AgDay Markets Now: Brad Kooima Says Despite a Correction He’s Bullish About Cattle Longer Term

Row crops recovered on Tuesday, while cattle posted another lower day. Brad Kooima, Kooima Varilek says all those markets saw corrective action.

Row crops recovered on a technical bounce and with lower crop ratings.

Corn and soybeans both saw a deterioration of conditions by 2% with the Eastern Corn Belt too dry and the Western Corn Belt too wet.

Live cattle futures set back a second day after hitting new near-term highs Monday and failing even though cash was at record levels.

However, Brad Kooima of Kooima Kooima Varilek says he knows of some cash trade as high as $198 in the North and a small regional paid $200, so it was a historical week and is an indication of how tight the numbers are in those areas which gives those producers leverage.

“Compare that to the South which was mostly $186 with some $188 late.”

Feeder cattle futures consolidated with higher corn, but he thinks the live cattle futures correction is just routine profit taking. “I think the challenge in a market like we had on Friday is what do you do for an encore? Do you expect cash is going to be $3 to $5 higher every day? Well clearly that’s not going to happen. So, you’ll have some people saying, I’m going to take the opportunity to take a little money.”

He says he was still encouraged that even on a down day in live cattle the forward spreads were working with the front months stronger than the back months.

The market is gearing up for a Cattle on Feed Report on Friday and even with bullish expectations there is often times caution by the trade prior to the numbers.

AgWeb-Logo crop
Related Stories
Brian Grete with Commstock Investments says, “We’ve seen China come in and be a fairly active buyer over the past several weeks here of new crop U.S. soybeans. There was more talk of that on Friday. And so that gave us some price support.”
Scott Varilek with Kooima Kooima Varilek says the live cattle futures made new lows for the move Thursday before finding support and putting in key reversals.
Garrett Toay with AgTraderTalk says after the big rally to start the week the grain markets saw some profit taking and corrective selling.
Read Next
The question facing U.S. agriculture is whether current farm aid is a bridge through temporary hardship — or a pier toward more structural government support.
Get News Daily
Get Market Alerts
Get News & Markets App