Are Grain Markets Gearing Up For a Bigger Rally?

Grain markets got shot out of a cannon in Monday’s trade, will we see that momentum continue through the week?

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Corn

Technicals (December)

December corn futures had an impressive reversal in yesterday’s trade, making multi-year lows and trading into and defending our first support pocket from 460-464 1/2. The ability to defend that pocket has moved our near-term bias from bearish territory to Neutral. Thanks in part to a strong rally in soybeans, that helped propel corn prices right back to our pivot pocket in the afternoon session. So far, the overnight trade has come with little follow-through, but it’ll all be about the 8:30 open when we get more trade participation.

Bias: Neutral

Resistance: 484-486***, 499-502 1/2****

Pivot: 472-476

Support: 460-464 1/2**, 442-450***

Seasonal Tendencies

Below is a look at historical seasonal averages (updated each Monday) VS today’s prices (black line).

*Past performance is not necessarily indicative of futures results.

Soybeans

Technicals (January)

January soybean futures had a monster day yesterday, breaking out above trendline resistance and trading into our 3-star resistance pocket which we have outlined as 1383-1390. That pocket remains intact for today’s trade. Prices have pulled back off that resistance in the overnight and early morning trade and tested previous resistance, so far holding. Higher lows and higher highs are still intact which keeps the technically and psychologically significant $14.00 still in play.

Bias: Neutral/Bullish

Resistance: 1383-1390***, 1398-1400**, 1415 3/4-1420***

Pivot: 1360-1370

Support: 1332-1342****, 1322 3/4***, 1299 3/4-1303****

Seasonal Tendencies

Below is a look at historical seasonal averages VS this year’s price (black line) for November soybeans (updated each Monday).

*Past performance is not necessarily indicative of futures results.

Wheat

Technicals (December)

December Chicago wheat futures continue to consolidate within a wedge. We continue to like the upside potential but need to see confirmation via consecutive closes back above 582-585.

Bias: Neutral/Bullish

Resistance: 582-585***, 601 3/4-604 1/2***

Pivot: 568 1/2570

Support: 540-547 1/2***

Seasonal Tendencies

Below is a look at historical seasonal averages VS this year’s price (black line) for December wheat (updated each Monday).

*Past performance is not necessarily indicative of futures results.

Oliver Sloup, VP & Co-Founder, Blue Line Futures

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