USDA shocked the market this morning as it projected the national corn yield at 153 bu./acre. Leading up the report, Jerry Gulke, President of the Gulke Group, says the market was trading yield expectations in the 155 bu./acre range.
They’ve recognized there’s a problem out there. I think they wanted to get ahead of it a little bit for fear of being criticized,” Gulke says. “They left the acres the same, but lowered the harvested acres by 500,000. What was interesting in the corn was they didn’t lower any of the acres in those four states (North Dakota, South Dakota, Montana and Minnesota) they resurveyed.”
Interestingly, the majority of the prevent planting in those states was in the Durum and spring wheat markets. Corn carried the spring in the traditional wheat markets of the northern plains.
Joe Kooima with Kooima Kooima Varilek says its difficult to say because the fundamentals are still sluggish with the north seeing heavy weight cattle that have not been able to find a home.
In their first on-camera interview since admitting a processing error in the September USDA Crop Report data, officials clarified that the mistake was a computer weighting issue.
