Markets
Today’s commodity market news. Featuring expert analysis from Michelle Rook, Jerry Gulke and Pro Farmer Editors.
Corn-for-ethanol use totaled 481.7 million bu. during December, 3.3 million bu. above the average pre-report estimate.
Will cattle prices set new record highs in 2024? Kevin Good, CattleFax has their price outlook for fed cattle and feeders.
AgDay TV Markets Now: Kevin Good of CattleFax says record fed and feeder cattle prices are expected in 2024.
Cattle open higher in reaction to USDA’s confirmation of a small herd and no signs of rebuilding, Hogs see profit taking, grains back lower as funds return as sellers. Scott Varilek, Kooima Kooima Varilek, has more.
Brad Kooima of Kooima Kooima Varilek says USDA semi-annual cattle inventory report came as no surprise as it confirmed continued tight numbers and no herd rebuilding.
The FAIR Labels Act introduces specific definitions for “imitation meat” and “imitation poultry” for plant-based meat alternatives.
Grains down as funds turn back to selling with China demand concerns, weak Brazil bean basis, bearish outside markets. Cattle & hogs see end of month profit taking to start. Randy Martinson, Martinson Ag, has more.
The rollback of restrictions on Venezuela’s oil industry is now at risk of expiring due to the recent Venezuelan court ruling and the arrest of several opposition members.
Any strength in the grain markets continues to be sold by the fund and algorithm traders according to DuWayne Bosse, Bolt Marketing.
AgDay TV Markets Now: DuWayne Bosse, Bolt Marketing says funds have a near record short position in the grain markets. It is only surpassed by May of 2019 which was in the middle of the China trade war.
Just this week, China’s largest real estate firm was told it must liquidate after trying to restructure for two years. Some experts say the country is teetering on a recession.
A study from Sandro Steinbach and Yasin Yildirim of North Dakota St. Univ. and Xiting Zhuang of the University of Connecticut exams the current challenges in global shipping and their direct impact on U.S. agriculture.
March soybeans closed below long-term chart support of $12.00, the first time soybeans have been under that level since June of 2023. Toay says that now opens the door for $11.76 to be tested.
AgDay TV Markets Now: Garrett Toay, Ag Trader Talk, says a “perfect storm” fueled the risk off selling in grain markets on Monday,
At least three cargoes of Brazilian soybeans were traded on Friday to a U.S. East Coast crusher.
Grain and livestock futures see risk off commodity wide selling. China news, Middle East war escalation and rumors of Brazil soybean imports hit the markets. Kent Beadle, Paradigm Futures has more.
Funds bought grains midweek after China announced economic stimulus, but they jumped right back out on Friday after Asian markets failed to rally.” Mike Zuzulo, Global Commodity Analytics, says its due to demand fears.
AgDay TV Markets Now: Mike Zuzulo, Global Commodity Analytics, discusses why funds sold grains to end the week but bought cattle and hogs futures.
The European Union is considering the establishment of a carbon market in the agriculture sector as part of its ambitious climate goals for the next decade.
“I don’t think we are going to see huge losses in prices from here forward, but these are not exciting prices,” says Jerry Gulke, president of the Gulke Group.
A recap of the week’s price action and outlook segmented into the next 5, 30 and 90 days.
Grains consolidating as funds are back in selling end of week. Cattle make new highs again pushed by higher cash. Crude oil stalls after 9-weeks highs Thursday. Darin Newsom, Barchart, has details.
AgDay TV Markets Now: Vince Boddicker, Farmers Trading Company, explains why the soybean complex sank on Thursday and why cattle and hogs made new highs for the move.
The collapse of soybean basis levels in Brazil tanked the soy complex. Vince Boddicker, Farmers Trading Company says, “People are saying with the basis dropping that hard maybe the Brazilian crop isn’t that tight.”
Canadian Ag Minister MacAulay had discussions with USDA Secretary Vilsack regarding proposed changes in voluntary “Product of USA” labeling regulations for meat and livestock, as well as California’s Proposition 12.
Chip Flory warns that as more crush capacity comes online, the soybean market might realize it waited too long to bid for 2024 soybean acres.
Cattle try to extend gains after strong chart action awaiting cash. Hogs see follow through buying on China news. Corn & beans see profit taking w/weak exports. Scott Varilek, Kooima Kooima Varilek, has more.
Vilsack’s interpretation of 2018 Farm Bill language on this topic allowed him to raise SNAP spending by a quarter trillion dollars.
AgDay TV Markets Now: Oliver Sloup, Blue Line Futures, explains what drove the rally in grain and livestock futures Wednesday and if it can keep going?
Grains end higher as corrective buying continues but the lower dollar and SA wx were also supportive. Cattle and hogs made new highs for the move on fund buying. Oliver Sloup, Blue Line Futures has details.