Markets Now: Tommy Grisafi says Selling to Continue in Cattle on HPAI Fears, But Funds May Buy Grains

Grains were mixed Friday, but cattle futures tanked again on HPAI fears and Tommy Grisafi, Advance Trading, says to expect more of the same next week.

Grain and livestock markets end mixed Friday.

Corn ended lower after hitting chart resistance at the 50-day moving average and consolidating, divorcing itself from the higher soybean and wheat markets. Tommy Grisafi with Advance Trading says corn on a chart is moving sideways.

However, he says corn is also being limited by the big ending stocks. “The weight of that burdensome supply is real, we can’t fake having too much.” Plus, there has been farmer selling before the planters start to roll and to generate cash for planting with interest rates at such a high level.

The grains markets have also been watching weather, but in particular corn. Grisafi says some areas of the Corn Belt received some beneficial moisture recently and that may also be anchoring prices with ideas of better yields.

Wheat saw a short covering rally but news on Russian export issues due to quality problems was also supportive.

While soybeans followed soybean oil which has been rallying along with crude oil. However, Grisafi says soybeans and wheat are also rangebound technically and soybeans can’t seem to close above the $12 mark.

Cattle futures tanked again Friday and made new lows for the move. Live and feeder cattle futures were also down sharply for the week on HPAI fears and fund selling and liquidation. While Grisafi thinks the market is overreacting as meat and milk is safe he also cautions that right now the funds just want out of the market.

AgWeb-Logo crop
Related Stories
A year after StoneX’s survey shocked the market, two StoneX economists sit down for an exclusive interview, saying this year’s numbers tell a very different story about what will drive prices.
Joe Kooima of Kooima Kooima Varilek says the gap lower opening in cattle futures Monday in response to the border reopening to Mexican imports was volatile. They anticipate more to come to price in the news, even after a $25 to $30 break in the futures recently.
Brian Grete with Commstock Investments says, “We’ve seen China come in and be a fairly active buyer over the past several weeks here of new crop U.S. soybeans. There was more talk of that on Friday. And so that gave us some price support.”
Get News Daily
Get Market Alerts
Get News & Markets App