Pro Farmer Analysis

Mato Grosso, Brazil’s top safrinha corn producer, is facing its driest April in 17 years, according to weather service EarthDaily Agro.
Part of Brazil’s safrinha corn facing dryness concerns
Global food and fuel price shocks linked to the Russia/Ukraine war are likely to last until at least the end of 2024 and raise the risk of stagflation, the World Bank said in its latest Commodities Market Outlook report.
World Weather Inc. predicts the Midwest will see a mix of rain and sunshine during the next two weeks.
CME Group announced some price limits for grains and oilseeds would be reset starting May 1 for the trade date of May 2, 2022.
Corn planting falls further behind
30 day outlooks for corn, soybeans, wheat and cotton.
The weak yen is one reason prices are rising in Japan, with consumer price inflation expected to approach the central bank’s longstanding 2% target in the next month or two.
Cattle on Feed Report: Placements top expectations
In response to market prices, oil refiners are planning to increase jet fuel and diesel production instead of gasoline this summer.
For total grains, IGC cut production by 12 MMT, trade by 9 MMT and carryout stocks by 26 MMT from its 2021-22 estimate.
Winter wheat drought area increases
Higher crop prices have supported farmers and the agricultural sector. However, there are some challenges. . .
Vegetable oil buyers will likely switch some purchases back to palm oil as its discount is widening compared to other vegetable oils.
High winds, hot temps could stress Plains crops, livestock
Chinese consumers are switching from pork to seafood for their protein needs, according to Bu Rui Ke, a research consultancy focused on agricultural commodities and publicly listed agricultural and food firms.
A group of 45 senators and 154 House members have filed an amicus brief with the U.S. Supreme Court calling for it to reverse a lower court ruling on Waters of the US (WOTUS) under the Clean Water Act (CWA).
Dry central Brazil conditions raise concern
Goldman Sachs Group Inc and JPMorgan Chase & Co commodity trading risk has increased, according to the companies’ first-quarter earnings disclosures.
Despite concerns that sanctions would limit Russian fertilizer shipments to Brazil, shipping data shows fertilizer is still being shipped, Reuters reported.
Corn planting remains behind average
CF Industries is warning customers that fertilizer shipments might be delayed or may not reach farmers after Union Pacific (UP) railroad mandated certain shippers to reduce the volume of private cars on its railroad.
USDA’s attaché in Brazil is expecting farmers to plant 42.5 million hectares (ha) in 2022-23. . .
Record March soybean crush report expected
In March, a total of 24,715 tractors were sold in the U.S., compared to 31,276 sold during the month last year, a 21% decrease, according to the Association of Equipment Manufacturer’s monthly “Flash Report.”
March’s PPI showed food costs climbed 2.4% from a month earlier, the largest increase since May. The jump was driven by higher grain, vegetable, cooking oil and pork prices.
Higher producer prices signal higher future food costs
Crop Consultant Dr. Michael Cordonnier raised his estimate of Paraguay’s corn crop by 1.5 MMT . . .
This summer’s average retail diesel price is estimated to average $4.57 per gallon, according to EIA.
Some analysts skeptical about the E15 impact
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