Market Analysis
“Human nature is to do nothing, but that means you can end up with three years of corn on your farm,” says Ben Brown, agricultural economist at the University of Missouri. “This strategy makes you proactive.”
Grains mostly lower with profit taking on better extended weather, but still supported by global supply concerns. Chuck Shelby, Risk Management Commodities says cattle and hogs supported by higher cash.
AgDay TV Markets Now: Darin Newsom with Barchart says funds still buying and chasing Black Sea headlines in wheat, while profit taking hits row crops Thursday.
Wheat ends slightly higher Thursday, but corn and soybeans finally set back. Cattle hit new highs then crashed despite higher cash. Darin Newsom with Barchart has the analysis.
“There’s a place that you put on risk and there’s a place that you take it off. So, we decided to take some money off and put in the bank,” says Jerry Gulke, president of Gulke Group.
The grain markets are focused on planting progress — or the lack thereof. Jerry Gulke says the markets are building in weather premium as progress could see delays periodically especially in northern areas.
Sometimes it isn’t a matter of what direction prices are headed but where they are not headed. USDA has shaved demand, especially in corn. The long-term outlook might show corn prices have lower targets yet to come.
The major debate this year has been one of perceived tight stocks versus how high prices have or will impact global demand for U.S. agricultural commodities.
Iowa farmer Ben Riensche is excited about the opportunities current margins are providing to reinvest in his operation. He provides these tips for spending money during good times.
Grains two-sided with profit taking & hedge pressure offset by weather & global supply concerns. Live cattle make new highs then crash, hogs pushed by a rising cash index. Mike Minor, Professional Ag Marketing.
Grains mixed with profit taking, hedge selling offset by weather and war concerns. Cattle higher with the softer corn and higher cash ideas, with the LHI also pushing hogs. Scott Varilek, Kooima Kooima Variilek.
AgDay TV Markets Now: Bryan Doherty with Total Farm Marketing says grains close higher adding more war and weather premium. New crop corn and soybeans and even wheat close above key chart areas.
Grains higher adding risk premium tied to war and weather. How high do prices project? Live cattle hit more contract highs, milk futures were soft but have they bottomed? Bryan Doherty, Total Farm Marketing.
Grains Pushed by Forecast, Russian Attacks on Ukraine Port: Cattle Fall on Higher Feed, Hogs Correct
Grains higher with hot dry extended forecasts and Russia again attacking Ukraine ports. How how will prices go? Cattle fall with higher corn, while hogs correct. Randy Martinson, Martinson Ag.
Grains Higher Putting in War and Weather Premium: That Pressures Cattle and Hogs Despite Strong Cash
Grains sharply higher putting in war and weather premium. Corn, beans get above chart resistance. Cattle and hogs set back with higher corn and meal, despite strong cash. Vince Boddicker, Farmers Trading Company.
AgDay TV Markets Now: Brad Kooima of Kooima Kooima Varilek says row crops put in weather premium, while live cattle put in a strong performance and again eye contract highs with higher cash trade ideas.
Grains higher on hot dry extended forecasts but also war premium after Russia attacked the Odessa port. Live cattle eye contact highs. While hogs consolidate. Brad Kooima, Kooima Kooima Varilek.
Corn and wheat lower on profit-taking, despite news the grain deal is done. Soybean higher w/meal, wx concerns. Live cattle consolidate off contract highs awaiting cash, hogs sense a cash top. Brian Grete, Pro Farmer.
AgDay TV Markets Now: Brian Grete with Pro Farmer discusses why grains faded news of an end to the Black Sea Grain deal but yet soybeans held gains.
Corn, wheat fade Russia ending the Black Sea Grain deal. Meal, weather & China export talk support soybeans. Cattle firm w/higher cash ideas, hogs supported by higher cash index. Kent Beadle, Paradigm Futures.
Grains fade after higher open on weather, China soybean export talk and the end of the Black Sea Grain deal. Cattle firm but fail to take out last week’s highs? Kevin Duling, KD Investors.
AgDay TV Markets Now: Jim McCormick of AgMarket.Net discusses what the grain market is signaling with higher weekly closes after the bearish WASDE.
Grains higher for the week shaking off the bearish WASDE. Focus on weather, yield, Black Sea Grain Deal and falling dollar. Live cattle rebound into new contract highs, hogs consolidate. Jim McCormick, AgMarket.Net.
Soybeans see profit taking with lower bean oil, no China biz. Corn & wheat up weather & uncertainty about yield, Black Sea Grain Deal. Cattle see technical bounce, while hogs consolidate. Ted Seifried, Zaner Ag Hedge.
Grains are mostly higher on follow through fund buying, with weather and uncertainty on the Black Sea Grain Deal supportive. Do yields need to come down more? Nick Tsiolis, Farmers Keeper.
Grains see a corrective bounce with help from outside markets like the lower dollar. Cattle confirm the reversal with follow through selling. Hogs bounce on higher cash. DuWayne Bosse, Bolt Marketing has more.
AgDay TV Markets Now: Naomi Blohm, Total Farm Marketing explains why grains bounced a day after the bearish USDA Report.
Grains higher on a corrective bounce with a lower dollar, still digesting the report, watching weather & debating yield. Cattle continue to consolidate. Hogs bounce with strong cash. Naomi Blohm, Total Farm Marketing.
Grains higher on corrective buying after the selloff post-WASDE. Hogs bounce with China hopes, but cattle are seeing follow-through selling, so was Wednesday a blow off top? Scott Varilek of Kooima Kooima Varilek.
AgDay TV Markets Now: Chip Nellinger with Blue Reef Agri-Marketing discusses if soybeans have topped and how low corn could go after the USDA Report data.