Wheat
Shawn Hackett with Hackett Financial Advisors says with China potentially buying 441 million bushels of U.S. soybeans in the next two months prices need to move a lot higher.
Mark Schultz with Northstar Commodity says in response to the China deal the soybean market pushed into new highs for the move with January finally closing above the $11 mark.
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Alan Bruger says USDA was assuming some sales to China in the September WASDE but he thinks the agency will need to make some revisions in their 300 million bushel ending stocks with this deal.
Allison Thompson says soybeans paused on Wednesday with January down 3/4 cent as the market faded news of China purchases as it was already priced into the market.
Lane Akre, economist with Pro Farmer, says soybeans have priced in the optimism about a China trade deal and had muted reaction to news of the first China soybean purchases of the 2025-26 marketing year.
Brian Grete with Commstock Investments thinks the China deal is nearly priced into the soybean market and so it will need confirmation of what “significant purchases” means before moving higher.
DuWayne Bosse with Bolt Marketing says soybeans made new highs for the move and January futures are closing in on $11, while March made fresh highs for the year.
Grain markets staged a rally on Monday and Naomi Blohm with Total Farm Marketing says soybeans led the charge on news over the weekend that the U.S. and China had reached a framework agreement that included “substantial purchases” of U.S. soybeans.
Live cattle are sharply lower with limit down moves in feeders under expanded limits on Monday morning. Brad Kooima says now the focus is on the possibility of the U.S. dropping the 50% additional tariffs on beef imports.
Soybeans futures hit new highs for the move on Thursday as Greg McBride with Allendale, Inc. says there is growing optimism about a trade deal with China that will include soybean purchases.
Randy Martinson with Martinson Ag says soybeans are hitting new highs for the move with the tailwind of comments from President Trump about getting a trade deal with China next week in South Korea.
Garrett Toay with AgTraderTalk says after the recent rally corn and soybeans ran into chart resistance. However, outside markets had a negative impact with the selloff in precious metals and the rally in the dollar.
Oliver Sloup, Blue Line Futures, says corn, soybeans and wheat all saw technical buying this week after bouncing off key support on the charts. The key is can the markets build on it next week?
Kevin Duling of KD Investors says soybeans saw some short covering and technical buying but got a fundamental push from rising Brazilian basis levels.
Sam Swanson with The Money Farm says soybeans are seeing short covering as U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessent said the possibility of extending a pause of import duties on Chinese goods for longer than three months exists if China halts its plan for strict new export controls on rare-earth elements.
Brady Huck with Advance Trading says corn and soybeans have been holding support and holding up well amid harvest pressure and the China trade woes.
Vince Boddicker with Farmers Trading Company says corn saw some short covering and spillover buying from the rally in the wheat market. However, soybeans ended off lows with the rally in feed grains but still saw pressure on lingering China trade woes.
Mike Zuzolo with Global Commodity Analytics says soybean futures closed slightly higher on Monday as trade tensions with China seemed to ease over the weekend. However, he says the soybean market doesn’t totally trust that a deal is going to take place.
Jim McCormick with AgMarket.Net says the soybean market reacted negatively as it was pinning its hopes on a trade deal that included purchases at the end of October when the two leaders met at the APEC summit.
Scott Varilek, Kooima Kooima Varilek says the feeder futures have put on $22 this week and were due for a correction but still project to $388. Grains see pressure from China trade news.
Dave Chatterton with Strategic Farm Marketing says corn, soybeans and wheat were all lower on Thursday after running into solid chart resistance. However, basis is firming. So, what does that signal?
Don Roose with U.S. Commodities says soybeans ended higher for second day as it looks like the market is trying to carve out a seasonal low.
Mark Knight, Farmer’s Keeper Financial, says soybeans are back higher early Tuesday on light technical buying but awaiting details of the Trump administration’s farmer aid package.
DuWayne Bosse, with Bolt Marketing says he was surprised at how well the corn market is handling the harvest pressure that is ramping up across the Corn Belt.
Tommy Grisafi with Nesvick Trading says corn and soybeans saw selling late in the session on harvest pressure. However, soybeans had a higher weekly close pushed by President Trump’s renewed ideas of a China deal.
Bryan Doherty, Total Farm Marketing, says soybeans extended gains off of Wednesday’s reversal on technical buying and short covering but with hopes of a China deal. The trade aid announced will also keep farmer selling at a minimum.
The government is shut down for a second day and so are no reports from USDA, including weekly export sales or flash sales. So what are the grain markets trading?
Randy Martinson with Martinson Ag says grains started lower Wednesday on the government shutdown but soybeans reversed higher after President Trump’s social media post on China.
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