Farmers Weigh-In on Midterm Elections’ Outcome

November 16, 2018 01:13 PM
In midterm elections, the political party in office usually hits some headwinds while its opposition gains some political ground. That turned out to be true for the 2018 midterm elections.

In midterm elections, the political party in office usually hits some headwinds while its opposition gains some political ground. That turned out to be true for the 2018 midterm elections.

In the final tally of votes, Democrats won the U.S. House of Representatives but lost seats in the U.S. Senate, which the Republicans will continue to retain control of, moving forward.

That split was predicted by many analysts, including by David Wasserman, house editor for the Cook Political Report.

“Republicans had a lot of exposure in the House, and we [saw] Democrats taking control,” Wasserman told Agri-Talk Host, Chip Flory.

In a Farm Journal Pulse survey conducted earlier this week, farmers were asked to rate how satisfied they are with the midterm election results. Of the 817 farmers who responded to the survey, 64% said they are very satisfied or somewhat satisfied with the outcome.

“It seems like some of the Democrats’ momentum faded, and that the Kavanaugh appointment and the migrant caravan [had] done more to galvanize the Trump base than the tariffs and taxes, even,” Wasserman adds.

At the state level, voters in 18 states cast their ballots for a new governor. By the time polling concluded, seven states had switched from a Republican governorship to a Democrat one. Only one state, Alaska, switched from the Democrat party to the Republicans.

The average loss of governors for the party of an incumbent president has historically been 2.66 per cycle, so election 2018 was more than double the average.

Some of the most hotly contested governorship races in farm country were run in Illinois, Kansas, Michigan and Wisconsin, all of which flipped from being Republican to Democrat held. A final decision in Georgia is still being determined. Republican Brian Kemp has declared victory in the Georgia governor’s race with election results showing him with a narrow lead over Democrat Stacey Abrams and all but a few precincts reporting complete results. However, Abrams’ campaign says “it will not concede and hopes that thousands of absentee and provisional ballots yet to be counted contain enough votes to force a runoff election or recount,” according to a USA Today article.

How does a change in party at the state level for governor affect policy and the political environment going forward? Roger Bernard, Informa policy analyst, says a change in parties starts putting different priorities into the government plans and decisions.

“In some cases there could be less focus on budget cutting or more emphasis, for instance. There could be more effort in some areas for redistricting,” he says. “These are longer-term implications that you might see when there are state government shifts.”

Such changes at the state level would certainly shape the 2020 elections and President Trump’s in particular, he adds.



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Spell Check

PJ Jahn
Ptown, IL
11/27/2018 06:37 PM

  Be careful where you step Rickwom, or you may get your shoes in it??? You need to remember that U.S. farmers are the most affluent receivers of all welfare in our country!!! And such a egregious bunch they are!!! Can't blame that on anyone else, can you???????

PJ Jahn
Ptown, IL
11/16/2018 07:35 PM

  I for one am glad to have Collin Peterson back as chairman of the U.S. House Ag Committee. Perhaps now we can get something done as to correct, and rescind the illegal RFS/RIN waivers issued by EPA administrator "STEALING Scott Pruitt, a Republican favorite. I have had a face to face conversation several years back with Chairman Mike Conaway after learning the fact that he is a "oilman", and doesn't favor "ethanol" in any way. I really surprised him in the fact I had done very thorough research on him, and all of his back ground. I myself don't consider Mr. Conaway a honest supporter of U.S. farmers as he has let us down far too many times as U.S. House Ag Chairman. I am not one bit sorry he is no longer Ag Chairman. However the rest of so called "farmers friends" Republicans in Congress have done nothing either, except to play Partisan Politics. Remebmer the Republicans have controlled congress. Senator Chuck the "Hack" Grassley is from farm state Iowa, the "Ethanol Capital" as production goes, and has done nothing, but nothing, on these RIN waivers!!! What a waste. Poisonous Partisan Politics!!! At least Collin Peterson is a friend of farmers, and ethanol. I say so what if he is a Democrat. It is what it is!!!

Deerfield , KS
11/16/2018 10:21 PM

  I agree but it’s like cutting off your arm and hopefully it will save your life, Democrats need a mind of their own and not Palkow she it