Market Analysis

Jeff Hoogendoorn, Professional Ag Marketing, says corn and cattle are major bull markets and there are certain signals he’s looking for to indicate all of the bullish fundamentals are worked into prices.
Kent Beadle, Paradigm Futures, says grains rallied with corn making new highs for the move but wheat also saw double digit gains.
Chip Nellinger, Blue-Reef AgriMarketing says grains rally with corn pulling up the rest of the complex on South American weather concerns.
Chuck Shelby, Risk Management Commodities, says grains close higher seeing fund buying and consolidation with the markets still digesting possible tariffs and South American weather.
DuWayne Bosse, Bolt Marketing, says corn and wheat are trying to recover Tuesday with fund short covering.
Mike Zuzulo, Global Commodity Analytics, says grains further corrected with funds liquidating in corn, soybeans and meal due to rains over the weekend in Argentina and more in the extended forecast.
Cattle hit record highs again and hogs follow, says Brad Kooima of Kooima Kooima Varilek. Grains break on South America weather and tariff concerns.
Corn, soybeans and wheat all closed higher for the week in the face of heightened uncertainty. Jerry Gulke, president of the Gulke Group, says to him that kind of resilience is an underlying sign of a bull market.
Dan Basse with Ag Resource, says grain markets set back on profit taking after running into chart resistance and news Argentina is lowering its export taxes on grains.
Scott Varilek, Kooima Kooima Varilek, says cattle futures are making record highs once again with cash in the North trading from $210 to $212 on Friday morning. Grains under pressure as Argentina lowers its export taxes on grains.
Craig Turner with StoneX says corn and soybeans rebounded Thursday and made fresh for the move highs on fund buying but South American weather and crop concerns are also supportive.
Chuck Shelby, Risk Management Commodities, says corn and soybeans saw profit taking after running into chart resistance on Wednesday but rebounded this morning adding back South America weather premium.
Ted Seifried with Zaner Ag Hedge says corn and soybeans saw a profit taking setback after making new highs for the move and hitting significant price objectives.
Darin Newsom with Barchart says the forward spreads have been bullish in corn since August indicating strong underlying demand.
Arlan Suderman, chief commodities economist with StoneX, says a combination of factors supported the rally in grains, which all scored new highs for the move.
Kent Beadle, Paradigm Futures, says grain markets breathed a sigh of relief there are no immediate Chinese tariffs being imposed by the Trump Administration, that sent the U.S. dollar index sharply lower which is also supportive.
Jerry Gulke, president of the Gulke Group, says the strength in corn can pull the soybean markets and maybe even wheat higher for a handful of fundamental reasons.
Tommy Grisafi with Nesvick Trading Group says corn closed above technical resistance of $4.80 despite the uncertainty of South American weather and tariffs under a new administration.
Scott Varilek, Kooima Kooima Varilek, says cattle are down a second day despite more record cash trade. However, the row crop futures are trying to recover on strong China economic news.
Don Roose, U.S. Commodities says corn saw some fund buying on tight supplies and with help from concerns about Argentina weather. However, soybeans couldn’t follow, pulled down by meal.
Mike Zuzulo, Global Commodity Analytics, says corn and soybeans are watching South American weather with hot dry conditions mainly in Argentina and Southern Brazil but some rain in the weekend forecast.
DuWayne Bosse with Bolt Marketing says corn and soybeans saw profit taking after stretching to new highs for the move as the markets were overbought.
Craig Turner, with StoneX, says corn and soybeans saw some early pressure on profit taking after hitting chart resistance and some farmer selling was also noted, both from U.S. and South American producers.
Tomm Pfitzenmaier, Summit Commodity Brokerage, says corn and soybeans continued to see gains from strong technical closes on Friday and extending the report rally.
Brad Kooima, Kooima Kooima Varilek, says live cattle futures are consolidating which is healthy. Meanwhile, corn and soybeans make new highs for the move still digesting USDA’s bullish report data and the shocking cuts in yield, production and ending stocks.
Jim McCormick of AgMarket.Net, says South America is setting up for a record crop. “I think at this point Brazil will have a huge crop, 172 to 175 MMT, that’ll more than offset at what we lost here in the U.S.”
Shawn Hackett with Hackett Financial Advisors says it will be tough for corn to run to $5 because report just confirmed what the market already knew.
USDA lowered corn yield a whopping 3.8 bu. and soybeans 1 bu. which led to lower production and ending stocks.
Scott Varilek of Kooima Kooima Varilek says the cattle futures are digesting another week of record cash trade at $320 dressed, up $5 and the South traded some $200 live, up $4.
Grains are firmer ahead of USDA reports and 45Z guidance.
Allison Thompson with The Money Farm says corn has rallied nearly $1 and soybeans around 50 cents off the lows. So production and ending stocks will need to come in well under trade estimates in the USDA reports for prices to push higher.
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