Can Corn Hold Support?

Published on: 13:34PM Sep 02, 2015

In the overnight session the grains traded slightly lower with corn down 1/2 a cent, soybeans up 3 cents and wheat down 3/4 of a cent. The outside markets are somewhat positive this morning with the Mini S&P up nearly a percent, the U.S. dollar index up .38 percent and crude oil down $.64 this morning. Corn is hovering right around a critical support level of $3.65 which it has tested two times in the last three weeks. If corn closes below $3.65 today, probability increases that prices move another leg lower.

Last night at 3:30 CST, FC Stone released its latest yield and production forecast. Their latest corn yield forecast was set at 165.9 bushels per acre up from 165 which it estimated last month. This is on the low end of expectations right now with Planalytics yield estimate at 166.8 bushels per acre, the USDA at 167.2 bpa and Pro Farmer at 164.3 bushels per acre. Corn production was estimated at 13.457 billion bushels from 13.381 billion last month.

FC Stone pegged the national average soybean yield at 45.4 bushels per acre up from 45 last month. This is still on the low end of estimates with Planalytics yield forecast at 46.2 BPA, USDA at 46.9 BPA and Pro Farmer yield at 46.5 BPA. FC Stone is looking for 3.791 billion bushels of U.S soybean production, up from 3.797 billion bushels this month.

Traders await the September WASDE report set for release at 11 AM CST on the 11th. NOPA crush numbers will then be released on the 15th of this month.