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The Grain Hedge Team provides a macro-focused daily view of the world’s grain markets. Kevin McNew received a bachelor’s degree from Oklahoma State University and his master’s and Ph.D. degrees in Economics from North Carolina State University. He spent 10 years as a Professor of Economics with the University of Maryland and Montana State University focusing on commodity markets and is widely regarded for his ability to boil-down complex economic situations into easy-to-understand concepts for applied life.
In the overnight session the grains were mixed with March corn up 1 cent, March soybeans down 3 ½ cents, March Chicago wheat down 1 ½ cents and March Hard Red Winter wheat down ¼ cent. HRW wheat has pulled back three days in a row and is trading at the 50 day moving average, an area that should provide some support during today’s trade session. The corn market bounced in the overnight after touching previous lows around $3.55 on the March contract.
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Egypt announced on Tuesday that they will be revising and amending the legislation that allowed the agricultural quarantine authority to reject wheat shipments with even trace amounts of a common grain fungus called ergot. After a year of strict policies which disrupted normal wheat trade the ministry said it will accept wheat which contains .05 percent ergot or lower.
The latest weather models show the Argentina will be mostly hot and dry into the Friday causing stress on the crops. Precipitation is expected over the weekend with showers moving from the southern production areas to the north. The showers are greatly needed and should also be accompanied by cooler temperatures which will provide some relief to the crops. Additional rains in the coming weeks will be necessary to improve the crops conditions.
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