Market Analysis
Corn and soybeans continue to see fund selling, while funds are covering shorts in wheat. Outside markets respond to Jobs data. Cattle try to extend gains pushed by higher cash. Darin Newsom, Barchart, has more.
Will cattle prices set new record highs in 2024? Kevin Good, CattleFax has their price outlook for fed cattle and feeders.
AgDay TV Markets Now: Kevin Good of CattleFax says record fed and feeder cattle prices are expected in 2024.
Cattle open higher in reaction to USDA’s confirmation of a small herd and no signs of rebuilding, Hogs see profit taking, grains back lower as funds return as sellers. Scott Varilek, Kooima Kooima Varilek, has more.
Brad Kooima of Kooima Kooima Varilek says USDA semi-annual cattle inventory report came as no surprise as it confirmed continued tight numbers and no herd rebuilding.
Grains down as funds turn back to selling with China demand concerns, weak Brazil bean basis, bearish outside markets. Cattle & hogs see end of month profit taking to start. Randy Martinson, Martinson Ag, has more.
Any strength in the grain markets continues to be sold by the fund and algorithm traders according to DuWayne Bosse, Bolt Marketing.
AgDay TV Markets Now: DuWayne Bosse, Bolt Marketing says funds have a near record short position in the grain markets. It is only surpassed by May of 2019 which was in the middle of the China trade war.
March soybeans closed below long-term chart support of $12.00, the first time soybeans have been under that level since June of 2023. Toay says that now opens the door for $11.76 to be tested.
AgDay TV Markets Now: Garrett Toay, Ag Trader Talk, says a “perfect storm” fueled the risk off selling in grain markets on Monday,
Grain and livestock futures see risk off commodity wide selling. China news, Middle East war escalation and rumors of Brazil soybean imports hit the markets. Kent Beadle, Paradigm Futures has more.
Funds bought grains midweek after China announced economic stimulus, but they jumped right back out on Friday after Asian markets failed to rally.” Mike Zuzulo, Global Commodity Analytics, says its due to demand fears.
AgDay TV Markets Now: Mike Zuzulo, Global Commodity Analytics, discusses why funds sold grains to end the week but bought cattle and hogs futures.
“I don’t think we are going to see huge losses in prices from here forward, but these are not exciting prices,” says Jerry Gulke, president of the Gulke Group.
Grains consolidating as funds are back in selling end of week. Cattle make new highs again pushed by higher cash. Crude oil stalls after 9-weeks highs Thursday. Darin Newsom, Barchart, has details.
AgDay TV Markets Now: Vince Boddicker, Farmers Trading Company, explains why the soybean complex sank on Thursday and why cattle and hogs made new highs for the move.
The collapse of soybean basis levels in Brazil tanked the soy complex. Vince Boddicker, Farmers Trading Company says, “People are saying with the basis dropping that hard maybe the Brazilian crop isn’t that tight.”
Chip Flory warns that as more crush capacity comes online, the soybean market might realize it waited too long to bid for 2024 soybean acres.
Cattle try to extend gains after strong chart action awaiting cash. Hogs see follow through buying on China news. Corn & beans see profit taking w/weak exports. Scott Varilek, Kooima Kooima Varilek, has more.
AgDay TV Markets Now: Oliver Sloup, Blue Line Futures, explains what drove the rally in grain and livestock futures Wednesday and if it can keep going?
Grains end higher as corrective buying continues but the lower dollar and SA wx were also supportive. Cattle and hogs made new highs for the move on fund buying. Oliver Sloup, Blue Line Futures has details.
Grains start higher on continued corrective buying but soybeans have run into chart resistance. Cattle and hogs see following through buying after chart breakouts yesterday. Randy Martinson, Martinson Ag, has more.
“While soybeans have had a nice break higher the last four days, corn is moving sideways.” Dave Chatterton, Strategic Marketing says upside in corn is being limited by the 2.16-billion-bushel carryover.
AgDay TV Markets Now: Dave Chatterton with Strategic Farm Marketing says soybeans up a 4th day on SA crop concerns and higher meal, livestock see chart breakouts, with corn sideways.
Grains higher in early trading on continued corrective buying, despite slightly bearish outside markets. Kent Beadle, Paradigm Futures says the grain markets may have finally run out of sellers.
Corn and soybeans held long term support last week and built on it with Monday’s close.
Grains close mostly higher on corrective buying and crude oil strength. Are lows forming? Cattle lower despite a neutral COF on a lack of cash. Chip Nellinger, Blue Reef Agri-Marketing, has details.
Cattle lower despite neutral COF, on profit taking and the lack of cash. Hogs continue to correct with supplies backing up. Did corn and soybeans put in lows last week? Brad Kooima, Kooima Kooima Varilek, has more.
Jerry Gulke, president of the Gulke Group, considers the bounce off the lows a victory: “This was a win, even though we had markets down a little bit for the week.”
AgDay TV Markets Now: Tomm Pfitzenmaier, Summit Commodity Brokerage, says corn and soybeans see a lack of follow through buying Friday and fail to confirm the lows are in.