Market Analysis

With lawmakers focused on environmental social governance and carbon-neutral fuels, odds are the momentum to replace petroleum-based diesel with renewable diesel will not be exhausted soon.
“We are fast running out of gas,” says Jerry Gulke. “If we miss these rains, North Dakota and South Dakota probably deteriorates—North Dakota more so. I will be interested to see what Pro Farmer sees.”
The market seems to have learned from history, and we might witness a repeat.
USDA’s June 30 Acreage report is known to offer a few surprises, and the 2021 edition delivered.
For the week of May 17, corn was higher and soybeans were down hard along with wheat, meal, canola and soy oil. There has been good opportunities to sell cash and avoid the futures exposure.
USDA’s June World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) amplified the major themes driving the corn market: Demand is strong, supplies are questionable.
The commodity markets proved the bull market is far from over, as May corn futures ended the week above the $7.70 mark. Soybean prices had a similar story, with old crop finishing Friday above $16.
Do bull markets motivate or paralyze you? Do you stay active in updating your projections or sit on the sidelines watching prices tick up?
How high will prices go? How long will the high prices last? What is behind this rally? Here are some of the factors at play.
The domestic demand story is providing fuel to the markets as strong basis is part of what helped drive the markets higher this week. Marketing analysts on U.S. Farm Report discuss the market action this week.
May corn futures briefly topped $6 this week. While the futures prices didn’t stay above $6, the strong price signals showed up in both old crop and new crop this week.
U.S. soybean farmers could be in for a volatile price ride this year. With already tight stocks with robust demand, Blue Reef Agri-Marketing’s Chip Nellinger says soybean prices could see extreme volatility this year.
May corn futures closed in on $6 Wednesday, a price move being driven by a number of factors. Brian Doherty with Total Farm Marketing says corn’s performance is one for the record books.
Some habits breed grain marketing success, while others hurt your profitability. Want to be a better marketer? Follow this advice.
May corn prices were up 17.25¢ and May soybean prices were up 0.5¢, for the week ending April 9. May wheat prices were up 28¢.
Drought continues to grasp the western half of the country. As some farmers wait on rain to plant, Tommy Grisafi outlines some marketing tools to consider.
The supply-and-demand outlook already suggested profit potential into 2022/23 (not continuously high prices, but profit opportunities).
The March 31 Prospective Plantings and Grain Stocks reports are known for a surprise or two, as well as causing some price volatility.
USDA reports have the chance of throwing out some surprises. So, what may some of those surprises be when UDSA releases its Prospective Plantings report next week? U.S. Farm Report analysts weigh in.
Since last year, China has been importing record volumes of U.S. corn due to a supply shortage and record domestic prices.
Growing worries about just how bad ASF may be in China took hold of the soybean meal market this week, as prices trended down to levels the market hasn’t seen since December.
As we’ve discussed many times on AgriTalk, current fundamentals and the balance-sheet trends from USDA demand you maintain pricing flexibility.
Global supply and demand are more important than ever. Accurate information is difficult to find, whether it be from NASS or China.
May corn prices were up 6.5¢ and May soybean prices were up 25¢ for the week ending Feb. 26. March wheat prices were up 3.5¢.
Unprecedented U.S. weather conditions, export numbers and USDA’s Ag Outlook Forum all weighed on prices this week, says Jamie Wasemiller, market analyst with Gulke Group.
Here’s my biggest concern about what USDA didn’t deliver. What if the trade is right that U.S. corn exports will be at least 2.75 billion bushels with an outside chance of reaching 3 billion?
Chip Flory has a tight grip on agriculture’s tape measure. When an army of 150 scouts from 12 countries marches across U.S. farmland with ropes and smartphones, Flory knows there is a meticulous method to the madness.
Use this framework to understand COVID-19’s tail.
After corn and soybean prices soared last week once the USDA’s WASDE report was released, grains and oilseeds seem to have taken a different path this week. So, is the grain rally over? Bob Utterback weighs in.
All the major variables were hit in 2020.
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