Managed Money Funds Reduce Short Positions
Jun 19, 2017
Good Morning! Paul Georgy with the early morning commentary for June 19, 2017.
Grain markets are mixed with corn and wheat lower as weekend weather is seen as improving conditions. Soybeans and products are higher on improving demand. Stock indices continue to climb while crude oil is mostly steady.
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Weather forecast compared to Friday has a little less heat and a little less rain for the Midwest in the 8 to 14-day period. The extended forecast is a bit warmer but not as hot as Friday.
Crop conditions report this afternoon is expected to show improvements. Trade is expecting corn G/E to improve by 1 to 2%, soybeans could improve 2% to 68% G/E and spring wheat’s G/E is expected to improve 4 to 5% from last week’s 45%.
CFTC Commitments of Traders report showed managed money funds were huge buyers last week. They were net buyers of 120,829 contracts in corn leaving them net short only 17,929 contracts. Managed money funds were net buyers of 23,277 and 15,064 contracts in wheat and soybeans respectively.
AgRural is projecting Brazil safrinha corn harvest is 4.9% complete ahead of the normal 4.6%.
US oil rigs in production increased by 6 to make it the 22nd week in a row of additional rigs going on line.
U.S. Economic markets this week will focus on whether Fed officials in seven different appearances this week suggest they might be turning a bit more dovish in the wake of softer inflation and economic data and new developments on the Russia investigation.
Fed Cattle Exchange auction will be back in action on Wednesday. Trade will be looking for guidance as product values are expected to be under pressure this week. Packer margins are still advantageous to produce as much beef as possible.
Managed money funds made minimal position adjustments last week in cattle and hogs by net buying 2,764 and 1,177 contracts.
August live cattle futures closed below the 50-day moving average on Friday and the first time since March 7. Chart support could be found at the May low of 166.77 with resistance at 120.00.
August lean hogs now have resistance at 80.00 and support at 77.25.
Dressed beef values were mixed with choice up .10 and select down .73. The CME Feeder Index is 151.07. Pork cutout value is up .73.
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