Volatility Expands in Livestock Markets




Cattle remain under pressure while lean hogs erased nearly all of the prior day’s limit down move.



Cows_Grazing
Cows_Grazing

Feeder Cattle (March)March feeder cattle futures continued to come under pressure yesterday, testing and holding significant support from 266.75-267.75. A break and close below this pocket and the selling could accelerate via long liquidation. The 50-day moving average comes in near 262.75 which would be the next downside target. Fund length has been and continues to be a caution flag for the Bulls, even after a $10.00 pullback.

Resistance: 273.675-274.65, 277.25, 279.20-279.82Pivot: 271.35-272.00Support: 266.75-267.75, 262.75***

Seasonal Tendency Update(updated 2.3.25)

Below is a look at historical price averages for March futures on a 5, 10, 15, 20, and 30 year time frames (Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results).

Volatility Expands in Livestock Markets

Commitment of Traders Report
Friday’s Commitment of Traders report showed Funds holding a net long position to the tune of 27,727 contracts, a slight reduction from the prior week’s record long position.

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One of the limitations of hypothetical performance results is that they are generally prepared with the benefit of hindsight. In addition, hypothetical trading does not involve financial risk, and no hypothetical trading record can completely account for the impact of financial risk in actual trading. For example, the ability to withstand losses or to adhere to a particular trading program in spite of trading losses are material points which can also adversely affect actual trading results. There are numerous other factors related to the markets in general or to the implementation of any specific trading program which cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of hypothetical performance results and all of which can adversely affect actual trading results.

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