U.S. Ag Exports Ride a 57-Year Surplus Streak

Did you know U.S. agricultural exports have been traded at a surplus every year since 1959? According to USDA-ERS economists Alex Melton and Bryce Cooke, U.S. ag exports have accounted for around 10% to 11% of total exports in recent years.

USDA expected to lower corn yields in the September report
USDA expected to lower corn yields in the September report
(AgWeb)

Did you know U.S. agricultural exports have been traded at a surplus every year since 1959? According to USDA-ERS economists Alex Melton and Bryce Cooke, U.S. ag exports have accounted for around 10% to 11% of total exports in recent years.

Contrast that with ag imports, which account for around 5% of total U.S. imports.

“The result is that agriculture has become a reliable trade surplus sector, but the size of the surplus has varied greatly recently,” Melton and Cooke report in the ERS Amber Waves data feature, U.S. Agricultural Trade in 2016: Major Commodities and Trends.

Total ag commodity exports in 2016 totaled $135 billion. That’s $1.8 billion higher than 2015.

Melton and Cooke note that exports tend to rise and fall more sharply, while imports of agricultural goods have a generally smoother ride.

“[That’s] because the United States has a developed, stable economy with a preference for out-of-season good and high-value items,” they write. “Meanwhile, the country’s major export commodities … tend to fluctuate more in response to price changes because there is little to differentiate the U.S. and its competitors’ raw goods, compared to higher value processed products.”

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