Why Did Grains Give Back Friday’s Gains? Will Selling Escalate into Month End?

Grains end lower on Monday on weather forecasts for rain in the corn belt and increased farmer selling. Randy Martinson, Martinson Ag says cattle saw short covering.

Grains end lower on Monday erasing most of the gains from Friday, while cattle rallied, and hogs were mixed.

Randy Martinson, Martinson Ag, says forecasts for rain in the corn belt weighed on grains.

He says there was also a pickup in farmer selling after the rally Friday, as farmers are selling ahead of planting season with the end of April approaching some will have to price or roll basis fixed contracts. He says that selling pressure could be similar to what happened at the end of February when May corn hit a contract low.

According to Martinson grains were also removing war premium after Middle East fighting failed to escalate to all-out war.

A higher dollar index was also negative for the grain markets on continued inflation fears.

Demand has improved slightly with export inspections on wheat at 20.3 million bushels. Corn came in at 52.5 million bushels and for the year are now up 34% from last year. Plus, the corn market saw a flash sale of 6.5 mb sold to Mexico, mostly current marketing year.

Soybean export inspections were at 15.9 million bushels and although the NOPA crush figure came in at a record 196.4 mb it was under expectations and did not help the market.

Cattle saw a short covering bounce with triple digit gains as that market was oversold and despite a lower stock market.

AgWeb-Logo crop
Related Stories
Wednesday morning USDA reported a flash sale of 13.2 million bushels of soybeans to unknown destinations and Randy Martinson with Martinson Ag says the market is betting that its China.
Soybeans were sharply lower in the overnight trade and then saw a gap higher open during the day session on talk that China was in pricing U.S. soybeans says Brian Grete with Commstock Investments.
Vince Boddicker of Farmers Trading Company says while no sales have been confirmed, just the rumors of China in the U.S. market looking for bids brought buyers back into the market.
Get News Daily
Get Market Alerts
Get News & Markets App