Grains Try to Recover After Collapse: Livestock Also Rally

Is This Just Corrective Buying?

Grains try to recover after the collapse on Monday which produced new contract lows in soybeans and all three classes of wheat.

John Payne, Advance Trading, says this is just corrective buying because its difficult for grains to get any traction without a weather threat.

He says the derecho Monday night in parts of Iowa and Illinois did cause some flooding and crop damage but it is not enough to move the needle with the big crop potential.

As a result, Payne says the trend following funds continuing to press the market.

“So far for the funds this has been an easy sell,” he says.

He says the higher acreage figures coming out of Brazil for the new crop season are also weighing on corn and soybean futures.

“Some people want to make the case that the cure for low prices is low prices but that’s hard to see when the acreage in Brazil just keeps going up from a world perspective,” he adds.

Cattle also try to recover but seasonals are softer and cash and cutouts are falling verses the big discount the futures have to cash. So what wins out?

Hogs also trying to bounce but face headwinds on both the supply and demand front as hog inventory has still been ample and consumer buying of pork has not been enough to chew through the supplies.

AgWeb-Logo crop
Related Stories
In their first on-camera interview since admitting a processing error in the September USDA Crop Report data, officials clarified that the mistake was a computer weighting issue.
Dave Chatterton with Strategic Farm Marketing says the markets needs a catalyst like South American weather or demand to find a bottom.
Scott Varilek with Kooima Kooima Varilek says the outside market news has been a factor in cattle but the main catalyst for the selling has been sharply lower cash trade which started breaking early in the week.
Read Next
Farmers rate their local FSA office well but give USDA crop data low marks, and they have ideas for closing the gap.
Get News Daily
Get Market Alerts
Get News & Markets App