AgDay Markets Now: Ted Seifried Discusses if the Grain Markets Are Trying to Bottom

Most of the Bearish News is Priced In

Soybeans and wheat rallied on Monday, with corn fractionally lower.

Ted Seifried with Zaner Ag Hedge says corn ended well off session lows on Monday with spillover help from higher soybeans and wheat.

The corn market is overdue for a technical bounce after making three year lows and ending lower for eight consecutive sessions.

He says most of the bearish news associated with weather and the shock of USDA’s larger than expected acreage and stocks estimates has been worked into corn prices.

Seifried is hopeful the corn market is trying to bottom and with the funds near record short for this time of year he is hoping they will take profits going into the holiday as the market have virtually no weather premium built in.

Soybean futures rallied on Monday on short covering and some end user buying.

He says the forward spreads are indicating underlying demand for soybeans and the market is trying to entice farmers to sell old crop soybeans, but so far they are holding tight.

Again, Seifried is anticipating short profit taking in soybeans heading into the holiday.

However, he advises producers to sell corn and soybeans on rallies because the USDA report shows farmers are large holders of both corn and soybeans in on-farm storage which could continue to pressure prices.

AgWeb-Logo crop
Related Stories
Lane Akre, economist with Pro Farmer, says the corn made new highs on Friday but may have to go higher with their big yield cut of 7.5 bu. from USDA’s August estimate.
Pro Farmer Crop Tour scouts discovered a corn crop that didn’t live up to expectations, with Pro Farmer pegging the national yield at 173.2 bu. per acre, well below USDA’s 180.7 current estimate.
Scouts say early-season weather stress reduced corn ear counts and grain length and cut stands across the Corn Belt, but above-average soybean pod numbers mean farmers could harvest a record bean crop this fall.
Read Next
Day 3 of the Pro Farmer Crop Tour reveals low ear counts dragging down rain-weary Illinois fields, while Western Iowa corn flashes standout potential despite rising SDS and brown stem rot in soybeans.
Get News Daily
Get Market Alerts
Get News & Markets App