Market Analysis
Joe Kooima with Kooima Kooima Varilek says its difficult to say because the fundamentals are still sluggish with the north seeing heavy weight cattle that have not been able to find a home.
Dave Chatterton with Strategic Farm Marketing says the markets needs a catalyst like South American weather or demand to find a bottom.
Bryan Doherty with Total Farm Marketing says speculative selling is a common theme in the commodity markets.
Chip Nellinger of Blue Reef Agri-Marketing says the soybean complex saw technical selling with funds still holding a sizable long in soybeans and meal.
Joe Kooima of Kooima Kooima Varilek says the bounce in cattle isn’t unexpected as Friday’s selloff may have been overdone and with the financial markets seeing a recovery.
The grain markets saw an ugly October with huge losses on fund selling. Brian Grete with CommStock Investments says he’s not sure if the fund selling is done.
Greg McBride of Allendale says corn and soybean futures are trying to bounce as they are oversold, the key is what will it take to bottom the markets?
Ted Seifried of Zaner Ag Hedge says funds continue to sell for a host of reasons including harvest pressure and better than expected soybean yields.
Alan Brugler with A&N Economics says the bottom line is with that weakness in real, you’re going to see a little more competition out of Brazil on soybean exports when you’re looking at them in dollar terms.
Joe Kooima of Kooima Kooima Varilek says the reaction was a bit muted considering the placements were well below estimates. However, he says some of it was already priced in.
Scott Varilek with Kooima Kooima Varilek says the live cattle were overbought after rallying $21 off the lows.
Sam Hudson of Cornbelt Marketing says soybeans bounced as harvest pressure is subsiding and that should allow a bottom to be forged, especially with China buying.
Mark Schultz of North Star Commodity says the grain markets are oversold and due for a correction.
Brad Kooima with Kooima Kooima Varilek says the charts look positive but he thinks a healthy correction is in store. He’s also skeptical about USDA’s new cash report.
DuWayne Bosse of Bolt Marketing says the managed money traders have hit the sell button with charts taking out key support and they may not stop until harvest reaches 60% to 70% done.
Chip Nellinger, Blue Reef Agri-Marketing says soybeans closed below the low set on report day on harvest, the NOPA crush figures and Brazilian production estimates.
Corn and soybeans were lower again Thursday on fund long liquidation and harvest pressure. Hogs were trying to bounce off contract lows.
Randy Martinson of Martinson Ag, says risk off selling in the grains was tied to harvest pressure and report squaring.
Don Roose of U.S. Commodities says grain markets bounced off key technical support on Monday but are marking time ahead of the WASDE.
Dec corn futures ended 4 1/2 cents lower on Friday at $4.97 3/4 and was down 30 1/2 cents for the week.
Market sources indicated some renewed export interest from China out of the Pacific Northwest and Gulf.
Chip Nellinger with Blue Reef Agri-Marketing says the soybean market was disappointed China did not lower the 10% reciprocal tariff on beans and details were vague on other ag purchases.
Joe Kooima with Kooima Kooima Varilek says the cattle charts are looking more friendly after last week. While grains are disappointed in the lack of details from the China trade summit.
Grains recovered off the lows after USTR Jamieson Greer stated significant progress had been made with China, including on ag trade, and details would be released on Monday.
The market wants details, especially of what is included in the additional $17 billion prorated ag purchases China has promised, beyond soybeans
Randy Martinson of Martinson Ag says the trade truce being extended for just two months is a disappointment.
Alan Brugler of A&N Economics says the market had anticipated some buying ahead of the meeting as a goodwill gesture and the corn and wheat markets have been especially disappointed.