AgDay Markets Now: Chuck Shelby says Grain Markets Trading Weather and Upcoming Reports

Chuck Shelby, Risk Management Commodities, says grains will be watching weather and gearing up for the USDA Acreage and Quarterly Stocks Reports in the week ahead.

Grains sell off heading into the weekend. r.

Chuck Shelby, Risk Management Commodities, says row crops saw profit taking from the rally on Thursday and hit chart resistance.

However, with a high-pressure ridge showing up in the extended forecast that could have traders back buying Sunday night if that confirms.

In addition, the market is nearing the end of the month, the end of the quarter and is the delivery period which could keep the volatility high.

The trade will also be gearing up for the USDA Acreage and Quarterly Stocks reports at the end of the month.

Wheat continued to see harvest pressure making new lows for the move. He says the wheat market is likely to continue to see hedge selling until the harvest passes the halfway mark. At that point he thinks it could go back to pricing in the lower crop in the Black Sea region and he is optimistic about the U.S. picking up some export business.

A recovery in the U.S. dollar index was also negative for the grains.

AgWeb-Logo crop
Related Stories
Dave Chatterton with Strategic Farm Marketing says the markets needs a catalyst like South American weather or demand to find a bottom.
Scott Varilek with Kooima Kooima Varilek says the outside market news has been a factor in cattle but the main catalyst for the selling has been sharply lower cash trade which started breaking early in the week.
Bryan Doherty with Total Farm Marketing says speculative selling is a common theme in the commodity markets.
Read Next
Farmers rate their local FSA office well but give USDA crop data low marks, and they have ideas for closing the gap.
Get News Daily
Get Market Alerts
Get News & Markets App