Don Roose: What Drove the Rally in Grains Tuesday and Can the Market Build on It?

Corn and wheat score key reversals after making new contract lows, while soybeans continued higher for a third day.

Grains all closed higher on Tuesday on short covering across the complex.

Don Roose, U.S. Commodities, says it is end of month and quarter which prompted some short profit taking by the funds, who are record short in the grains.

Corn and wheat scored key reversals bouncing off of new contract lows as the market may have traded the most bearish news.

But is it possible corn and wheat are trying to bottom?

Roose says seasonally wheat tries to forge a low this time of year and for corn it is not uncommon in years of bumper crops for the market to put in an early harvest low.

Despite that, Roose says $4 will be tough resistance for corn to break through to extend the rally.

Soybeans were up for a third day adding weather premium with hot dry weather in much of the Corn Belt and getting to price levels where end users found value.

So, how much higher can soybean prices go?

Roose says $10 will be strong psychological chart resistance for November soybean prices.

AgWeb-Logo crop
Related Stories
Farmers in parts of the High Plains and Southeast need a break from relentless drought, while nationwide planting progress is outpacing the five-year average.
Jamie Gieseke with Paradigm Futures says commodities are starting to gain favor with the funds on inflation fears and that includes grains. A China deal could just add fuel to the fire.
Both classes of winter wheat ended limit up on the day as USDA shocked the market with their aggressive production cuts in the May WASDE putting the crop at a 54 year low, according to Arlan Suderman, StoneX.
Read Next
Fresh analysis from FAPRI finds passage of year-round E15 would bring limited near-term gains to corn prices, while SRE changes would put pressure on farm income and negatively impact soybeans.
Get News Daily
Get Market Alerts
Get News & Markets App