USDA to Release Grain Stocks & Small Grains Summary

Traders prepare for key month-end reports.

Following are pre-report trade expectations of USDA’s Quarterly Grain Stocks Report. USDA will release the report on Friday, Sept. 30, at 7:30 a.m., CT. The report will set 2011-12 corn and soybean carryin stocks.

Grain Stock Expectations

Avg.

Range

June 1, 2011

Sept. 1, 2010

in billion bushels

Corn

0.962

0.820-1.050

3.670

1.708

Soybeans

0.225

0.202-0.240

0.619

0.151

Wheat

2.046

1.959-2.247

0.861

2.450

Following are pre-report trade expectations ahead of USDA’s Small Grains Summary. USDA will release the report on Friday, Sept. 30, at 7:30 a.m., CT.

Small Grains

Avg.

Range

USDA latest

2010

in billion bushels

All wheat

2.046

2.007-2.084

2.077

2.208

All winter wheat

1.495

1.478-1.515

1.497

1.485

HRW

0.791

0.779-0.800

0.794

1.018

SRW

0.453

0.449-0.460

0.452

0.238

White winter

0.251

0.242-0.260

0.251

0.229

Other spring

0.498

0.480-0.531

0.522

0.616

Durum

0.053

0.047-0.057

0.057

0.107

* Expectations compiled by Dow Jones Newswire.


Juli says: For the Small Grains Summary, USDA will take into account Certified Acreage data from the Farm Service Agency in formulating its estimate. Traders look for the report to show a slight reduction in all wheat production from USDA’s last survey-based estimate. Traders remember how USDA shocked the market last year with a corn stocks estimate that was 300 million bu. above the average pre-report trade estimate. As a result, traders are being cautious heading into the report.

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