Wheat Rallies, Row Crops Fall on Corrective Action and Report Positioning

Grains see a corrective day and WASDE report positioning with wheat sharply higher, row crops lower. Matt Bennett, AgMarket.Net, says cattle also saw profit taking ahead of the Fed announcement.

Grains see a corrective day and WASDE report positioning with wheat sharply higher, corn and soybeans were lower.

Matt Bennett, AgMarket.Net, says after nine days lower the wheat market was oversold and some traders wanted to even up positions going into the USDA reports.

Meanwhile, after a higher day Monday row crops set back slightly on profit taking and with strong row crop ratings, especially soybeans with a 72% good to excellent condition score.

Bennett isn’t expecting much out of the June report as USDA rarely makes production adjustments on this report for new crop corn and soybeans. The big fireworks will come from the acreage report at the end of June. He doesn’t think USDA will tweak much on the demand side of the balance sheets either for row crops.

Wheat yield and production is expected to rise and so new crop ending stocks are already projected to be above a year ago up to 778 million bushels.

Global numbers will be watched with Bennett anticipating USDA to shave South American production, but they will still say far above Conab figures.

Wheat production out of the Black Sea region, but in particular Russia, could be the one exception he says with the frost and drought possibly lowering the crop.

Cattle also saw profit taking after running into chart resistance and corrected ahead of the Fed announcement.

AgWeb-Logo crop
Related Stories
Government payments, insurance and regenerative incentives are worth about $0.52 per bushel on a 220-bu farm. Add them to a $5.49 December board and the marketing math changes — if you know your numbers line by line.
A year after StoneX’s survey shocked the market, two StoneX economists sit down for an exclusive interview, saying this year’s numbers tell a very different story about what will drive prices.
Joe Kooima of Kooima Kooima Varilek says the gap lower opening in cattle futures Monday in response to the border reopening to Mexican imports was volatile. They anticipate more to come to price in the news, even after a $25 to $30 break in the futures recently.
Read Next
Record heat, a rare Pacific hurricane triplet, and a wobbly South American monsoon are the latest signs of a historic El Niño, and Nutrien’s Eric Snodgrass says it’s about to squeeze this fall’s harvest window, too.
Get News Daily
Get Market Alerts
Get News & Markets App