Corn
As big yield estimates are being thrown around so early, it’s stoking an intense debate. However, that’s not stopping the trade chatter. With talk of a new national corn yield record, it’s pressuring prices, with many farmers staring at cash corn with a $3 handle.
Unlike most leaf diseases, tar spot starts impacting the crop at the bottom of plants. That means fungicides you apply must penetrate and get deep into the crop canopy to provide effective treatment. If you opt to not treat the disease, consider making plans to harvest early and pre-booking some dryer gas.
Frayne Olson, NDSU Extension Crops Economist, says weather and improved crop ratings and benign weather are weighing on the corn and soybean markets. However, tariff uncertainty is also negative for prices.
Arlan Suderman, Chief Commodities Economist with StoneX, says funds sold aggressively and erased almost all of last weeks gains, as they came back from the holiday and saw no threat in the weather forecast.
While USDA’s crop condition ratings don’t translate to a specific yield, with strong conditions, analysts say it’s possible the U.S. will see a national record corn yield this year. Current market chatter is a national corn yield anywhere from 185 bu. to 200 bu. per acre.
Brad Kooima, Kooima Kooima Varilek, says cattle futuresare showing resilience early Monday due to better than expected cash trade. However, grains are seeing heavy selling pressure.
Jerry Gulke, president of the Gulke Group, says the grain markets turned this week, not on trade news, but rather on less talked about factors.
Mark Schultz, Northstar Commodity, says corn and soybeans saw follow through technical buying and short covering heading into a three day holiday but were also trading hopes for a positive trade announcement on China from President Trump.
In addition to major tax provisions, the bill enhances the current safety net, providing $66 billion in new spending for farm programs.
Scott Varilek of Kooima Kooima Varilek says cattle futures are trading higher building on Wednesday’s big reversal which was initially triggered by trade news but then better than expected cash trade added to the rally. Grains are also higher on hopes of an announced deal with China.