Grains Start Lower But Quickly Turn Mixed: Cattle Try to Recover with the Stock Market

Strong Crop Ratings a Headwind for Row Crops

Grain markets started off lower Tuesday with livestock mixed.

Kent Beadle of Paradigm Futures says soybeans are lower consolidating after two up days but also with strong crop ratings at 67% good to excellent nationally, a one percent increase.

Plus, Beadle says the lack of confirmation on new crop China soybean export business and sharply lower bean oil is also dragging down the market.

Corn and wheat both saw early pressure with a higher dollar and strong crop ratings, plus the spring wheat harvest is providing some hedge pressure although harvest is behind at 6% verses the 10% average.

However, both markets quickly saw some bargain hunting and fund short covering to trade steady to even a bit higher.

Cattle futures open higher trying to recover with the strength in the stock market but then failed on more long liquidation by the speculative traders.

Beadle thinks cattle can retrace some of the recent losses if the financial sector can find some stability and with strong supply side fundamentals.

However, the recent pull back did chart damage in feeders and live cattle, so October live cattle need to first close above the 100 day moving average.

Lean hog futures tried to cattle early and were able to extend gains even when cattle failed due to steady cash and cutouts.

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Scott Varilek with Kooima Kooima Varilek says after a bounce on Thursday many producers were asking if a bottom was starting to be forged but the negative stories won’t die down.
Shawn Hackett with Hackett Financial Advisors says he sees higher prices ahead for the grain markets.
Darin Newsom, senior market analyst with Barchart, says it is not unexpected to see a little profit taking moving into the end of the month. However, he thinks any breaks will be bought by the trend following funds.
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