Daily Livestock Commentary (5.5.22)

Lean hogs were able to bounce off the 200-day moving average yesterday, will the relief rally continue? Can cattle futures continue their rally with a firm cash trade?

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Wednesday’s Slaughter is estimated at 126,000, 1,000 more than last week and 7,000 more than the same week last year.

Wednesday’s Cutout Values

Choice: 259.74, Up .19 from the previous day.

Select: 247.68, Up .34 from the previous day.

Choice/Select Spread: 12.06

5 Area Average Cattle Price

Live Steer: 145.54

Live Heifer: 145.80

Dressed Steer: 231.76

Dressed Heifer: 232.00

Live Cattle

Technicals (June): June live cattle attempted to close out above the 200-day moving average but failed for the third consecutive day. Today could be the day. The cash market has firmed up which should help support futures this morning. Also, the outside markets saw a massive rally after the Federal Reserve announced an increase in rates of 50 basis points, but more importantly, seemingly taking 75 basis point hikes off the table for future meetings. We are still in the camp that believes we could see this relief rally continue into the gap from April 25th. That comes in from 136.85-138.35. The midpoint of that gap comes in at 137.60, just below that at 137.325 is the 100-day moving average, this pocket is our targeted area......Sign up for your FREE two-week trial of our daily commodity commentary!

Resistance: 138.475-138.525**, 140.775-141.15***, 143.35**

Pivot: 137.325-137.60

Support: 132.825-133.575****, 130.975-131.50**

Feeder Cattle

Technicals (August): August feeder cattle traded on both sides of unchanged yesterday, doing little to significantly alter the technical landscape. Grains are firm in the early morning trade, but we are at that time of year where you need to take the overnight price action with a grain of salt. If the grain markets do hold their strength, it could be a damper on the relief rally. Significant resistance comes in from 178.225-179.10. A breakout above this pocket opens the door for an extension towards the 182 area. On the support side of things, the Bulls want to defend 174.45-174.65 on a closing basis.....Sign up for your FREE two-week trial of our daily commodity commentary!

Resistance: 178.225-179.10****, 181.65-182.10***

Pivot: 175.85-176.025

Support: 174.45-174.65***, 170.75-171.05****, 168.525-168.60**, 167.325**

Lean Hogs

Technicals (June): June lean hog futures were able to bounce back some in yesterday’s session, helping erase the losses from Tuesday’s session. A good start for a recovery rally, but a lot more work to be done to repair the technical damage from the last two weeks. Today’s first hurdle come in from 106.20-106.55. A move out above there could take us back to the 110 area which was the breakdown point from last Friday and the 100-day moving average......Sign up for your FREE two-week trial of our daily commodity commentary!

Resistance: 106.20-106.55**, 109.75-110***, 112.20-112.925**

Pivot: 104.25-105.00

Support: 100-101.53****, 95.30**

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Futures trading involves substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Trading advice is based on information taken from trade and statistical services and other sources Blue Line Futures, LLC believes are reliable. We do not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice we give will result in profitable trades. All trading decisions will be made by the account holder. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

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