While some atmospheric factors have displayed La Niña-like signals, ENSO-neutral conditions persist, according to the Australian Bureau of Meteorology. The bureau has issued the lowest level of La Niña watch, though its model suggests sea surface temps (SSTs) are likely to remain within ENSO-neutral thresholds through February. The bureau noted of the six other climate models studied, only one suggests SSTs in the tropical Pacific are likely to exceed the La Niña threshold in the December-February period and all models forecast neutral ENSO values by March. Therefore, if a La Niña event evolves, it will likely be modest and short-lived.
ENSO-Neutral Conditions Persist With Mild La Niña Watch
While some atmospheric factors have displayed La Niña-like signals, ENSO-neutral conditions persist, according to the Australian Bureau of Meteorology.
(Farm Journal )
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