Brian Grete

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Friday’s scheduled release of USDA’s Crop Production and Supply & Demand Reports seems very unlikely even if the government shutdown ends this week.
Things are looking a little more upbeat for wheat, but it will be hard for the market to find sustained buying amid likely seasonal pressure on corn and beans.
Traders are brushing aside the bullish long-term outlook for now.
Divergent attitudes and fundamentals have drawn the battle lines. Which market will win?
Carryover projections may be the real market-mover in today’s September crop reports.
Traders are ignoring the drop in crop ratings and a hot and dry forecast for now.
Funds are long soybeans and short corn. The difference is demand.
China sells only 89,928 MT of 2009 and 2010 state-owned soybean reserves put up for auction.
Even with the ‘recipe,’ the corn and soybean markets must still get the ingredients to put in a low.
Forecasts call for non-threatening weather, but cooler-than-normal conditions aren’t what all of the crop needs.