior day: / (.26) / 1.84
Choice/Select spread: / 7.37
Live Cattle (October)
October live cattle poked their head above our resistance pocket from 110.35-110.575, which we defined in our weekly Weekend Ag Update. The price action following the move higher is as neutral as it gets, it appears market participants are sitting on their hands until we see more conviction in either way. We have been trading in a range for the last two months, we will continue to play that until we see a new fundamental catalyst give this market a breakout or breakdown. From the risk/reward perspective, we still like....Click this link for a Free Trial at Blue Line Futures to view our entire technical outlook and actionable bias and levels.
October lean hogs finished the session up .40 at 56.05, trading in a range of 1.40. Despite reports of new outbreaks, the deferreds have been under pressure. December futures finished the session down .925 and February down .825. We have been talking about establishing a longer-term long position in the deferred and continue to like that thesis. Proper sizing and leverage are extremely important when setting yourself up for a longer-term trade. We also like the idea of using options, whether to protect futures position or buy outright calls. Options are a way to give you good exposure with limited risk, making these intraday/intraweek swings easier to sit through. As mentioned in our interview with RFD-TV this morning, trying to find meaningful technical levels on the October chart is....Click this link for a Free Trial at Blue Line Futures to view our entire technical outlook and actionable bias and levels.
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Futures trading involves substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Trading advice is based on information taken from trade and statistical services and other sources Blue Line Futures, LLC believes are reliable. We do not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice we give will result in profitable trades. All trading decisions will be made by the account holder. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.