AgDay Markets Now: Chuck Shelby says Grain Markets Trading Weather and Upcoming Reports

Chuck Shelby, Risk Management Commodities, says grains will be watching weather and gearing up for the USDA Acreage and Quarterly Stocks Reports in the week ahead.

Grains sell off heading into the weekend. r.

Chuck Shelby, Risk Management Commodities, says row crops saw profit taking from the rally on Thursday and hit chart resistance.

However, with a high-pressure ridge showing up in the extended forecast that could have traders back buying Sunday night if that confirms.

In addition, the market is nearing the end of the month, the end of the quarter and is the delivery period which could keep the volatility high.

The trade will also be gearing up for the USDA Acreage and Quarterly Stocks reports at the end of the month.

Wheat continued to see harvest pressure making new lows for the move. He says the wheat market is likely to continue to see hedge selling until the harvest passes the halfway mark. At that point he thinks it could go back to pricing in the lower crop in the Black Sea region and he is optimistic about the U.S. picking up some export business.

A recovery in the U.S. dollar index was also negative for the grains.

AgWeb-Logo crop
Related Stories
Joe Kooima of Kooima Kooima Varilek says funds continue to pressure the cattle futures and he anticipates that will continue after last week’s lower weekly closes.
Allison Thompson with The Money Farm says the failure was likely position squaring heading into the three day holiday plus markets ran into chart resistance and saw some profit taking.
Scott Varilek with Kooima Kooima Varilek says cattle futures were struggling early Thursday with lower cash as the packers are trying to break the market with their own inventory.
Read Next
Farm Journal’s June Ag Economists’ Monthly Monitor shows a weaker ag economy versus a year ago, but more than 80% expect consistent or better conditions over the next 12 months despite ongoing margin pressure.
Get News Daily
Get Market Alerts
Get News & Markets App