AgDay Markets Now: Bryan Doherty says Milk Prices May Continue to Correct After Spring Rally

Milk prices had a nearly $5 rally from the April lows but have since pulled back. Bryan Doherty, Total Farm Marketing, says cheese prices will dictate where prices head next and so far consumer demand has stalled.

Milk futures had a nice run this spring from the April lows rallying nearly $5 and getting many contracts back about the $21 mark.

However, the market has corrected off the highs.

Bryan Doherty with Total Farm Marketing says a surge in cheese demand and prices helped to push milk futures this spring.

“It had a strong run, short covering and investment money bought in and some hot weather in Southern production areas was also a factor. However, today it’s easier to keep cows comfortable so you don’t see a big impact on production,” he says.

However, consumer demand for both cheese and butter has stalled out due to inflation and push back against higher prices.

“Cheese prices have leveled out around $2.0o, it looks like butter has leveled off. So, unless these components take off, we’ve probably seen the extent of the rally,” he points out.

Milk prices have corrected off the recent highs as a result.

He says the stronger dollar has limited exports of U.S. dairy products as well.

Doherty advises producers take advantage of these prices to hedge before the market erodes any further.

AgWeb-Logo crop
Related Stories
Dave Chatterton with Strategic Farm Marketing says the markets needs a catalyst like South American weather or demand to find a bottom.
Scott Varilek with Kooima Kooima Varilek says the outside market news has been a factor in cattle but the main catalyst for the selling has been sharply lower cash trade which started breaking early in the week.
Bryan Doherty with Total Farm Marketing says speculative selling is a common theme in the commodity markets.
Read Next
Farmers rate their local FSA office well but give USDA crop data low marks, and they have ideas for closing the gap.
Get News Daily
Get Market Alerts
Get News & Markets App